Morning Frost Forecast for Sylva, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Sylva, North Carolina, United States

Sylva's courthouse-topped main street sits in a narrow wooded valley, with nearby ridgelines and the southern Blue Ridge Parkway adding elevation.

0 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 5, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC (one hour; not an observation)

Frost Probability

Soil Temperature18.0°C

Dew Point15.5°C

Wind Speed0.9m/s

Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No matching opportunities in this 14-day forecast

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in America/New_York.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (America/New_York)	Dew Point	Surface Temperature	Temperature	Time Window	Total Cloud Coverage	Vapor Pressure Deficit
Mon, Oct 5, 2026Sunrise 07:31 · Sunset 19:10
02:00 Night	16°C	18°C	18°C	Unavailable	100%	0.29kPa
03:00 Night	15°C	18°C	18°C	Unavailable	100%	0.34kPa
04:00 Night	15°C	17°C	17°C	Unavailable	100%	0.32kPa
05:00 Night	14°C	17°C	17°C	Unavailable	100%	0.31kPa
06:00 Night	13°C	17°C	17°C	Unavailable	100%	0.38kPa
07:00 Night	13°C	17°C	17°C	Unavailable	100%	0.37kPa
08:00	13°C	17°C	16°C	Unavailable	100%	0.31kPa
09:00	15°C	19°C	18°C	Unavailable	100%	0.37kPa
10:00	15°C	21°C	20°C	Unavailable	100%	0.63kPa
11:00	13°C	23°C	23°C	Unavailable	93%	1.3kPa
12:00	11°C	25°C	24°C	Unavailable	100%	1.7kPa
13:00	11°C	26°C	26°C	Unavailable	100%	2kPa
14:00	11°C	27°C	27°C	Unavailable	100%	2.2kPa
15:00	9.3°C	27°C	28°C	Unavailable	0%	2.5kPa
16:00	6.9°C	27°C	28°C	Unavailable	0%	2.7kPa
17:00	4.2°C	25°C	26°C	Unavailable	0%	2.5kPa
18:00	5.9°C	23°C	24°C	Unavailable	0%	2.1kPa
19:00	5.7°C	19°C	21°C	Unavailable	0%	1.6kPa
20:00 Night	4.8°C	17°C	19°C	Unavailable	0%	1.3kPa
21:00 Night	5.6°C	16°C	17°C	Unavailable	0%	1.1kPa
22:00 Night	5.3°C	14°C	16°C	Unavailable	0%	0.96kPa
23:00 Night	4.4°C	14°C	16°C	Unavailable	0%	0.94kPa
Tue, Oct 6, 2026Sunrise 07:32 · Sunset 19:09
24:00 Night	2.7°C	13°C	15°C	Unavailable	0%	0.98kPa
01:00 Night	1.9°C	13°C	15°C	Unavailable	0%	0.97kPa
02:00 Night	1.9°C	12°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.89kPa
03:00 Night	1.6°C	12°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.91kPa
04:00 Night	2.2°C	12°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.87kPa
05:00 Night	3.7°C	12°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.76kPa
06:00 Night	4.2°C	12°C	13°C	Unavailable	0%	0.67kPa
07:00 Night	4.1°C	12°C	12°C	Unavailable	0%	0.59kPa
08:00	4.2°C	13°C	12°C	Unavailable	0%	0.55kPa
09:00	5.4°C	17°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.7kPa
10:00	5.2°C	21°C	17°C	Unavailable	0%	1kPa
11:00	6.7°C	22°C	20°C	Unavailable	0%	1.3kPa
12:00	7.2°C	24°C	21°C	Unavailable	0%	1.5kPa
13:00	7.4°C	25°C	23°C	Unavailable	0%	1.8kPa
14:00	8°C	26°C	24°C	Unavailable	0%	1.9kPa
15:00	9°C	26°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	2kPa
16:00	9.2°C	25°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	2kPa
17:00	8.3°C	23°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	2kPa
18:00	10°C	21°C	24°C	Unavailable	7%	1.7kPa
19:00	12°C	18°C	20°C	Unavailable	40%	0.88kPa
20:00 Night	12°C	16°C	18°C	Unavailable	70%	0.61kPa
21:00 Night	13°C	15°C	17°C	Unavailable	65%	0.43kPa
22:00 Night	12°C	14°C	16°C	Unavailable	67%	0.35kPa
23:00 Night	12°C	13°C	15°C	Unavailable	0%	0.26kPa
Wed, Oct 7, 2026Sunrise 07:32 · Sunset 19:07
24:00 Night	12°C	12°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.24kPa
01:00 Night	12°C	12°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.2kPa
02:00 Night	11°C	11°C	13°C	Unavailable	1%	0.17kPa
03:00 Night	11°C	11°C	13°C	Unavailable	0%	0.13kPa
04:00 Night	11°C	10°C	12°C	Unavailable	0%	0.12kPa
05:00 Night	11°C	9.4°C	12°C	Unavailable	0%	0.11kPa
06:00 Night	11°C	8.8°C	12°C	Unavailable	0%	0.11kPa
07:00 Night	11°C	8.8°C	12°C	Unavailable	0%	0.1kPa
08:00	11°C	9.5°C	12°C	Unavailable	0%	0.14kPa
09:00	12°C	14°C	16°C	Unavailable	0%	0.41kPa
10:00	12°C	18°C	19°C	Unavailable	0%	0.77kPa
11:00	13°C	22°C	21°C	Unavailable	0%	1.1kPa
12:00	13°C	24°C	23°C	Unavailable	0%	1.4kPa
13:00	12°C	25°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	1.7kPa
14:00	11°C	26°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	1.9kPa
15:00	10°C	27°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	2kPa
16:00	10°C	26°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	1.9kPa
17:00	11°C	24°C	25°C	Unavailable	0%	1.8kPa
18:00	14°C	22°C	23°C	Unavailable	0%	1.2kPa
19:00	12°C	18°C	19°C	Unavailable	0%	0.75kPa
20:00 Night	12°C	16°C	17°C	Unavailable	0%	0.5kPa
21:00 Night	12°C	14°C	16°C	Unavailable	0%	0.34kPa
22:00 Night	12°C	14°C	15°C	Unavailable	0%	0.27kPa
23:00 Night	12°C	14°C	15°C	Unavailable	0%	0.25kPa
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise 07:33 · Sunset 19:06
24:00 Night	12°C	13°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.23kPa
01:00 Night	12°C	12°C	14°C	Unavailable	0%	0.21kPa

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Sylva.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Sylva during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 64% average confidence

Most represented month

February, with 9 of 12 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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