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Rule Morning Frost

Jokkmokk - Morning Frost - Swedish Lapland

Jokkmokk, Norrbotten, Sweden

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 100% failing
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 90% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature11.1°C
Dew Point9.2°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.2m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the extreme arctic frost conditions that transform Swedish Lapland into a frozen wonderland. We combine temperature, humidity, wind, and snow data to predict optimal conditions for photographing the region's spectacular frost phenomena.

Swedish Lapland experiences frost conditions as extreme as neighboring Finland, with temperatures regularly dropping below -25°C from December through February. The region's vast frozen lakes, frost-covered birch forests, and ice formations create otherworldly winter landscapes. The famous Abisko microclimate means frost conditions often coincide with clear skies—ideal for photography.

What makes Swedish Lapland special for frost photography:

  • Frozen Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake freezes solid, creating vast ice plains
  • Abisko clarity - The Blue Hole microclimate provides clear skies for photographing frost
  • Birch forest frost - Frost-covered mountain birch create delicate white forests
  • Ice architecture - The ICEHOTEL and frozen Torne River offer unique frost subjects

Lake Torneträsk freezes completely by midwinter, creating an otherworldly frozen seascape stretching to the horizon. The pressure ridges and ice formations along the shore provide dramatic foreground elements. The mountain birch forests around Abisko become ethereal frost galleries—each delicate branch outlined in white against blue arctic twilight. The Torne River near Jukkasjärvi provides ice harvesting opportunities to photograph—massive blocks cut for the ICEHOTEL construction. At Abisko, the microclimate advantage means you can photograph frost phenomena under clear skies more reliably than elsewhere in Lapland. The combination of extreme cold and the region's unique light makes for spectacular blue hour frost photography.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 93 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Fri, Jun 5
06:00-0%3.5m/s
07:00-0%3.4m/s
08:00-0%2.2m/s
09:00-0%4.3m/s
10:00-0%4m/s
11:00-0%4.3m/s
12:00-0%3.9m/s
13:00-0%3.6m/s
14:00-0%4.9m/s
15:00-0%5.3m/s
16:00-0%4.5m/s
17:00-0%5.2m/s
18:00-0%2.8m/s
19:00-0%5.4m/s
20:00-0%6.1m/s
21:00-0%5m/s
22:00-0%4.4m/s
23:00-0%4m/s
Sat, Jun 6
24:00-0%3.5m/s
01:00-0%3.1m/s
02:00-0%3.2m/s
03:00-0%2.4m/s
04:00-0%2.2m/s
05:00-0%2.1m/s
06:00-0%1.8m/s
07:00-0%2m/s
08:00-0%1.8m/s
09:00-0%2.3m/s
10:00-0%2.6m/s
11:00-0%2.2m/s
12:00-0%2m/s
13:00-0%2.6m/s
14:00-0%2.1m/s
15:00-0%1.9m/s
16:00-0%2.1m/s
17:00-0%2.6m/s
18:00-0%2.7m/s
19:00-0%2.7m/s
20:00-0%2.5m/s
21:00-0%2.1m/s
22:00-0%1.7m/s
23:00-0%1.6m/s
Sun, Jun 7
24:00-0%1.9m/s
01:00-0%2.6m/s
02:00-0%3.3m/s
03:00-0%3.4m/s
04:00-0%4.2m/s
05:00-0%4.6m/s
06:00-0%5m/s
07:00-0%4.7m/s
08:00-0%4.7m/s
09:00-0%4.8m/s
10:00-0%4.5m/s
11:00-0%4.9m/s
12:00-0%4.5m/s
13:00-0%3.7m/s
14:00-0%5.1m/s
15:00-0%4.9m/s
16:00-0%5.7m/s
17:00-0%4.8m/s
18:00-0%4.8m/s
19:00-0%4.3m/s
20:00-0%4m/s
21:00-0%3.9m/s
22:00-0%4m/s
23:00-0%3.7m/s
Mon, Jun 8
24:00-0%3.5m/s
01:00-0%3m/s
02:00-0%2.4m/s
03:00-0%1.7m/s
04:00-0%1.3m/s
05:00-0%1.3m/s
06:00-0%1.4m/s
07:00-0%1.7m/s
08:00-0%2.1m/s
09:00-0%2.1m/s
10:00-0%2.1m/s
11:00-0%2.1m/s
12:00-0%2m/s
