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Rule Northern Lights

Fairbanks - Northern Lights - Alaska

Fairbanks, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation29.8° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover78%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Fairbanks
Thu, Apr 30 · 01:00–04:00 · 3h window
Low confidence
30%
🌌Aurora Quality84.2-88.5%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -9.8° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 5%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Apr 20
11:000%29°22%95%3078m
12:000%34°22%100%4344m
13:000%36°16%100%18102m
14:000%37°16%100%22764m
15:000%36°16%100%24134m
16:000%32°28%100%24134m
17:000%28°30%99%24135m
18:000%22°33%100%24135m
19:000%16°53%100%24134m
20:000%9.7°55%100%24135m
21:000%3.7°53%100%22521m
22:000%-2°38%100%283m
23:000%-6.9°30%100%1532m
Tue, Apr 21
24:000%-10°32%100%18317m
01:000%-13°30%100%9017m
02:000%-13°36%100%15783m
03:000%-12°39%100%4743m
04:000%-9.3°100%100%19105m
05:000%-5.3°100%100%20670m
06:000%0.32°100%100%8122m
07:000%5.8°47%100%315m
08:000%12°46%100%265m
09:000%18°42%73%3539m
10:000%24°23%98%1969m
11:000%30°23%78%22462m
12:000%34°23%36%24134m
13:000%37°12%100%24134m
14:000%37°12%79%24134m
15:000%36°12%5.9%24135m
16:000%33°16%18%24134m
17:000%28°16%20%24135m
18:000%22°16%5%24134m
19:000%16°8.1%5%24135m
20:000%10°8.1%5%24134m
21:000%3.9°8.1%5%24135m
22:000%-1.7°12%5%24134m
23:000%-6.6°12%9%22385m
Wed, Apr 22
24:000%-10°12%44%8723m
01:000%-12°8.1%52%8727m
02:000%-13°8.1%98%6548m
03:000%-12°8.1%100%6538m
04:000%-9°8.1%100%15809m
05:000%-4.9°8.1%100%20471m
06:000%0.6°8.1%100%22265m
07:000%6.1°12%100%24135m
08:000%12°12%99%24135m
09:000%19°12%100%24134m
10:000%25°8.1%100%24134m
11:000%30°8.1%91%24134m
12:000%34°8.1%93%24134m
13:000%37°8.1%100%24135m
14:000%38°8.1%91%24135m
15:000%36°8.1%61%24135m
16:000%33°5.3%76%24134m
17:000%28°5.3%90%24135m
18:000%23°5.3%50%24135m
19:000%17°3.2%100%24135m
20:000%10°3.2%100%24135m
21:000%4.2°3.2%100%24135m
22:000%-1.4°3.2%100%24135m
23:000%-6.3°3.2%100%24135m
Thu, Apr 23
24:000%-9.9°3.2%100%24134m
01:000%-12°3.2%100%24135m
02:000%-13°3.2%100%24135m
03:000%-11°3.2%100%18285m
04:000%-8.7°3.2%100%5957m
05:000%-4.6°3.2%100%707m
06:000%0.89°3.2%100%301m
07:000%6.5°3.2%100%1203m
08:000%13°3.2%100%20243m
09:000%19°3.2%100%20344m
10:000%25°5.3%97%19754m
11:000%30°5.3%100%24134m
12:000%35°5.3%100%24134m
13:000%37°5.3%98%24134m
14:000%38°5.3%100%24135m
15:000%37°5.3%62%24135m
16:000%33°22%100%24135m
17:000%29°22%100%24135m
18:000%23°22%100%24135m
19:000%17°22%100%24135m
20:000%11°22%91%24135m
21:000%4.5°22%81%24135m
22:000%-1°22%72%24135m
23:000%-6°22%81%24135m
Fri, Apr 24
24:000%-9.5°22%91%24135m
01:000%-12°22%100%24135m
02:000%-12°22%100%21635m
03:000%-11°22%100%19136m
04:000%-8.3°22%100%16636m
05:000%-4.2°22%100%11103m
06:000%1.2°22%100%5571m
07:000%6.8°22%100%38m
08:000%13°22%100%64m
09:000%19°22%100%90m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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