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Rule Northern Lights

North Pole - Northern Lights - Alaska

North Pole, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation14.7° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
North Pole
Sat, Mar 21 · 22:00–23:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
47%
🌌Aurora Quality95%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -12.0° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 5%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Mar 11
17:000%14°22%78%24134m
18:000%9.2°24%61%23839m
19:000%3.4°20%5%24135m
20:000%-3°18%5%24134m
21:0031%-9.4°16%27%22160m
22:0032%-15°27%39%12599m
23:0031%-21°33%42%12941m
Thu, Mar 12
24:0024%-25°33%45%12374m
01:0034%-28°34%40%12634m
02:0019%-28°29%47%12648m
03:0034%-27°28%33%16879m
04:0041%-25°27%25%18078m
05:0043%-20°31%29%18268m
06:0036%-15°34%32%17847m
07:0038%-9.1°33%22%20106m
08:0020%-2.6°24%25%19042m
09:002.1%3.8°14%26%17814m
10:000%9.6°8%21%19603m
11:000%15°0%47%17569m
12:000%19°0%34%22191m
13:000%21°0%44%24135m
14:000%22°8%30%24134m
15:000%21°11%45%24135m
16:000%19°11%89%24135m
17:000%15°11%100%22610m
18:000%9.6°11%100%23650m
19:000%3.7°3.1%100%24134m
20:000%-2.7°3.1%100%24135m
21:000%-9.1°3.1%100%24135m
22:000%-15°3.1%100%24134m
23:000%-20°3.1%63%23502m
Fri, Mar 13
24:000%-25°3.1%53%9204m
01:000%-27°16%73%6449m
02:000%-28°16%94%6241m
03:000%-27°16%100%5406m
04:000%-24°28%100%4284m
05:000%-20°28%100%3429m
06:000%-15°28%100%2754m
07:000%-8.7°100%100%2803m
08:000%-2.2°100%100%2901m
09:000%4.2°100%100%2940m
10:000%10°54%100%3936m
11:000%15°54%100%5096m
12:000%19°54%99%7197m
13:000%22°54%97%10007m
14:000%23°54%96%12676m
15:000%22°54%93%15681m
16:000%19°100%100%19623m
17:000%15°100%100%22569m
18:000%9.9°100%100%23992m
19:000%4.1°44%100%24135m
20:000%-2.3°44%100%24134m
21:000%-8.7°44%100%24134m
22:000%-15°44%100%24135m
23:000%-20°44%100%24134m
Sat, Mar 14
24:000%-24°44%100%24135m
01:000%-27°22%100%24135m
02:000%-28°22%100%24134m
03:000%-27°22%100%7304m
04:000%-24°16%100%2107m
05:000%-20°16%100%1603m
06:000%-14°16%100%1389m
07:000%-8.3°12%100%1322m
08:000%-1.8°12%100%1454m
09:000%4.5°12%100%1408m
10:000%10°12%100%1452m
11:000%16°12%100%2920m
12:000%20°12%100%3318m
13:000%22°36%100%2483m
14:000%23°36%100%2989m
15:000%22°36%100%4019m
16:000%19°44%100%2532m
17:000%15°44%100%1700m
18:000%10°44%100%1116m
19:000%4.4°44%100%1662m
20:000%-2°44%100%1531m
21:000%-8.4°44%100%1283m
22:000%-14°44%100%802m
23:000%-20°44%99%1230m
Sun, Mar 15
24:000%-24°44%98%1659m
01:000%-26°44%97%2087m
02:000%-27°44%94%2152m
03:000%-26°44%90%2217m
04:000%-24°44%87%2283m
05:000%-19°44%91%3013m
06:000%-14°44%96%3743m
07:000%-7.9°44%100%4473m
08:000%-1.4°44%100%4228m
09:000%4.9°44%100%3984m
10:000%11°44%100%3739m
11:000%16°44%100%2788m
12:000%20°44%100%1838m
13:000%23°44%100%887m
14:000%23°44%94%3468m
15:000%22°44%89%6049m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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