Rule
Morning Frost
Morning Frost Forecast for Jokkmokk, Swedish Lapland
Jokkmokk, Norrbotten, Sweden
Jokkmokk combines a compact timber town with frozen lakes and pine forest, while its winter market adds Sámi craft, dress, and reindeer subjects.
2 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.
Hourly forecast scores
Forecast valid from Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC (one hour; not an observation)Soil Temperature5.4°C
Dew Point2.6°C
Wind Speed4.6m/s
Cloud Cover33%
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
First upcoming window
Light Frost at Dawn
Jokkmokk
Sat, Nov 14 · 07:46–08:00 · 1h window
Low confidence
30%
❄️Frost Probability66%
Soil Temperature: -4.1°C
Dew Point: -3.9°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed: 1.3m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover: 52%
Light Frost
Jokkmokk
Sat, Nov 14 · 08:00–10:00
❄️Frost Probability:61-65%
Low
72-hour requirements breakdown
When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Europe/Stockholm.
Most common blockers
Ranked across the 73-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.
- Wind Speed92% of hours
- Time Window88% of hours
- Frost Probability74% of hours
0matching hours in the displayed 72-hour forecast
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time Europe/Stockholm | Time Window Sunrise -45m to +90m | Frost Probability ≥ 60.0% | Wind Speed ≤ 1.5m/s |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Nov 4 | |||
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 43%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 46%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 44%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 4.1%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 3%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 4.5%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 44%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 6.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 55%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 55%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Thu, Nov 5 | |||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 50%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 50%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 51%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 52%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 53%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 53%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 53%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 52%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 47%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 8.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 50%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 7.5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 48%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 46%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.5m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 44%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 46%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 49%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 5.6m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 72%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 4.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 82%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 4.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 87%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 3.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 82%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 76%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 73%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 73%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1.5m/s. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 73%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1.3m/s. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 73%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1m/s. Meets requirement |
| Fri, Nov 6 | |||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 75%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1m/s. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 75%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1.4m/s. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 64%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 2.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 69%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 2.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 68%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 3.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 65%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 2.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 70%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 75%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 1.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 74%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Time Window: Yes. Meets requirement | Frost Probability: 67%. Meets requirement | Wind Speed: 2.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 45%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 32%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 1.2m/s. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 32%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 1.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 37%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 2.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 35%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 27%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 3.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.2m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.8m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 40%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.9m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 25%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.7m/s. Misses requirement |
| Sat, Nov 7 | |||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 27%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.4m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 24%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 28%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 31%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.1m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 30%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 39%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.3m/s. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Time Window: No. Misses requirement | Frost Probability: 43%. Misses requirement | Wind Speed: 4.6m/s. Misses requirement |
