Rule
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser Forecast for Kansas Flint Hills, US Great Plains
Wichita, Kansas, United States
The Kansas Flint Hills preserve one of North America’s largest remaining expanses of tallgrass prairie because shallow, chert-rich soils over limestone discouraged widespread ploughing, leaving rolling ridgelines largely open. Around Tallgrass Prairie National Preserve and Konza Prairie, limestone benches, lone trees, ranch fences, and black-to-green prescribed-burn patterns provide visible scale beneath spring supercells and broad summer anvils.
3 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.
Hourly forecast scores
Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)CAPE2790
Lifted Index-7.7°C
Wind Gusts1.4m/s
Precipitation0.0mm
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
Times shown in America/Chicago
First upcoming window
Weak Storm at Sunset
Kansas Flint Hills
Wed, Oct 7 · 18:00–20:00 · 2h window
Low confidence
37%
⛈️Storm Intensity41-46%
CAPE: 2790
Lifted Index: -7.7°C
Wind Gusts: 1.4m/s
Precipitation: 0.0mm
Weak Storm
Kansas Flint Hills
Wed, Oct 14 · 13:00–15:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:40-46%
Low
Weak Storm
Kansas Flint Hills
Thu, Oct 15 · 01:00–02:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:41%
Low
72-hour requirements breakdown
When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in America/Chicago.
Most common blockers
Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.
- Storm Intensity97% of hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time America/Chicago | Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0% |
|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7 | |
| Rule passes. 18:00 | Storm Intensity: 46%. Meets requirement |
| Rule passes. 19:00 | Storm Intensity: 41%. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Storm Intensity: 32%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Storm Intensity: 25%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Storm Intensity: 26%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Storm Intensity: 16%. Misses requirement |
| Thu, Oct 8 | |
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Storm Intensity: 30%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Storm Intensity: 35%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Storm Intensity: 30%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Storm Intensity: 28%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Storm Intensity: 25%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Storm Intensity: 34%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Storm Intensity: 26%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Storm Intensity: 18%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Storm Intensity: 18%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Fri, Oct 9 | |
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Storm Intensity: 21%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Storm Intensity: 20%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Sat, Oct 10 | |
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Storm Intensity: 13%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Storm Intensity: 24%. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement |
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).
Supporting forecast inputs
Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.
| Forecast time (America/Chicago) | Air Pressure | CAPE | Convective Precip Fraction | Lifted Index | Precipitation Chance | Rainfall | Showers | Simulated Reflectivity | Total Precipitation | Visibility | Wind Gusts | Wind Shear 0-3 km | Wind Shear 0-6 km | Wind Speed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||||
| 967hPa | 2790J/kg | 0fraction | -7.7°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 34800m | 1.4m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.2m/s | |
| 967hPa | 1850J/kg | 0fraction | -5.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 40300m | 1.2m/s | 3.4m/s | 6.3m/s | 1.2m/s | |
| Night | 967hPa | 1210J/kg | 0fraction | -3.6°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 41500m | 1.2m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.2m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 960J/kg | 0fraction | -2.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 39200m | 1.2m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.1m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 700J/kg | 0fraction | -2.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 36400m | 1.6m/s | 4.4m/s | 7.1m/s | 1.6m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 430J/kg | 0fraction | -0.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 33700m | 1.7m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.5m/s |
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||||
| Night | 968hPa | 410J/kg | 0fraction | 0°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 34100m | 1.7m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.3m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 180J/kg | 0fraction | 0.7°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 30600m | 2.3m/s | 5.1m/s | 9.2m/s | 1.1m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 40J/kg | 0fraction | 1.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 29100m | 1.5m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.5m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 40J/kg | 0fraction | 1.7°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 29700m | 1.9m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.8m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 1.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 29400m | 1.7m/s | 2.9m/s | 7.4m/s | 1.8m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 26100m | 2.6m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.6m/s |
| Night | 969hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 2.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 18400m | 3.2m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.3m/s |
| Night | 969hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 2.7°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 17700m | 3.2m/s | 3m/s | 6.4m/s | 2.1m/s |
| 969hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 3.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 17700m | 3.4m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.1m/s | |
| 970hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 1.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 17400m | 3.5m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.2m/s | |
| 971hPa | 270J/kg | 0fraction | -1.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 20200m | 3.7m/s | 5.4m/s | 6m/s | 1.7m/s | |
| 971hPa | 750J/kg | 0fraction | -2.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 23500m | 3.4m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.4m/s | |
| 971hPa | 1110J/kg | 0fraction | -3.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 29300m | 3.8m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1.7m/s | |
| 971hPa | 1420J/kg | 0fraction | -4.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 35900m | 5.7m/s | 3.2m/s | 4.4m/s | 1.9m/s | |
| 970hPa | 1040J/kg | 0fraction | -3.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 48200m | 5m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.8m/s | |
| 970hPa | 840J/kg | 0fraction | -3.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 53800m | 4.5m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.7m/s | |
| 970hPa | 800J/kg | 0fraction | -3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 56200m | 4.5m/s | 3.3m/s | 6.1m/s | 3.2m/s | |
| 969hPa | 800J/kg | 0fraction | -3.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 55300m | 4.9m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 3m/s | |
| 969hPa | 1030J/kg | 0fraction | -3.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 47300m | 5.9m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.3m/s | |
