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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Volterra, Tuscany

Volterra, Tuscany, Italy

Volterra's Etruscan walls and medieval towers crown an exposed ridge, opening across eroded clay hills and the patchwork Cecina Valley.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature24.3°C
Dew Point19.5°C (high dew point)
Wind Speed1.6m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover5%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Rome

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours
  • Wind Speed83% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Volterra.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Volterra during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
46
recorded matching windows · 64% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

07:00 local time, shared by 15 of 46 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 34 of 46 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Rome
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Mon, Aug 17
09:000%2m/s
10:000%4.6m/s
11:000%5.1m/s
12:000%5.3m/s
13:000%4.9m/s
14:000%4.3m/s
15:000%3m/s
16:000%4.7m/s
17:000%5.8m/s
18:000%5.5m/s
19:000%4.8m/s
20:000%3.5m/s
21:000%2m/s
22:000%1.9m/s
23:000%1.8m/s
Tue, Aug 18
24:000%0.64m/s
01:000%0.92m/s
02:000%1m/s
03:000%1.1m/s
04:000%1.2m/s
05:000%1.1m/s
06:000%1.3m/s
07:000%1.5m/s
08:000%1.4m/s
09:000%1.6m/s
10:000%2.2m/s
11:000%2.6m/s
12:000%3m/s
13:000%2.7m/s
14:000%2.5m/s
15:000%3m/s
16:000%4.2m/s
17:000%5.8m/s
18:000%5.5m/s
19:000%4.1m/s
20:000%2.7m/s
21:000%1.9m/s
22:000%1.8m/s
23:000%1.8m/s
Wed, Aug 19
24:000%1.4m/s
01:000%1.8m/s
02:000%1.5m/s
03:000%1.2m/s
04:000%1.3m/s
05:000%1.2m/s
06:000%1.3m/s
07:000%1.2m/s
08:000%0.81m/s
09:000%0.37m/s
10:000%0.69m/s
11:000%1.4m/s
12:000%2.8m/s
13:000%3.5m/s
14:000%5.2m/s
15:000%6.1m/s
16:000%5.6m/s
17:000%6.2m/s
18:000%5.8m/s
19:000%5.4m/s
20:000%3.8m/s
21:000%2.2m/s
22:000%1.8m/s
23:000%2m/s
Thu, Aug 20
24:000%2.3m/s
01:000%2.3m/s
02:000%2.1m/s
03:000%2.3m/s
04:000%2.3m/s
05:000%2.2m/s
06:000%2.1m/s
07:000%2.4m/s
08:000%2.3m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%2.4m/s
11:000%1.8m/s
12:000%1.7m/s
13:000%2.7m/s
14:000%4.8m/s
15:000%4m/s
16:000%3.2m/s
17:000%2.5m/s
18:000%2.5m/s
19:000%2.5m/s
20:000%2.5m/s
21:000%2.4m/s
22:000%2.2m/s
23:000%2.1m/s
Fri, Aug 21
24:000%2m/s
01:000%1.8m/s
02:000%1.7m/s
03:000%2m/s
04:000%2.4m/s
05:000%2.8m/s
06:000%3.3m/s
07:000%3.7m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Rome
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Tue, Aug 18 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 20:15
10:00
20°C 24°C 26°C - 5% 1.1kPa
11:00
18°C 25°C 29°C - 5% 1.9kPa
