Rule
Mirror Lake
Mirror Lake Forecast for Coniston Water, Lake District
Coniston, England, United Kingdom
Coniston Water combines long lake views, wooded headlands and the Old Man of Coniston, with boats and stone shorelines adding scale to reflections.
5 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
Times shown in Europe/London
First upcoming window
Glassy Mirror Reflections (glassy)
Coniston Water
Sun, Sep 20 · 21:00–22:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
63%
💨Wind Speed0.4m/s
Perfect Mirror Reflections
Coniston Water
Tue, Sep 22 · 02:00–03:00
💨Wind Speed:0.8m/s
Low
Perfect Mirror Reflections
Coniston Water
Thu, Sep 24 · 01:00–06:00
💨Wind Speed:0.7-0.9m/s
Low
Glassy Mirror Reflections (glassy) at Sunrise
Coniston Water
Thu, Sep 24 · 06:00–08:00
💨Wind Speed:0.3-0.4m/s
Low
Perfect Mirror Reflections
Coniston Water
Thu, Sep 24 · 08:00–09:00
💨Wind Speed:0.6m/s
Low
72-hour requirements breakdown
When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Europe/London.
Most common blockers
Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.
- Wind Gusts97% of hours
- Wind Speed86% of hours
- Precipitation Chance43% of hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time Europe/London | Wind Speed ≤ 1.0m/s | Wind Gusts ≤ 2.0m/s | Precipitation Chance ≤ 10.0% | Visibility ≥ 5000.0m |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 20 | ||||
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Wind Speed: 4.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 11m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 37400m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Wind Speed: 4.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 9.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 38440m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Wind Speed: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 9.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 21%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 40800m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Wind Speed: 5.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 12m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 45860m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Wind Speed: 5.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 13m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 35%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 49020m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Wind Speed: 4.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 11m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 28%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 50580m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Wind Speed: 4.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 9.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 16%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 51600m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Wind Speed: 4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 9.2m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 54800m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Wind Speed: 4.2m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 9.6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 55720m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Wind Speed: 4.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 10m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 57220m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Wind Speed: 4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 9m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 55760m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Wind Speed: 3.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 8.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 57240m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Wind Speed: 2.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 57200m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Wind Speed: 1.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4.1m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 49100m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Wind Speed: 1.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.5m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 43380m. Meets requirement |
| Rule passes. 21:00 | Wind Speed: 0.4m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 1.9m/s. Meets requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 37920m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Wind Speed: 1.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.1m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 42140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Wind Speed: 0.6m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 42700m. Meets requirement |
| Mon, Sep 21 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Wind Speed: 1.4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.9m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 41720m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Wind Speed: 2.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.9m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 43140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Wind Speed: 2.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 42980m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Wind Speed: 2.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.9m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 41880m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Wind Speed: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39200m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Wind Speed: 2.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 37520m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Wind Speed: 2.4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 34260m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Wind Speed: 2.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 31920m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Wind Speed: 2.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 23%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 32700m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Wind Speed: 3.2m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 7.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 36%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 33440m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Wind Speed: 4.4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 9.6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 47%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 16120m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Wind Speed: 4.7m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 10m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 55%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 8240m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Wind Speed: 3.9m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 8.6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 60%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 9980m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Wind Speed: 3.8m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 8.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 59%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 10000m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Wind Speed: 2.4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 46%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 2820m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Wind Speed: 1.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 2740m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Wind Speed: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 2220m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Wind Speed: 1.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 5%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 3820m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Wind Speed: 0.9m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 2440m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Wind Speed: 0.4m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 2460m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Wind Speed: 0.3m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4040m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Wind Speed: 0.3m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4480m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Wind Speed: 0.6m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.5m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 7120m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Wind Speed: 0.8m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 11780m. Meets requirement |
| Tue, Sep 22 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Wind Speed: 1.2m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.7m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 11100m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Wind Speed: 0.6m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 12080m. Meets requirement |
| Rule passes. 02:00 | Wind Speed: 0.75m/s. Meets requirement | Wind Gusts: 1.9m/s. Meets requirement | Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 5665m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Wind Speed: 1.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 2170m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Wind Speed: 1.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 3315m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Wind Speed: 1.2m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 2.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4580m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Wind Speed: 1.6m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4760m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Wind Speed: 1.9m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.5m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4960m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Wind Speed: 2.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4.1m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4340m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Wind Speed: 2.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4160m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Wind Speed: 2.8m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4000m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Wind Speed: 3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.9m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 22%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4120m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Wind Speed: 3.2m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.2m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4220m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Wind Speed: 3.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 41%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4340m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Wind Speed: 3.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 41%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4600m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Wind Speed: 3.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.2m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 36%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4880m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Wind Speed: 3.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 29%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 5140m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Wind Speed: 2.7m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.1m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 20%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 5220m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Wind Speed: 2.2m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 9%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 5280m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Wind Speed: 1.9m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 5360m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Wind Speed: 1.9m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 3.7m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4940m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Wind Speed: 2.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4540m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Wind Speed: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 4120m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Wind Speed: 2.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 4.7m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 16%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4220m. Misses requirement |
| Wed, Sep 23 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Wind Speed: 2.8m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.2m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 26%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4300m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Wind Speed: 3.1m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 5.8m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 37%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4400m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Wind Speed: 3.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 6.7m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 51%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4140m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Wind Speed: 4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 7.7m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 66%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 3860m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Wind Speed: 4.4m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 8.4m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 78%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 3600m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Wind Speed: 4.5m/s. Misses requirement | Wind Gusts: 8.6m/s. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 83%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 4940m. Misses requirement |
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).
Supporting forecast inputs
Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.
Supporting inputs are unavailable for the displayed forecast period.
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Mirror Lake conditions across Lake District. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Coniston Water.
Explore Mirror Lake conditions across Lake District →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Coniston Water during the last 365 days.
Last 30 days
10
recorded matching windows · 66% average confidence
Last 90 days
82
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Last 365 days
166
recorded matching windows · 68% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour
04:00 local time, shared by 19 of 166 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
Most represented month
July, with 33 of 166 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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