Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Capitol Reef, US Southwest

Torrey, Utah, United States

Capitol Reef combines the Waterpocket Fold, pale domes, orchards and narrow canyons, with rock layers and cottonwoods supplying scale and contrast.

1 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)

Fiery Red Sky Potential

Low Cloud Cover100%

Mid Cloud Cover78%

High Cloud Cover90%

Aerosol Optical Depth0.1

Sun Elevation-20.6°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Denver

First upcoming window

Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise

Capitol Reef

Wed, Oct 28 · 08:00–08:23 · 1h window

Low confidence

45%

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential75.7%

Low Cloud Cover: 0%

Mid Cloud Cover: 2%

High Cloud Cover: 100%

Sun Elevation: 1.8° (Golden hour)

72-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in America/Denver.

Most common blockers

Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.

Fiery Red Sky Potential100% of hours
Golden Hour86% of hours
Precipitation Chance60% of hours

0matching hours in the displayed 72-hour forecast

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time America/Denver	Golden Hour Any	Fiery Red Sky Potential ≥ 65.0%	Precipitation Chance ≤ 15.0%	Visibility ≥ 8000.0m
Thu, Oct 22
Rule fails. 06:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 11%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 73%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 5600m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.9%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 74%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 12200m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 08:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 76%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 4100m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.6%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 68%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 12800m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.1%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 75%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 3400m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 15%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 77%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 3600m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 69%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 4300m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 14%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 67%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 2000m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 16%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 60%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 4900m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 18%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 68%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 12800m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 64%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 13200m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 20%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 54%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 12200m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 24%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 500m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 36%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 500m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 29%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 100m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 22%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 33%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 12200m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.3%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 48%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 12800m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 45%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24600m. Meets requirement
Fri, Oct 23
Rule fails. 24:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 26%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 23200m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.8%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 19%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 19800m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.9%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 9%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 26000m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.8%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 22700m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.8%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 23500m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.8%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 22300m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.8%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 22300m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.3%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24100m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 08:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 28%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24000m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 25400m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 26100m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.5%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 28600m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 33500m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 27%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 35900m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.2%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 28600m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 32%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 26100m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.3%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 25500m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.1%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 22400m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 9.9%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 19900m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 39%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 17100m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.5%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 17900m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.3%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 16700m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.2%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 17135m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.9%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 19670m. Meets requirement
Sat, Oct 24
Rule fails. 24:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 22155m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.7%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.4%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.1%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.3%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.6%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.3%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 9.4%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 08:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 24%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.7%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.9%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.5%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.7%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 43%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 43%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 43%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 43%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 43%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.1%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 43%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 22%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Sun, Oct 25
Rule fails. 24:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 22180m. Meets requirement

