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Rule Northern Lights

Girdwood - Northern Lights - Alaska

Girdwood, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0% Visibility · ≥ 8000.0m

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Total Cloud Coverage 100% failing
Visibility 100% failing
Aurora Activity 83% failing

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Jan 11
03:00-46°35%99%120m
04:00-40°35%100%100m
05:00-34°35%100%120m
06:00-27°15%98%120m
07:00-19°15%98%200m
08:00-12°15%95%200m
09:00-6°20%99%200m
10:00-0.09°20%90%140m
11:003.8°20%87%120m
12:006.5°26%84%160m
13:007.5°26%98%160m
14:006.7°26%95%480m
15:004.3°26%100%940m
16:000.63°26%100%520m
17:00-5°26%100%940m
18:00-11°15%100%780m
19:00-18°15%100%420m
20:00-25°15%93%600m
21:00-33°15%90%660m
22:00-39°15%90%740m
23:00-45°15%91%1060m
Mon, Jan 12
24:00-49°15%96%1300m
01:00-51°15%100%840m
02:00-49°15%100%1400m
03:00-46°15%100%1400m
04:00-40°15%100%1560m
05:00-34°15%99%1460m
06:00-27°26%90%880m
07:00-19°26%96%1000m
08:00-12°26%100%1320m
09:00-5.9°20%91%1280m
10:000.06°20%97%1560m
11:003.9°20%99%2460m
12:006.6°20%100%1760m
13:007.6°20%94%1920m
14:006.9°20%62%3360m
15:004.5°15%67%2780m
16:000.79°15%52%2060m
17:00-4.8°15%62%1300m
18:00-11°26%86%1220m
19:00-18°26%81%1060m
20:00-25°26%94%940m
21:00-32°20%100%640m
22:00-39°20%100%520m
23:00-45°20%100%600m
Tue, Jan 13
24:00-49°15%100%1160m
01:00-50°15%100%1260m
02:00-49°15%100%740m
03:00-46°0%100%640m
04:00-40°0%100%1300m
05:00-34°0%100%5840m
06:00-26°0%100%4800m
07:00-19°0%100%4640m
08:00-12°0%100%1520m
09:00-5.8°20%100%5900m
10:000.17°20%100%1540m
11:004.1°20%100%1300m
12:006.8°20%100%7020m
13:007.8°20%90%4500m
14:007.1°20%100%2220m
15:004.7°61%100%560m
16:000.96°61%100%220m
17:00-4.6°61%100%240m
18:00-11°61%100%240m
19:00-18°61%100%860m
20:00-25°61%100%960m
21:00-32°61%100%900m
22:00-39°61%100%380m
23:00-45°61%100%120m
Wed, Jan 14
24:00-49°61%100%180m
01:00-50°61%100%140m
02:00-49°61%100%200m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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