Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Bodega Bay, California Coast

Bodega Bay, California, United States

Bodega Bay combines a sheltered working harbour with exposed Bodega Head, where layered Sonoma cliffs, sea stacks, and winter swell fill the view.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Fiery Red Sky Potential

Low Cloud Cover100%

Mid Cloud Cover0%

High Cloud Cover100%

Aerosol Optical Depth0.2

Sun Elevation5.8° (Golden hour)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Los_Angeles

Next opportunity

Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise

Bodega Bay

Sun, Aug 16 · 06:10–07:00 · 1h window

Medium confidence

64%

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential95.6%

Low Cloud Cover: 0%

Mid Cloud Cover: 40%

High Cloud Cover: 88%

Sun Elevation: -5.9° (Civil twilight)

Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise

Bodega Bay

Mon, Aug 17 · 06:11–07:00

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:89.3%

Medium

Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset

Bodega Bay

Mon, Aug 17 · 20:00–20:20

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:77.8%

Medium

Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset

Bodega Bay

Tue, Aug 18 · 20:00–20:19

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:81.6%

Medium

Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise

Bodega Bay

Sat, Aug 22 · 06:15–07:00

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:90.4%

Medium

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across California Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Bodega Bay.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across California Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Bodega Bay during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 76% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 73% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 72% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 22 of 25 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 9 of 25 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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80-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 80-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 80 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time America/Los_Angeles	Golden Hour Any	Fiery Red Sky Potential ≥ 65.0%	Precipitation Chance ≤ 15.0%	Visibility ≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Aug 12
22:00	✕	23%	0%	23988m
23:00	✕	20%	0%	23995m
Thu, Aug 13
24:00	✕	18%	0%	24046m
01:00	✕	18%	0%	24134m
02:00	✕	24%	0.001%	24134m
03:00	✕	23%	0%	24135m
04:00	✕	23%	0%	24134m
05:00	✕	16%	0%	24135m
06:00	✓	23%	0%	24135m
07:00	✓	19%	0%	24135m
08:00	✕	19%	0%	24134m
09:00	✕	15%	0%	24134m
10:00	✕	16%	0%	24134m
11:00	✕	26%	0%	24134m
12:00	✕	15%	0%	24134m
13:00	✕	17%	0%	9807m
14:00	✕	15%	0%	9733m
15:00	✕	14%	0%	9756m
16:00	✕	17%	0%	9881m
17:00	✕	22%	0%	10583m
18:00	✕	9.3%	0%	17202m
19:00	✓	19%	0%	10059m
20:00	✓	48%	0%	12122m
21:00	✕	26%	0%	16201m
22:00	✕	17%	0%	24134m
23:00	✕	17%	0%	24134m
Fri, Aug 14
24:00	✕	13%	4.4%	24135m
01:00	✕	6%	8.8%	24134m
02:00	✕	5.1%	13%	24049m
03:00	✕	12%	22%	7197m
04:00	✕	12%	30%	15398m
05:00	✕	5.8%	39%	24134m
06:00	✓	7.2%	26%	24134m
07:00	✓	0.2%	13%	24134m
08:00	✕	0.1%	0%	24135m
09:00	✕	0.1%	0%	24135m
10:00	✕	0.2%	0%	24135m
11:00	✕	12%	0%	24135m
12:00	✕	11%	0%	24135m
13:00	✕	12%	0%	9769m
14:00	✕	1.1%	0%	24135m
15:00	✕	1.1%	0%	24134m
16:00	✕	4.1%	0%	11092m
17:00	✕	14%	0%	9726m
18:00	✕	18%	0%	9722m
19:00	✓	17%	0%	11242m
20:00	✓	36%	0%	18456m
21:00	✕	13%	0%	24089m
22:00	✕	8.1%	0%	24087m
23:00	✕	14%	0%	24116m
Sat, Aug 15
24:00	✕	15%	0%	24005m
01:00	✕	15%	0%	23993m
02:00	✕	17%	0.001%	15636m
03:00	✕	18%	0%	15108m
04:00	✕	16%	0%	15093m
05:00	✕	0.2%	0%	17893m
06:00	✓	19%	0%	24134m
07:00	✓	0.8%	0%	24134m
08:00	✕	1.2%	0%	24134m
09:00	✕	1.3%	0%	24134m
10:00	✕	11%	0%	24135m
11:00	✕	7.9%	0%	24134m
12:00	✕	14%	0%	9728m
13:00	✕	14%	0%	9770m
14:00	✕	20%	0%	10941m
15:00	✕	28%	0%	9730m
16:00	✕	29%	0%	9943m
17:00	✕	11%	0%	24135m
18:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
19:00	✓	0%	0%	24135m
20:00	✓	22%	0%	24135m
21:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
22:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
23:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
Sun, Aug 16
24:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
01:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
02:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
03:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
04:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m
05:00	✕	0%	0%	24135m