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (America/Denver)	Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)	Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)	Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)	Dust AOD (550nm)	Golden Hour	High Clouds	Low Clouds	Mid-Level Clouds	RH @ 700 hPa	Smoke AOD (550nm)	Solar Elevation	Sunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 22, 2026Sunrise 07:41 · Sunset 18:37
06:00 Night	0.1	0%	1%	0.001	Unavailable	90%	100%	78%	98%	0.01	-21°	0seconds
07:00 Night	0.08	0%	1%	0.001	Unavailable	32%	100%	100%	98%	0.008	-8.8°	0seconds
08:00	0.07	0%	1%	0.001	Unavailable	72%	100%	100%	98%	0.009	2.9°	0seconds
09:00	0.08	0%	1%	0.001	Unavailable	84%	100%	100%	99%	0.009	14°	0seconds
10:00	0.05	0%	1%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	81%	100%	99%	0.008	24°	0seconds
11:00	0.04	0%	1%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	100%	100%	99%	0.008	32°	0seconds
12:00	0.05	0%	1%	0.001	Unavailable	45%	100%	100%	99%	0.008	38°	0seconds
13:00	0.05	0%	2%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	100%	100%	99%	0.01	40°	0seconds
14:00	0.05	0%	2%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	98%	100%	99%	0.01	39°	0seconds
15:00	0.06	0%	3%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	56%	100%	99%	0.01	34°	0seconds
16:00	0.06	0%	5%	0.001	Unavailable	98%	80%	100%	98%	0.01	27°	0seconds
17:00	0.06	0%	7%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	100%	85%	97%	0.01	17°	0seconds
18:00	0.06	0%	9%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	100%	23%	96%	0.01	6.4°	0seconds
19:00 Night	0.05	10%	16%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	80%	2%	94%	0.01	-5°	0seconds
20:00 Night	0.05	20%	22%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	100%	91%	92%	0.01	-17°	0seconds
21:00 Night	0.05	30%	29%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	100%	100%	90%	0.01	-29°	0seconds
22:00 Night	0.05	37%	27%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	100%	100%	88%	0.01	-40°	0seconds
23:00 Night	0.04	43%	26%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	87%	0.009	-50°	0seconds
Fri, Oct 23, 2026Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 18:36
24:00 Night	0.04	50%	24%	0.003	Unavailable	0%	0%	65%	85%	0.007	-59°	0seconds
01:00 Night	0.03	65%	19%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	0%	100%	81%	0.006	-63°	0seconds
02:00 Night	0.03	81%	15%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	76%	0.006	-61°	0seconds
03:00 Night	0.03	96%	10%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	72%	0.007	-54°	0seconds
04:00 Night	0.04	97%	9%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	75%	0.01	-44°	0seconds
05:00 Night	0.04	98%	7%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	78%	0.02	-32°	0seconds
06:00 Night	0.04	99%	6%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	81%	0.02	-21°	0seconds
07:00 Night	0.04	99%	5%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	75%	0.01	-9°	0seconds
08:00	0.04	100%	5%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	70%	0.01	2.7°	0seconds
09:00	0.04	100%	4%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	65%	0.01	13°	3600seconds
10:00	0.04	99%	6%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	64%	0.01	23°	3600seconds
11:00	0.04	97%	8%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	63%	0.01	32°	3600seconds
12:00	0.04	96%	10%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	7%	1%	61%	0.01	38°	3600seconds
13:00	0.04	83%	18%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	100%	40%	57%	0.01	40°	0seconds
14:00	0.05	69%	25%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	58%	100%	53%	0.02	39°	2898seconds
15:00	0.05	56%	33%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	18%	39%	49%	0.02	34°	3600seconds
16:00	0.06	46%	31%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	37%	100%	49%	0.02	26°	0seconds
17:00	0.06	37%	30%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	65%	100%	49%	0.02	17°	0seconds
18:00	0.06	27%	28%	0.002	Unavailable	0%	15%	71%	49%	0.03	6.2°	3600seconds
19:00 Night	Unavailable	31%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	2%	23%	53%	Unavailable	-5.2°	0seconds
20:00 Night	Unavailable	35%	27%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	100%	0%	57%	Unavailable	-17°	0seconds
21:00 Night	Unavailable	39%	27%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	67%	6%	61%	Unavailable	-29°	0seconds
22:00 Night	Unavailable	47%	24%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	13%	19%	62%	Unavailable	-40°	0seconds
23:00 Night	Unavailable	56%	22%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	14%	16%	63%	Unavailable	-51°	0seconds
Sat, Oct 24, 2026Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 18:35
24:00 Night	Unavailable	64%	19%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	10%	6%	64%	Unavailable	-59°	0seconds
01:00 Night	Unavailable	74%	18%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	64%	Unavailable	-63°	0seconds
02:00 Night	Unavailable	84%	16%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	0%	64%	Unavailable	-61°	0seconds
03:00 Night	Unavailable	94%	15%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	10%	5%	65%	Unavailable	-54°	0seconds
04:00 Night	Unavailable	93%	15%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	66%	Unavailable	-44°	0seconds
05:00 Night	Unavailable	92%	16%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	67%	Unavailable	-33°	0seconds
06:00 Night	Unavailable	91%	16%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	5%	69%	Unavailable	-21°	0seconds
07:00 Night	Unavailable	87%	18%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	68%	Unavailable	-9.2°	0seconds
08:00	Unavailable	83%	21%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	5%	67%	Unavailable	2.5°	0seconds
09:00	Unavailable	79%	23%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	5%	66%	Unavailable	13°	3600seconds
10:00	Unavailable	79%	22%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	5%	65%	Unavailable	23°	3600seconds
11:00	Unavailable	80%	22%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	64%	Unavailable	31°	3600seconds
12:00	Unavailable	80%	21%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	62%	Unavailable	37°	3600seconds
13:00	Unavailable	69%	26%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	61%	Unavailable	40°	3600seconds
14:00	Unavailable	57%	30%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	5%	61%	Unavailable	38°	3600seconds
15:00	Unavailable	46%	35%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	60%	Unavailable	34°	3600seconds
16:00	Unavailable	40%	33%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	61%	Unavailable	26°	3600seconds
17:00	Unavailable	35%	30%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	63%	Unavailable	16°	3600seconds
18:00	Unavailable	29%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	0%	65%	Unavailable	5.9°	3600seconds
19:00 Night	Unavailable	36%	29%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	5%	64%	Unavailable	-5.5°	1228seconds
20:00 Night	Unavailable	44%	31%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	5%	63%	Unavailable	-17°	0seconds
21:00 Night	Unavailable	51%	32%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	0%	62%	Unavailable	-29°	0seconds
22:00 Night	Unavailable	51%	30%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	0%	64%	Unavailable	-40°	0seconds
23:00 Night	Unavailable	50%	29%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	0%	66%	Unavailable	-51°	0seconds
Sun, Oct 25, 2026Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 18:33
24:00 Night	Unavailable	50%	27%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	69%	Unavailable	-60°	0seconds
01:00 Night	Unavailable	49%	32%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	73%	Unavailable	-64°	0seconds
02:00 Night	Unavailable	47%	38%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	77%	Unavailable	-62°	0seconds
03:00 Night	Unavailable	46%	43%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	81%	Unavailable	-54°	0seconds
04:00 Night	Unavailable	45%	43%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	85%	Unavailable	-44°	0seconds
05:00 Night	Unavailable	43%	42%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	5%	5%	89%	Unavailable	-33°	0seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across US Southwest. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Capitol Reef.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across US Southwest →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Capitol Reef during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 72% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 27 of 55 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

August, with 14 of 55 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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