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Rule Morning Frost

Abisko - Morning Frost - Swedish Lapland

Sweden

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 100% failing
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 86% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature7.7°C
Dew Point7.3°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.7m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the extreme arctic frost conditions that transform Swedish Lapland into a frozen wonderland. We combine temperature, humidity, wind, and snow data to predict optimal conditions for photographing the region's spectacular frost phenomena.

Swedish Lapland experiences frost conditions as extreme as neighboring Finland, with temperatures regularly dropping below -25°C from December through February. The region's vast frozen lakes, frost-covered birch forests, and ice formations create otherworldly winter landscapes. The famous Abisko microclimate means frost conditions often coincide with clear skies—ideal for photography.

What makes Swedish Lapland special for frost photography:

  • Frozen Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake freezes solid, creating vast ice plains
  • Abisko clarity - The Blue Hole microclimate provides clear skies for photographing frost
  • Birch forest frost - Frost-covered mountain birch create delicate white forests
  • Ice architecture - The ICEHOTEL and frozen Torne River offer unique frost subjects

Lake Torneträsk freezes completely by midwinter, creating an otherworldly frozen seascape stretching to the horizon. The pressure ridges and ice formations along the shore provide dramatic foreground elements. The mountain birch forests around Abisko become ethereal frost galleries—each delicate branch outlined in white against blue arctic twilight. The Torne River near Jukkasjärvi provides ice harvesting opportunities to photograph—massive blocks cut for the ICEHOTEL construction. At Abisko, the microclimate advantage means you can photograph frost phenomena under clear skies more reliably than elsewhere in Lapland. The combination of extreme cold and the region's unique light makes for spectacular blue hour frost photography.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 93 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, Jun 7
06:00-0%2.1m/s
07:00-0%2.4m/s
08:00-0%2.8m/s
09:00-0%2.4m/s
10:00-0%2.5m/s
11:00-0%2.5m/s
12:00-0%2.4m/s
13:00-0%2.3m/s
14:00-0%2.8m/s
15:00-0%2.7m/s
16:00-0%3.2m/s
17:00-0%3.9m/s
18:00-0%4.7m/s
19:00-0%4.2m/s
20:00-0%3.2m/s
21:00-0%3.2m/s
22:00-0%3.4m/s
23:00-0%3.2m/s
Mon, Jun 8
24:00-0%3.3m/s
01:00-0%3.2m/s
02:00-0%2.7m/s
03:00-1.2%2.8m/s
04:00-1.2%2.7m/s
05:00-1.2%2.5m/s
06:00-1.2%1.8m/s
07:00-1.4%1.6m/s
08:00-1.4%1.6m/s
09:00-1.8%1.6m/s
10:00-2.1%1.3m/s
11:00-2.3%0.7m/s
12:00-3.4%1.3m/s
13:00-2.1%1.6m/s
14:00-2.1%1.5m/s
15:00-2.1%1.5m/s
16:00-2.2%1.2m/s
17:00-0%0.82m/s
18:00-0%0.41m/s
19:00-0%0.6m/s
20:00-0%1.4m/s
21:00-0%1.6m/s
22:00-0%2.2m/s
23:00-0%2.5m/s
Tue, Jun 9
24:00-0%2.4m/s
01:00-0%2.8m/s
02:00-3.2%3.3m/s
03:00-3.2%3.3m/s
04:00-3.2%3.2m/s
05:00-4.5%3m/s
06:00-4.5%3.2m/s
07:00-0%3.6m/s
08:00-0%3.5m/s
09:00-0%3.6m/s
10:00-0%3.8m/s
11:00-0%4m/s
12:00-0%4.1m/s
13:00-0%3.9m/s
14:00-0%3.9m/s
15:00-0%3.9m/s
16:00-0%3.5m/s
17:00-0%3.5m/s
18:00-0%3.6m/s
19:00-0%3.5m/s
20:00-0%3.6m/s
21:00-0%3.2m/s
22:00-0%2.9m/s
23:00-0%3.1m/s
