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Rule Northern Lights

Valdez - Aurora Forecast - Alaska

Valdez, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage
Next opportunity
Northern Lights
Valdez
Sun, Jan 18 · 19:00–20:00 · 1h window
Low confidence
33%
Northern Lights
Valdez
Mon, Jan 19 · 18:00–08:00
Low
Northern Lights
Valdez
Tue, Jan 20 · 08:00–09:00
Low

Conditions

72-hour forecast with pass/fail indicators

0 matching hours in the next 72 hours
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Activity
>= 50%
Solar Elevation
<= -8°
Total Cloud Coverage
<= 30%
Visibility
>= 8000m
Fri, Jan 9 Sunrise 09:51 Sunset 15:52
10:00
5.3% 0.4° 100% 24140m
11:00
5.3% 100% 24140m
12:00
26% 6.3° 100% 13820m
13:00
26% 100% 11300m
14:00
26% 5.9° 100% 24140m
15:00
26% 3.2° 100% 24140m
16:00
26% -0.96° 100% 1580m
17:00
26% -6.6° 100% 540m
18:00
33% -13° 100% 580m
19:00
33% -20° 100% 320m
20:00
33% -27° 100% 320m
21:00
20% -34° 100% 280m
22:00
20% -41° 100% 280m
23:00
20% -46° 100% 320m
Sat, Jan 10 Sunrise 09:49 Sunset 15:54
24:00
15% -50° 100% 180m
01:00
15% -51° 100% 100m
02:00
15% -49° 100% 80m
03:00
0% -45° 100% 60m
04:00
0% -39° 100% 60m
05:00
0% -33° 100% 60m
06:00
0% -25° 100% 60m
07:00
0% -18° 100% 60m
08:00
0% -11° 100% 40m
09:00
0% -5.1° 100% 40m
10:00
0% 0.49° 100% 40m
11:00
0% 4.1° 100% 40m
12:00
11% 6.5° 94% 40m
13:00
11% 7.1° 98% 40m
14:00
11% 6.1° 99% 40m
15:00
11% 3.4° 100% 20m
16:00
11% -0.74° 82% 20m
17:00
11% -6.4° 82% 40m
18:00
0% -13° 100% 40m
19:00
0% -20° 83% 40m
20:00
0% -27° 86% 60m
21:00
0% -34° 100% 60m
22:00
0% -41° 100% 40m
23:00
0% -46° 98% 60m
Sun, Jan 11 Sunrise 09:48 Sunset 15:56
24:00
0% -50° 100% 60m
01:00
0% -51° 99% 60m
02:00
0% -49° 99% 60m
03:00
11% -45° 98% 60m
04:00
11% -39° 94% 40m
05:00
11% -32° 89% 40m
06:00
0% -25° 96% 40m
07:00
0% -18° 100% 40m
08:00
0% -11° 98% 40m
09:00
0% -5° 95% 40m
10:00
0% 0.59° 95% 40m
11:00
0% 4.3° 100% 60m
12:00
0% 6.6° 100% 40m
13:00
0% 7.3° 97% 20m
14:00
0% 6.2° 98% 20m
15:00
15% 3.6° 96% 40m
16:00
15% -0.49° 98% 20m
17:00
15% -6.3° 100% 20m
18:00
15% -13° 99% 20m
19:00
15% -20° 100% 40m
20:00
15% -27° 100% 40m
21:00
15% -34° 98% 20m
22:00
15% -40° 100% 20m
23:00
15% -46° 92% 40m
Mon, Jan 12 Sunrise 09:46 Sunset 15:58
24:00
15% -49° 79% 40m
01:00
15% -50° 83% 160m
02:00
15% -49° 70% 240m
03:00
15% -45° 69% 260m
04:00
15% -39° 74% 380m
05:00
15% -32° 83% 380m
06:00
15% -25° 87% 320m
07:00
15% -18° 88% 160m
08:00
15% -11° 90% 140m
09:00
15% -4.9° 88% 120m
How to read: colored cells show whether each rule requirement is met; highlighted rows mean all requirements match (an opportunity).

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