Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Byron Bay, Australian Coast

Byron Bay, New South Wales, Australia

Byron Bay's headland curves around surf beaches below Cape Byron Lighthouse, with rocky coves and the eastern horizon anchoring sunrise frames.

5 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)

Storm Intensity

20%

CAPE10

Lifted Index7.8°C

Wind Gusts6.8m/s

Precipitation1.2mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney

First upcoming window

Weak Storm

Byron Bay

Sun, Oct 11 · 13:00–18:00 · 5h window

Low confidence

19%

⛈️Storm Intensity40-47%

CAPE: 2220

Lifted Index: -3.0°C

Wind Gusts: 11.0m/s

Precipitation: 0.5mm

Weak Storm

Byron Bay

Mon, Oct 12 · 14:00–15:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40%

Low

Weak Storm

Byron Bay

Tue, Oct 13 · 10:00–18:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40-52%

Low

Weak Storm at Sunset

Byron Bay

Tue, Oct 13 · 18:00–20:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40%

Low

Weak Storm

Byron Bay

Tue, Oct 13 · 20:00–21:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:44%

Low

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Australia/Sydney.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Australia/Sydney)	Air Pressure	CAPE	Convective Precip Fraction	Lifted Index	Precipitation Chance	Rainfall	Showers	Simulated Reflectivity	Total Precipitation	Visibility	Wind Gusts	Wind Shear 0-3 km	Wind Shear 0-6 km	Wind Speed
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise 06:17 · Sunset 18:49
10:00	1023hPa	10J/kg	0.54fraction	7.8°C	32%	0.4mm	0.8mm	-3.5dBZ	1.2mm	4380m	6.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
11:00	1022hPa	70J/kg	0.31fraction	5.8°C	41%	0.2mm	0.2mm	-6.9dBZ	0.4mm	7600m	5.6m/s	9.7m/s	3.8m/s	1.8m/s
12:00	1021hPa	30J/kg	0.33fraction	5.3°C	56%	0.1mm	0.1mm	-2.3dBZ	0.2mm	5360m	6.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.6m/s
13:00	1020hPa	20J/kg	0.35fraction	5.7°C	74%	0.4mm	0.2mm	2.4dBZ	0.6mm	8440m	7.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.9m/s
14:00	1019hPa	0J/kg	0.36fraction	6.2°C	82%	0.1mm	0mm	7dBZ	0.1mm	16620m	7.5m/s	11m/s	6.9m/s	2.6m/s
15:00	1018hPa	10J/kg	0.24fraction	6°C	72%	0.1mm	0mm	-2dBZ	0.1mm	9800m	7.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
16:00	1017hPa	0J/kg	0.12fraction	5.8°C	51%	0.1mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0.1mm	26640m	6.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
17:00	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.3°C	33%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	39960m	6.9m/s	15m/s	9m/s	3m/s
18:00	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.6°C	20%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	39960m	7.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
19:00 Night	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.1°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36420m	6.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
20:00 Night	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36420m	5.9m/s	19m/s	12m/s	3.5m/s
21:00 Night	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0mm	36400m	6.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
22:00 Night	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0mm	36400m	6.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
23:00 Night	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-8.5dBZ	0mm	36400m	6.2m/s	12m/s	12m/s	3.4m/s
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise 06:15 · Sunset 18:50
24:00 Night	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0mm	36400m	6.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.3m/s
01:00 Night	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0mm	36380m	6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
02:00 Night	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36380m	6.1m/s	12m/s	12m/s	3.4m/s
03:00 Night	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36380m	6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.3m/s
04:00 Night	1016hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	31440m	6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.1m/s
05:00 Night	1016hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	32220m	5.7m/s	13m/s	13m/s	2.9m/s
06:00 Night	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	28780m	5.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
07:00	1018hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	8.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	32220m	4.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.6m/s
08:00	1018hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	5.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36360m	6m/s	13m/s	14m/s	2.7m/s
09:00	1018hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	4.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	39900m	9.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.2m/s
10:00	1017hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	39880m	12m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.2m/s
11:00	1017hPa	60J/kg	0fraction	1.2°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	7700m	12m/s	11m/s	11m/s	4.4m/s
12:00	1015hPa	110J/kg	0fraction	-0.2°C	13%	0.2mm	0.1mm	-20dBZ	0.3mm	5780m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.5m/s
13:00	1014hPa	510J/kg	0fraction	-1°C	23%	0.2mm	0.2mm	-20dBZ	0.4mm	22560m	12m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.4m/s
14:00	1013hPa	720J/kg	0fraction	-1.5°C	29%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	30840m	14m/s	12m/s	11m/s	6.5m/s
15:00	1012hPa	750J/kg	0fraction	-2.2°C	24%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	18400m	15m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.2m/s
16:00	1012hPa	630J/kg	0fraction	-2.2°C	14%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	39860m	16m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.8m/s
17:00	1012hPa	470J/kg	0fraction	-1.7°C	6%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36320m	17m/s	23m/s	12m/s	7.8m/s
