Rule
Morning Frost
Morning Frost Forecast for Pen-y-ghent, Yorkshire Dales
Horton in Ribblesdale, England, United Kingdom
A steep-sided, flat-topped summit rises above Ribblesdale, with exposed gritstone, stone walls and views to the other Three Peaks.
1 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.
Hourly forecast scores
Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)Soil Temperature6.5°C
Dew Point4.1°C
Wind Speed5.1m/s
Cloud Cover50%
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
Times shown in Europe/London
First upcoming window
Light Frost
Pen-y-ghent
Wed, Oct 21 · 09:00–09:18 · 1h window
Low confidence
28%
❄️Frost Probability67%
Soil Temperature: 0.9°C
Dew Point: -1.8°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed: 1.5m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover: 75%
72-hour requirements breakdown
When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Europe/London.
Most common blockers
Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.
- Frost Probability100% of hours
- Wind Speed97% of hours
- Time Window88% of hours
0matching hours in the displayed 72-hour forecast
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time Europe/London | Time Window Sunrise -45m to +90m | Frost Probability ≥ 60.0% | Wind Speed ≤ 1.5m/s |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8 | |||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 3.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 29%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 25%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 39%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 37%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 37%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 42%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 45%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 59%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 0.8m/s. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 2.9%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 0.4m/s. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0.8%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Fri, Oct 9 | |||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 10m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 10m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 10m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.3%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Sat, Oct 10 | |||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.2%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.3%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.5%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.5%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 1.5%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 1.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 1.3%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.2%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 10m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 10m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 10m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 0%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 2%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 2.8%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 2.4%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 15%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 12%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 1.1%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.7m/s. Misses requirement |
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).
Supporting forecast inputs
Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.
| Forecast time (Europe/London) | Dew Point | Surface Temperature | Temperature | Time Window | Total Cloud Coverage | Vapor Pressure Deficit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||
| Night | 4.1°C | 6.5°C | 7.5°C | Unavailable | 50% | 0.22kPa |
| Night | 3.9°C | 5.2°C | 6.6°C | Unavailable | 20% | 0.17kPa |
| Night | 3.8°C | 5°C | 6.3°C | Unavailable | 45% | 0.15kPa |
| Night | 3.5°C | 3.7°C | 5.3°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.11kPa |
| Night | 3.4°C | 3.5°C | 4.9°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.09kPa |
| Night | 3.4°C | 3.6°C | 5.1°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.1kPa |
| Night | 3.1°C | 2.9°C | 4.6°C | Unavailable | 12% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 2.7°C | 2.3°C | 4°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.07kPa |
| 2.3°C | 1.9°C | 3°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.04kPa | |
| 3.6°C | 7°C | 5.4°C | Unavailable | 55% | 0.11kPa | |
| 3.5°C | 9.4°C | 7.5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.25kPa | |
| 3.5°C | 12°C | 8.5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.32kPa | |
