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Rule Northern Lights

Valdez - Northern Lights - Alaska

Valdez, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 99% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation14.0° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover73%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Tue, Mar 3
16:000%14°0%100%24134m
17:000%7.9°0%100%21500m
18:000%1.5°26%100%19929m
19:000%-5.9°26%100%19937m
20:000%-13°26%100%19946m
21:000%-20°16%100%22698m
22:000%-26°18%100%19955m
23:000%-31°30%100%19956m
Wed, Mar 4
24:000%-34°30%100%19955m
01:000%-35°25%100%19968m
02:000%-34°20%100%23706m
03:000%-31°14%100%23962m
04:000%-26°8%22%16327m
05:000%-19°0%17%17342m
06:000%-12°0%9.6%24135m
07:000%-5.1°0%0.4%24135m
08:000%2.3°0%0%24135m
09:000%8.7°0%0%24135m
10:000%14°0%0%24135m
11:000%19°0%0%24134m
12:000%22°0%0%24134m
13:000%23°0%0%24135m
14:000%22°0%0.7%24135m
15:000%19°0%13%24134m
16:000%14°0%73%24135m
17:000%8.2°0%89%19706m
18:000%1.8°0%96%250m
19:000%-5.6°0%98%189m
20:000%-13°0%95%200m
21:000%-20°0%93%211m
22:000%-26°0%94%204m
23:000%-31°0%95%192m
Thu, Mar 5
24:000%-34°0%92%240m
01:000%-35°0%94%284m
02:000%-34°0%95%555m
03:000%-30°0%93%619m
04:000%-25°0%91%758m
05:000%-19°0%92%1778m
06:000%-12°0%95%959m
07:000%-4.7°0%92%2285m
08:000%2.6°0%98%359m
09:000%9.1°0%100%242m
10:000%15°0%100%196m
11:000%19°0%100%463m
12:000%22°20%100%215m
13:000%23°20%100%181m
14:000%22°20%98%210m
15:000%19°41%100%325m
16:000%14°41%100%131m
17:000%8.6°41%99%127m
18:000%2.1°41%100%131m
19:000%-5.3°41%100%134m
20:000%-13°41%100%128m
21:000%-19°20%99%159m
22:000%-25°20%100%262m
23:000%-30°20%100%129m
Fri, Mar 6
24:000%-33°20%100%119m
01:000%-34°20%100%105m
02:000%-33°20%100%108m
03:000%-30°15%100%105m
04:000%-25°15%100%129m
05:000%-19°15%100%142m
06:000%-12°11%100%130m
07:000%-4.3°11%100%151m
08:000%11%100%314m
09:000%9.5°15%100%292m
10:000%15°15%100%131m
11:000%20°15%100%92m
12:000%23°41%100%88m
13:000%24°41%100%66m
14:000%22°41%100%49m
15:000%19°0%100%32m
16:000%15°0%100%27m
17:000%8.9°0%100%34m
18:000%2.4°0%100%39m
19:000%-5°0%100%41m
20:000%-12°0%100%37m
21:000%-19°0%100%69m
22:000%-25°0%100%98m
23:000%-30°0%100%126m
Sat, Mar 7
24:000%-33°0%100%155m
01:000%-34°0%100%167m
02:000%-33°0%100%179m
03:000%-29°0%100%191m
04:000%-24°0%100%194m
05:000%-18°0%100%198m
06:000%-11°0%100%201m
07:000%-3.9°0%100%435m
08:000%3.3°0%100%668m
09:000%9.9°0%100%902m
10:000%16°0%100%640m
11:000%20°0%100%379m
12:000%23°0%100%117m
13:000%24°0%100%118m
14:000%23°0%100%119m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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