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Rule Northern Lights

Fairbanks - Northern Lights - Alaska

Fairbanks, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0% Visibility · ≥ 8000.0m

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Total Cloud Coverage 94% failing
Visibility 94% failing
Aurora Activity 79% failing

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Jan 11
03:00-43°55%92%1500m
04:00-38°55%99%640m
05:00-32°55%99%620m
06:00-26°22%98%1080m
07:00-19°22%100%600m
08:00-13°22%100%360m
09:00-7.8°28%100%160m
10:00-3°28%100%140m
11:000.9°28%100%160m
12:0036%100%180m
13:003.7°36%100%200m
14:002.9°36%100%200m
15:000.83°36%100%160m
16:00-3.1°36%100%180m
17:00-7.9°36%100%200m
18:00-13°22%100%160m
19:00-20°22%99%160m
20:00-26°22%97%160m
21:00-32°22%94%180m
22:00-38°22%92%200m
23:00-43°22%85%220m
Mon, Jan 12
24:00-46°22%76%280m
01:00-47°22%78%340m
02:00-46°22%43%560m
03:00-42°22%23%600m
04:00-38°22%16%600m
05:00-32°22%12%620m
06:00-26°36%27%460m
07:00-19°36%42%500m
08:00-13°36%46%440m
09:00-7.6°28%74%600m
10:00-2.9°28%80%620m
11:0028%83%620m
12:003.1°28%80%600m
13:003.8°28%77%700m
14:003.1°28%77%680m
15:000.99°22%78%1180m
16:00-2.9°22%79%1580m
17:00-7.7°22%72%1680m
18:00-13°36%64%2380m
19:00-19°36%60%2740m
20:00-26°36%58%2960m
21:00-32°28%66%3280m
22:00-38°28%62%3600m
23:00-42°28%55%3880m
Tue, Jan 13
24:00-46°22%51%4380m
01:00-47°22%48%5080m
02:00-45°22%44%5960m
03:00-42°8.1%41%6680m
04:00-38°8.1%70%16620m
05:00-32°8.1%81%21120m
06:00-26°8.1%73%17980m
07:00-19°8.1%88%14220m
08:00-13°8.1%81%7500m
09:00-7.5°28%93%520m
10:00-2.7°28%95%380m
11:001.2°28%98%320m
12:003.3°28%100%240m
13:0028%98%220m
14:003.3°28%97%200m
15:001.2°100%96%240m
16:00-2.7°100%94%280m
17:00-7.5°100%91%340m
18:00-13°100%91%560m
19:00-19°100%89%660m
20:00-26°100%92%420m
21:00-32°100%100%380m
22:00-38°100%100%700m
23:00-42°100%100%780m
Wed, Jan 14
24:00-45°100%100%540m
01:00-46°100%100%460m
02:00-45°100%100%660m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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