Painted Sky Forecast for Asheville, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge
Asheville anchors Blue Ridge Parkway access to layered mountain overlooks and Mount Mitchell, alongside streets shaped by the city's creative character.
Currently
Real-time conditionsUpcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
No opportunities in the next 14 days
See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.
Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)
- Painted Sky Potential99% of hours
- Precipitation Chance86% of hours
- Golden Hour83% of hours
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Painted Sky conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Asheville.
Explore Painted Sky conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Asheville during the last 365 days.
Only 6 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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95-hour requirements breakdown
When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.
Time America/New_York | Golden Hour Any | Painted Sky Potential ≥ 80.0% | Wind Speed ≤ 6.0m/s | Precipitation Chance ≤ 10.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Aug 12 | ||||
| 10:00 | ✕ | 23% | 2.5m/s | 0% |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 18% | 4.3m/s | 0% |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 33% | 4.7m/s | 19% |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 29% | 5.2m/s | 38% |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 26% | 5.4m/s | 56% |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 25% | 3.9m/s | 50% |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 29% | 3.9m/s | 44% |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 35% | 2.6m/s | 39% |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 31% | 1.7m/s | 45% |
| 19:00 | ✓ | 76% | 1.2m/s | 50% |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 48% | 1.2m/s | 56% |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 22% | 1.2m/s | 62% |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 15% | 1.2m/s | 33% |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 15% | 1.5m/s | 4.9% |
| Thu, Aug 13 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 27% | 1.9m/s | 3.3% |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 21% | 1.4m/s | 1.6% |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 24% | 1.1m/s | 0% |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 24% | 1.6m/s | 3.1% |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 23% | 1.5m/s | 6.2% |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 20% | 1.7m/s | 9.3% |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 28% | 1.8m/s | 23% |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 31% | 1.7m/s | 36% |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 25% | 1.4m/s | 50% |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 18% | 1.6m/s | 32% |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 22% | 2.1m/s | 41% |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 23% | 2.6m/s | 51% |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 24% | 2.8m/s | 57% |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 23% | 2.7m/s | 63% |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 27% | 2.8m/s | 68% |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 33% | 3.9m/s | 50% |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 42% | 1.8m/s | 32% |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 36% | 2.5m/s | 14% |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 35% | 3.6m/s | 22% |
| 19:00 | ✓ | 78% | 3m/s | 31% |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 30% | 2m/s | 39% |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 18% | 1.7m/s | 28% |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 15% | 1.3m/s | 16% |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 18% | 1.6m/s | 4.9% |
| Fri, Aug 14 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 20% | 1.5m/s | 3.3% |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 17% | 1.4m/s | 1.6% |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 16% | 1.5m/s | 0% |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 17% | 1.4m/s | 5.3% |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 20% | 1.3m/s | 11% |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 15% | 1.4m/s | 16% |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 59% | 1.5m/s | 20% |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 28% | 1.6m/s | 25% |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 27% | 1.4m/s | 30% |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 18% | 1.4m/s | 48% |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 21% | 1.9m/s | 66% |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 21% | 2.6m/s | 84% |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 21% | 3.2m/s | 89% |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 21% | 3.7m/s | 93% |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 30% | 3.8m/s | 98% |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 35% | 4m/s | 78% |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 29% | 3.6m/s | 58% |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 34% | 1.9m/s | 39% |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 36% | 0.46m/s | 45% |
| 19:00 | ✓ | 61% | 2.3m/s | 50% |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 56% | 0.61m/s | 56% |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 30% | 1m/s | 48% |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 28% | 1.4m/s | 39% |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 25% | 0.32m/s | 31% |
| Sat, Aug 15 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 18% | 0.88m/s | 33% |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 18% | 0.52m/s | 35% |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 21% | 0.8m/s | 38% |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 19% | 1.4m/s | 39% |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 16% | 1.2m/s | 40% |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 16% | 1.3m/s | 41% |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 27% | 1.3m/s | 53% |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 31% | 1.2m/s | 66% |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 22% | 1.1m/s | 79% |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 14% | 1.1m/s | 85% |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 16% | 1.1m/s | 91% |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 22% | 1.2m/s | 97% |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 22% | 1.3m/s | 98% |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 26% | 1.3m/s | 98% |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 28% | 1.2m/s | 99% |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 34% | 1m/s | 72% |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 24% | 1m/s | 46% |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 29% | 1m/s | 19% |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 22% | 0.98m/s | 23% |
| 19:00 | ✓ | 69% | 1.1m/s | 27% |
| 20:00 | ✓ | 81% | 1.9m/s | 31% |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 31% | 1.6m/s | 22% |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 7.8% | 1.4m/s | 14% |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 3.6% | 1.1m/s | 4.9% |
| Sun, Aug 16 | ||||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 5.4% | 1.2m/s | 3.3% |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 8.7% | 1.2m/s | 1.6% |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 12% | 1.3m/s | 0% |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 12% | 1.4m/s | 6.1% |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 11% | 1.4m/s | 12% |
| 05:00 | ✕ | 3.7% | 1.5m/s | 18% |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 23% | 2.3m/s | 25% |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 26% | 3.1m/s | 31% |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 5.1% | 3.9m/s | 37% |
What does Painted Sky Potential mean?
