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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for San Gimignano, Tuscany

San Gimignano, Tuscany, Italy

San Gimignano's medieval towers create a distinctive skyline above vineyards and olive groves, with surrounding hills supplying graduated depth.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature28.7°C
Dew Point14.1°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed8.3m/s (moderate winds)
Cloud Cover4%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Rome

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (80-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours
  • Wind Speed78% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at San Gimignano.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at San Gimignano during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
49
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

07:00 local time, shared by 16 of 49 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 41 of 49 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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80-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 80-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 80 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Rome
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, Jul 19
06:000%1.4m/s
07:000%1.5m/s
08:000%1.2m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%4m/s
11:000%5.2m/s
12:000%6.8m/s
13:000%7.9m/s
14:000%8.1m/s
15:000%8.3m/s
16:000%8.1m/s
17:000%7.8m/s
18:000%7.2m/s
19:000%6.3m/s
20:000%4.4m/s
21:000%2.7m/s
22:000%2.3m/s
23:000%2m/s
Mon, Jul 20
24:000%2m/s
01:000%2.3m/s
02:000%2m/s
03:000%1.8m/s
04:000%1m/s
05:000%1.1m/s
06:000%0.61m/s
07:000%1.1m/s
08:000%0.97m/s
09:000%0.64m/s
10:000%2m/s
11:000%3.3m/s
12:000%4.6m/s
13:000%5.8m/s
14:000%7m/s
15:000%7.6m/s
16:000%7.8m/s
17:000%7.3m/s
18:000%7.1m/s
19:000%6.5m/s
20:000%5.1m/s
21:000%2.8m/s
22:000%1.4m/s
23:000%1.5m/s
Tue, Jul 21
24:000%1.7m/s
01:000%1.3m/s
02:000%1.2m/s
03:000%1.3m/s
04:000%1.2m/s
05:000%1.3m/s
06:000%1.7m/s
07:000%1.4m/s
08:000%1.2m/s
09:000%0.9m/s
10:000%3.4m/s
11:000%4.5m/s
12:000%5.8m/s
13:000%6.9m/s
14:000%7.1m/s
15:000%7.4m/s
16:000%7.3m/s
17:000%6.2m/s
18:000%6.4m/s
19:000%5m/s
20:000%2.7m/s
21:000%2.4m/s
22:000%2.2m/s
23:000%2m/s
Wed, Jul 22
24:000%2.5m/s
01:000%3m/s
02:000%3.5m/s
03:000%3.6m/s
04:000%3.7m/s
05:000%3.8m/s
06:000%4.4m/s
07:000%5m/s
08:000%5.6m/s
09:000%5m/s
10:000%4.5m/s
11:000%3.9m/s
12:000%4.2m/s
13:000%4.5m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Rome
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Jul 19 Sunrise 05:52 Sunset 20:51
