Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Cypress Road, Tuscany

Buonconvento, Tuscany, Italy

The cypress-lined bends near Buonconvento turn the road into a strong leading line through cultivated hills toward isolated Tuscan farmsteads.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Frost Probability

Soil Temperature28.4°C

Dew Point11.0°C (moderate dew point)

Wind Speed1.1m/s (calm conditions)

Cloud Cover25%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Rome

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (80-hour forecast)

Frost Probability100% of hours
Time Window88% of hours
Wind Speed65% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Cypress Road.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Tuscany →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Cypress Road during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 73% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 24 of 70 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 52 of 70 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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80-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 80-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 80 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Europe/Rome	Time Window Sunrise -45m to +90m	Frost Probability ≥ 60.0%	Wind Speed ≤ 1.5m/s
Tue, Aug 18
06:00	✓	0%	1.2m/s
07:00	✓	0%	1.5m/s
08:00	✕	0%	1.4m/s
09:00	✕	0%	1.2m/s
10:00	✕	0%	1.8m/s
11:00	✕	0%	2.1m/s
12:00	✕	0%	1.7m/s
13:00	✕	0%	0.88m/s
14:00	✕	0%	0.16m/s
15:00	✕	0%	0.05m/s
16:00	✕	0%	1.1m/s
17:00	✕	0%	2.1m/s
18:00	✕	0%	4.2m/s
19:00	✕	0%	5.7m/s
20:00	✕	0%	3.5m/s
21:00	✕	0%	2.1m/s
22:00	✕	0%	1.3m/s
23:00	✕	0%	1.3m/s
Wed, Aug 19
24:00	✕	0%	0.68m/s
01:00	✕	0%	0.83m/s
02:00	✕	0%	0.37m/s
03:00	✕	0%	0.08m/s
04:00	✕	0%	0.38m/s
05:00	✓	0%	0.71m/s
06:00	✓	0%	0.74m/s
07:00	✓	0%	0.93m/s
08:00	✕	0%	1m/s
09:00	✕	0%	1.2m/s
10:00	✕	0%	1.4m/s
11:00	✕	0%	2.5m/s
12:00	✕	0%	3m/s
13:00	✕	0%	3.4m/s
14:00	✕	0%	4.1m/s
15:00	✕	0%	5.8m/s
16:00	✕	0%	7.2m/s
17:00	✕	0%	7m/s
18:00	✕	0%	7m/s
19:00	✕	0%	6.9m/s
20:00	✕	0%	6m/s
21:00	✕	0%	5.1m/s
22:00	✕	0%	3.1m/s
23:00	✕	0%	1.6m/s
Thu, Aug 20
24:00	✕	0%	1.3m/s
01:00	✕	0%	1.2m/s
02:00	✕	0%	1.2m/s
03:00	✕	0%	0.78m/s
04:00	✕	0%	0.92m/s
05:00	✓	0%	1.1m/s
06:00	✓	0%	1.2m/s
07:00	✓	0%	1.6m/s
08:00	✕	0%	1.4m/s
09:00	✕	0%	1.1m/s
10:00	✕	0%	1.5m/s
11:00	✕	0%	2.3m/s
12:00	✕	0%	2.7m/s
13:00	✕	0%	3.2m/s
14:00	✕	0%	5.4m/s
15:00	✕	0%	7.9m/s
16:00	✕	0%	7.4m/s
17:00	✕	0%	7.9m/s
18:00	✕	0%	7.9m/s
19:00	✕	0%	6.4m/s
20:00	✕	0%	5m/s
21:00	✕	0%	4m/s
22:00	✕	0%	2.9m/s
23:00	✕	0%	1.8m/s
Fri, Aug 21
24:00	✕	0%	1.8m/s
01:00	✕	0%	1.8m/s
02:00	✕	0%	1.7m/s
03:00	✕	0%	2.2m/s
04:00	✕	0%	2.7m/s
05:00	✓	0%	3.2m/s
06:00	✓	0%	3.1m/s
07:00	✓	0%	3m/s
08:00	✕	0%	2.9m/s
09:00	✕	0%	4m/s
10:00	✕	0%	5.2m/s
11:00	✕	0%	6.4m/s
12:00	✕	0%	5.8m/s
13:00	✕	0%	5.1m/s

