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Rule Northern Lights

Chena Hot Springs - Aurora Forecast - Alaska

Chena Hot Springs, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage
Next opportunity
Northern Lights
Chena Hot Springs
Mon, Jan 19 · 07:00–09:00 · 2h window
Low confidence
24%
Northern Lights
Chena Hot Springs
Mon, Jan 19 · 18:00–08:00
Low
Northern Lights
Chena Hot Springs
Tue, Jan 20 · 08:00–09:00
Low

Conditions

72-hour forecast with pass/fail indicators

0 matching hours in the next 72 hours
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Activity
>= 50%
Solar Elevation
<= -8°
Total Cloud Coverage
<= 30%
Visibility
>= 8000m
Fri, Jan 9 Sunrise 10:37 Sunset 15:02
10:00
9.4% -2.9° 0% 24140m
11:00
9.4% 0.77° 0% 24140m
12:00
36% 2.6° 0% 24140m
13:00
36% 3.2° 0% 24140m
14:00
36% 2.2° 0% 24140m
15:00
36% 0.09° 0% 24140m
16:00
36% -4.1° 20% 24140m
17:00
36% -9° 65% 24140m
18:00
45% -15° 72% 24140m
19:00
45% -21° 100% 24140m
20:00
45% -27° 100% 24140m
21:00
29% -33° 100% 24140m
22:00
29% -39° 100% 24140m
23:00
29% -43° 100% 24140m
Sat, Jan 10 Sunrise 10:35 Sunset 15:06
24:00
22% -46° 100% 24140m
01:00
22% -47° 100% 680m
02:00
22% -45° 100% 120m
03:00
12% -42° 98% 140m
04:00
12% -37° 100% 120m
05:00
12% -31° 100% 120m
06:00
8.3% -25° 100% 360m
07:00
8.3% -19° 100% 700m
08:00
8.3% -13° 100% 800m
09:00
12% -7.4° 100% 18320m
10:00
12% -2.8° 100% 22860m
11:00
12% 0.89° 100% 24140m
12:00
17% 2.8° 99% 24140m
13:00
17% 3.3° 99% 24140m
14:00
17% 2.4° 99% 24140m
15:00
17% 0.23° 100% 24140m
16:00
17% -3.9° 100% 24140m
17:00
17% -8.8° 100% 24140m
18:00
8.3% -14° 100% 24140m
19:00
8.3% -21° 100% 24140m
20:00
8.3% -27° 100% 24140m
21:00
12% -33° 100% 17900m
22:00
12% -39° 100% 8180m
23:00
12% -43° 97% 6000m
Sun, Jan 11 Sunrise 10:32 Sunset 15:09
24:00
12% -46° 98% 5240m
01:00
12% -47° 100% 10080m
02:00
12% -45° 99% 10420m
03:00
17% -42° 85% 4240m
04:00
17% -37° 97% 3080m
05:00
17% -31° 100% 2260m
06:00
12% -25° 100% 1000m
07:00
12% -19° 100% 780m
08:00
12% -13° 100% 800m
09:00
12% -7.3° 97% 540m
10:00
12% -2.7° 99% 500m
11:00
12% 97% 360m
12:00
12% 2.9° 96% 780m
13:00
12% 3.5° 96% 1100m
14:00
12% 2.6° 97% 520m
15:00
22% 0.37° 98% 200m
16:00
22% -3.8° 100% 140m
17:00
22% -8.6° 98% 260m
18:00
22% -14° 100% 180m
19:00
22% -20° 99% 260m
20:00
22% -27° 100% 200m
21:00
22% -33° 100% 200m
22:00
22% -38° 100% 280m
23:00
22% -43° 99% 420m
Mon, Jan 12 Sunrise 10:30 Sunset 15:12
24:00
22% -46° 98% 620m
01:00
22% -47° 98% 820m
02:00
22% -45° 96% 940m
03:00
22% -42° 97% 1860m
04:00
22% -37° 97% 3000m
05:00
22% -31° 98% 3940m
06:00
22% -25° 99% 3460m
07:00
22% -19° 96% 3280m
08:00
22% -13° 96% 5220m
09:00
22% -7.2° 96% 10140m
How to read: colored cells show whether each rule requirement is met; highlighted rows mean all requirements match (an opportunity).

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