15:00
14°C 29°C 35°C - 4% 3.9kPa
16:00
14°C 29°C 34°C - 4% 3.8kPa
17:00
14°C 29°C 34°C - 4% 3.6kPa
18:00
14°C 29°C 33°C - 0% 3.4kPa
19:00
14°C 29°C 31°C - 0% 3kPa
20:00
15°C 29°C 29°C - 0% 2.4kPa
21:00
16°C 29°C 25°C - 0% 1.3kPa
22:00
17°C 29°C 23°C - 5% 0.88kPa
23:00
17°C 29°C 22°C - 6% 0.7kPa
Mon, Jul 20 Sunrise 05:52 Sunset 20:51
24:00
17°C 28°C 22°C - 13% 0.65kPa
01:00
17°C 28°C 22°C - 5% 0.7kPa
02:00
16°C 28°C 22°C - 5% 0.79kPa
03:00
15°C 27°C 22°C - 5% 0.85kPa
04:00
15°C 27°C 21°C - 76% 0.81kPa
05:00
15°C 27°C 21°C - 43% 0.77kPa
06:00
15°C 27°C 20°C - 5% 0.66kPa
07:00
15°C 26°C 22°C - 2% 1kPa
08:00
15°C 26°C 26°C - 5% 1.7kPa
09:00
15°C 27°C 29°C - 0% 2.3kPa
10:00
15°C 27°C 31°C - 0% 2.7kPa
11:00
15°C 27°C 32°C - 0% 3.2kPa
12:00
15°C 28°C 34°C - 0% 3.6kPa
13:00
14°C 28°C 35°C - 5% 4.1kPa
14:00
13°C 28°C 36°C - 0% 4.3kPa
15:00
13°C 29°C 36°C - 0% 4.5kPa
16:00
14°C 29°C 35°C - 0% 4.1kPa
17:00
13°C 29°C 35°C - 5% 4kPa
18:00
13°C 29°C 34°C - 4% 3.7kPa
19:00
14°C 29°C 33°C - 71% 3.3kPa
20:00
15°C 29°C 30°C - 25% 2.5kPa
21:00
18°C 29°C 25°C - 5% 1.1kPa
22:00
19°C 29°C 22°C - 2% 0.56kPa
23:00
19°C 29°C 22°C - 0% 0.43kPa
Tue, Jul 21 Sunrise 05:53 Sunset 20:50
24:00
19°C 28°C 22°C - 0% 0.37kPa
01:00
19°C 28°C 21°C - 0% 0.33kPa
02:00
19°C 28°C 21°C - 0% 0.33kPa
03:00
18°C 27°C 21°C - 2% 0.33kPa
04:00
18°C 27°C 20°C - 5% 0.32kPa
05:00
18°C 27°C 20°C - 12% 0.32kPa
06:00
17°C 27°C 20°C - 100% 0.32kPa
07:00
17°C 26°C 22°C - 94% 0.65kPa
08:00
17°C 26°C 25°C - 12% 1.1kPa
09:00
17°C 26°C 28°C - 18% 1.8kPa
10:00
16°C 27°C 30°C - 5% 2.4kPa
11:00
16°C 27°C 32°C - 0% 3kPa
12:00
15°C 27°C 34°C - 0% 3.5kPa
13:00
14°C 28°C 34°C - 0% 3.7kPa
14:00
14°C 28°C 35°C - 0% 3.9kPa
15:00
14°C 28°C 34°C - 0% 3.9kPa
16:00
15°C 29°C 34°C - 0% 3.6kPa
17:00
16°C 29°C 33°C - 0% 3.3kPa
18:00
16°C 29°C 33°C - 0% 3.1kPa
19:00
17°C 29°C 31°C - 4% 2.6kPa
20:00
17°C 29°C 29°C - 0% 1.9kPa
21:00
17°C 28°C 25°C - 0% 1.2kPa
22:00
16°C 27°C 21°C - 0% 0.67kPa
23:00
15°C 26°C 17°C - 0% 0.31kPa
Wed, Jul 22 Sunrise 05:54 Sunset 20:49
24:00
14°C 26°C 19°C - 0% 0.5kPa
01:00
14°C 26°C 20°C - 0% 0.72kPa
02:00
13°C 25°C 21°C - 0% 0.97kPa
03:00
13°C 26°C 24°C - 0% 1.4kPa
04:00
12°C 26°C 26°C - 0% 2kPa
05:00
10°C 26°C 29°C - 0% 2.7kPa
06:00
10°C 26°C 31°C - 0% 3.1kPa
07:00
9.8°C 26°C 32°C - 0% 3.5kPa
08:00
9.2°C 27°C 33°C - 0% 4kPa
09:00
9°C 27°C 34°C - 0% 4kPa
10:00
8.8°C 27°C 34°C - 0% 4.1kPa
11:00
8.6°C 28°C 34°C - 0% 4.1kPa
12:00
9.5°C 28°C 32°C - 0% 3.6kPa
13:00
10°C 28°C 31°C - 0% 3.2kPa
14:00
11°C 28°C 29°C - 0% 2.8kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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