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Europe/Rome	Dew Point °C	Surface Temperature °C	Temperature °C	Time Window	Total Cloud Coverage %	Vapor Pressure Deficit kPa
Tue, Aug 18 Sunrise 06:23 Sunset 20:12
16:00	11°C	28°C	34°C	-	25%	4.1kPa
17:00	11°C	29°C	35°C	-	100%	4.2kPa
18:00	14°C	29°C	34°C	-	100%	3.7kPa
19:00	16°C	29°C	31°C	-	100%	2.6kPa
20:00	17°C	29°C	28°C	-	88%	1.9kPa
21:00 ☾	17°C	29°C	26°C	-	5%	1.4kPa
22:00 ☾	17°C	29°C	24°C	-	100%	1.1kPa
23:00 ☾	17°C	28°C	23°C	-	55%	0.92kPa
Wed, Aug 19 Sunrise 06:23 Sunset 20:12
24:00 ☾	17°C	28°C	22°C	-	37%	0.75kPa
01:00 ☾	17°C	27°C	22°C	-	96%	0.62kPa
02:00 ☾	17°C	27°C	21°C	-	72%	0.53kPa
03:00 ☾	17°C	26°C	21°C	-	6%	0.48kPa
04:00 ☾	17°C	26°C	20°C	-	52%	0.42kPa
05:00 ☾	17°C	25°C	20°C	-	100%	0.41kPa
06:00 ☾	17°C	25°C	20°C	-	100%	0.41kPa
07:00	17°C	25°C	21°C	-	100%	0.52kPa
08:00	16°C	25°C	23°C	-	100%	0.9kPa
09:00	16°C	25°C	25°C	-	50%	1.4kPa
10:00	15°C	25°C	28°C	-	78%	2.1kPa
11:00	14°C	26°C	30°C	-	99%	2.6kPa
12:00	13°C	26°C	32°C	-	100%	3.2kPa
13:00	13°C	27°C	33°C	-	100%	3.7kPa
14:00	13°C	28°C	35°C	-	100%	4kPa
15:00	14°C	28°C	35°C	-	100%	4.1kPa
16:00	15°C	29°C	34°C	-	53%	3.7kPa
17:00	16°C	29°C	34°C	-	85%	3.5kPa
18:00	16°C	30°C	32°C	-	6%	3kPa
19:00	19°C	30°C	29°C	-	100%	1.9kPa
20:00	21°C	29°C	26°C	-	100%	0.81kPa
21:00 ☾	21°C	29°C	24°C	-	99%	0.5kPa
22:00 ☾	21°C	29°C	23°C	-	98%	0.35kPa
23:00 ☾	21°C	28°C	22°C	-	98%	0.22kPa
Thu, Aug 20 Sunrise 06:24 Sunset 20:10
24:00 ☾	21°C	28°C	22°C	-	52%	0.21kPa
01:00 ☾	21°C	27°C	22°C	-	100%	0.19kPa
02:00 ☾	20°C	27°C	21°C	-	96%	0.17kPa
03:00 ☾	20°C	27°C	21°C	-	4%	0.15kPa
04:00 ☾	20°C	26°C	21°C	-	0%	0.13kPa
05:00 ☾	20°C	26°C	21°C	-	0%	0.12kPa
06:00 ☾	20°C	25°C	21°C	-	0%	0.11kPa
07:00	20°C	25°C	21°C	-	1%	0.14kPa
08:00	21°C	25°C	23°C	-	5%	0.48kPa
09:00	20°C	25°C	26°C	-	5%	0.96kPa
10:00	19°C	26°C	28°C	-	5%	1.6kPa
11:00	18°C	26°C	30°C	-	99%	2.2kPa
12:00	18°C	27°C	32°C	-	92%	2.6kPa
13:00	17°C	28°C	34°C	-	86%	3.3kPa
14:00	17°C	28°C	35°C	-	71%	3.8kPa
15:00	17°C	29°C	35°C	-	98%	3.7kPa
16:00	16°C	29°C	34°C	-	19%	3.4kPa
17:00	17°C	30°C	33°C	-	80%	3.2kPa
18:00	18°C	30°C	30°C	-	100%	2.3kPa
19:00	18°C	30°C	28°C	-	94%	1.7kPa
20:00	19°C	29°C	26°C	-	98%	1.1kPa
21:00 ☾	20°C	28°C	24°C	-	98%	0.73kPa
22:00 ☾	20°C	26°C	23°C	-	99%	0.42kPa
23:00 ☾	20°C	25°C	21°C	-	100%	0.17kPa
Fri, Aug 21 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 20:08
24:00 ☾	20°C	25°C	22°C	-	72%	0.23kPa
01:00 ☾	21°C	24°C	23°C	-	44%	0.3kPa
02:00 ☾	21°C	24°C	23°C	-	16%	0.37kPa
03:00 ☾	21°C	24°C	24°C	-	40%	0.54kPa
04:00 ☾	21°C	24°C	25°C	-	64%	0.72kPa
05:00 ☾	21°C	25°C	26°C	-	88%	0.92kPa
06:00 ☾	21°C	25°C	26°C	-	79%	0.88kPa
07:00	21°C	25°C	26°C	-	70%	0.83kPa
08:00	21°C	25°C	25°C	-	60%	0.78kPa
09:00	20°C	25°C	26°C	-	73%	1.1kPa
10:00	18°C	25°C	27°C	-	86%	1.6kPa
11:00	16°C	26°C	28°C	-	99%	2kPa
12:00	17°C	26°C	27°C	-	67%	1.5kPa
13:00	18°C	26°C	25°C	-	34%	1.1kPa
14:00	18°C	26°C	24°C	-	2%	0.8kPa
15:00	19°C	25°C	23°C	-	2%	0.61kPa

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 18, 2026, 1:29 PM UTC

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