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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Podere Belvedere, Tuscany

San Quirico d'Orcia, Tuscany, Italy

Podere Belvedere sits among cypresses above folded Val d'Orcia fields, with the farmhouse anchoring layered views toward distant ridges.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature26.2°C
Dew Point13.6°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed1.3m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover0%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Rome

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Time Window86% of hours
  • Wind Speed56% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Podere Belvedere.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Podere Belvedere during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
56
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 20 of 56 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 41 of 56 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Rome
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Aug 22
07:000%0.95m/s
08:000%0.93m/s
09:000%1.4m/s
10:000%2.1m/s
11:000%2.5m/s
12:000%2.1m/s
13:000%2m/s
14:000%1.8m/s
15:000%2m/s
16:000%2.2m/s
17:000%3m/s
18:000%3.6m/s
19:000%3.4m/s
20:000%2.1m/s
21:000%1.7m/s
22:000%1.3m/s
23:000%1.3m/s
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%1.2m/s
01:000%0.96m/s
02:000%0.97m/s
03:000%1.3m/s
04:000%1.3m/s
05:000%0.99m/s
06:000%0.92m/s
07:000%1.1m/s
08:000%0.89m/s
09:000%1.2m/s
10:000%1.5m/s
11:000%1.7m/s
12:000%1.9m/s
13:000%2.2m/s
14:000%1.8m/s
15:000%1.2m/s
16:000%1.8m/s
17:000%3.3m/s
18:000%4.6m/s
19:000%3.5m/s
20:000%2.1m/s
21:000%1.5m/s
22:000%1m/s
23:000%0.45m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%1.4m/s
01:000%1.4m/s
02:000%1.5m/s
03:000%1.5m/s
04:000%1.4m/s
05:000%1.3m/s
06:000%1.3m/s
07:000%1.3m/s
08:000%0.89m/s
09:000%1.1m/s
10:000%1.3m/s
11:000%1.2m/s
12:000%1.4m/s
13:000%2m/s
14:000%2.3m/s
15:000%2.4m/s
16:000%3.1m/s
17:000%4.1m/s
18:000%5.3m/s
19:000%3.8m/s
20:000%2.9m/s
21:000%2.4m/s
22:000%2m/s
23:000%2m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%1.5m/s
01:000%1.6m/s
02:000%1.9m/s
03:000%2m/s
04:000%2.2m/s
05:000%2.3m/s
06:000%2.8m/s
07:000%3.2m/s
08:000%3.7m/s
09:000%4.2m/s
10:000%4.7m/s
11:000%5.2m/s
12:000%4.4m/s
13:000%3.7m/s
14:000%2.9m/s
15:000%2.4m/s
16:000%1.8m/s
17:000%1.2m/s
18:000%1.2m/s
19:000%1.2m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Rome
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 06:27 Sunset 20:05
22:00
14°C 26°C 21°C - 0% 0.86kPa
23:00
13°C 26°C 20°C - 0% 0.8kPa
