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Rule Northern Lights

Chena Hot Springs - Northern Lights - Alaska

Chena Hot Springs, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage
Next opportunity
Northern Lights
Chena Hot Springs
Sat, Jan 17 · 18:00–01:00 · 7h window
Low confidence
34%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Jan 11
03:00-42°55%100%7060m
04:00-37°55%100%680m
05:00-31°55%100%180m
06:00-25°22%100%200m
07:00-19°22%99%200m
08:00-13°22%99%200m
09:00-7.3°29%100%400m
10:00-2.7°29%99%340m
11:0029%98%480m
12:002.9°36%100%360m
13:003.5°36%95%340m
14:002.6°36%95%480m
15:000.37°36%97%540m
16:00-3.8°36%98%540m
17:00-8.6°36%98%580m
18:00-14°22%99%420m
19:00-20°22%98%300m
20:00-27°22%99%240m
21:00-33°22%100%320m
22:00-38°22%100%260m
23:00-43°22%100%280m
Mon, Jan 12
24:00-46°22%99%400m
01:00-47°22%98%640m
02:00-45°22%96%1140m
03:00-42°22%95%1140m
04:00-37°22%96%520m
05:00-31°22%97%420m
06:00-25°36%96%440m
07:00-19°36%96%500m
08:00-13°36%93%460m
09:00-7.2°29%94%580m
10:00-2.6°29%94%420m
11:001.1°29%91%580m
12:003.1°29%91%560m
13:003.6°29%90%660m
14:002.7°29%78%1080m
15:000.53°22%77%1740m
16:00-3.6°22%75%1360m
17:00-8.4°22%70%1200m
18:00-14°36%71%2260m
19:00-20°36%71%3740m
20:00-26°36%77%4460m
21:00-33°29%67%5200m
22:00-38°29%60%6280m
23:00-43°29%49%10920m
Tue, Jan 13
24:00-46°22%55%24140m
01:00-46°22%65%23900m
02:00-45°22%66%24140m
03:00-42°8.3%74%24140m
04:00-37°8.3%81%24140m
05:00-31°8.3%81%24140m
06:00-25°8.3%65%24140m
07:00-19°8.3%97%24140m
08:00-13°8.3%100%24140m
09:00-7.1°29%100%24140m
10:00-2.4°29%98%6680m
11:001.3°29%99%320m
12:003.2°29%98%320m
13:003.8°29%97%480m
14:002.9°29%96%2200m
15:000.69°100%96%1980m
16:00-3.4°100%100%1280m
17:00-8.2°100%98%2780m
18:00-14°100%100%560m
19:00-20°100%100%340m
20:00-26°100%100%560m
21:00-32°100%100%880m
22:00-38°100%100%19580m
23:00-42°100%100%1180m
Wed, Jan 14
24:00-45°100%100%140m
01:00-46°100%100%160m
02:00-45°100%100%120m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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