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Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Byron Bay, Australian Coast

Byron Bay, New South Wales, Australia

Byron Bay's headland curves around surf beaches below Cape Byron Lighthouse, with rocky coves and the eastern horizon anchoring sunrise frames.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Storm Intensity
0%
CAPE0
Lifted Index3.7°C
Wind Gusts3.3m/s
Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

  • Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Byron Bay.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Byron Bay during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
3
recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence
Last 90 days
22
recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence
Last 365 days
22
recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

16:00 local time, shared by 5 of 22 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 19 of 22 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Australia/Sydney
Storm Intensity
≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:007%
07:0013%
08:0011%
09:0011%
10:0011%
11:0012%
12:0010%
13:0011%
14:0012%
15:0011%
16:0012%
17:0010%
18:000%
19:000%
20:008%
21:009%
22:0012%
23:009%
Mon, Aug 24
24:0010%
01:0015%
02:0011%
03:0013%
04:0015%
05:0011%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:0011%
16:0012%
17:006%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:0013%
22:0013%
23:000%
Wed, Aug 26
24:0014%
01:0028%
02:0019%
03:0022%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Australia/Sydney
Air Pressure
hPa
CAPE
J/kg
Convective Precip Fraction
fraction
Lifted Index
°C
Precipitation Chance
%
Rainfall
mm
Showers
mm
Simulated Reflectivity
dBZ
Total Precipitation
mm
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Shear 0-3 km
m/s
Wind Shear 0-6 km
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:11 Sunset 17:26
05:00 ☾
1016hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.7°C 31% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 3.3m/s - - 1.6m/s
06:00 ☾
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.8°C 62% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 3.6m/s - - 1.7m/s
07:00 ☾
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.6°C 93% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5m/s 4.6m/s 3.1m/s 1.7m/s
08:00 ☾
1018hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.2°C 94% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.5m/s - - 2.2m/s
09:00 ☾
1018hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 96% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 3.9m/s - - 2.2m/s
10:00
1018hPa 4J/kg 0fraction 2.7°C 98% 0mm 0.01mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.2m/s 4.7m/s 0.82m/s 2.2m/s
11:00
1017hPa 44J/kg 0.33fraction 1.7°C 78% 0mm 0.13mm -9.8dBZ 0.06mm 22810m 3m/s - - 2.1m/s
12:00
1016hPa 43J/kg 0.67fraction 1.6°C 59% 0mm 0.09mm 0.34dBZ 0.25mm 24134m 2.9m/s - - 2.7m/s
13:00
1016hPa 29J/kg 1fraction 1.5°C 39% 0mm 0.05mm 11dBZ 0.38mm 24134m 3m/s 2.7m/s 2.3m/s 2.9m/s
14:00
1015hPa 32J/kg 0.84fraction 1.5°C 47% 0mm 0.03mm 13dBZ 0.44mm 24134m 3.1m/s - - 2.9m/s
15:00
1015hPa 41J/kg 0.67fraction 1.4°C 56% 0mm 0.03mm 15dBZ 0.5mm 24135m 3.4m/s - - 2.7m/s
16:00
1016hPa 42J/kg 0.51fraction 1.3°C 64% 0mm 0.07mm 17dBZ 0.5mm 24135m 3.9m/s 3.8m/s 4.9m/s 2.5m/s
17:00