| 968hPa | 650J/kg | 0fraction | -2.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 43100m | 5.5m/s | 4.3m/s | 7.8m/s | 2.6m/s | |
| Night | 968hPa | 370J/kg | 0fraction | -1.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 34200m | 5.9m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.8m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 70J/kg | 0fraction | -0.6°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 30000m | 7.3m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.6m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 1.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 30200m | 7.9m/s | 4.6m/s | 8.9m/s | 2.8m/s |
| Night | 969hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 2.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 30100m | 8.8m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 3m/s |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||||
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 3.5°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 29200m | 8.9m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.8m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 27700m | 8.8m/s | 4.8m/s | 10m/s | 2.6m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.5°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 26000m | 8.4m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.5m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24300m | 8.1m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.4m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 5.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24300m | 7.1m/s | 4.8m/s | 9.4m/s | 2.3m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 5.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 21200m | 7.1m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.3m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 5.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 19300m | 6.6m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.3m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 6.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 16800m | 6m/s | 4.6m/s | 7.6m/s | 2.3m/s |
| 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 6.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 15400m | 5.6m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.1m/s | |
| 969hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 16500m | 5.7m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2.1m/s | |
| 970hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 0.5°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 21400m | 9.4m/s | 1.7m/s | 5.3m/s | 3.2m/s | |
| 970hPa | 218J/kg | 0fraction | -1.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 27560m | 10m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 3.9m/s | |
| 970hPa | 320J/kg | 0fraction | -2.6°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 29120m | 9.5m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 4.9m/s | |
| 969hPa | 78J/kg | 0fraction | -1.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 29555m | 8.8m/s | 0.15m/s | 3.8m/s | 5.6m/s | |
| 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 1.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 8.5m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5.6m/s | |
| 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 0.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 8.8m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 6m/s | |
| 967hPa | 10J/kg | 0fraction | 0.5°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9m/s | 1.2m/s | 5.9m/s | 6.1m/s | |
| 967hPa | 70J/kg | 0fraction | -0.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 6.1m/s | |
| 967hPa | 90J/kg | 0fraction | -0.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9.4m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5.2m/s | |
| 967hPa | 30J/kg | 0fraction | 0.7°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 10m/s | 3.6m/s | 8.1m/s | 4.8m/s | |
| Night | 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 1.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 12m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 4.9m/s |
| Night | 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 1.7°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 13m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5.2m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 2.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 13m/s | 5.7m/s | 11m/s | 5.4m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 3.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 14m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5.2m/s |
| Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||||
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 3.5°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 14m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5.1m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 3.5°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 14m/s | 4.8m/s | 9.6m/s | 4.9m/s |
| Night | 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 3.7°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 14m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 4.7m/s |
| Night | 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 14m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 4.6m/s |
| Night | 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 14m/s | 4.3m/s | 8.2m/s | 4.3m/s |
| Night | 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 13m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 4.1m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 12m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 3.9m/s |
| Night | 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 12m/s | 2.4m/s | 4.9m/s | 3.8m/s |
| 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 4.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 12m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 3.9m/s | |
| 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 3.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 12m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 4.5m/s | |
| 968hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 2.5°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 12m/s | 3.8m/s | 3.2m/s | 5.1m/s | |
| 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 1.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 11m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5.5m/s | |
| 967hPa | 0J/kg | 0fraction | 0.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9.9m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 5.9m/s | |
| 966hPa | 40J/kg | 0fraction | -0.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9.5m/s | 3.1m/s | 4.8m/s | 6.1m/s | |
| 965hPa | 80J/kg | 0fraction | -1.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9.4m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 6.3m/s | |
| 965hPa | 70J/kg | 0fraction | -0.8°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9.2m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 6.2m/s | |
| 964hPa | 30J/kg | 0fraction | -0.6°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9.2m/s | 5.1m/s | 11m/s | 6.2m/s | |
| 964hPa | 20J/kg | 0fraction | -0.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24140m | 9.1m/s | Unavailable | Unavailable | 6.1m/s | |
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across US Great Plains. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Kansas Flint Hills.
Explore Storm Chaser conditions across US Great Plains →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Kansas Flint Hills during the last 365 days.
Last 30 days
55
recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence
Last 90 days
123
recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence
Last 365 days
134
recorded matching windows · 54% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour
19:00 local time, shared by 23 of 133 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
Most represented month
September, with 50 of 133 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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