Fire Sky Forecast for Sedona, US Southwest
Sedona’s red sandstone towers rise above juniper-covered slopes, creating bold color contrast, framed canyon views and layered desert ridgelines.
Currently
Real-time conditionsUpcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
No opportunities in the next 14 days
See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.
Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)
- Fiery Red Sky Potential100% of hours
- Precipitation Chance100% of hours
- Golden Hour88% of hours
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across US Southwest. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Sedona.
Explore Fire Sky conditions across US Southwest →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Sedona during the last 365 days.
06:00 local time, shared by 12 of 22 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
April, with 9 of 22 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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95-hour requirements breakdown
When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.
Time America/Denver | Golden Hour Any | Fiery Red Sky Potential ≥ 65.0% | Precipitation Chance ≤ 15.0% | Visibility ≥ 8000.0m |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Jul 14 | ||||
| 13:00 | ✕ | 25% | 60% | 24135m |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 11% | 68% | 24135m |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 25% | 70% | 24135m |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 29% | 73% | 24135m |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 30% | 77% | 24134m |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 40% | 80% | 24135m |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 6.7% | 64% | 24134m |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 31% | 53% | 23808m |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 55% | 43% | 23141m |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 34% | 50% | 24134m |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 7.7% | 57% | 24135m |
| Wed, Jul 15 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 35% | 64% | 24135m |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 21% | 38% | 24134m |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 19% | 26% | 24135m |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 7.9% | 15% | 24134m |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 30% | 10% | 24135m |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 33% | 5% | 24135m |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 49% | 0% | 24135m |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 20% | 26% | 24135m |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 29% | 53% | 24135m |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 30% | 79% | 24135m |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 21% | 85% | 24135m |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 25% | 90% | 24134m |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 6.1% | 96% | 24135m |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 16% | 91% | 24134m |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 21% | 87% | 18671m |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 5.6% | 82% | 23784m |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 13% | 86% | 22853m |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 23% | 89% | 24135m |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 31% | 93% | 24134m |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 33% | 80% | 24135m |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 7.4% | 68% | 24134m |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 41% | 56% | 24134m |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 33% | 63% | 24135m |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 34% | 70% | 8534m |
| Thu, Jul 16 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 34% | 76% | 24135m |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 33% | 59% | 24135m |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 33% | 43% | 24134m |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 32% | 26% | 24134m |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 31% | 30% | 24135m |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 28% | 34% | 24135m |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 42% | 38% | 24134m |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 33% | 43% | 24134m |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 38% | 47% | 24135m |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 29% | 52% | 24135m |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 14% | 60% | 24135m |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 22% | 67% | 24135m |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 7.2% | 74% | 23431m |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 16% | 75% | 24134m |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 27% | 76% | 23180m |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 11% | 78% | 22605m |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 9% | 81% | 15021m |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 29% | 84% | 24135m |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 29% | 87% | 24135m |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 29% | 78% | 24135m |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 33% | 68% | 24135m |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 46% | 58% | 24135m |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 34% | 67% | 24135m |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 36% | 75% | 24135m |
| Fri, Jul 17 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 36% | 84% | 24134m |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 33% | 66% | 24135m |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 30% | 48% | 17391m |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 37% | 31% | 24135m |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 34% | 51% | 24134m |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 34% | 72% | 14736m |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 37% | 92% | 14409m |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 38% | 92% | 14013m |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 35% | 92% | 24135m |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 36% | 92% | 24135m |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 15% | 95% | 24134m |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 5.6% | 97% | 24134m |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 5.5% | 99% | 24135m |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 6.5% | 94% | 24135m |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 7.7% | 88% | 24134m |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 21% | 83% | 13428m |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 9.6% | 86% | 24134m |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 14% | 89% | 23133m |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 8.2% | 92% | 23108m |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 0% | 76% | 23450m |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 0% | 59% | 23793m |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 35% | 42% | 24135m |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 0% | 45% | 24135m |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 0% | 47% | 24135m |
| Sat, Jul 18 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 0% | 49% | 24135m |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 0% | 66% | 24135m |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 0% | 83% | 24135m |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 0% | 100% | 24135m |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 0% | 78% | 24135m |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 0% | 55% | 24135m |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 29% | 33% | 24135m |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 1.1% | 46% | 24135m |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 0% | 58% | 24135m |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 0% | 71% | 24135m |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 0% | 69% | 24135m |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 0% | 67% | 24135m |
What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?
