Rule
Fire Sky
Fire Sky Forecast for Arches, US Southwest
Moab, Utah, United States
Arches pairs freestanding sandstone arches with fins, balanced rocks and distant La Sal peaks, ideal for framed desert views and night-sky silhouettes.
2 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.
Hourly forecast scores
Forecast valid from Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)Low Cloud Cover8%
Mid Cloud Cover100%
High Cloud Cover100%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.2
Sun Elevation-19.1°
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
Times shown in America/Denver
First upcoming window
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Arches
Tue, Oct 27 · 18:00–18:40 · 1h window
Low confidence
48%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential83.2%
Low Cloud Cover: 0%
Mid Cloud Cover: 0%
High Cloud Cover: 63%
Sun Elevation: 3.8° (Golden hour)
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Arches
Wed, Oct 28 · 08:00–08:17
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:73.2%
Low
72-hour requirements breakdown
When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in America/Denver.
Most common blockers
Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.
- Fiery Red Sky Potential100% of hours
- Golden Hour83% of hours
- Precipitation Chance63% of hours
0matching hours in the displayed 72-hour forecast
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time America/Denver | Golden Hour Any | Fiery Red Sky Potential ≥ 65.0% | Precipitation Chance ≤ 15.0% | Visibility ≥ 8000.0m |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 22 | ||||
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 72%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4900m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 60%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 6800m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.6%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 57%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 13000m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 11%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 51%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 12900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 20%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 46%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 16700m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 20%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 65%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 2000m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 68%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 8200m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 29%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 64%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 2300m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 10%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 67%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 3600m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 9.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 66%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4900m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 19%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 64%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 5100m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 19%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 55%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 17800m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 39%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 16100m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.3%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 37%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 2800m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.6%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 14800m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.9%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 32%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 3600m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 25%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 12900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 31%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 14%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 15900m. Meets requirement |
| Fri, Oct 23 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 31%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 10%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 16100m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 22%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 15500m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 33%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4700m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.9%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 55%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 3900m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.9%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 32%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 17200m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 18%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 17800m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 18200m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 27%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 5%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 17400m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 27%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 18800m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.3%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 20000m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 19500m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.4%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 20600m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 9%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 23000m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.1%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 23700m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 11%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 25300m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 28%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 27600m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 22%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 27200m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 23%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 11%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 22100m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 21%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 25900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.6%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24600m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 21635m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 21370m. Meets requirement |
| Sat, Oct 24 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 22505m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.4%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.4%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 20%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 19%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.3%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 27%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 24%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 27%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 16900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 15%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 32%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 20340m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 13340m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 11660m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 9040m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 3.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 30%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 30%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 30%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 30%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 30%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Sun, Oct 25 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 30%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 44%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 44%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 23180m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 44%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 12540m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 44%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 11340m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 44%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 12520m. Meets requirement |
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).
Supporting forecast inputs
Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.
| Forecast time (America/Denver) | Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm) | Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble) | Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble) | Dust AOD (550nm) | Golden Hour | High Clouds | Low Clouds | Mid-Level Clouds | RH @ 700 hPa | Smoke AOD (550nm) | Solar Elevation | Sunshine Duration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 22, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| Night | 0.2 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 8% | 100% | 83% | 0.02 | -19° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.16 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 100% | 100% | 85% | 0.01 | -7.4° | 0seconds |
| 0.13 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 0.01 | 4.2° | 0seconds | |
| 0.12 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 11% | 100% | 90% | 0.01 | 15° | 0seconds | |
| 0.1 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 91% | 0% | 100% | 90% | 0.01 | 25° | 0seconds | |
