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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Jokkmokk, Swedish Lapland

Jokkmokk, Norrbotten, Sweden

Jokkmokk combines a compact timber town with frozen lakes and pine forest, while its winter market adds Sámi craft, dress, and reindeer subjects.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature12.4°C
Dew Point10.2°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.7m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours
  • Wind Speed88% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Swedish Lapland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Jokkmokk.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Swedish Lapland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Jokkmokk during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
1
recorded matching window · 56% average confidence
Last 365 days
18
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

09:00 local time, shared by 5 of 18 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

February, with 12 of 18 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Jul 25
03:000%2.2m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%1.8m/s
06:000%2m/s
07:000%2.1m/s
08:000%2.4m/s
09:000%3.3m/s
10:000%3.1m/s
11:000%2.8m/s
12:000%3m/s
13:000%2.9m/s
14:000%3.2m/s
15:000%3.3m/s
16:000%2.6m/s
17:000%2.2m/s
18:000%4.4m/s
19:000%3.9m/s
20:000%4.1m/s
21:000%3.2m/s
22:000%2.9m/s
23:000%2.7m/s
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%2.1m/s
01:000%2.1m/s
02:000%2.1m/s
03:000%2.5m/s
04:000%2.7m/s
05:000%3.3m/s
06:000%3.8m/s
07:000%3.9m/s
08:000%3.9m/s
09:000%4.3m/s
10:000%4.3m/s
11:000%3.8m/s
12:000%4.5m/s
13:000%4.8m/s
14:000%4.3m/s
15:000%4.7m/s
16:000%4.2m/s
17:000%4.3m/s
18:000%4.3m/s
19:000%4.4m/s
20:000%4.1m/s
21:000%3.8m/s
22:000%3.5m/s
23:000%3.5m/s
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%2.9m/s
01:000%2.8m/s
02:000%2.7m/s
03:000%2.4m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%2m/s
06:000%2.3m/s
07:000%2.6m/s
08:000%2.5m/s
09:000%2.4m/s
10:000%3m/s
11:000%3.7m/s
12:000%3.8m/s
13:000%3.6m/s
14:000%3.3m/s
15:000%3.2m/s
16:000%3.6m/s
17:000%2.1m/s
18:000%2.3m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:000%3m/s
21:000%1.9m/s
22:000%1.7m/s
23:000%1.7m/s
Tue, Jul 28
24:000%1.4m/s
01:000%1.1m/s
02:000%1m/s
03:000%0.72m/s
04:000%0.6m/s
05:000%0.48m/s
06:000%0.45m/s
07:000%0.63m/s
08:000%1m/s
09:000%1.6m/s
10:000%2.1m/s
11:000%2.6m/s
12:000%2.9m/s
13:000%3.3m/s
14:000%3.6m/s
15:000%3.3m/s
16:000%3m/s
17:000%2.6m/s
18:000%2.6m/s
19:000%2.5m/s
20:000%2.5m/s
21:000%2.6m/s
22:000%2.7m/s
23:000%2.9m/s
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%3.3m/s
01:000%3.8m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Stockholm
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Jul 26 Sunrise 02:52 Sunset 22:38
04:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 100% 0.08kPa
05:00
11°C 12°C 11°C - 100% 0.04kPa
06:00
11°C 12°C 11°C - 100% 0.03kPa
07:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.03kPa
08:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.04kPa
09:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
10:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.07kPa
11:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
12:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
13:00
12°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.06kPa
14:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.05kPa
15:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.03kPa
16:00
12°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.06kPa
17:00
12°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.07kPa
18:00
13°C 12°C 14°C - 86% 0.15kPa
19:00
12°C 12°C 14°C - 69% 0.18kPa
20:00
12°C 12°C 13°C - 8% 0.16kPa
21:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 7% 0.12kPa
22:00
11°C 12°C 11°C - 8% 0.07kPa
23:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 7% 0.05kPa
Mon, Jul 27 Sunrise 02:52 Sunset 22:38
24:00
9.3°C 12°C 9.8°C - 96% 0.04kPa
01:00
9.6°C 11°C 10°C - 100% 0.06kPa
02:00
9.7°C 11°C 10°C - 88% 0.05kPa
03:00
9.5°C 11°C 9.9°C - 49% 0.03kPa
04:00
8.7°C 11°C 9°C - 47% 0.02kPa
05:00
9.3°C 11°C 9.5°C - 40% 0.02kPa
06:00
9.8°C 11°C 11°C - 50% 0.07kPa
07:00
10°C 11°C 12°C - 83% 0.17kPa
08:00
10°C 11°C 12°C - 99% 0.22kPa
09:00
10°C 11°C 13°C - 56% 0.25kPa
10:00
10°C 11°C 15°C - 59% 0.4kPa
11:00
10°C 11°C 16°C - 64% 0.54kPa
12:00
9.2°C 12°C 16°C - 94% 0.64kPa
13:00
9°C 12°C 16°C - 92% 0.68kPa
14:00
7.6°C 12°C 17°C - 97% 0.91kPa
15:00
7.6°C 12°C 18°C - 100% 0.96kPa
16:00
9.2°C 13°C 16°C - 100% 0.61kPa
17:00
9.4°C 13°C 14°C - 100% 0.45kPa
18:00
9.5°C 13°C 14°C - 81% 0.42kPa
19:00
9.2°C 13°C 15°C - 33% 0.53kPa
20:00
9.1°C 13°C 15°C - 58% 0.52kPa
21:00
9.2°C 13°C 13°C - 82% 0.34kPa
22:00
8.9°C 12°C 11°C - 12% 0.2kPa
23:00
8.6°C 12°C 9.9°C - 19% 0.1kPa
Tue, Jul 28 Sunrise 02:57 Sunset 22:33
24:00
8.2°C 12°C 9.3°C - 9% 0.08kPa
01:00
7.8°C 12°C 8.8°C - 50% 0.08kPa
02:00
7.6°C 11°C 8.5°C - 50% 0.07kPa
03:00
7.3°C 11°C 8.2°C - 100% 0.07kPa
04:00
7.5°C 11°C 8.4°C - 100% 0.06kPa
05:00
7.9°C 11°C 9.3°C - 100% 0.1kPa
06:00
8.3°C 11°C 10°C - 100% 0.16kPa
07:00
8.8°C 11°C 12°C - 100% 0.27kPa
08:00
9°C 11°C 13°C - 97% 0.38kPa
09:00
10°C 11°C 13°C - 98% 0.28kPa
10:00
11°C 12°C 13°C - 99% 0.17kPa
11:00
12°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.07kPa
12:00
12°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.07kPa
13:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
14:00
12°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
15:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
16:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
17:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
18:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.07kPa
19:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.08kPa
20:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.09kPa
21:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.1kPa
22:00
10°C 11°C 11°C - 99% 0.1kPa
23:00
10°C 11°C 11°C - 99% 0.11kPa
Wed, Jul 29 Sunrise 03:01 Sunset 22:29
24:00
9.9°C 11°C 12°C - 79% 0.17kPa
01:00
9.8°C 11°C 13°C - 59% 0.24kPa
02:00
9.6°C 11°C 13°C - 40% 0.32kPa
03:00
9.1°C 12°C 14°C - 49% 0.45kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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