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Rule Northern Lights

Talkeetna - Northern Lights - Alaska

Talkeetna, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation30.5° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover99%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Fair Chance of Aurora at Dawn
Talkeetna
Wed, Apr 29 · 04:00–05:00 · 1h window
Low confidence
31%
🌌Aurora Quality50.1%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -9.4° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 26%
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Talkeetna
Thu, Apr 30 · 24:00–03:00
🌌Aurora Quality:58.3-68.5%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Apr 20
11:000%30°17%100%867m
12:000%35°17%100%1420m
13:000%38°13%95%5998m
14:000%39°13%88%24069m
15:000%38°13%100%21299m
16:000%35°23%100%23338m
17:000%30°23%99%767m
18:000%24°24%80%5537m
19:000%17°40%67%24134m
20:000%10°42%73%24135m
21:000%3.8°42%79%24134m
22:000%-2.5°29%82%24135m
23:000%-8°23%99%24134m
Tue, Apr 21
24:000%-12°24%93%24135m
01:000%-15°23%70%24135m
02:000%-16°31%56%24134m
03:000%-15°35%43%24135m
04:000%-12°65%75%24135m
05:000%-7.8°67%100%24134m
06:000%-2.3°66%96%24134m
07:000%4.1°38%100%24134m
08:000%11°36%87%24134m
09:000%18°31%74%24135m
10:000%24°16%76%24134m
11:000%31°16%99%18454m
12:000%35°16%90%23790m
13:000%39°9.1%91%24134m
14:000%40°9.1%67%24134m
15:000%39°9.1%73%24135m
16:000%35°13%39%24134m
17:000%30°13%18%24135m
18:000%24°13%46%24134m
19:000%18°6.2%99%24135m
20:000%11°6.2%47%24134m
21:000%4.1°6.2%66%24135m
22:000%-2.2°9.1%93%24134m
23:000%-7.7°9.1%80%24134m
Wed, Apr 22
24:000%-12°9.1%91%24134m
01:000%-15°6.2%96%24135m
02:000%-15°6.2%98%24134m
03:000%-14°6.2%99%4738m
04:000%-12°6.2%100%1596m
05:000%-7.5°6.2%100%4071m
06:000%-1.9°6.2%100%6077m
07:000%4.4°9.1%100%2815m
08:000%11°9.1%100%214m
09:000%18°9.1%100%165m
10:000%25°6.2%100%74m
11:000%31°6.2%100%57m
12:000%36°6.2%100%56m
13:000%39°6.2%100%35m
14:000%40°6.2%100%23m
15:000%39°6.2%100%24m
16:000%36°0%100%27m
17:000%31°0%100%31m
18:000%25°0%100%33m
19:000%18°0%100%47m
20:000%11°0%100%95m
21:000%4.3°0%100%104m
22:000%-1.9°0%100%135m
23:000%-7.4°0%100%137m
Thu, Apr 23
24:000%-12°0%100%70m
01:000%-14°0%100%69m
02:000%-15°0%100%51m
03:000%-14°0%100%40m
04:000%-11°0%100%35m
05:000%-7.1°0%100%29m
06:000%-1.5°0%100%32m
07:000%4.7°0%100%39m
08:000%11°0%100%35m
09:000%18°0%100%34m
10:000%25°0%100%41m
11:000%31°0%100%53m
12:000%36°0%100%45m
13:000%39°0%100%42m
14:000%40°0%100%66m
15:000%39°0%100%108m
16:000%36°17%100%101m
17:000%31°17%100%98m
18:000%25°17%100%96m
19:000%18°17%100%93m
20:000%11°17%100%90m
21:000%4.6°17%100%87m
22:000%-1.6°17%100%84m
23:000%-7.1°17%100%66m
Fri, Apr 24
24:000%-11°17%100%48m
01:000%-14°17%100%30m
02:000%-15°17%100%28m
03:000%-14°17%100%25m
04:000%-11°17%100%23m
05:000%-6.8°17%100%24m
06:000%-1.2°17%100%25m
07:000%17%100%26m
08:000%12°17%100%27m
09:000%19°17%100%28m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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