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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Tarifa, Spanish Coast & Islands

Tarifa, Andalusia, Spain

Tarifa sits where Atlantic beaches meet the Strait of Gibraltar, offering dunes, wind-shaped shorelines, and layered views toward the Rif mountains.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Low Cloud Cover4%
Mid Cloud Cover0%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation-11.5° (Nautical twilight)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Madrid
fire-sky weather icon
Next opportunity
Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Tarifa
Mon, Aug 24 · 21:00–21:17 · 1h window
Medium confidence
69%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential97.6%
Low Cloud Cover: 0%
Mid Cloud Cover: 0%
High Cloud Cover: 37%
Sun Elevation: -0.1° (Civil twilight)
fire-sky weather icon
Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Tarifa
Mon, Aug 31 · 21:00–21:08
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:88.9%
Medium

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Spanish Coast & Islands. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Tarifa.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Spanish Coast & Islands →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Tarifa during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
8
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Last 90 days
32
recorded matching windows · 72% average confidence
Last 365 days
68
recorded matching windows · 72% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

07:00 local time, shared by 31 of 68 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 19 of 68 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
1matching hours in the next 85 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Madrid
Golden Hour
Any
Fiery Red Sky Potential
≥ 65.0%
Precipitation Chance
≤ 15.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Aug 22
07:007.3%0%24134m
08:0045%0%24134m
09:004.7%0%24134m
10:0015%0%24135m
11:006.2%0%24135m
12:006.8%0%24134m
13:0010%0%24134m
14:004.7%0%24134m
15:006.4%0%24135m
16:004.7%0%24134m
17:004.7%0%24134m
18:004.7%0%24135m
19:004.7%0%24134m
20:004.7%0%24134m
21:0042%0%19712m
22:004.7%0%24134m
23:004.7%0%24135m
Sun, Aug 23
24:004.7%0%24134m
01:004.7%0%24134m
02:004.7%0%24134m
03:004.7%0%24134m
04:004.7%0%24134m
05:004.7%0%24134m
06:004.7%0%24134m
07:005%0%24135m
08:0029%0%24135m
09:004.7%0%24135m
10:004.7%0%24134m
11:004.7%0%24134m
12:004.7%0%24134m
13:004.7%0%24135m
14:004.7%0%24135m
15:006.3%0%5264m
16:006.3%0%943m
17:006.3%0%1013m
18:006.1%0%24135m
19:004.8%0%24134m
20:004.7%0%24135m
21:0035%0%24134m
22:004.8%0%24134m
23:004.7%0%24134m
Mon, Aug 24
24:004.8%0%24134m
01:004.8%0%24134m
02:005.3%0%24134m
03:004.7%0%24134m
04:004.7%0%24134m
05:004.7%0%24135m
06:004.7%0%24134m
07:004.7%0%24134m
08:0028%0%24134m
09:006.2%0%24134m
10:008.9%0%24135m
11:008.8%0%24135m
12:0034%0%24134m
13:0016%0%24134m
14:0025%0%24134m
15:0020%0%24134m
16:0033%0%24135m
17:0034%0%24134m
18:0033%0%24135m
19:0033%0%24134m
20:0033%0%24135m
21:0098%0%24134m
22:009.3%0%24134m
23:005.5%0%24134m
Tue, Aug 25
24:004.7%0%24135m
01:004.7%0%24134m
02:005.8%0%24134m
03:000%0%24134m
04:000%0%24134m
05:000%0%24135m
06:000%0%24135m
07:000%0%24135m
08:0029%0%24135m
09:000%0%24135m
10:000%0%24135m
11:000%0%24135m
12:000%0%24135m
13:000%0%24135m
14:000%0%24135m
15:000%0%24135m
16:000%0%24135m
17:000%0%24135m
18:000%0%24135m
19:000%0%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Madrid
Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)
%
Dust AOD (550nm)
Golden Hour
High Clouds
%
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
RH @ 700 hPa
%
Smoke AOD (550nm)
Solar Elevation
°
Sunshine Duration
seconds
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 07:46 Sunset 21:03
22:00
0.1 97% 4% 0.002 - 0% 4% 0% 8.5% 0.02 -12° 0seconds
23:00
0.1 100% 1% 0.003 - 0% 0% 0% 8.6% 0.02 -22° 0seconds
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 07:46 Sunset 21:03
24:00
0.1 100% 1% 0.004 - 0% 0% 0% 8.4% 0.02 -31° 0seconds
01:00
0.11 100% 0% 0.006 - 0% 0% 0% 8.3% 0.02 -38° 0seconds
02:00
0.11 100% 0% 0.007 - 0% 0% 0% 8.1% 0.02 -42° 0seconds
