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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Kurjenrahka, Southern Finland

Turku, Southwest Finland, Finland

Kurjenrahka’s raised bog has open sedge flats, dark pools, boardwalk lines, and sparse pines that stand clearly against mist and frost.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature15.5°C
Dew Point11.4°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed3.9m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover6%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Helsinki

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours
  • Wind Speed88% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Southern Finland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Kurjenrahka.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Southern Finland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Kurjenrahka during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
4
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence

Only 4 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Helsinki
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Aug 22
22:000%4.1m/s
23:000%4.5m/s
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%4.3m/s
01:000%5m/s
02:000%5.1m/s
03:000%5.4m/s
04:000%6m/s
05:000%6.1m/s
06:000%6.8m/s
07:000%6.6m/s
08:000%6.2m/s
09:000%6.2m/s
10:000%5.9m/s
11:000%5.8m/s
12:000%6.1m/s
13:000%5.9m/s
14:000%5.5m/s
15:000%5.2m/s
16:000%3.8m/s
17:000%3.4m/s
18:000%2.7m/s
19:000%4.6m/s
20:000%4.4m/s
21:000%3.3m/s
22:000%3.3m/s
23:000%3.9m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%3.8m/s
01:000%3.8m/s
02:000%3.6m/s
03:000%3.5m/s
04:000%3.6m/s
05:000%3.5m/s
06:000%3.5m/s
07:000%3.6m/s
08:000%4m/s
09:000%4.4m/s
10:000%4.8m/s
11:000%4.9m/s
12:000%4.9m/s
13:000%4.8m/s
14:000%5m/s
15:000%4.3m/s
16:000%4.6m/s
17:000%5.2m/s
18:000%4.8m/s
19:000%4.6m/s
20:000%3.6m/s
21:000%2.5m/s
22:000%2.6m/s
23:000%2.8m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%3m/s
01:000%3.1m/s
02:000%2.8m/s
03:000%2.8m/s
04:000%2.6m/s
05:000%2.6m/s
06:000%2.6m/s
07:000%2.5m/s
08:000%2.5m/s
09:000%2.7m/s
10:000%2.8m/s
11:000%2.9m/s
12:000%2.7m/s
13:000%2.5m/s
14:000%2.6m/s
15:000%2.8m/s
16:000%3.2m/s
17:000%3.2m/s
18:000%3.3m/s
19:000%3.5m/s
20:000%2.8m/s
21:000%2.4m/s
22:000%2.3m/s
23:000%2.2m/s
Wed, Aug 26
24:000%2m/s
01:000%1.8m/s
02:000%1.8m/s
03:000%1.8m/s
04:000%1.9m/s
05:000%2m/s
06:000%2m/s
07:000%2.1m/s
08:000%2.1m/s
09:000%2.1m/s
10:000%1.5m/s
11:000%0.98m/s
12:000%0.41m/s
13:000%0.66m/s
14:000%0.91m/s
15:000%1.2m/s
16:000%1.3m/s
17:000%1.4m/s
18:000%1.6m/s
19:000%1.3m/s
20:000%0.95m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Helsinki
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:02 Sunset 21:02
23:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 6% 0.18kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:02 Sunset 21:02
24:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 5% 0.17kPa
01:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 5% 0.14kPa
02:00