Inputs that drive the scoreThis derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.
| Time America/Denver | Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm) | Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble) % | Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble) % | Dust AOD (550nm) | Golden Hour | High Clouds % | Low Clouds % | Mid-Level Clouds % | RH @ 700 hPa % | Smoke AOD (550nm) | Solar Elevation ° | Sunshine Duration seconds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Jul 15
Sunrise 06:25
Sunset 20:40 | ||||||||||||
| 14:00 | 0.11 | 23% | 11% | 0.008 | - | 48% | 41% | 100% | 67% | 0.02 | 75° | 3600seconds |
| 15:00 | 0.2 | 0% | 7% | 0.008 | - | 100% | 6% | 89% | 66% | 0.02 | 67° | 3600seconds |
| 16:00 | 0.23 | 0% | 6% | 0.008 | - | 100% | 5% | 69% | 71% | 0.02 | 55° | 3600seconds |
| 17:00 | 0.17 | 0% | 6% | 0.006 | - | 100% | 4% | 82% | 76% | 0.02 | 43° | 3600seconds |
| 18:00
☾
| 0.12 | 0% | 5% | 0.005 | - | 100% | 0% | 71% | 80% | 0.02 | 31° | 3600seconds |
| 19:00
☾
| 0.15 | 0% | 6% | 0.006 | - | 100% | 0% | 4% | 71% | 0.03 | 19° | 0seconds |
| 20:00
☾
| 0.16 | 0% | 8% | 0.006 | - | 93% | 1% | 2% | 61% | 0.03 | 7° | 0seconds |
| 21:00
☾
| 0.16 | 0% | 9% | 0.006 | - | 8% | 0% | 0% | 52% | 0.03 | -4.2° | 0seconds |
| 22:00
☾
| 0.16 | 0% | 10% | 0.006 | - | 100% | 0% | 5% | 53% | 0.03 | -14° | 0seconds |
| 23:00
☾
| 0.17 | 1% | 12% | 0.007 | - | 100% | 0% | 85% | 54% | 0.03 | -23° | 0seconds |
| Thu, Jul 16
Sunrise 06:25
Sunset 20:40 | ||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| 0.18 | 1% | 13% | 0.007 | - | 100% | 0% | 78% | 55% | 0.03 | -30° | 0seconds |
| 01:00
☾
| 0.18 | 3% | 17% | 0.008 | - | 100% | 0% | 74% | 56% | 0.03 | -33° | 0seconds |
| 02:00
☾
| 0.19 | 6% | 22% | 0.009 | - | 100% | 0% | 93% | 57% | 0.03 | -33° | 0seconds |
| 03:00
☾
| 0.2 | 8% | 26% | 0.01 | - | 97% | 0% | 88% | 59% | 0.03 | -30° | 0seconds |
| 04:00
☾
| 0.21 | 7% | 25% | 0.01 | - | 100% | 0% | 95% | 59% | 0.03 | -24° | 0seconds |
| 05:00
☾
| 0.23 | 7% | 25% | 0.009 | - | 72% | 0% | 97% | 59% | 0.03 | -15° | 0seconds |
| 06:00
☾
| 0.23 | 6% | 24% | 0.009 | - | 48% | 0% | 98% | 59% | 0.03 | -5.4° | 0seconds |
| 07:00 | 0.2 | 8% | 26% | 0.008 | - | 31% | 0% | 37% | 59% | 0.03 | 5.7° | 0seconds |
| 08:00 | 0.19 | 11% | 29% | 0.008 | - | 5% | 0% | 91% | 59% | 0.03 | 17° | 0seconds |
| 09:00 | 0.18 | 13% | 31% | 0.009 | - | 5% | 0% | 36% | 59% | 0.03 | 29° | 0seconds |
| 10:00 | 0.18 | 12% | 30% | 0.01 | - | 0% | 0% | 69% | 64% | 0.03 | 42° | 3600seconds |
| 11:00 | 0.18 | 11% | 28% | 0.01 | - | 0% | 2% | 100% | 69% | 0.03 | 54° | 3600seconds |
| 12:00 | 0.21 | 10% | 27% | 0.01 | - | 5% | 21% | 81% | 74% | 0.03 | 65° | 3600seconds |
| 13:00 | 0.22 | 8% | 25% | 0.02 | - | 5% | 37% | 43% | 73% | 0.03 | 75° | 3600seconds |
| 14:00 | 0.17 | 6% | 24% | 0.02 | - | 7% | 43% | 68% | 72% | 0.03 | 75° | 3600seconds |
| 15:00 | 0.33 | 4% | 22% | 0.02 | - | 22% | 51% | 100% | 70% | 0.04 | 67° | 3600seconds |
| 16:00 | 0.26 | 3% | 19% | 0.02 | - | 100% | 7% | 44% | 71% | 0.03 | 55° | 3600seconds |
| 17:00 | 0.2 | 1% | 15% | 0.01 | - | 100% | 0% | 4% | 72% | 0.03 | 43° | 3600seconds |
| 18:00
☾
| 0.14 | 0% | 12% | 0.008 | - | 100% | 0% | 5% | 73% | 0.02 | 31° | 3600seconds |
| 19:00
☾
| - | 1% | 15% | - | - | 100% | 0% | 0% | 70% | - | 19° | 3600seconds |
| 20:00
☾
| - | 3% | 18% | - | - | 100% | 0% | 5% | 68% | - | 6.9° | 0seconds |
| 21:00
☾
| - | 4% | 21% | - | - | 99% | 0% | 5% | 65% | - | -4.3° | 0seconds |
| 22:00
☾