| 4°C | 13°C | 9.4°C | Unavailable | 50% | 0.37kPa | |
| 3.8°C | 13°C | 10°C | Unavailable | 27% | 0.45kPa | |
| 3.8°C | 13°C | 11°C | Unavailable | 63% | 0.49kPa | |
| 4°C | 12°C | 11°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.5kPa | |
| 6°C | 9.7°C | 10°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.29kPa | |
| 6.6°C | 9.9°C | 9.9°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.24kPa | |
| 6°C | 8.6°C | 9.5°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.25kPa | |
| Night | 6.3°C | 8.1°C | 8.9°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.18kPa |
| Night | 6.9°C | 7.9°C | 8.3°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.1kPa |
| Night | 7°C | 7.8°C | 8.1°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 7.4°C | 7.9°C | 7.8°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.03kPa |
| Night | 7.7°C | 7.9°C | 7.8°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.01kPa |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||
| Night | 8.2°C | 8.2°C | 8.3°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.01kPa |
| Night | 8.7°C | 8.7°C | 8.8°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.01kPa |
| Night | 9.9°C | 10°C | 10°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.02kPa |
| Night | 13°C | 13°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.06kPa |
| Night | 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.03kPa |
| Night | 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.03kPa |
| Night | 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.07kPa |
| Night | 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.07kPa |
| 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.05kPa | |
| 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.03kPa | |
| 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.05kPa | |
| 13°C | 13°C | 13°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.06kPa | |
| 10°C | 13°C | 13°C | Unavailable | 98% | 0.21kPa | |
| 7.4°C | 13°C | 12°C | Unavailable | 66% | 0.4kPa | |
| 7.5°C | 13°C | 12°C | Unavailable | 44% | 0.36kPa | |
| 6.7°C | 13°C | 12°C | Unavailable | 63% | 0.4kPa | |
| 6°C | 12°C | 12°C | Unavailable | 74% | 0.42kPa | |
| 7.8°C | 9.5°C | 10°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.17kPa | |
| 7°C | 8.3°C | 9.6°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.19kPa | |
| Night | 6.3°C | 8.3°C | 9.4°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.22kPa |
| Night | 6.8°C | 8°C | 9.2°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.17kPa |
| Night | 6.4°C | 7.8°C | 9°C | Unavailable | 79% | 0.18kPa |
| Night | 6.6°C | 8.3°C | 9.3°C | Unavailable | 100% | 0.2kPa |
| Night | 7.4°C | 8.1°C | 8.6°C | Unavailable | 91% | 0.09kPa |
| Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||
| Night | 7.4°C | 8.1°C | 8.6°C | Unavailable | 98% | 0.09kPa |
| Night | 7.3°C | 7.8°C | 8.4°C | Unavailable | 85% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 7°C | 7.9°C | 8.1°C | Unavailable | 98% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 7°C | 7.8°C | 8.1°C | Unavailable | 92% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 6.8°C | 7.7°C | 8°C | Unavailable | 89% | 0.09kPa |
| Night | 6.6°C | 7.4°C | 7.8°C | Unavailable | 92% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 6.3°C | 7.1°C | 7.5°C | Unavailable | 96% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 6.1°C | 6.9°C | 7.3°C | Unavailable | 98% | 0.08kPa |
| 5.9°C | 7.1°C | 7.3°C | Unavailable | 94% | 0.09kPa | |
| 5.8°C | 7.5°C | 7.3°C | Unavailable | 87% | 0.1kPa | |
| 5.7°C | 7.9°C | 7.4°C | Unavailable | 77% | 0.11kPa | |
| 5.6°C | 8.6°C | 7.8°C | Unavailable | 60% | 0.15kPa | |
| 5.6°C | 9.3°C | 8.3°C | Unavailable | 40% | 0.19kPa | |
| 5.5°C | 9.7°C | 8.6°C | Unavailable | 31% | 0.21kPa | |
| 5.6°C | 9.4°C | 8.5°C | Unavailable | 46% | 0.2kPa | |
| 5.7°C | 8.8°C | 8.2°C | Unavailable | 72% | 0.17kPa | |
| 5.7°C | 8.2°C | 7.9°C | Unavailable | 84% | 0.15kPa | |
| 5.4°C | 7.5°C | 7.6°C | Unavailable | 63% | 0.15kPa | |
| 5°C | 6.8°C | 7.2°C | Unavailable | 28% | 0.14kPa | |
| Night | 4.7°C | 6.3°C | 6.9°C | Unavailable | 8% | 0.14kPa |
| Night | 4.9°C | 6°C | 6.7°C | Unavailable | 18% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 5.1°C | 5.9°C | 6.6°C | Unavailable | 42% | 0.1kPa |
| Night | 5.4°C | 5.9°C | 6.6°C | Unavailable | 63% | 0.08kPa |
| Night | 5.6°C | 6.1°C | 6.7°C | Unavailable | 76% | 0.07kPa |
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Yorkshire Dales. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Pen-y-ghent.
Explore Morning Frost conditions across Yorkshire Dales →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Pen-y-ghent during the last 365 days.
Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
0
recorded matching windows
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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