1016hPa 46J/kg 0.42fraction 1.4°C 59% 0mm 0mm 13dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 5.2m/s - - 1.9m/s
18:00 ☾
1017hPa 51J/kg 0.32fraction 1.5°C 54% 0mm 0mm 9.3dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 1.9m/s - - 1.1m/s
19:00 ☾
1018hPa 58J/kg 0.23fraction 1.6°C 49% 0mm 0.01mm 5.5dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 0.92m/s 6.8m/s 5.7m/s 0.95m/s
20:00 ☾
1018hPa 62J/kg 0.49fraction 1.5°C 50% 0mm 0.09mm 4.7dBZ 0.13mm 24134m 0.82m/s - - 0.9m/s
21:00 ☾
1019hPa 57J/kg 0.74fraction 1.6°C 51% 0mm 0.08mm 4dBZ 0.19mm 24135m 0.93m/s - - 0.95m/s
22:00 ☾
1019hPa 42J/kg 1fraction 1.6°C 52% 0mm 0.16mm 3.2dBZ 0.31mm 23313m 1m/s 8.2m/s 4.5m/s 1.1m/s
23:00 ☾
1018hPa 28J/kg 0.93fraction 1.9°C 41% 0mm 0.07mm -2.5dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 2m/s - - 1.5m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:10 Sunset 17:26
24:00 ☾
1018hPa 13J/kg 0.86fraction 2.1°C 30% 0mm 0.03mm -8.1dBZ 0.13mm 24134m 3.4m/s - - 1.6m/s
01:00 ☾
1018hPa 7J/kg 0.79fraction 2°C 19% 0.03mm 0.05mm -14dBZ 0.19mm 3863m 4.5m/s 8.6m/s 3.2m/s 1.8m/s
02:00 ☾
1018hPa 24J/kg 0.57fraction 1.5°C 46% 0.06mm 0.21mm -16dBZ 0.38mm 20811m 5.3m/s - - 1.8m/s
03:00 ☾
1017hPa 33J/kg 0.35fraction 1.2°C 73% 0.06mm 0.32mm -18dBZ 0.75mm 13437m 5.4m/s - - 1.7m/s
04:00 ☾
1017hPa 23J/kg 0.13fraction 1.4°C 100% 0.02mm 0.12mm -20dBZ 0.94mm 23934m 5.1m/s 5.7m/s 3.8m/s 1.4m/s
05:00 ☾
1018hPa 14J/kg 0.09fraction 1.6°C 78% 0mm 0.05mm -20dBZ 0.06mm 24047m 4.6m/s - - 1.3m/s
06:00 ☾
1018hPa 18J/kg 0.04fraction 1.3°C 55% 0.02mm 0.07mm -20dBZ 0.13mm 24134m 4m/s - - 1.3m/s
07:00 ☾
1019hPa 24J/kg 0fraction 1.2°C 33% 0.03mm 0.14mm -20dBZ 0.19mm 17935m 3.9m/s 2.4m/s 2.9m/s 1.4m/s
08:00 ☾
1019hPa 35J/kg 0fraction 1°C 32% 0mm 0.04mm -19dBZ 0.31mm 24134m 3.4m/s - - 1.4m/s
09:00 ☾
1020hPa 34J/kg 0fraction 0.9°C 31% 0mm 0mm -18dBZ 0.31mm 24134m 3m/s - - 1.3m/s
10:00
1019hPa 22J/kg 0fraction 1.2°C 30% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0.31mm 24134m 1.8m/s 2.4m/s 3.8m/s 1.4m/s
11:00
1018hPa 41J/kg 0fraction 0.8°C 20% 0mm 0.01mm -12dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.91m/s - - 0.96m/s
12:00
1017hPa 81J/kg 0fraction 0.2°C 10% 0.01mm 0.28mm -7.7dBZ 0.13mm 13240m 2.1m/s - - 0.8m/s
13:00
1017hPa 74J/kg 0fraction 0.2°C 0% 0mm 0.48mm -3.2dBZ 0.56mm 15457m 2.8m/s 3m/s 5.4m/s 1.9m/s
14:00
1016hPa 62J/kg 0.05fraction 0.1°C 0% 0mm 0.37mm -8.8dBZ 1mm 15244m 3.8m/s - - 1.7m/s
15:00
1016hPa 65J/kg 0.09fraction -0.1°C 0% 0mm 0.09mm -14dBZ 1.3mm 22934m 3.7m/s - - 1.8m/s
16:00
1016hPa 57J/kg 0.14fraction -0.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 1.3mm 24134m 3.7m/s 2.5m/s 7.6m/s 1.8m/s
17:00
1016hPa 54J/kg 0.09fraction -0.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 3.3m/s - - 1.5m/s
18:00 ☾
1016hPa 46J/kg 0.05fraction 0.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.5m/s - - 1.4m/s
19:00 ☾
1017hPa 65J/kg 0fraction 0.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.5m/s 2.7m/s 12m/s 1.5m/s
20:00 ☾
1017hPa 52J/kg 0fraction 0.7°C 7% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.8m/s - - 1.8m/s
21:00 ☾
1017hPa 36J/kg 0fraction 1.3°C 15% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.9m/s - - 1.6m/s
22:00 ☾
1017hPa 19J/kg 0fraction 1.7°C 22% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2m/s 2.4m/s 14m/s 1.3m/s
23:00 ☾
1017hPa 14J/kg 0fraction 1.8°C 15% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.1m/s - - 1.2m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:09 Sunset 17:27
