Skip to content
PhotoWeather
Get started
More Morning Frost in Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge
Create your own alerts
Rule Morning Frost

Blowing Rock - Morning Frost - Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Blowing Rock, North Carolina, United States

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

Get notified
Free alerts · takes 30 seconds
Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Time Window 88% failing
Wind Speed 78% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Frost Probability
0%
Soil Temperature19.6°C
Dew Point19.5°C (high dew point)
Wind Speed5.1m/s (moderate winds)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts the first hard frost events that enhance the Smokies' autumn landscapes with crystalline textures. We track overnight temperatures, humidity, and elevation to identify when frost will coat mountain meadows, overlooks, and exposed vegetation with sparkling ice crystals at dawn.

The Smokies' elevation range means frost arrives at different times depending on altitude. Clingmans Dome and high overlooks can see frost as early as late September, while valleys may not freeze until late October or November. This staggered frost timing extends the season for frost photography and creates interesting elevation-based opportunities.

What makes Smoky Mountains frost photography exceptional:

  • Mountain meadows - High-elevation grassy areas like Andrews Bald develop heavy frost coverage on clear nights
  • Clingmans Dome conditions - At 6,643 feet, the highest point often experiences hoar frost creating alien landscapes
  • Frozen waterfalls - Later season frost leads to ice formations on the Smokies' countless waterfalls
  • Foliage combination - Early season frost can coincide with peak color, coating colorful leaves with ice crystals

Best frost photography requires clear, calm nights with temperatures dropping into the mid-20s Fahrenheit. High elevation locations experience frost most reliably, while valley locations need colder conditions. Arrive before dawn to catch frost plus first light—frost melts quickly after sunrise. Classic locations include Clingmans Dome observation tower, Grassy patches along Appalachian Trail, and roadside overlooks above 5,000 feet elevation.

Create your own Morning Frost alerts

Get notified when these conditions match at your own locations.