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time America/Los_Angeles	Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)	Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble) %	Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble) %	Dust AOD (550nm)	Golden Hour	High Clouds %	Low Clouds %	Mid-Level Clouds %	RH @ 700 hPa %	Smoke AOD (550nm)	Solar Elevation °	Sunshine Duration seconds
Thu, Aug 13 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 20:07
07:00	0.16	0%	0%	0.001	-	100%	100%	0%	15%	0.06	5.8°	0seconds
08:00	0.16	0%	0%	0.001	-	100%	100%	0%	16%	0.06	17°	0seconds
09:00	0.16	0%	1%	0.001	-	100%	100%	0%	16%	0.07	29°	0seconds
10:00	0.16	0%	1%	0.002	-	100%	94%	0%	17%	0.07	41°	0seconds
11:00	0.16	0%	2%	0.002	-	99%	69%	0%	17%	0.07	52°	0seconds
12:00	0.15	4%	10%	0.002	-	63%	48%	0%	17%	0.07	61°	3600seconds
13:00	0.15	9%	18%	0.002	-	63%	43%	0%	17%	0.07	66°	3600seconds
14:00	0.16	13%	26%	0.002	-	74%	46%	0%	17%	0.07	64°	3600seconds
15:00	0.16	16%	28%	0.002	-	88%	71%	0%	17%	0.06	57°	3600seconds
16:00	0.16	18%	29%	0.002	-	68%	78%	0%	16%	0.06	47°	3600seconds
17:00 ☾	0.17	21%	31%	0.002	-	69%	77%	0%	16%	0.07	36°	3600seconds
18:00 ☾	0.18	27%	33%	0.002	-	43%	52%	0%	17%	0.07	24°	3600seconds
19:00 ☾	0.19	33%	34%	0.002	-	33%	72%	0%	18%	0.07	12°	3600seconds
20:00 ☾	0.2	39%	36%	0.002	-	35%	97%	0%	19%	0.07	1.1°	3600seconds
21:00 ☾	0.21	39%	34%	0.002	-	51%	97%	0%	18%	0.07	-10°	0seconds
22:00 ☾	0.21	39%	33%	0.002	-	66%	97%	0%	18%	0.07	-20°	0seconds
23:00 ☾	0.22	39%	31%	0.002	-	56%	86%	0%	17%	0.07	-28°	0seconds
Fri, Aug 14 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 20:06
24:00 ☾	0.22	27%	27%	0.002	-	22%	94%	0%	17%	0.07	-34°	0seconds
01:00 ☾	0.22	14%	23%	0.002	-	5%	97%	0%	17%	0.07	-37°	0seconds
02:00 ☾	0.22	0%	14%	0.002	-	5%	100%	0%	17%	0.07	-36°	0seconds
03:00 ☾	0.22	0%	12%	0.002	-	8%	100%	0%	17%	0.07	-32°	0seconds
04:00 ☾	0.22	0%	10%	0.002	-	30%	100%	0%	17%	0.07	-25°	0seconds
05:00 ☾	0.22	0%	8%	0.002	-	5%	99%	0%	18%	0.07	-16°	0seconds
06:00 ☾	-	0%	5%	-	-	0%	100%	0%	17%	-	-5.5°	0seconds
07:00	-	0%	3%	-	-	0%	100%	0%	17%	-	5.7°	0seconds
08:00	-	0%	0%	-	-	0%	100%	0%	17%	-	17°	0seconds
09:00	-	0%	1%	-	-	0%	100%	0%	16%	-	29°	0seconds
10:00	-	0%	1%	-	-	0%	100%	0%	16%	-	40°	0seconds
11:00	-	0%	2%	-	-	0%	97%	0%	15%	-	51°	0seconds
12:00	-	5%	11%	-	-	0%	80%	0%	14%	-	60°	3600seconds
13:00	-	10%	21%	-	-	0%	72%	0%	13%	-	66°	3600seconds
