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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Torneträsk, Swedish Lapland

Abisko, Norrbotten, Sweden

Torneträsk extends for roughly 70 kilometres through a mountain trough, creating a much longer horizon than Swedish Lapland’s forest lakes. Winter turns that corridor into a pale plane of fractures and pressure ridges beneath the dark walls of Abisko’s mountains.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature6.3°C
Dew Point5.4°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.8m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (75-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Time Window86% of hours
  • Wind Speed86% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Swedish Lapland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Torneträsk.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Swedish Lapland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Torneträsk during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
1
recorded matching window · 80% average confidence

Only 1 completed match is recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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75-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 75-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 75 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Tue, Aug 25
06:001.6%2.7m/s
07:001.9%2.8m/s
08:001.9%2.7m/s
09:001.9%2.7m/s
10:001.9%2.8m/s
11:001.7%2.8m/s
12:001.7%2.9m/s
13:001.7%2.9m/s
14:001.7%2.9m/s
15:001.7%3m/s
16:001.7%3m/s
17:001.7%3.1m/s
18:001.7%3.2m/s
19:001.7%3.1m/s
20:001.4%3.1m/s
21:001.4%3m/s
22:001.4%2.9m/s
23:001.4%3m/s
Wed, Aug 26
24:001%3.1m/s
01:001%3.1m/s
02:0011%3m/s
03:0011%3.2m/s
04:0011%3.2m/s
05:0011%3m/s
06:0011%2.9m/s
07:0017%2.5m/s
08:0020%2.5m/s
09:0020%2.4m/s
10:0020%2.5m/s
11:001.9%2.5m/s
12:003.2%2.4m/s
13:003.2%2.7m/s
14:003%3m/s
15:003%3m/s
16:003%2.8m/s
17:003.1%2.8m/s
18:000%2.8m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:002%2.5m/s
21:001.7%2m/s
22:001.5%1.4m/s
23:002.5%1.1m/s
Thu, Aug 27
24:002%0.77m/s
01:0028%0.38m/s
02:0021%0.53m/s
03:0028%0.7m/s
04:0020%0.97m/s
05:0019%1.3m/s
06:0019%1.5m/s
07:0022%1.5m/s
08:0036%1.5m/s
09:0034%1.7m/s
10:0034%2m/s
11:0042%1.9m/s
12:003.5%1.9m/s
13:003.8%2m/s
14:003.2%1.9m/s
15:003.4%2.1m/s
16:004.3%2.3m/s
17:003.1%2.5m/s
18:002.7%2.5m/s
19:002.3%2.4m/s
20:002.3%2.4m/s
21:002.3%2.4m/s
22:002.7%2.4m/s
23:0032%2.4m/s
Fri, Aug 28
24:0031%2.3m/s
01:0040%2.1m/s
02:0037%2m/s
03:003.9%2.1m/s
04:004.1%2.3m/s
05:004.5%2.5m/s
06:000%2.6m/s
07:000%2.7m/s
08:000%2.8m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Stockholm
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 04:40 Sunset 20:47
10:00
5.4°C 6.3°C 7°C - 100% 0.11kPa
11:00
5.3°C 6.4°C 7.1°C - 100% 0.12kPa
12:00
5.3°C 6.4°C 7.3°C - 100% 0.13kPa
13:00
5.3°C 6.4°C 7.4°C - 100% 0.14kPa
14:00
5.3°C 6.5°C 7.4°C - 100% 0.14kPa