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:27 Sunset 20:05
24:00
13°C 25°C 19°C - 0% 0.78kPa
01:00
12°C 25°C 19°C - 0% 0.75kPa
02:00
12°C 24°C 18°C - 0% 0.72kPa
03:00
12°C 24°C 18°C - 0% 0.69kPa
04:00
12°C 23°C 18°C - 0% 0.66kPa
05:00
12°C 23°C 18°C - 0% 0.63kPa
06:00
12°C 22°C 17°C - 0% 0.6kPa
07:00
12°C 22°C 18°C - 0% 0.63kPa
08:00
12°C 22°C 20°C - 0% 0.96kPa
09:00
13°C 22°C 23°C - 0% 1.4kPa
10:00
13°C 23°C 26°C - 0% 1.8kPa
11:00
12°C 23°C 27°C - 0% 2.2kPa
12:00
11°C 24°C 29°C - 0% 2.7kPa
13:00
11°C 25°C 30°C - 0% 3.1kPa
14:00
11°C 25°C 31°C - 0% 3.3kPa
15:00
10°C 26°C 32°C - 0% 3.5kPa
16:00
9.5°C 27°C 32°C - 0% 3.6kPa
17:00
9.3°C 27°C 32°C - 0% 3.7kPa
18:00
10°C 27°C 31°C - 0% 3.2kPa
19:00
11°C 28°C 28°C - 0% 2.5kPa
20:00
10°C 27°C 24°C - 0% 1.8kPa
21:00
9.3°C 27°C 23°C - 0% 1.6kPa
22:00
8.9°C 26°C 22°C - 5% 1.5kPa
23:00
8.8°C 26°C 21°C - 5% 1.4kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:28 Sunset 20:03
24:00
9.5°C 25°C 21°C - 5% 1.3kPa
01:00
10°C 25°C 20°C - 98% 1.1kPa
02:00
11°C 25°C 20°C - 82% 1kPa
03:00
11°C 24°C 19°C - 2% 0.91kPa
04:00
11°C 24°C 19°C - 2% 0.83kPa
05:00
11°C 23°C 18°C - 6% 0.79kPa
06:00
11°C 23°C 18°C - 3% 0.75kPa
07:00
12°C 23°C 19°C - 3% 0.78kPa
08:00
12°C 22°C 21°C - 2% 1.1kPa
09:00
12°C 23°C 24°C - 0% 1.6kPa
10:00
12°C 23°C 27°C - 0% 2.1kPa
11:00
11°C 24°C 29°C - 2% 2.7kPa
12:00
9.8°C 25°C 31°C - 2% 3.3kPa
13:00
9.1°C 25°C 32°C - 5% 3.6kPa
14:00
9°C 26°C 33°C - 5% 3.9kPa
15:00
8.8°C 27°C 33°C - 5% 4kPa
16:00
8.8°C 27°C 33°C - 85% 4kPa
17:00
9.7°C 28°C 33°C - 100% 3.7kPa
18:00
11°C 28°C 30°C - 100% 3kPa
19:00
11°C 28°C 28°C - 5% 2.5kPa
20:00
11°C 28°C 24°C - 100% 1.6kPa
21:00
11°C 27°C 23°C - 98% 1.4kPa
22:00
11°C 27°C 22°C - 91% 1.3kPa
23:00
11°C 27°C 22°C - 6% 1.3kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:29 Sunset 20:01
24:00
10°C 26°C 21°C - 27% 1.2kPa
01:00
10°C 26°C 21°C - 72% 1.2kPa
02:00
9.5°C 25°C 21°C - 100% 1.3kPa
03:00
12°C 25°C 24°C - 96% 1.6kPa
04:00
14°C 25°C 27°C - 91% 1.9kPa
05:00
16°C 25°C 30°C - 86% 2.4kPa
06:00
16°C 25°C 31°C - 88% 2.7kPa
07:00
15°C 26°C 32°C - 89% 3.1kPa
08:00
14°C 26°C 33°C - 90% 3.5kPa
09:00
15°C 27°C 33°C - 92% 3.3kPa
10:00
15°C 27°C 32°C - 94% 3.1kPa
11:00
15°C 28°C 32°C - 96% 3kPa
12:00
17°C 28°C 30°C - 97% 2.3kPa
13:00
17°C 28°C 28°C - 99% 1.7kPa
14:00
18°C 28°C 26°C - 100% 1.3kPa
15:00
18°C 27°C 25°C - 97% 1kPa
16:00
18°C 27°C 23°C - 95% 0.76kPa
17:00
19°C 27°C 22°C - 92% 0.55kPa
18:00
18°C 26°C 22°C - 91% 0.53kPa
19:00
18°C 26°C 22°C - 89% 0.51kPa
20:00
18°C 25°C 21°C - 87% 0.5kPa
21:00
17°C 25°C 21°C - 60% 0.49kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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