| 0.1 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 78% | 100% | 90% | 0.01 | 33° | 0seconds | |
| 0.09 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 100% | 100% | 90% | 0.01 | 38° | 0seconds | |
| 0.09 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 90% | 100% | 92% | 0.01 | 40° | 0seconds | |
| 0.09 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 34% | 100% | 94% | 0.01 | 38° | 0seconds | |
| 0.11 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 96% | 11% | 100% | 96% | 0.01 | 33° | 0seconds | |
| 0.1 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 83% | 3% | 100% | 91% | 0.01 | 25° | 0seconds | |
| 0.09 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 0% | 100% | 86% | 0.01 | 16° | 0seconds | |
| 0.08 | 0% | 0% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 100% | 100% | 81% | 0.01 | 5° | 0seconds | |
| Night | 0.09 | 1% | 6% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 70% | 97% | 99% | 81% | 0.01 | -6.5° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.09 | 3% | 13% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 0.01 | -18° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.08 | 4% | 19% | 0.001 | Unavailable | 100% | 72% | 100% | 79% | 0.01 | -30° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.07 | 4% | 19% | 0.002 | Unavailable | 100% | 95% | 88% | 75% | 0.01 | -41° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.07 | 4% | 20% | 0.002 | Unavailable | 69% | 0% | 0% | 71% | 0.01 | -52° | 0seconds |
| Fri, Oct 23, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| Night | 0.06 | 4% | 20% | 0.003 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 68% | 0.01 | -59° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.07 | 26% | 20% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 69% | 0.01 | -63° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.06 | 49% | 21% | 0.006 | Unavailable | 0% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 0.01 | -60° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.05 | 71% | 21% | 0.007 | Unavailable | 0% | 100% | 100% | 72% | 0.01 | -52° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.04 | 79% | 17% | 0.006 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 69% | 0.008 | -42° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.04 | 86% | 14% | 0.004 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 93% | 66% | 0.007 | -31° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.04 | 94% | 10% | 0.004 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 62% | 0.007 | -19° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.04 | 96% | 7% | 0.004 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63% | 0.007 | -7.6° | 0seconds |
| 0.04 | 98% | 3% | 0.004 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 64% | 0.008 | 4° | 0seconds | |
| 0.04 | 100% | 0% | 0.004 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 65% | 0.008 | 15° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 100% | 1% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 70% | 0.008 | 24° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 100% | 1% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 0.008 | 32° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 100% | 2% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 79% | 0.007 | 38° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 95% | 10% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 76% | 0.007 | 40° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 90% | 17% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 1% | 0% | 72% | 0.007 | 38° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 85% | 25% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 69% | 0.007 | 33° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 84% | 25% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 68% | 0.007 | 25° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 82% | 26% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 68% | 0.007 | 15° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.04 | 81% | 26% | 0.005 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0.007 | 4.7° | 3600seconds | |
| Night | Unavailable | 86% | 21% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 6% | 0% | 64% | Unavailable | -6.7° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 90% | 16% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 18% | 0% | 61% | Unavailable | -18° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 95% | 11% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 22% | 0% | 58% | Unavailable | -30° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 96% | 10% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 6% | 0% | 55% | Unavailable | -41° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 98% | 8% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 52% | Unavailable | -52° | 0seconds |
| Sat, Oct 24, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| Night | Unavailable | 99% | 7% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | Unavailable | -60° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 96% | 10% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 49% | Unavailable | -63° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 93% | 12% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 5% | 48% | Unavailable | -60° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 90% | 15% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 5% | 47% | Unavailable | -53° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 88% | 17% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 5% | 50% | Unavailable | -42° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 86% | 19% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 5% | 52% | Unavailable | -31° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 84% | 21% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 10% | 55% | Unavailable | -19° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 73% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 10% | 59% | Unavailable | -7.8° | 0seconds |
| Unavailable | 63% | 34% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 62% | Unavailable | 3.8° | 46seconds | |
| Unavailable | 52% | 40% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 5% | 66% | Unavailable | 14° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 47% | 39% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 100% | 69% | Unavailable | 24° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 43% | 38% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 100% | 71% | Unavailable | 32° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 38% | 37% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 100% | 74% | Unavailable | 37° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 41% | 37% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5% | 0% | 100% | 73% | Unavailable | 39° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 45% | 37% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 5% | 73% | Unavailable | 38° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 48% | 37% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 10% | 73% | Unavailable | 32° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 43% | 34% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 64% | 0% | 98% | 73% | Unavailable | 25° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 39% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5% | 0% | 41% | 73% | Unavailable | 15° | 3600seconds | |
| Unavailable | 34% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 5% | 74% | Unavailable | 4.5° | 3600seconds | |
| Night | Unavailable | 35% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 71% | Unavailable | -7° | 532seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 36% | 35% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 69% | Unavailable | -19° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 37% | 38% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 66% | Unavailable | -30° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 34% | 35% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 69% | Unavailable | -42° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 30% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 72% | Unavailable | -52° | 0seconds |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| Night | Unavailable | 27% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | Unavailable | -60° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 26% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 100% | 0% | 5% | 82% | Unavailable | -64° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 26% | 34% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 100% | 0% | 45% | 90% | Unavailable | -61° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 25% | 37% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 100% | 0% | 100% | 97% | Unavailable | -53° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 24% | 36% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 100% | 0% | 100% | 97% | Unavailable | -43° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 23% | 34% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 100% | 5% | 100% | 96% | Unavailable | -31° | 0seconds |
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across US Southwest. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Arches.
Explore Fire Sky conditions across US Southwest →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Arches during the last 365 days.
Last 30 days
7
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Last 90 days
25
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Last 365 days
56
recorded matching windows · 72% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour
06:00 local time, shared by 31 of 56 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
Create your own Fire Sky alerts
Get notified when these conditions match at your own locations.
How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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