Wed, Jun 10
24:00-0%3.3m/s
01:00-0%3.3m/s
02:00-0%3.3m/s
03:00-0%3m/s
04:00-0%2.8m/s
05:00-0%2.8m/s
06:00-0%2.8m/s
07:00-0%3.1m/s
08:00-0%3.3m/s
09:00-0%3.7m/s
10:00-0%4.5m/s
11:00-0%4.7m/s
12:00-0%4.8m/s
13:00-0%6.1m/s
14:00-0%6.9m/s
15:00-0%5.6m/s
16:00-0%4.3m/s
17:00-0%3m/s
18:00-0%3.5m/s
19:00-0%4.1m/s
20:00-0%4.6m/s
21:00-0%4.7m/s
22:00-0%4.7m/s
23:00-0%4.7m/s
Thu, Jun 11
24:00-0%4.5m/s
01:00-0%4.4m/s
02:00-0%4.3m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Stockholm
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Mon, Jun 8
04:00
7.3°C 7.7°C 7.7°C - 100% 0.03kPa
05:00
6.9°C 7.6°C 7.6°C - 100% 0.05kPa
06:00
6.6°C 7.5°C 7.4°C - 100% 0.06kPa
07:00
6.4°C 7.3°C 7.3°C - 100% 0.05kPa
08:00
6.5°C 7.2°C 7.4°C - 100% 0.06kPa
09:00
6.4°C 7.2°C 7.7°C - 100% 0.09kPa
10:00
5.9°C 7.2°C 8°C - 100% 0.15kPa
11:00
5.6°C 7.4°C 8.5°C - 100% 0.19kPa
12:00
5.5°C 7.8°C 8.8°C - 100% 0.23kPa
13:00
5.6°C 7.8°C 8.5°C - 100% 0.2kPa
14:00
5.7°C 7.8°C 8.1°C - 100% 0.17kPa
15:00
5.7°C 7.9°C 8.3°C - 100% 0.18kPa
16:00
5.7°C 7.9°C 8.4°C - 76% 0.19kPa
17:00
5.6°C 8.6°C 9.4°C - 33% 0.27kPa
18:00
5.3°C 9.5°C 10°C - 30% 0.37kPa
19:00
5.1°C 9.9°C 11°C - 22% 0.43kPa
20:00
5°C 10°C 11°C - 15% 0.45kPa
21:00
5.6°C 10°C 11°C - 4% 0.4kPa
22:00
5.8°C 9.7°C 10°C - 1% 0.32kPa
23:00
5.7°C 9.4°C 9.3°C - 3% 0.25kPa
Tue, Jun 9
24:00
5.4°C 8.9°C 8.5°C - 5% 0.21kPa
01:00
5.2°C 8.4°C 8.2°C - 5% 0.2kPa
02:00
5.2°C 7.9°C 8.1°C - 5% 0.2kPa
03:00
5.4°C 7.6°C 8.2°C - 5% 0.19kPa
04:00
5.8°C 7.5°C 8.6°C - 5% 0.2kPa
05:00
6.3°C 7.5°C 9.6°C - 5% 0.24kPa
06:00
6.4°C 7.8°C 11°C - 5% 0.35kPa
07:00
6.5°C 8.4°C 12°C - 15% 0.45kPa
08:00
6.7°C 9.2°C 13°C - 6% 0.55kPa
09:00
6.6°C 10°C 14°C - 5% 0.64kPa
10:00
6.4°C 11°C 15°C - 5% 0.74kPa
11:00
6.1°C 12°C 16°C - 5% 0.85kPa
12:00
5.9°C 13°C 16°C - 9% 0.92kPa
13:00
5.9°C 14°C 17°C - 40% 0.99kPa
14:00
5.9°C 15°C 17°C - 59% 1kPa
15:00
6°C 16°C 17°C - 79% 1kPa
16:00
5.9°C 16°C 17°C - 79% 0.97kPa
17:00
6°C 16°C 17°C - 89% 0.95kPa
18:00
6.3°C 16°C 16°C - 54% 0.91kPa
19:00
6.6°C 16°C 16°C - 31% 0.87kPa
20:00
7.3°C 16°C 16°C - 5% 0.77kPa
21:00
8.4°C 15°C 15°C - 63% 0.58kPa
22:00
8.9°C 15°C 14°C - 90% 0.41kPa
23:00
8.7°C 14°C 13°C - 35% 0.38kPa
Wed, Jun 10
24:00
8.4°C 13°C 12°C - 55% 0.29kPa
01:00
8.1°C 13°C 11°C - 8% 0.25kPa
02:00
7.9°C 12°C 11°C - 5% 0.22kPa
03:00
7.7°C 12°C 11°C - 5% 0.22kPa
04:00
7.6°C 11°C 11°C - 6% 0.26kPa
05:00
7.6°C 11°C 12°C - 15% 0.32kPa
06:00
6.3°C 11°C 12°C - 6% 0.48kPa
07:00
5°C 11°C 13°C - 31% 0.63kPa
08:00
5.9°C 12°C 14°C - 10% 0.62kPa
09:00
6.8°C 12°C 14°C - 42% 0.62kPa
10:00
6.8°C 13°C 15°C - 79% 0.67kPa
11:00
6.9°C 13°C 14°C - 89% 0.63kPa
12:00
6.7°C 14°C 14°C - 95% 0.65kPa
13:00
6.1°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.79kPa
14:00
5.1°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.82kPa
15:00
6.4°C 14°C 14°C - 100% 0.59kPa
16:00
7.3°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.39kPa
17:00
7.8°C 14°C 11°C - 100% 0.22kPa
18:00
7.9°C 13°C 10°C - 100% 0.19kPa
19:00
7.9°C 13°C 10°C - 100% 0.16kPa
20:00
7.9°C 12°C 9.7°C - 100% 0.14kPa
21:00
7.1°C 12°C 9.5°C - 100% 0.18kPa
22:00
6.3°C 12°C 9.3°C - 100% 0.21kPa
23:00
5.4°C 11°C 9°C - 100% 0.25kPa
Thu, Jun 11
24:00
4.7°C 11°C 9°C - 94% 0.29kPa
01:00
4°C 11°C 9°C - 88% 0.34kPa
02:00
3.2°C 11°C 9°C - 82% 0.38kPa
03:00
2.8°C 11°C 9.1°C - 88% 0.41kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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