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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Byron Bay, Australian Coast

Byron Bay, New South Wales, Australia

Byron Bay's headland curves around surf beaches below Cape Byron Lighthouse, with rocky coves and the eastern horizon anchoring sunrise frames.

1 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Fiery Red Sky Potential
0%
Low Cloud Cover100%
Mid Cloud Cover98%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation47.2°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney
fire-sky weather icon
First upcoming window
Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Byron Bay
Mon, Oct 12 · 19:00–19:07 · 1h window
Low confidence
46%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential86.3%
Low Cloud Cover: 0%
Mid Cloud Cover: 0%
High Cloud Cover: 72%
Sun Elevation: -2.4° (Civil twilight)

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Australia/Sydney.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Australia/Sydney)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
0.130%8%0.005Unavailable0%100%98%17%0.0247°0seconds
0.130%10%0.004Unavailable0%100%51%13%0.0258°0seconds
0.130%11%0.004Unavailable0%100%26%11%0.0266°1756seconds
0.130%11%0.004Unavailable0%73%31%8.9%0.0366°3600seconds
0.130%12%0.003Unavailable0%98%24%7.1%0.0359°3600seconds
0.140%11%0.003Unavailable0%100%27%11%0.0449°3600seconds
0.140%9%0.003Unavailable0%8%5%16%0.0436°3600seconds
0.130%8%0.002Unavailable0%2%1%20%0.0423°3600seconds
0.135%14%0.002Unavailable0%0%0%38%0.0410°3600seconds
Night0.1210%19%0.002Unavailable0%18%1%56%0.03-2.9°2775seconds
Night0.1215%25%0.002Unavailable0%41%2%73%0.03-16°0seconds
Night0.1314%25%0.002Unavailable0%26%6%60%0.02-28°0seconds
Night0.1413%24%0.002Unavailable0%50%20%46%0.02-39°0seconds
Night0.1612%24%0.002Unavailable0%34%18%33%0.02-49°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.1710%24%0.002Unavailable0%39%5%29%0.02-54°0seconds
Night0.177%23%0.002Unavailable0%91%2%25%0.02-55°0seconds
Night0.165%23%0.002Unavailable0%100%1%21%0.01-49°0seconds
Night0.178%23%0.002Unavailable0%100%1%20%0.01-40°0seconds
Night0.1710%23%0.002Unavailable0%84%2%18%0.02-29°0seconds
Night0.1613%23%0.002Unavailable0%17%2%17%0.02-17°0seconds
Night0.1535%20%0.002Unavailable0%13%0%20%0.02-4.2°0seconds
0.1557%18%0.002Unavailable0%11%0%23%0.028.9°2425seconds
0.1579%15%0.002Unavailable0%7%0%26%0.0222°3600seconds
0.1485%13%0.002Unavailable0%8%2%25%0.0235°3600seconds
0.1491%10%0.002Unavailable0%55%3%24%0.0247°3600seconds
0.1497%8%0.002Unavailable0%48%26%23%0.0259°3600seconds
0.1396%10%0.002Unavailable0%22%28%26%0.0366°3600seconds
0.1394%11%0.002Unavailable0%45%66%28%0.0367°3600seconds
0.1393%13%0.002Unavailable0%2%38%30%0.0360°3600seconds
0.1393%13%0.002Unavailable0%0%20%45%0.0349°3600seconds
0.1392%12%0.002Unavailable0%1%6%59%0.0336°3600seconds
0.1292%12%0.002Unavailable1%0%1%74%0.0323°3600seconds
0.1195%9%0.001Unavailable2%0%1%76%0.0210°3600seconds
Night0.1197%7%0.001Unavailable2%0%0%79%0.02-2.8°2810seconds
Night0.1100%4%0.001Unavailable0%0%0%81%0.02-16°0seconds
Night0.199%6%0.001Unavailable0%0%0%83%0.02-28°0seconds
Night0.197%8%0.001Unavailable0%1%0%85%0.02-39°0seconds
Night0.1196%10%0.002Unavailable0%1%0%87%0.02-48°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable84%15%UnavailableUnavailable1%9%0%76%Unavailable-54°0seconds
NightUnavailable73%20%UnavailableUnavailable4%3%0%64%Unavailable-54°0seconds
NightUnavailable61%25%UnavailableUnavailable4%1%0%53%Unavailable-49°0seconds
NightUnavailable58%26%UnavailableUnavailable48%0%0%50%Unavailable-40°0seconds
NightUnavailable55%28%UnavailableUnavailable17%0%0%47%Unavailable-29°0seconds
NightUnavailable52%29%UnavailableUnavailable5%0%0%44%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable49%32%UnavailableUnavailable70%5%0%48%Unavailable-3.9°0seconds
Unavailable46%36%UnavailableUnavailable56%10%0%52%Unavailable9.2°2440seconds
Unavailable43%39%UnavailableUnavailable98%4%0%56%Unavailable22°3600seconds
Unavailable39%36%UnavailableUnavailable93%5%0%61%Unavailable35°3600seconds
Unavailable34%34%UnavailableUnavailable99%4%0%66%Unavailable48°3600seconds
Unavailable30%31%UnavailableUnavailable91%2%7%71%Unavailable59°3600seconds
Unavailable20%25%UnavailableUnavailable88%13%13%79%Unavailable67°3600seconds
Unavailable10%20%UnavailableUnavailable95%4%31%87%Unavailable67°3600seconds
Unavailable0%14%UnavailableUnavailable100%9%54%94%Unavailable60°3150seconds
Unavailable0%13%UnavailableUnavailable100%8%59%94%Unavailable49°1780seconds
Unavailable0%13%UnavailableUnavailable87%0%98%94%Unavailable36°0seconds
Unavailable0%12%UnavailableUnavailable95%0%80%94%Unavailable24°0seconds
Unavailable7%20%UnavailableUnavailable52%0%18%84%Unavailable10°0seconds
NightUnavailable13%28%UnavailableUnavailable5%1%4%75%Unavailable-2.6°2266seconds
NightUnavailable20%36%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%5%65%Unavailable-16°0seconds
NightUnavailable20%34%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%1%66%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable21%33%UnavailableUnavailable5%0%2%67%Unavailable-39°0seconds
NightUnavailable21%31%UnavailableUnavailable1%0%1%69%Unavailable-48°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable29%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%67%Unavailable-54°0seconds
NightUnavailable36%32%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%1%65%Unavailable-54°0seconds
NightUnavailable44%32%UnavailableUnavailable0%3%0%63%Unavailable-49°0seconds
NightUnavailable42%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%6%0%66%Unavailable-40°0seconds
NightUnavailable41%29%UnavailableUnavailable0%27%0%68%Unavailable-29°0seconds
NightUnavailable39%27%UnavailableUnavailable0%30%0%71%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable41%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%30%0%74%Unavailable-3.7°0seconds
Unavailable43%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%31%0%77%Unavailable9.4°2556seconds
Unavailable45%29%UnavailableUnavailable0%6%0%80%Unavailable23°3600seconds
Unavailable48%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%5%0%80%Unavailable36°3600seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Byron Bay.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Byron Bay during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
4
recorded matching windows · 73% average confidence
Last 90 days
11
recorded matching windows · 68% average confidence
Last 365 days
27
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

17:00 local time, shared by 11 of 27 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

June, with 8 of 27 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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