13:00-0%1.8m/s
14:00-0%1.6m/s
15:00-0%1.7m/s
16:00-0%1.8m/s
17:00-0%1.8m/s
18:00-0%1.7m/s
19:00-0%1.6m/s
20:00-0%1.5m/s
21:00-0%1.4m/s
22:00-0%1.4m/s
23:00-0%1.3m/s
Tue, Jun 9
24:00-0%1.7m/s
01:00-0%2m/s
02:00-0%2.3m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Stockholm
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Jun 6
04:00
9.2°C 11°C 10°C - 100% 0.06kPa
05:00
9.6°C 11°C 11°C - 100% 0.11kPa
06:00
9.9°C 11°C 12°C - 65% 0.19kPa
07:00
9.9°C 11°C 14°C - 100% 0.33kPa
08:00
10°C 11°C 15°C - 92% 0.44kPa
09:00
10°C 12°C 16°C - 98% 0.56kPa
10:00
10°C 12°C 17°C - 64% 0.7kPa
11:00
9.5°C 13°C 18°C - 79% 0.9kPa
12:00
9.3°C 13°C 19°C - 99% 1kPa
13:00
9.6°C 13°C 18°C - 98% 0.91kPa
14:00
9.8°C 14°C 18°C - 98% 0.92kPa
15:00
9.9°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 0.93kPa
16:00
10°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.88kPa
17:00
11°C 14°C 18°C - 97% 0.77kPa
18:00
11°C 14°C 17°C - 57% 0.62kPa
19:00
12°C 14°C 17°C - 68% 0.5kPa
20:00
12°C 14°C 16°C - 66% 0.4kPa
21:00
12°C 14°C 15°C - 28% 0.3kPa
22:00
11°C 14°C 13°C - 83% 0.2kPa
23:00
11°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.18kPa
Sun, Jun 7
24:00
11°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.14kPa
01:00
11°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.12kPa
02:00
12°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.08kPa
03:00
12°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.04kPa
04:00
12°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.03kPa
05:00
12°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.03kPa
06:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.03kPa
07:00
13°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.03kPa
08:00
13°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.03kPa
09:00
13°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.03kPa
10:00
13°C 12°C 14°C - 100% 0.03kPa
11:00
14°C 12°C 14°C - 100% 0.03kPa
12:00
14°C 12°C 14°C - 100% 0.05kPa
13:00
14°C 12°C 14°C - 100% 0.05kPa
14:00
13°C 12°C 14°C - 84% 0.07kPa
15:00
13°C 12°C 15°C - 72% 0.19kPa
16:00
13°C 13°C 14°C - 83% 0.16kPa
17:00
11°C 13°C 14°C - 74% 0.22kPa
18:00
11°C 12°C 13°C - 98% 0.21kPa
19:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 74% 0.13kPa
20:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 71% 0.1kPa
21:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 100% 0.07kPa
22:00
9.6°C 12°C 10°C - 100% 0.03kPa
23:00
9.1°C 12°C 9.5°C - 100% 0.03kPa
Mon, Jun 8
24:00
9.1°C 11°C 9.4°C - 100% 0.03kPa
01:00
8.9°C 11°C 9.3°C - 100% 0.03kPa
02:00
8.6°C 11°C 9°C - 100% 0.02kPa
03:00
8.5°C 11°C 8.8°C - 100% 0.02kPa
04:00
8.5°C 10°C 8.8°C - 100% 0.02kPa
05:00
8.5°C 10°C 8.8°C - 100% 0.02kPa
06:00
8.7°C 10°C 9°C - 100% 0.02kPa
07:00
8.9°C 10°C 9.3°C - 97% 0.03kPa
08:00
9.3°C 9.9°C 10°C - 100% 0.07kPa
09:00
9.6°C 11°C 14°C - 93% 0.37kPa
10:00
8.8°C 12°C 17°C - 86% 0.81kPa
11:00
6.5°C 14°C 21°C - 79% 1.4kPa
12:00
7.8°C 14°C 19°C - 86% 1.1kPa
13:00
8.7°C 14°C 17°C - 93% 0.87kPa
14:00
9.3°C 14°C 16°C - 100% 0.64kPa
15:00
9.6°C 14°C 15°C - 98% 0.55kPa
16:00
9.9°C 14°C 15°C - 96% 0.47kPa
17:00
10°C 14°C 14°C - 95% 0.39kPa
18:00
10°C 13°C 14°C - 88% 0.34kPa
19:00
10°C 13°C 13°C - 81% 0.29kPa
20:00
9.9°C 13°C 13°C - 74% 0.24kPa
21:00
10°C 13°C 13°C - 50% 0.24kPa
22:00
11°C 13°C 13°C - 26% 0.24kPa
23:00
11°C 12°C 13°C - 2% 0.25kPa
Tue, Jun 9
24:00
11°C 13°C 15°C - 6% 0.36kPa
01:00
11°C 13°C 16°C - 10% 0.49kPa
02:00
11°C 13°C 17°C - 14% 0.63kPa
03:00
11°C 13°C 18°C - 41% 0.75kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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