Get this template

72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, Jun 14
01:00✕0%0.58m/s
02:00✕0%0.91m/s
03:00✕0%0.87m/s
04:00✕0%1.6m/s
05:00✓0%1.1m/s
06:00✓0%0.73m/s
07:00✓0%0.7m/s
08:00✕0%0.43m/s
09:00✕0%0.99m/s
10:00✕0%1.8m/s
11:00✕0%2.6m/s
12:00✕0%3.1m/s
13:00✕0%4m/s
14:00✕0%3.7m/s
15:00✕0%5m/s
16:00✕0%5.1m/s
17:00✕0%2.2m/s
18:00✕0%3m/s
19:00✕0%3.5m/s
20:00✕0%4m/s
21:00✕0%3.8m/s
22:00✕0%4.1m/s
23:00✕0%4m/s
Mon, Jun 15
24:00✕0%3.3m/s
01:00✕0%3.1m/s
02:00✕0%2.6m/s
03:00✕0%2.3m/s
04:00✕0%2.1m/s
05:00✓0%2.2m/s
06:00✓0%2.1m/s
07:00✓0%2m/s
08:00✕0%2.1m/s
09:00✕0%2.3m/s
10:00✕0%2.9m/s
11:00✕0%3.6m/s
12:00✕0%3.6m/s
13:00✕0%3.7m/s
14:00✕0%3.2m/s
15:00✕0%3.6m/s
16:00✕0%3.8m/s
17:00✕0%3.7m/s
18:00✕0%4m/s
19:00✕0%3.5m/s
20:00✕0%2.2m/s
21:00✕0%1.9m/s
22:00✕0%1.8m/s
23:00✕0%1.8m/s
Tue, Jun 16
24:00✕0%1.8m/s
01:00✕0%1.5m/s
02:00✕0%1.1m/s
03:00✕0%1.3m/s
04:00✕0%1.3m/s
05:00✓0%1.4m/s
06:00✓0%1.2m/s
07:00✓0%1.2m/s
08:00✕0%1.3m/s
09:00✕0%0.97m/s
10:00✕0%1m/s
11:00✕0%1.4m/s
12:00✕0%1.5m/s
13:00✕0%2.4m/s
14:00✕0%2.8m/s
15:00✕0%3.8m/s
16:00✕0%3.7m/s
17:00✕0%4.1m/s
18:00✕0%4.1m/s
19:00✕0%3.3m/s
20:00✕0%2m/s
21:00✕0%1.8m/s
22:00✕0%1.5m/s
23:00✕0%1.3m/s
Wed, Jun 17
24:00✕0%1.2m/s
01:00✕0%1m/s
02:00✕0%0.92m/s
03:00✕0%1.2m/s
04:00✕0%1.5m/s
05:00✓0%1.9m/s
06:00✓0%2.4m/s
07:00✓0%2.9m/s
08:00✕0%3.4m/s
09:00✕0%3.5m/s
10:00✕0%3.6m/s
11:00✕0%3.7m/s
12:00✕0%3.5m/s
13:00✕0%3.3m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Jun 14 Sunrise 06:09 Sunset 20:44
16:00
20°C 20°C 20°C - 100% 0.07kPa
17:00
18°C 20°C 18°C - 91% 0.04kPa
18:00
18°C 19°C 20°C - 100% 0.34kPa
19:00
17°C 19°C 21°C - 97% 0.45kPa
20:00 ☾
17°C 19°C 20°C - 100% 0.4kPa
21:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 19°C - 100% 0.35kPa
22:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 19°C - 26% 0.36kPa
23:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 18°C - 55% 0.28kPa
Mon, Jun 15 Sunrise 06:09 Sunset 20:45
24:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 18°C - 100% 0.23kPa
01:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 18°C - 41% 0.19kPa
02:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 16°C - 64% 0.04kPa
03:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 16°C - 98% 0.03kPa
04:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 17°C - 100% 0.08kPa
05:00 ☾
16°C 19°C 16°C - 100% 0.08kPa
06:00 ☾
15°C 19°C 16°C - 100% 0.05kPa
07:00
15°C 19°C 15°C - 100% 0.05kPa
08:00
14°C 18°C 15°C - 73% 0.05kPa
09:00
14°C 18°C 15°C - 100% 0.19kPa
10:00
13°C 18°C 16°C - 77% 0.36kPa
11:00
12°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.65kPa
12:00
9.6°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 1kPa
13:00
9°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 1kPa
14:00
8.7°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.96kPa
15:00
8.3°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 1.1kPa
16:00
9.2°C 18°C 21°C - 100% 1.3kPa
17:00
9.3°C 18°C 21°C - 100% 1.3kPa
18:00
9.4°C 18°C 20°C - 6% 1.2kPa
19:00
10°C 18°C 19°C - 98% 0.93kPa
20:00 ☾
11°C 18°C 16°C - 48% 0.54kPa
21:00 ☾
11°C 18°C 14°C - 36% 0.28kPa
22:00 ☾
10°C 18°C 13°C - 20% 0.22kPa
23:00 ☾
10°C 18°C 12°C - 100% 0.2kPa
Tue, Jun 16 Sunrise 06:09 Sunset 20:45
24:00 ☾
10°C 18°C 12°C - 100% 0.2kPa
01:00 ☾
10°C 18°C 12°C - 100% 0.16kPa
02:00 ☾
10°C 17°C 12°C - 100% 0.11kPa
03:00 ☾
10°C 17°C 11°C - 100% 0.1kPa
04:00 ☾
10°C 17°C 11°C - 100% 0.11kPa
05:00 ☾
10°C 17°C 13°C - 100% 0.23kPa
06:00 ☾
9.9°C 17°C 11°C - 100% 0.09kPa
07:00
10°C 17°C 12°C - 100% 0.16kPa
08:00
10°C 17°C 14°C - 100% 0.38kPa
09:00
10°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.64kPa
10:00
11°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.89kPa
11:00
11°C 17°C 21°C - 98% 1.1kPa
12:00
10°C 17°C 23°C - 100% 1.5kPa
13:00
9.5°C 17°C 24°C - 89% 1.7kPa
14:00
9.2°C 17°C 24°C - 22% 1.8kPa
15:00
8.9°C 17°C 24°C - 26% 1.9kPa
16:00
8.8°C 18°C 24°C - 5% 1.8kPa
17:00
9.1°C 18°C 23°C - 12% 1.7kPa
18:00
10°C 18°C 21°C - 18% 1.3kPa
19:00
11°C 18°C 20°C - 27% 0.99kPa
20:00 ☾
11°C 18°C 17°C - 14% 0.63kPa
21:00 ☾
9.6°C 19°C 16°C - 10% 0.65kPa
22:00 ☾
8.5°C 19°C 16°C - 7% 0.67kPa
23:00 ☾
7.4°C 20°C 15°C - 4% 0.68kPa
Wed, Jun 17 Sunrise 06:09 Sunset 20:45
24:00 ☾
8.3°C 20°C 16°C - 7% 0.76kPa
01:00 ☾
9.2°C 20°C 18°C - 11% 0.84kPa
02:00 ☾
10°C 20°C 19°C - 14% 0.94kPa
03:00 ☾
10°C 20°C 21°C - 15% 1.3kPa
04:00 ☾
10°C 20°C 24°C - 17% 1.8kPa
05:00 ☾
9.5°C 20°C 27°C - 18% 2.3kPa
06:00 ☾
9.5°C 20°C 28°C - 22% 2.6kPa
07:00
9.3°C 21°C 29°C - 25% 2.9kPa
08:00
9.1°C 21°C 31°C - 28% 3.2kPa
09:00
9.8°C 21°C 31°C - 46% 3.2kPa
10:00
11°C 22°C 31°C - 64% 3.2kPa
11:00
11°C 22°C 31°C - 82% 3.1kPa
12:00
15°C 22°C 29°C - 87% 2.3kPa
13:00
17°C 22°C 27°C - 93% 1.7kPa
14:00
19°C 22°C 25°C - 98% 1.1kPa
15:00
19°C 22°C 24°C - 84% 0.8kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

Get Notified of Opportunities

Create your own custom alerts for this location and more.

Create Free Account