03:00
0.12 100% 1% 0.006 - 0% 0% 0% 9.2% 0.02 -42° 0seconds
04:00
0.12 100% 2% 0.006 - 0% 0% 0% 10% 0.02 -37° 0seconds
05:00
0.12 100% 3% 0.007 - 0% 0% 0% 12% 0.02 -30° 0seconds
06:00
0.12 100% 3% 0.008 - 0% 0% 0% 23% 0.02 -21° 0seconds
07:00
0.12 100% 2% 0.009 - 0% 0% 0% 34% 0.02 -9.8° 0seconds
08:00
0.12 100% 2% 0.01 - 0% 0% 0% 45% 0.02 0seconds
09:00
0.13 100% 2% 0.01 - 0% 0% 0% 39% 0.02 14° 0seconds
10:00
0.13 100% 3% 0.01 - 0% 0% 0% 33% 0.02 26° 3600seconds
11:00
0.14 100% 3% 0.02 - 0% 0% 0% 28% 0.02 38° 3600seconds
12:00
0.14 100% 3% 0.02 - 0% 0% 0% 23% 0.02 49° 3600seconds
13:00
0.14 100% 2% 0.02 - 0% 0% 0% 19% 0.02 59° 3600seconds
14:00
0.15 100% 2% 0.02 - 0% 4% 0% 15% 0.02 65° 3600seconds
15:00
0.15 94% 6% 0.02 - 0% 11% 0% 14% 0.02 64° 3600seconds
16:00
0.16 89% 10% 0.02 - 0% 15% 0% 13% 0.02 57° 3600seconds
17:00
0.16 83% 14% 0.02 - 0% 15% 0% 13% 0.02 47° 3600seconds
18:00
0.17 79% 15% 0.03 - 0% 0% 0% 11% 0.02 36° 3600seconds
19:00
0.17 76% 17% 0.03 - 0% 0% 0% 10% 0.02 24° 3600seconds
20:00
0.18 72% 18% 0.03 - 0% 0% 0% 8.8% 0.02 12° 3600seconds
21:00
0.19 74% 20% 0.04 - 0% 1% 0% 9.8% 0.02 0.18° 0seconds
22:00
0.19 76% 21% 0.04 - 0% 0% 0% 11% 0.02 -12° 0seconds
23:00
0.18 78% 23% 0.05 - 0% 0% 0% 12% 0.02 -22° 0seconds
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 07:47 Sunset 21:02
24:00
0.17 79% 22% 0.05 - 0% 0% 0% 16% 0.02 -32° 0seconds
01:00
0.17 80% 22% 0.05 - 0% 0% 1% 20% 0.02 -39° 0seconds
02:00
0.16 81% 21% 0.05 - 0% 0% 0% 24% 0.02 -42° 0seconds
03:00
- 81% 22% - - 0% 0% 0% 35% - -42° 0seconds
04:00
- 82% 24% - - 0% 0% 0% 46% - -38° 0seconds
05:00
- 82% 25% - - 0% 0% 0% 57% - -30° 0seconds
06:00
- 81% 24% - - 0% 1% 0% 56% - -21° 0seconds
07:00
- 79% 22% - - 0% 0% 0% 55% - -10° 0seconds
08:00
- 78% 21% - - 0% 0% 0% 55% - 1.9° 0seconds
09:00
- 75% 22% - - 0% 1% 0% 39% - 14° 0seconds
10:00
- 72% 22% - - 0% 7% 0% 24% - 26° 3600seconds
11:00
- 69% 23% - - 6% 0% 0% 8.3% - 38° 3600seconds
12:00
- 69% 21% - - 91% 1% 0% 10% - 49° 3600seconds
13:00
- 68% 19% - - 67% 19% 0% 13% - 58° 3600seconds
14:00
- 68% 17% - - 19% 46% 0% 15% - 64° 3600seconds
15:00
- 59% 22% - - 27% 31% 0% 14% - 64° 3600seconds
16:00
- 49% 26% - - 44% 23% 0% 14% - 57° 3600seconds
17:00
- 40% 31% - - 82% 2% 0% 13% - 47° 3600seconds
18:00
- 41% 30% - - 100% 2% 0% 13% - 36° 3600seconds
19:00
- 41% 28% - - 100% 0% 0% 12% - 24° 3600seconds
20:00
- 42% 27% - - 86% 0% 0% 12% - 11° 3600seconds
21:00
- 55% 26% - - 37% 0% 0% 12% - -0.07° 0seconds
22:00
- 67% 26% - - 5% 0% 0% 11% - -12° 0seconds
23:00
- 80% 25% - - 0% 0% 0% 11% - -23° 0seconds
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 07:48 Sunset 21:00
24:00
- 82% 23% - - 0% 0% 0% 9.6% - -32° 0seconds
01:00
- 85% 21% - - 0% 0% 0% 8.1% - -39° 0seconds
02:00
- 87% 19% - - 0% 3% 0% 6.6% - -43° 0seconds
03:00
- 91% 15% - - 0% 2% 0% 6.8% - -42° 1200seconds
04:00
- 95% 10% - - 0% 1% 0% 6.9% - -38° 2400seconds
05:00
- 99% 6% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.1% - -31° 3600seconds
06:00
- 99% 5% - - 0% 0% 0% 6.9% - -21° 3600seconds
07:00
- 100% 5% - - 0% 0% 0% 6.8% - -10° 3600seconds
08:00
- 100% 4% - - 0% 0% 0% 6.6% - 1.7° 3600seconds
09:00
- 99% 5% - - 0% 0% 0% 6.9% - 13° 3600seconds
10:00
- 99% 6% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.1% - 26° 3600seconds
11:00
- 98% 7% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.4% - 37° 3600seconds
12:00
- 98% 7% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.4% - 49° 3600seconds
13:00
- 99% 6% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.4% - 58° 3600seconds
14:00
- 99% 6% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.4% - 64° 3600seconds
15:00
- 99% 4% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.5% - 63° 2400seconds
16:00
- 100% 3% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.7% - 57° 1200seconds
17:00
- 100% 1% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.8% - 47° 0seconds
18:00
- 100% 2% - - 0% 1% 0% 7.4% - 35° 0seconds
19:00
- 100% 2% - - 0% 1% 0% 7.1% - 23° 0seconds
20:00
- 100% 3% - - 0% 2% 0% 6.7% - 11° 0seconds
21:00
- 100% 2% - - 0% 1% 0% 6.6% - -0.49° 0seconds
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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