15:00
5.3°C 6.5°C 7.4°C - 100% 0.13kPa
16:00
5.5°C 6.5°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.11kPa
17:00
5.5°C 6.5°C 7.3°C - 100% 0.12kPa
18:00
5.3°C 6.5°C 7.5°C - 100% 0.14kPa
19:00
5.2°C 6.5°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.13kPa
20:00
5°C 6.5°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.1kPa
21:00
4.9°C 6.4°C 6.3°C - 100% 0.09kPa
22:00
4.8°C 6.3°C 6.1°C - 100% 0.08kPa
23:00
4.9°C 6.2°C 5.9°C - 100% 0.07kPa
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 04:40 Sunset 20:47
24:00
4.9°C 6.2°C 5.8°C - 100% 0.05kPa
01:00
4.8°C 6.1°C 5.7°C - 100% 0.05kPa
02:00
4.8°C 6°C 5.7°C - 100% 0.05kPa
03:00
4.7°C 5.9°C 5.5°C - 100% 0.05kPa
04:00
5°C 5.9°C 5.5°C - 100% 0.03kPa
05:00
5°C 5.8°C 5.7°C - 100% 0.04kPa
06:00
4.6°C 5.7°C 5.5°C - 100% 0.05kPa
07:00
4.7°C 5.7°C 5.9°C - 100% 0.07kPa
08:00
4.4°C 5.7°C 6.1°C - 100% 0.11kPa
09:00
4.5°C 5.8°C 6.3°C - 100% 0.11kPa
10:00
4.5°C 5.9°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.13kPa
11:00
4.5°C 6.2°C 7.4°C - 100% 0.19kPa
12:00
4.2°C 6.6°C 8.6°C - 100% 0.29kPa
13:00
4.1°C 7°C 9.4°C - 100% 0.36kPa
14:00
4°C 7.2°C 9.6°C - 100% 0.38kPa
15:00
4°C 7.5°C 9.6°C - 100% 0.38kPa
16:00
4°C 7.8°C 9.8°C - 100% 0.39kPa
17:00
4.1°C 8°C 9.7°C - 71% 0.39kPa
18:00
4.2°C 8.1°C 9.3°C - 100% 0.35kPa
19:00
4.9°C 8.1°C 8.4°C - 99% 0.24kPa
20:00
4.7°C 7.9°C 6.8°C - 78% 0.14kPa
21:00
3.9°C 7.5°C 5.2°C - 65% 0.07kPa
22:00
3.3°C 7°C 4.3°C - 68% 0.06kPa
23:00
2.9°C 6.6°C 3.8°C - 24% 0.05kPa
Thu, Aug 27 Sunrise 04:44 Sunset 20:43
24:00
2.5°C 6.1°C 3.3°C - 52% 0.04kPa
01:00
2.4°C 5.7°C 3.2°C - 14% 0.04kPa
02:00
2.1°C 5.3°C 3°C - 47% 0.05kPa
03:00
1.9°C 4.9°C 3°C - 40% 0.05kPa
04:00
1.7°C 4.6°C 2.8°C - 60% 0.06kPa
05:00
1.7°C 4.5°C 3°C - 100% 0.07kPa
06:00
3°C 4.3°C 4.5°C - 100% 0.09kPa
07:00
3.9°C 4.3°C 6.3°C - 100% 0.15kPa
08:00
4°C 4.4°C 7.3°C - 80% 0.21kPa
09:00
4.3°C 4.6°C 8.4°C - 77% 0.27kPa
10:00
4.4°C 5.1°C 9.3°C - 64% 0.33kPa
11:00
4.4°C 5.7°C 10°C - 23% 0.42kPa
12:00
4.2°C 6.5°C 11°C - 63% 0.53kPa
13:00
4°C 7.2°C 12°C - 53% 0.6kPa
14:00
3.8°C 7.9°C 13°C - 63% 0.67kPa
15:00
4.6°C 7.8°C 10°C - 44% 0.41kPa
16:00
4.8°C 7.7°C 8.1°C - 24% 0.22kPa
17:00
4.6°C 7.6°C 5.7°C - 5% 0.07kPa
18:00
4.4°C 7.4°C 5.5°C - 16% 0.07kPa
19:00
4.2°C 7.1°C 5.3°C - 28% 0.07kPa
20:00
3.9°C 6.8°C 5.2°C - 39% 0.07kPa
21:00
3.7°C 6.5°C 5.1°C - 28% 0.08kPa
22:00
3.4°C 6.2°C 5°C - 16% 0.09kPa
23:00
3.2°C 6°C 4.9°C - 5% 0.1kPa
Fri, Aug 28 Sunrise 04:48 Sunset 20:38
24:00
3.7°C 6°C 6.3°C - 17% 0.15kPa
01:00
4.3°C 6°C 7.7°C - 30% 0.22kPa
02:00
4.7°C 6°C 9.1°C - 42% 0.29kPa
03:00
4.8°C 6.5°C 10°C - 35% 0.38kPa
04:00
4.9°C 7°C 11°C - 28% 0.48kPa
05:00
4.8°C 7.6°C 13°C - 22% 0.59kPa
06:00
4.9°C 8.2°C 13°C - 16% 0.64kPa
07:00
5°C 8.8°C 14°C - 11% 0.69kPa
08:00
5°C 9.5°C 14°C - 5% 0.75kPa
09:00
5.4°C 9.9°C 14°C - 32% 0.72kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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