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Rule Northern Lights

North Pole - Northern Lights - Alaska

North Pole, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage
Next opportunity
Northern Lights
North Pole
Fri, Jan 16 · 18:00–19:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
47%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Jan 10
14:002.8°8.6%98%580m
15:000.68°32%98%320m
16:00-3.3°32%98%200m
17:00-8.2°100%97%540m
18:00-14°100%96%600m
19:00-20°100%97%680m
20:00-26°100%100%420m
21:00-33°100%100%640m
22:00-38°100%100%540m
23:00-43°100%99%400m
Sun, Jan 11
24:00-46°44%97%540m
01:00-47°44%98%480m
02:00-46°44%99%460m
03:00-43°22%99%620m
04:00-38°22%99%380m
05:00-32°22%100%800m
06:00-26°22%100%480m
07:00-19°22%100%580m
08:00-13°22%100%340m
09:00-7.6°28%100%160m
10:00-2.8°28%100%140m
11:0028%100%140m
12:003.1°36%100%180m
13:003.8°36%100%260m
14:0036%100%160m
15:000.83°36%100%140m
16:00-3.2°36%100%140m
17:00-8°36%98%140m
18:00-14°36%97%140m
19:00-20°36%97%140m
20:00-26°36%93%140m
21:00-32°22%84%180m
22:00-38°22%89%220m
23:00-43°22%91%260m
Mon, Jan 12
24:00-46°8.1%84%300m
01:00-47°8.1%85%460m
02:00-46°8.1%86%620m
03:00-42°8.1%85%720m
04:00-38°8.1%82%920m
05:00-32°8.1%78%1520m
06:00-26°16%76%1880m
07:00-19°16%76%2380m
08:00-13°16%74%2260m
09:00-7.5°22%72%2620m
10:00-2.7°22%81%3220m
11:001.2°22%80%3700m
12:003.2°28%75%3680m
13:003.9°28%56%3700m
14:003.1°28%63%5100m
15:000.99°100%68%5420m
16:00-3°100%64%4160m
17:00-7.8°100%60%2700m
18:00-13°100%58%1160m
19:00-20°100%57%840m
20:00-26°100%63%820m
21:00-32°100%91%1100m
22:00-38°100%92%1260m
23:00-43°100%75%1220m
Tue, Jan 13
24:00-46°100%80%1060m
01:00-47°100%80%1300m
02:00-45°100%86%1300m
03:00-42°100%87%1760m
04:00-37°100%86%1500m
05:00-32°100%81%1180m
06:00-25°100%89%1180m
07:00-19°100%87%1100m
08:00-13°100%100%1420m
09:00-7.3°100%100%1660m
10:00-2.5°100%100%2320m
11:001.3°100%100%1460m
12:003.4°100%100%460m
13:004.1°100%100%300m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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