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).
Supporting forecast inputs
Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.
| Forecast time (Europe/Stockholm) | Dew Point | Surface Temperature | Temperature | Time Window | Total Cloud Coverage | Vapor Pressure Deficit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Nov 4, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||
| Night | 2.6°C | 5.4°C | 6.3°C | Unavailable | 33% | 0.22kPa |
| 2.8°C | 4.7°C | 6.4°C | Unavailable | 18% | 0.21kPa | |
| 2.9°C | 4.7°C | 6.5°C | Unavailable | 5% | 0.21kPa | |
| 2.8°C | 5.3°C | 7.3°C | Unavailable | 3% | 0.28kPa | |
| 2.7°C | 6°C | 7.8°C | Unavailable | 7% | 0.32kPa | |
| 3.2°C | 6.4°C | 7.9°C | Unavailable | 45% | 0.3kPa | |
| 1.4°C | 6.2°C | 8°C | Unavailable | 8% | 0.4kPa | |
| -0.5°C | 5.1°C | 7.2°C | Unavailable | 4% | 0.43kPa | |
| Night | -1.8°C | 4°C | 6.1°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.4kPa |
| Night | -1.7°C | 3.3°C | 5.4°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.36kPa |
| Night | -2.8°C | 2.9°C | 5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.37kPa |
| Night | -2.2°C | 2.8°C | 4.9°C | Unavailable | 2% | 0.35kPa |
| Night | -2°C | 3.3°C | 5.1°C | Unavailable | 2% | 0.35kPa |
| Night | -1.9°C | 3.5°C | 5.5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.37kPa |
| Night | -2°C | 3.6°C | 5.6°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.38kPa |
| Night | -2°C | 3.7°C | 5.6°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.38kPa |
| Night | -2.2°C | 3.6°C | 5.6°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.39kPa |
| Thu, Nov 5, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||
| Night | -1.9°C | 3.8°C | 5.5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.37kPa |
| Night | -1°C | 3.7°C | 5.5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.33kPa |
| Night | -1.6°C | 3.8°C | 5.5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.36kPa |
| Night | -1°C | 3.7°C | 5.5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.33kPa |
| Night | -1.5°C | 3.4°C | 5.4°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.35kPa |
| Night | -1.6°C | 3.5°C | 5.3°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.35kPa |
| Night | -1.4°C | 3.4°C | 5.3°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.34kPa |
| Night | -1.2°C | 3.4°C | 5.3°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.33kPa |
| -0.8°C | 3.3°C | 5°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.3kPa | |
| -1.6°C | 3.3°C | 4.8°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.32kPa | |
| -1.1°C | 3.6°C | 5.1°C | Unavailable | 6% | 0.32kPa | |
| -1.4°C | 3.8°C | 5.3°C | Unavailable | 20% | 0.34kPa | |
| -1.8°C | 3.7°C | 5.3°C | Unavailable | 22% | 0.36kPa | |
| -3.8°C | 3.3°C | 5°C | Unavailable | 2% | 0.41kPa | |
| -3.8°C | 2.4°C | 4.4°C | Unavailable | 26% | 0.38kPa | |
| Night | -4.3°C | 1.3°C | 3.7°C | Unavailable | 7% | 0.35kPa |
| Night | -4.3°C | 0.7°C | 2.9°C | Unavailable | 4% | 0.31kPa |
| Night | -4.6°C | -0.4°C | 1.9°C | Unavailable | 3% | 0.27kPa |
| Night | -3.8°C | -2.2°C | 0.7°C | Unavailable | 2% | 0.18kPa |
| Night | -3.2°C | -3°C | -0.3°C | Unavailable | 3% | 0.11kPa |
| Night | -3.4°C | -3.3°C | -0.9°C | Unavailable | 1% | 0.1kPa |
| Night | -3.7°C | -3.6°C | -1.2°C | Unavailable | 1% | 0.1kPa |
| Night | -3.7°C | -3.5°C | -1.4°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.09kPa |
| Night | -3.6°C | -3.1°C | -1.4°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.08kPa |
| Fri, Nov 6, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||
| Night | -3.3°C | -3.2°C | -1.4°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.07kPa |
| Night | -3.6°C | -2.6°C | -1.3°C | Unavailable | 1% | 0.09kPa |
| Night | -3.9°C | -1.5°C | -0.9°C | Unavailable | 41% | 0.11kPa |
| Night | -4.2°C | -0.7°C | -0.3°C | Unavailable | 87% | 0.15kPa |
| Night | -3.8°C | -0.3°C | 0.5°C | Unavailable | 99% | 0.17kPa |
| Night | -3°C | 0.2°C | 1.1°C | Unavailable | 87% | 0.17kPa |
| Night | -2.2°C | 0.3°C | 0.7°C | Unavailable | 22% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | -1.5°C | -0.2°C | 0.4°C | Unavailable | 0% | 0.08kPa |
| -1.4°C | -2°C | 0.2°C | Unavailable | 1% | 0.07kPa | |
| -1.1°C | -1.2°C | 0.5°C | Unavailable | 13% | 0.07kPa | |
| -0.8°C | 1.5°C | 1.4°C | Unavailable | 42% | 0.1kPa | |
| -0.6°C | 3°C | 2.2°C | Unavailable | 78% | 0.13kPa | |
| -0.5°C | 3.1°C | 3°C | Unavailable | 91% | 0.17kPa | |
| -0.3°C | 2.7°C | 3.2°C | Unavailable | 94% | 0.17kPa | |
| -0.3°C | 2.4°C | 3°C | Unavailable | 93% | 0.16kPa | |
| Night | -0.3°C | 2.1°C | 2.6°C | Unavailable | 82% | 0.14kPa |
| Night | 0.1°C | 1.9°C | 2.5°C | Unavailable | 87% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 0.1°C | 1.9°C | 2.5°C | Unavailable | 92% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 0.2°C | 2°C | 2.6°C | Unavailable | 88% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 0°C | 1.7°C | 2.3°C | Unavailable | 89% | 0.11kPa |
| Night | 0.1°C | 2°C | 2.5°C | Unavailable | 88% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 0.2°C | 2°C | 2.5°C | Unavailable | 90% | 0.11kPa |
| Night | 0.4°C | 2°C | 2.7°C | Unavailable | 96% | 0.11kPa |
| Night | 0.6°C | 2.4°C | 3°C | Unavailable | 96% | 0.12kPa |
| Sat, Nov 7, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||
| Night | 0.6°C | 2.2°C | 2.9°C | Unavailable | 95% | 0.11kPa |
| Night | 0.7°C | 2.2°C | 2.8°C | Unavailable | 95% | 0.1kPa |
| Night | 0.7°C | 2.5°C | 3.1°C | Unavailable | 97% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 0.7°C | 2.5°C | 3.1°C | Unavailable | 93% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 0.6°C | 2.4°C | 3°C | Unavailable | 83% | 0.12kPa |
| Night | 0.1°C | 2.8°C | 3.6°C | Unavailable | 78% | 0.17kPa |
| Night | -0.2°C | 3.3°C | 4.2°C | Unavailable | 26% | 0.22kPa |
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Swedish Lapland. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Jokkmokk.
Explore Morning Frost conditions across Swedish Lapland →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Jokkmokk during the last 365 days.
Last 30 days
11
recorded matching windows · 59% average confidence
Last 90 days
11
recorded matching windows · 59% average confidence
Last 365 days
29
recorded matching windows · 65% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour
06:00 local time, shared by 12 of 29 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
Most represented month
February, with 12 of 29 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
Create your own Morning Frost alerts
Get notified when these conditions match at your own locations.
How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
Get Notified of Opportunities
Create your own custom alerts for this location and more.
Create Free Account