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Rule Northern Lights

Coldfoot - Northern Lights - Alaska

Coldfoot, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 96% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation27.5° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Apr 20
11:000%27°30%100%491m
12:000%31°26%100%475m
13:000%34°20%100%348m
14:000%35°20%100%277m
15:000%34°20%100%393m
16:000%31°34%100%385m
17:000%27°36%100%479m
18:000%22°39%100%210m
19:000%17°100%100%214m
20:000%11°100%100%157m
21:000%5.4°100%100%140m
22:000%0.48°38%100%128m
23:000%-4.4°33%100%117m
Tue, Apr 21
24:000%-7.9°34%100%111m
01:000%-10°31%100%116m
02:000%-11°35%100%110m
03:000%-10°38%100%111m
04:000%-7.8°100%100%126m
05:000%-4.2°100%100%131m
06:000%0.65°100%100%124m
07:000%5.6°91%100%132m
08:000%11°91%100%130m
09:000%17°89%100%137m
10:000%23°29%100%132m
11:000%27°29%100%152m
12:000%31°29%100%216m
13:000%34°14%100%427m
14:000%35°14%100%399m
15:000%34°14%100%486m
16:000%31°20%100%519m
17:000%27°20%100%585m
18:000%23°20%100%583m
19:000%17°9.9%100%770m
20:000%11°9.9%100%920m
21:000%5.7°9.9%98%880m
22:000%0.74°14%99%604m
23:000%-4.1°14%99%588m
Wed, Apr 22
24:000%-7.6°14%99%654m
01:000%-9.7°9.9%100%903m
02:000%-10°9.9%100%853m
03:000%-9.7°9.9%100%1396m
04:000%-7.4°9.9%96%3077m
05:000%-3.9°9.9%80%5359m
06:000%0.94°9.9%40%17302m
07:000%5.9°14%38%21744m
08:000%12°14%39%24135m
09:000%17°14%45%24134m
10:000%23°9.9%40%24134m
11:000%28°9.9%5%24134m
12:000%32°9.9%43%24134m
13:000%34°9.9%49%24135m
14:000%35°9.9%8.4%24135m
15:000%34°9.9%25%24135m
16:000%32°6.6%78%24134m
17:000%28°6.6%100%24135m
18:000%23°6.6%100%24135m
19:000%17°4%100%24135m
20:000%12°4%100%24135m
21:000%5.9°4%100%24135m
22:000%4%100%24135m
23:000%-3.8°4%100%24135m
Thu, Apr 23
24:000%-7.2°4%100%24134m
01:000%-9.4°4%100%10576m
02:000%-10°4%100%2515m
03:000%-9.3°4%100%337m
04:000%-7.1°4%100%4849m
05:000%-3.6°4%99%7527m
06:000%1.2°4%100%541m
07:000%6.2°4%90%1546m
08:000%12°4%75%8032m
09:000%18°4%60%24134m
10:000%23°6.6%45%24134m
11:000%28°6.6%60%24134m
12:000%32°6.6%65%24134m
13:000%35°6.6%100%24134m
14:000%36°6.6%100%24135m
15:000%35°6.6%100%24135m
16:000%32°26%100%24135m
17:000%28°26%100%18347m
18:000%23°26%100%12560m
19:000%18°26%100%6772m
20:000%12°26%100%10917m
21:000%6.2°26%100%15062m
22:000%1.3°26%100%19207m
23:000%-3.5°26%93%19195m
Fri, Apr 24
24:000%-6.9°26%85%19183m
01:000%-9.1°26%78%19171m
02:000%-9.8°26%85%20826m
03:000%-9°26%92%22480m
04:000%-6.8°26%100%24135m
05:000%-3.2°26%100%24135m
06:000%1.5°26%100%24135m
07:000%6.6°26%100%24135m
08:000%12°26%100%24135m
09:000%18°26%100%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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