12:00
17°C 25°C 32°C - 5% 2.9kPa
13:00
15°C 26°C 33°C - 51% 3.4kPa
14:00
14°C 27°C 34°C - 79% 3.7kPa
15:00
14°C 28°C 35°C - 13% 3.9kPa
16:00
16°C 28°C 34°C - 99% 3.5kPa
17:00
16°C 28°C 33°C - 26% 3kPa
18:00
16°C 29°C 31°C - 33% 2.8kPa
19:00
17°C 29°C 29°C - 87% 2.2kPa
20:00
18°C 29°C 26°C - 10% 1.2kPa
21:00
19°C 28°C 23°C - 7% 0.64kPa
22:00
20°C 28°C 22°C - 57% 0.46kPa
23:00
20°C 27°C 22°C - 100% 0.36kPa
Wed, Aug 19 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 20:15
24:00
20°C 27°C 22°C - 100% 0.31kPa
01:00
20°C 27°C 22°C - 75% 0.29kPa
02:00
19°C 27°C 21°C - 5% 0.27kPa
03:00
19°C 26°C 21°C - 47% 0.26kPa
04:00
19°C 26°C 21°C - 100% 0.28kPa
05:00
19°C 26°C 21°C - 100% 0.33kPa
06:00
18°C 25°C 21°C - 100% 0.38kPa
07:00
18°C 25°C 21°C - 100% 0.51kPa
08:00
18°C 25°C 24°C - 98% 0.94kPa
09:00
17°C 25°C 26°C - 91% 1.4kPa
10:00
18°C 25°C 29°C - 100% 1.9kPa
11:00
17°C 26°C 31°C - 100% 2.5kPa
12:00
16°C 27°C 32°C - 100% 3kPa
13:00
15°C 27°C 34°C - 100% 3.5kPa
14:00
16°C 28°C 34°C - 100% 3.4kPa
15:00
17°C 28°C 33°C - 97% 3.1kPa
16:00
17°C 28°C 33°C - 11% 3.1kPa
17:00
17°C 29°C 33°C - 12% 3.1kPa
18:00
17°C 29°C 31°C - 65% 2.5kPa
19:00
20°C 29°C 29°C - 58% 1.7kPa
20:00
22°C 29°C 26°C - 89% 0.68kPa
21:00
22°C 28°C 24°C - 100% 0.29kPa
22:00
22°C 28°C 23°C - 100% 0.18kPa
23:00
22°C 28°C 23°C - 86% 0.14kPa
Thu, Aug 20 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 20:13
24:00
22°C 28°C 22°C - 54% 0.12kPa
01:00
22°C 27°C 22°C - 53% 0.11kPa
02:00
22°C 27°C 22°C - 1% 0.1kPa
03:00
22°C 27°C 22°C - 0% 0.11kPa
04:00
21°C 26°C 22°C - 0% 0.13kPa
05:00
21°C 26°C 22°C - 0% 0.14kPa
06:00
21°C 26°C 22°C - 9% 0.15kPa
07:00
21°C 26°C 22°C - 13% 0.25kPa
08:00
21°C 26°C 25°C - 15% 0.7kPa
09:00
21°C 26°C 27°C - 25% 1.1kPa
10:00
19°C 26°C 29°C - 57% 1.8kPa
11:00
18°C 26°C 31°C - 10% 2.5kPa
12:00
17°C 27°C 33°C - 21% 3.2kPa
13:00
16°C 28°C 35°C - 62% 3.7kPa
14:00
18°C 28°C 35°C - 93% 3.5kPa
15:00
19°C 29°C 33°C - 100% 3kPa
16:00
19°C 29°C 31°C - 99% 2.3kPa
17:00
20°C 29°C 30°C - 96% 2kPa
18:00
20°C 29°C 29°C - 96% 1.6kPa
19:00
20°C 29°C 28°C - 100% 1.5kPa
20:00
20°C 29°C 27°C - 100% 1.2kPa
21:00
20°C 28°C 25°C - 97% 0.77kPa
22:00
21°C 27°C 23°C - 95% 0.41kPa
23:00
21°C 26°C 22°C - 92% 0.12kPa
Fri, Aug 21 Sunrise 06:27 Sunset 20:11
24:00
21°C 26°C 22°C - 86% 0.17kPa
01:00
21°C 26°C 23°C - 80% 0.22kPa
02:00
22°C 25°C 23°C - 74% 0.28kPa
03:00
21°C 25°C 23°C - 83% 0.29kPa
04:00
21°C 25°C 23°C - 91% 0.3kPa
05:00
20°C 25°C 22°C - 100% 0.32kPa
06:00
20°C 25°C 23°C - 80% 0.49kPa
07:00
20°C 25°C 25°C - 59% 0.69kPa
08:00
20°C 25°C 26°C - 39% 0.92kPa
09:00
20°C 26°C 26°C - 32% 0.95kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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