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Rule Northern Lights

Talkeetna - Northern Lights - Alaska

Talkeetna, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0% Visibility · ≥ 8000.0m

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Total Cloud Coverage 100% failing
Aurora Activity 83% failing
Visibility 57% failing

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Jan 11
03:00-45°42%100%120m
04:00-40°42%100%120m
05:00-34°42%100%120m
06:00-27°17%100%120m
07:00-20°17%100%120m
08:00-13°17%100%120m
09:00-7.2°23%100%120m
10:00-1.8°23%100%120m
11:002.4°23%100%120m
12:0029%100%120m
13:006.1°29%100%120m
14:005.5°29%97%120m
15:003.3°29%96%120m
16:00-0.06°29%96%120m
17:00-5.5°29%96%140m
18:00-11°17%97%140m
19:00-18°17%98%180m
20:00-25°17%87%240m
21:00-32°17%76%300m
22:00-38°17%68%380m
23:00-44°17%77%520m
Mon, Jan 12
24:00-48°17%73%720m
01:00-49°17%69%760m
02:00-48°17%67%1280m
03:00-45°17%69%1720m
04:00-40°17%70%1500m
05:00-34°17%73%1720m
06:00-27°29%72%1880m
07:00-20°29%69%2540m
08:00-13°29%66%3120m
09:00-7.1°23%65%4200m
10:00-1.6°23%65%6700m
11:002.6°23%65%9560m
12:005.2°23%66%8380m
13:006.3°23%66%11580m
14:005.7°23%65%16080m
15:003.5°17%66%19780m
16:000.13°17%64%21880m
17:00-5.3°17%64%22940m
18:00-11°29%64%23600m
19:00-18°29%63%24140m
20:00-25°29%62%24140m
21:00-32°23%78%24140m
22:00-38°23%73%24140m
23:00-44°23%89%24140m
Tue, Jan 13
24:00-47°17%100%24140m
01:00-49°17%100%22600m
02:00-48°17%100%21280m
03:00-45°6.2%100%15480m
04:00-40°6.2%100%21940m
05:00-34°6.2%100%24140m
06:00-27°6.2%100%2420m
07:00-20°6.2%100%160m
08:00-13°6.2%100%160m
09:00-7°23%100%140m
10:00-1.5°23%100%140m
11:002.7°23%100%220m
12:005.3°23%99%1940m
13:006.4°23%100%600m
14:005.9°23%100%2720m
15:003.7°67%99%24140m
16:000.29°67%92%24140m
17:00-5.1°67%96%24140m
18:00-11°67%91%24140m
19:00-18°67%89%24140m
20:00-25°67%96%24140m
21:00-31°67%100%24140m
22:00-38°67%100%23860m
23:00-43°67%100%14480m
Wed, Jan 14
24:00-47°67%100%14020m
01:00-49°67%100%22780m
02:00-48°67%100%22400m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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