| - | 4% | 22% | - | - | 63% | 0% | 4% | 66% | - | -14° | 0seconds |
| 23:00
☾
| - | 5% | 22% | - | - | 100% | 0% | 5% | 66% | - | -23° | 0seconds |
| Fri, Jul 17
Sunrise 06:26
Sunset 20:39 | ||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| - | 5% | 23% | - | - | 89% | 0% | 5% | 66% | - | -30° | 0seconds |
| 01:00
☾
| - | 8% | 26% | - | - | 58% | 0% | 21% | 68% | - | -33° | 0seconds |
| 02:00
☾
| - | 11% | 28% | - | - | 21% | 0% | 60% | 69% | - | -34° | 0seconds |
| 03:00
☾
| - | 14% | 31% | - | - | 5% | 0% | 82% | 70% | - | -30° | 0seconds |
| 04:00
☾
| - | 11% | 29% | - | - | 2% | 2% | 80% | 71% | - | -24° | 0seconds |
| 05:00
☾
| - | 9% | 26% | - | - | 0% | 4% | 76% | 72% | - | -16° | 0seconds |
| 06:00
☾
| - | 6% | 24% | - | - | 2% | 41% | 31% | 74% | - | -5.5° | 0seconds |
| 07:00 | - | 7% | 25% | - | - | 2% | 46% | 5% | 73% | - | 5.6° | 0seconds |
| 08:00 | - | 8% | 25% | - | - | 3% | 62% | 5% | 72% | - | 17° | 0seconds |
| 09:00 | - | 9% | 26% | - | - | 66% | 64% | 75% | 72% | - | 29° | 0seconds |
| 10:00 | - | 11% | 27% | - | - | 6% | 31% | 6% | 74% | - | 42° | 3600seconds |
| 11:00 | - | 12% | 27% | - | - | 0% | 10% | 24% | 76% | - | 54° | 3600seconds |
| 12:00 | - | 14% | 28% | - | - | 0% | 2% | 71% | 78% | - | 65° | 3600seconds |
| 13:00 | - | 14% | 29% | - | - | 0% | 4% | 84% | 77% | - | 74° | 3600seconds |
| 14:00 | - | 14% | 30% | - | - | 4% | 0% | 98% | 75% | - | 75° | 3600seconds |
| 15:00 | - | 14% | 31% | - | - | 19% | 1% | 45% | 74% | - | 66° | 3600seconds |
| 16:00 | - | 12% | 29% | - | - | 1% | 49% | 13% | 79% | - | 55° | 3600seconds |
| 17:00 | - | 9% | 27% | - | - | 20% | 77% | 52% | 84% | - | 43° | 3600seconds |
| 18:00
☾
| - | 7% | 25% | - | - | 91% | 91% | 57% | 90% | - | 31° | 3600seconds |
| 19:00
☾
| - | 8% | 26% | - | - | 72% | 60% | 38% | 87% | - | 18° | 2400seconds |
| 20:00
☾
| - | 8% | 26% | - | - | 54% | 30% | 19% | 84% | - | 6.8° | 1200seconds |
| 21:00
☾
| - | 9% | 27% | - | - | 35% | 0% | 0% | 81% | - | -4.4° | 0seconds |
| 22:00
☾
| - | 8% | 26% | - | - | 24% | 0% | 1% | 80% | - | -15° | 0seconds |
| 23:00
☾
| - | 8% | 26% | - | - | 13% | 0% | 2% | 80% | - | -23° | 0seconds |
| Sat, Jul 18
Sunrise 06:27
Sunset 20:39 | ||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| - | 7% | 25% | - | - | 2% | 0% | 3% | 79% | - | -30° | 0seconds |
| 01:00
☾
| - | 8% | 26% | - | - | 2% | 0% | 2% | 78% | - | -34° | 1200seconds |
| 02:00
☾
| - | 10% | 27% | - | - | 1% | 0% | 1% | 76% | - | -34° | 2400seconds |
| 03:00
☾
| - | 11% | 28% | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | - | -30° | 3600seconds |
| 04:00
☾
| - | 11% | 27% | - | - | 0% | 8% | 0% | 76% | - | -24° | 3600seconds |
| 05:00
☾
| - | 10% | 27% | - | - | 0% | 16% | 0% | 78% | - | -16° | 3600seconds |
| 06:00
☾
| - | 10% | 26% | - | - | 0% | 24% | 0% | 80% | - | -5.6° | 3600seconds |
| 07:00 | - | 21% | 29% | - | - | 0% | 18% | 1% | 81% | - | 5.5° | 3600seconds |
| 08:00 | - | 33% | 31% | - | - | 0% | 12% | 1% | 82% | - | 17° | 3600seconds |
| 09:00 | - | 44% | 34% | - | - | 0% | 6% | 2% | 83% | - | 29° | 3600seconds |
| 10:00 | - | 45% | 32% | - | - | 0% | 11% | 25% | 84% | - | 41° | 3600seconds |
| 11:00 | - | 46% | 29% | - | - | 0% | 16% | 48% | 85% | - | 54° | 3600seconds |
| 12:00 | - | 47% | 27% | - | - | 0% | 21% | 72% | 85% | - | 65° | 3600seconds |
| 13:00 | - | 42% | 28% | - | - | 26% | 18% | 52% | 85% | - | 74° | 2400seconds |
How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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