24:00 ☾
1017hPa 16J/kg 0fraction 1.5°C 7% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1m/s - - 1.1m/s
01:00 ☾
1017hPa 25J/kg 0fraction 1.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1m/s 1.5m/s 16m/s 1m/s
02:00 ☾
1016hPa 33J/kg 0fraction 0.7°C 7% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.91m/s - - 1m/s
03:00 ☾
1016hPa 48J/kg 0fraction 0.6°C 15% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.92m/s - - 1m/s
04:00 ☾
1016hPa 59J/kg 0fraction 1.5°C 22% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.92m/s 3.2m/s 14m/s 1m/s
05:00 ☾
1016hPa 50J/kg 0fraction 1.8°C 23% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.81m/s - - 0.9m/s
06:00 ☾
1017hPa 44J/kg 0fraction 3.2°C 24% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.93m/s - - 1m/s
07:00 ☾
1017hPa 25J/kg 0fraction 3.5°C 24% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.7m/s 3.1m/s 13m/s 0.73m/s
08:00 ☾
1017hPa 13J/kg 0fraction 3.2°C 33% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.4m/s - - 0.82m/s
09:00 ☾
1017hPa 37J/kg 0fraction 2.9°C 41% 0mm 0mm -14dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.2m/s - - 1.5m/s
10:00
1016hPa 49J/kg 0fraction 2.4°C 49% 0mm 0.01mm -11dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.7m/s 3.8m/s 9.1m/s 2.2m/s
11:00
1014hPa 55J/kg 0fraction 1.8°C 33% 0mm 0.007mm -14dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.5m/s - - 2.1m/s
12:00
1012hPa 62J/kg 0fraction 1.3°C 16% 0mm 0.003mm -17dBZ 0mm 24134m 6.3m/s - - 2m/s
13:00
1010hPa 68J/kg 0fraction 0.74°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.1m/s 6.3m/s 7.2m/s 1.9m/s
14:00
1010hPa 73J/kg 0fraction 0.75°C 13% 0.003mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.7m/s - - 2m/s
15:00
1010hPa 77J/kg 0fraction 0.76°C 26% 0.007mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.2m/s - - 2.1m/s
16:00
1010hPa 82J/kg 0fraction 0.76°C 39% 0.01mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.7m/s 5.5m/s 5.4m/s 2.2m/s
17:00
1010hPa 115J/kg 0fraction 0.65°C 35% 0.01mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.8m/s - - 2.2m/s
18:00 ☾
1010hPa 147J/kg 0fraction 0.54°C 32% 0.01mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.9m/s - - 2.2m/s
19:00 ☾
1009hPa 180J/kg 0fraction 0.42°C 28% 0.01mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 9m/s 8.9m/s 7.1m/s 2.1m/s
20:00 ☾
1009hPa 159J/kg 0fraction 0.21°C 38% 0.007mm 0.03mm -20dBZ 0.08mm 24135m 7.2m/s - - 1.8m/s
21:00 ☾
1008hPa 138J/kg 0fraction -0.008°C 48% 0.003mm 0.07mm -20dBZ 0.17mm 24135m 5.4m/s - - 1.5m/s
22:00 ☾
1008hPa 117J/kg 0fraction -0.22°C 57% 0mm 0.1mm -20dBZ 0.25mm 24135m 3.6m/s 7.4m/s 8.1m/s 1.2m/s
23:00 ☾
1009hPa 91J/kg 0fraction 0.2°C 60% 0.45mm 0.14mm -20dBZ 1.3mm 17488m 2.7m/s - - 0.98m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:08 Sunset 17:27
24:00 ☾
1009hPa 64J/kg 0fraction 0.62°C 62% 0.9mm 0.17mm -20dBZ 2.3mm 10841m 1.8m/s - - 0.75m/s
01:00 ☾
1010hPa 38J/kg 0fraction 1°C 64% 1.4mm 0.21mm -20dBZ 3.3mm 4194m 0.93m/s 11m/s 14m/s 0.52m/s
02:00 ☾
1010hPa 63J/kg 0.33fraction 0.77°C 70% 0.92mm 0.14mm -20dBZ 4mm 10841m 1.3m/s - - 0.69m/s
03:00 ☾
1010hPa 88J/kg 0.67fraction 0.51°C 76% 0.49mm 0.07mm -20dBZ 4.8mm 17488m 1.7m/s - - 0.86m/s
04:00 ☾
1010hPa 113J/kg 1fraction 0.24°C 82% 0.06mm 0mm -20dBZ 5.5mm 24135m 2.1m/s 6.7m/s 12m/s 1m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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