11°C 15°C 12°C - 5% 0.1kPa
03:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 5% 0.08kPa
04:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 5% 0.08kPa
05:00
10°C 14°C 11°C - 5% 0.09kPa
06:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 5% 0.09kPa
07:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 6% 0.12kPa
08:00
10°C 13°C 13°C - 55% 0.26kPa
09:00
10°C 13°C 15°C - 14% 0.46kPa
10:00
9.6°C 13°C 17°C - 56% 0.69kPa
11:00
9.3°C 14°C 18°C - 31% 0.87kPa
12:00
9.1°C 14°C 19°C - 23% 1kPa
13:00
9.3°C 15°C 20°C - 47% 1.1kPa
14:00
9.4°C 15°C 20°C - 99% 1.1kPa
15:00
10°C 15°C 19°C - 88% 0.89kPa
16:00
10°C 16°C 19°C - 22% 1kPa
17:00
11°C 16°C 19°C - 37% 0.8kPa
18:00
11°C 16°C 19°C - 5% 0.86kPa
19:00
10°C 16°C 18°C - 43% 0.78kPa
20:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 6% 0.61kPa
21:00
10°C 16°C 14°C - 6% 0.34kPa
22:00
10°C 16°C 13°C - 12% 0.25kPa
23:00
9.8°C 15°C 12°C - 8% 0.21kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:05 Sunset 20:59
24:00
9.8°C 15°C 12°C - 5% 0.19kPa
01:00
9.6°C 15°C 11°C - 5% 0.15kPa
02:00
9.6°C 14°C 11°C - 4% 0.11kPa
03:00
9.3°C 14°C 10°C - 0% 0.08kPa
04:00
9.1°C 14°C 9.8°C - 5% 0.05kPa
05:00
8.8°C 13°C 9.4°C - 11% 0.04kPa
06:00
8.5°C 13°C 9.1°C - 13% 0.04kPa
07:00
8.4°C 13°C 9.4°C - 9% 0.07kPa
08:00
8.4°C 12°C 11°C - 16% 0.25kPa
09:00
7.9°C 13°C 14°C - 14% 0.54kPa
10:00
7.3°C 13°C 16°C - 12% 0.81kPa
11:00
6.7°C 13°C 18°C - 58% 1.1kPa
12:00
6.3°C 14°C 19°C - 6% 1.3kPa
13:00
6.7°C 14°C 20°C - 8% 1.4kPa
14:00
7.2°C 15°C 21°C - 30% 1.4kPa
15:00
7.7°C 15°C 21°C - 89% 1.5kPa
16:00
8°C 16°C 21°C - 100% 1.4kPa
17:00
9.4°C 16°C 20°C - 100% 1.1kPa
18:00
9.5°C 16°C 20°C - 100% 1.2kPa
19:00
9.9°C 16°C 19°C - 100% 0.99kPa
20:00
10°C 16°C 17°C - 100% 0.68kPa
21:00
10°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.41kPa
22:00
10°C 16°C 13°C - 100% 0.28kPa
23:00
10°C 16°C 13°C - 64% 0.23kPa
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:07 Sunset 20:56
24:00
10°C 15°C 12°C - 5% 0.19kPa
01:00
9.7°C 15°C 12°C - 5% 0.18kPa
02:00
9.4°C 15°C 11°C - 5% 0.18kPa
03:00
9.1°C 14°C 11°C - 2% 0.18kPa
04:00
9.6°C 14°C 14°C - 3% 0.43kPa
05:00
9.5°C 14°C 17°C - 4% 0.78kPa
06:00
8.6°C 14°C 20°C - 5% 1.2kPa
07:00
8.4°C 15°C 20°C - 30% 1.3kPa
08:00
8.2°C 15°C 21°C - 54% 1.4kPa
09:00
7.9°C 16°C 21°C - 79% 1.4kPa
10:00
8°C 16°C 21°C - 60% 1.4kPa
11:00
8°C 16°C 21°C - 41% 1.4kPa
12:00
8°C 17°C 21°C - 22% 1.4kPa
13:00
9.1°C 17°C 20°C - 43% 1.1kPa
14:00
9.8°C 17°C 18°C - 65% 0.87kPa
15:00
10°C 17°C 17°C - 86% 0.65kPa
16:00
10°C 17°C 16°C - 91% 0.61kPa
17:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 95% 0.58kPa
18:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.55kPa
19:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.54kPa
20:00
9.9°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.53kPa
21:00
9.8°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.52kPa
22:00
9.8°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.5kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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