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Rule Northern Lights

Valdez - Northern Lights - Alaska

Valdez, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0% Visibility · ≥ 8000.0m

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Total Cloud Coverage 100% failing
Visibility 96% failing
Aurora Activity 83% failing

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Jan 11
03:00-45°38%98%100m
04:00-39°38%100%100m
05:00-32°38%98%80m
06:00-25°15%100%60m
07:00-18°15%96%40m
08:00-11°15%97%40m
09:00-5°20%100%40m
10:000.59°20%100%40m
11:004.3°20%95%60m
12:006.6°26%100%40m
13:007.3°26%100%40m
14:006.2°26%100%60m
15:003.6°26%100%40m
16:00-0.49°26%100%20m
17:00-6.3°26%100%40m
18:00-13°15%100%40m
19:00-20°15%100%40m
20:00-27°15%96%40m
21:00-34°15%90%60m
22:00-40°15%83%100m
23:00-46°15%93%180m
Mon, Jan 12
24:00-49°15%94%740m
01:00-50°15%88%1380m
02:00-49°15%80%340m
03:00-45°15%88%240m
04:00-39°15%88%200m
05:00-32°15%80%200m
06:00-25°26%83%260m
07:00-18°26%88%280m
08:00-11°26%87%280m
09:00-4.9°20%83%420m
10:000.7°20%84%920m
11:004.4°20%72%1720m
12:006.8°20%68%4380m
13:007.5°20%92%1500m
14:006.4°20%91%260m
15:003.7°15%90%940m
16:00-0.2°15%88%4300m
17:00-6.1°15%86%4460m
18:00-12°26%72%480m
19:00-19°26%94%580m
20:00-27°26%96%440m
21:00-34°20%100%180m
22:00-40°20%100%120m
23:00-46°20%100%120m
Tue, Jan 13
24:00-49°15%100%100m
01:00-50°15%100%120m
02:00-49°15%100%120m
03:00-45°0%100%120m
04:00-39°0%100%140m
05:00-32°0%100%140m
06:00-25°0%100%160m
07:00-18°0%100%160m
08:00-11°0%100%220m
09:00-4.8°20%100%180m
10:000.81°20%100%180m
11:004.5°20%100%180m
12:006.9°20%98%240m
13:007.6°20%100%260m
14:006.6°20%100%580m
15:003.9°62%100%820m
16:000.07°62%100%2900m
17:00-5.9°62%100%24140m
18:00-12°62%100%24140m
19:00-19°62%100%12160m
20:00-26°62%100%1200m
21:00-34°62%100%600m
22:00-40°62%100%2280m
23:00-45°62%100%3220m
Wed, Jan 14
24:00-49°62%100%3520m
01:00-50°62%100%460m
02:00-49°62%100%2680m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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