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Rule Northern Lights

Aurora Forecast for Abisko

Sweden

Get notified when aurora activity peaks under clear, dark skies—ideal conditions for capturing the Northern Lights.

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
Next opportunity
Northern Lights
Today · 15:00–08:00 · 17h window
High confidence
83%
Northern Lights
Tomorrow · 08:00–09:00
Medium
Northern Lights
Tue, Jan 13 · 01:00–08:00
Medium
Northern Lights
Tue, Jan 13 · 08:00–09:00
Medium
Northern Lights
Tue, Jan 13 · 16:00–21:00
Medium
Northern Lights
Wed, Jan 14 · 08:00–09:00
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Aurora Quality combines multiple factors to predict northern lights visibility:

  • Geomagnetic Activity (Kp Index): Higher Kp means stronger aurora
  • Cloud Cover: Clear skies are essential for viewing
  • Moon Phase: Less moonlight means darker skies
  • Location Latitude: Higher latitudes see aurora more frequently

The score ranges from 0-100%, where 60%+ indicates good aurora conditions.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
18matching hours in the next 72 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Fri, Jan 9
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:0080%
16:0070%
17:0073%
18:0073%
19:0073%
20:0071%
21:0076%
22:0084%
23:0079%
Sat, Jan 10
24:0079%
01:0079%
02:0079%
03:0079%
04:0085%
05:0085%
06:0085%
07:0073%
08:0067%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:0026%
16:0032%
17:0036%
18:0037%
19:0038%
20:0038%
21:0040%
22:0046%
23:0043%
Sun, Jan 11
24:0043%
01:0040%
02:0030%
03:000%
04:0023%
05:0028%
06:0038%
07:0029%
08:0027%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Jan 12
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Aurora Quality mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Activity
%
OVATION Aurora Probability
%
Solar Elevation
°
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Visibility
m
Fri, Jan 9 Sunrise 11:07 Sunset 12:36
08:00
32% 3% -9.6° 67% 9340m
09:00
32% 3% -5.6° 54% 7080m
10:00
100% - -2.6° 65% 3600m
11:00
100% - -0.56° 63% 2700m
12:00
100% - 0.12° 44% 2680m
13:00
96% - -1° 26% 3560m
14:00
96% - -3.3° 15% 16020m
15:00
96% - -6.6° 8% 17020m
16:00
62% - -11° 6% 14940m
17:00
62% - -16° 2% 12520m
18:00
62% - -21° 1% 11520m
19:00
62% - -27° 1% 11300m
20:00
62% - -32° 2% 8040m
21:00
62% - -37° 5% 20560m
22:00
83% - -41° 2% 12280m
23:00
83% - -43° 0% 3880m
Sat, Jan 10 Sunrise 11:07 Sunset 12:36
24:00
83% - -44° 0% 2120m
01:00
83% - -42° 0% 1520m
02:00
83% - -40° 0% 1700m
03:00
83% - -36° 0% 6340m
04:00
96% - -31° 0% 5660m
05:00
96% - -25° 0% 4620m
06:00
96% - -20° 0% 3840m
07:00
72% - -14° 0% 3780m
08:00
72% - -9.5° 0% 5240m
09:00
72% - -5.5° 0% 6340m
10:00
62% - -2.5° 0% 7120m
11:00
62% - -0.36° 0% 7520m
12:00
62% - 0.24° 0% 7880m
13:00
15% - -0.82° 0% 12860m
14:00
15% - -3.1° 0% 15680m
15:00
15% - -6.4° 1% 14160m
16:00
11% - -11° 11% 12340m
17:00
11% - -16° 12% 11440m
18:00
11% - -21° 6% 10840m
19:00
15% - -26° 1% 9600m
20:00
15% - -32° 1% 9400m
21:00
15% - -37° 3% 11240m
22:00
21% - -40° 7% 17080m
23:00
21% - -43° 13% 22920m
Sun, Jan 11 Sunrise 10:59 Sunset 12:45
24:00
21% - -43° 15% 27580m
01:00
21% - -42° 16% 14200m
02:00
21% - -40° 39% 10200m
03:00
21% - -35° 56% 8340m
04:00
11% - -30° 37% 3960m
05:00
11% - -25° 29% 7060m
06:00
11% - -19° 19% 28240m
07:00
15% - -14° 26% 3180m
08:00
15% - -9.4° 17% 1680m
09:00
15% - -5.4° 17% 640m
10:00
15% - -2.3° 10% 340m
11:00
15% - -0.12° 2% 260m
12:00
15% - 0.37° 0% 200m
13:00
21% - -0.61° 0% 180m
14:00
21% - -3° 20% 160m
15:00
21% - -6.3° 69% 160m
16:00
15% - -10° 96% 180m
17:00
15% - -15° 100% 200m
18:00
15% - -21° 100% 220m
19:00
15% - -26° 89% 440m
20:00
15% - -32° 63% 2180m
21:00
15% - -36° 78% 2320m
22:00
15% - -40° 87% 2700m
23:00
15% - -43° 87% 3960m
Mon, Jan 12 Sunrise 10:52 Sunset 12:52
24:00
15% - -43° 82% 4120m
01:00
62% - -42° 77% 4240m
02:00
62% - -39° 73% 1120m
03:00
62% - -35° 75% 780m
04:00
62% - -30° 81% 640m
05:00
62% - -25° 84% 680m
06:00
62% - -19° 84% 1520m
07:00
62% - -14° 80% 3320m
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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