14:00	-	15%	30%	-	-	5%	37%	0%	12%	-	64°	3600seconds
15:00	-	18%	29%	-	-	5%	53%	0%	12%	-	57°	3600seconds
16:00	-	21%	27%	-	-	5%	53%	0%	11%	-	47°	3600seconds
17:00 ☾	-	24%	26%	-	-	5%	66%	0%	10%	-	35°	3600seconds
18:00 ☾	-	33%	27%	-	-	0%	61%	0%	10%	-	24°	3600seconds
19:00 ☾	-	42%	29%	-	-	3%	57%	0%	10%	-	12°	3600seconds
20:00 ☾	-	51%	30%	-	-	1%	59%	0%	10%	-	0.88°	3600seconds
21:00 ☾	-	54%	27%	-	-	0%	30%	0%	10%	-	-10°	0seconds
22:00 ☾	-	57%	24%	-	-	0%	14%	0%	11%	-	-20°	0seconds
23:00 ☾	-	60%	21%	-	-	0%	8%	0%	11%	-	-29°	0seconds
Sat, Aug 15 Sunrise 06:27 Sunset 20:05
24:00 ☾	-	64%	20%	-	-	0%	13%	0%	11%	-	-35°	0seconds
01:00 ☾	-	68%	18%	-	-	0%	16%	0%	11%	-	-38°	0seconds
02:00 ☾	-	72%	17%	-	-	0%	22%	0%	11%	-	-37°	0seconds
03:00 ☾	-	64%	20%	-	-	0%	32%	0%	10%	-	-32°	0seconds
04:00 ☾	-	55%	22%	-	-	0%	68%	0%	9%	-	-25°	0seconds
05:00 ☾	-	47%	25%	-	-	0%	75%	0%	7.8%	-	-16°	0seconds
06:00 ☾	-	38%	28%	-	-	0%	76%	0%	7.4%	-	-5.7°	0seconds
07:00	-	29%	32%	-	-	4%	89%	0%	7%	-	5.5°	0seconds
08:00	-	20%	35%	-	-	5%	92%	0%	6.6%	-	17°	0seconds
09:00	-	19%	34%	-	-	5%	94%	0%	6.4%	-	29°	0seconds
10:00	-	19%	34%	-	-	5%	75%	0%	6.1%	-	40°	0seconds
11:00	-	18%	33%	-	-	5%	36%	0%	5.9%	-	51°	3600seconds
12:00	-	28%	33%	-	-	5%	34%	0%	6.2%	-	60°	3600seconds
13:00	-	39%	34%	-	-	5%	27%	0%	6.6%	-	65°	3600seconds
14:00	-	49%	34%	-	-	26%	29%	0%	6.9%	-	64°	3600seconds
15:00	-	47%	32%	-	-	48%	49%	0%	8%	-	56°	3600seconds
16:00	-	46%	31%	-	-	100%	49%	0%	9%	-	46°	3600seconds
17:00 ☾	-	44%	29%	-	-	100%	48%	0%	10%	-	35°	3600seconds
18:00 ☾	-	44%	33%	-	-	68%	32%	0%	11%	-	23°	2400seconds
19:00 ☾	-	45%	37%	-	-	37%	16%	0%	12%	-	12°	1200seconds
20:00 ☾	-	45%	41%	-	-	5%	0%	0%	12%	-	0.68°	0seconds
21:00 ☾	-	43%	38%	-	-	37%	0%	0%	12%	-	-11°	0seconds
22:00 ☾	-	40%	35%	-	-	68%	0%	0%	12%	-	-21°	0seconds
23:00 ☾	-	38%	32%	-	-	100%	0%	0%	13%	-	-29°	0seconds
Sun, Aug 16 Sunrise 06:28 Sunset 20:04
24:00 ☾	-	46%	32%	-	-	86%	0%	0%	12%	-	-35°	0seconds
01:00 ☾	-	53%	32%	-	-	71%	0%	0%	12%	-	-38°	0seconds
02:00 ☾	-	61%	32%	-	-	57%	0%	0%	12%	-	-37°	0seconds
03:00 ☾	-	55%	30%	-	-	65%	0%	14%	12%	-	-33°	1200seconds
04:00 ☾	-	49%	28%	-	-	73%	0%	27%	12%	-	-25°	2400seconds
05:00 ☾	-	43%	26%	-	-	81%	0%	41%	12%	-	-16°	3600seconds
06:00 ☾	-	38%	30%	-	-	88%	0%	40%	13%	-	-5.9°	3600seconds

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM UTC

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