18:00	1012hPa	520J/kg	0fraction	-0.5°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36300m	16m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.3m/s
19:00 Night	1012hPa	380J/kg	0fraction	0.9°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36300m	14m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.1m/s
20:00 Night	1013hPa	300J/kg	0fraction	1.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	32160m	13m/s	21m/s	16m/s	7.1m/s
21:00 Night	1014hPa	200J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	32160m	14m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.5m/s
22:00 Night	1014hPa	150J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	32160m	14m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.5m/s
23:00 Night	1014hPa	130J/kg	0fraction	3.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	32160m	14m/s	19m/s	16m/s	7.4m/s
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise 06:14 · Sunset 18:50
24:00 Night	1014hPa	130J/kg	0fraction	3.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29140m	14m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.3m/s
01:00 Night	1013hPa	130J/kg	0fraction	3.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29120m	14m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.3m/s
02:00 Night	1013hPa	90J/kg	0fraction	3.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29120m	14m/s	12m/s	11m/s	7.1m/s
03:00 Night	1013hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	3.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29120m	13m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6m/s
04:00 Night	1012hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29120m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.5m/s
05:00 Night	1012hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	9940m	11m/s	12m/s	10m/s	5.9m/s
06:00 Night	1012hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	2120m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.8m/s
07:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	1000m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.7m/s
08:00	1014hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	1800m	11m/s	12m/s	10m/s	5.2m/s
09:00	1014hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	6100m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.1m/s
10:00	1015hPa	100J/kg	0fraction	0.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	18520m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.7m/s
11:00	1015hPa	210J/kg	0fraction	0.7°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	39780m	9.4m/s	4.8m/s	6.5m/s	4.1m/s
12:00	1014hPa	480J/kg	0fraction	1°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-7.7dBZ	0mm	39760m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.6m/s
13:00	1014hPa	710J/kg	0fraction	0.7°C	17%	0mm	0mm	4.7dBZ	0mm	43060m	12m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.9m/s
14:00	1013hPa	1440J/kg	0fraction	1.1°C	29%	0mm	0.2mm	17dBZ	0.2mm	21100m	11m/s	6.2m/s	3.8m/s	4m/s
15:00	1013hPa	1430J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	49%	0mm	0mm	19dBZ	0mm	6460m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.4m/s
16:00	1013hPa	1480J/kg	0fraction	0.9°C	71%	0.6mm	0mm	20dBZ	0.6mm	7380m	12m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5m/s
17:00	1013hPa	1520J/kg	0fraction	0.1°C	84%	0.1mm	0mm	22dBZ	0.1mm	29060m	10m/s	3.8m/s	7.8m/s	4.8m/s
18:00	1014hPa	1280J/kg	0fraction	-1.5°C	80%	0.1mm	0.4mm	8.1dBZ	0.5mm	29060m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.5m/s
19:00 Night	1015hPa	1140J/kg	0fraction	-0.9°C	66%	0mm	0mm	-6dBZ	0mm	28500m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.3m/s
20:00 Night	1015hPa	1040J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	51%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29060m	11m/s	12m/s	8.9m/s	5.7m/s
21:00 Night	1016hPa	910J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	34%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	28440m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.8m/s
22:00 Night	1016hPa	730J/kg	0fraction	1.2°C	15%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	28560m	8.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.1m/s
23:00 Night	1016hPa	590J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29040m	7.5m/s	10m/s	5.5m/s	3.8m/s
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise 06:13 · Sunset 18:51
24:00 Night	1016hPa	570J/kg	0fraction	4.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	11780m	7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
01:00 Night	1016hPa	560J/kg	0fraction	5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	5880m	6.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.5m/s
02:00 Night	1016hPa	560J/kg	0fraction	5.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	1580m	6.2m/s	2.1m/s	2m/s	3.1m/s
03:00 Night	1015hPa	560J/kg	0fraction	5.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	820m	5.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3m/s
04:00 Night	1016hPa	460J/kg	0fraction	5.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	460m	5.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.9m/s
05:00 Night	1016hPa	490J/kg	0fraction	5.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	360m	5m/s	0.34m/s	7.5m/s	2.4m/s
06:00 Night	1017hPa	520J/kg	0fraction	4.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	320m	4.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.1m/s
07:00	1018hPa	550J/kg	0fraction	3.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	340m	4.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
08:00	1018hPa	580J/kg	0fraction	1.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	1020m	5.2m/s	2m/s	7m/s	2.3m/s
09:00	1019hPa	1000J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	2100m	5.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Byron Bay.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Byron Bay during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

16:00 local time, shared by 5 of 26 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 19 of 26 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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