Inputs that drive the scoreThis derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.
| Time America/New_York | Golden Hour | High Clouds % | Low Clouds % | Mid-Level Clouds % | Total Cloud Coverage % | Visibility m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Aug 13
Sunrise 06:48
Sunset 20:21 | ||||||
| 11:00 | - | 33% | 0% | 5% | 33% | 24134m |
| 12:00 | - | 42% | 0% | 4% | 42% | 24134m |
| 13:00 | - | 15% | 12% | 5% | 20% | 24134m |
| 14:00 | - | 90% | 70% | 5% | 90% | 24134m |
| 15:00 | - | 52% | 100% | 57% | 100% | 24134m |
| 16:00 | - | 52% | 54% | 44% | 54% | 24134m |
| 17:00 | - | 38% | 6% | 23% | 38% | 24135m |
| 18:00 | - | 60% | 8% | 13% | 60% | 24134m |
| 19:00 | - | 61% | 0% | 17% | 61% | 24135m |
| 20:00
☾
| - | 100% | 0% | 2% | 100% | 24135m |
| 21:00
☾
| - | 96% | 0% | 0% | 96% | 24118m |
| 22:00
☾
| - | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 24135m |
| 23:00
☾
| - | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 24134m |
| Fri, Aug 14
Sunrise 06:48
Sunset 20:20 | ||||||
| 24:00
☾
| - | 19% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 24135m |
| 01:00
☾
| - | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 24134m |
| 02:00
☾
| - | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 24134m |
| 03:00
☾
| - | 80% | 0% | 0% | 80% | 24135m |
| 04:00
☾
| - | 59% | 0% | 0% | 59% | 24134m |
| 05:00
☾
| - | 89% | 0% | 0% | 89% | 24135m |
| 06:00
☾
| - | 36% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 24135m |
| 07:00 | - | 5% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 24135m |
| 08:00 | - | 55% | 0% | 5% | 55% | 24134m |
| 09:00 | - | 91% | 0% | 5% | 91% | 24134m |
| 10:00 | - | 100% | 0% | 16% | 100% | 24134m |
| 11:00 | - | 100% | 0% | 11% | 100% | 24135m |
| 12:00 | - | 100% | 0% | 4% | 100% | 24135m |
| 13:00 | - | 100% | 0% | 5% | 100% | 24135m |
| 14:00 | - | 17% | 12% | 5% | 23% | 24135m |
| 15:00 | - | 26% | 60% | 5% | 60% | 24135m |
| 16:00 | - | 37% | 84% | 5% | 84% | 24135m |
| 17:00 | - | 74% | 64% | 2% | 74% | 24135m |
| 18:00 | - | 100% | 69% | 22% | 100% | 24118m |
| 19:00 | - | 100% | 26% | 73% | 100% | 2882m |
| 20:00
☾
| - | 100% | 20% | 100% | 100% | 1214m |
| 21:00
☾
| - | 81% | 9% | 3% | 81% | 24135m |
| 22:00
☾
| - | 44% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 24134m |
| 23:00
☾
| - | 38% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 24134m |
| Sat, Aug 15
Sunrise 06:49
Sunset 20:19 | ||||||
| 24:00
☾
| - | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 24135m |
| 01:00
☾
| - | 17% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 24134m |
| 02:00
☾
| - | 64% | 0% | 0% | 64% | 24135m |
| 03:00
☾
| - | 73% | 0% | 0% | 73% | 24135m |
| 04:00
☾
| - | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 24134m |
| 05:00
☾
| - | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 24134m |
| 06:00
☾
| - | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 24135m |
| 07:00 | - | 87% | 0% | 0% | 87% | 24135m |
| 08:00 | - | 57% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 24135m |
| 09:00 | - | 87% | 0% | 0% | 87% | 24134m |
| 10:00 | - | 73% | 0% | 0% | 73% | 24134m |
| 11:00 | - | 62% | 0% | 0% | 62% | 24134m |
| 12:00 | - | 69% | 0% | 0% | 69% | 24134m |
| 13:00 | - | 74% | 1% | 4% | 74% | 24135m |
| 14:00 | - | 68% | 27% | 0% | 68% | 24134m |
| 15:00 | - | 22% | 42% | 0% | 42% | 24134m |
| 16:00 | - | 10% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 24134m |
| 17:00 | - | 5% | 100% | 54% | 100% | 24134m |
| 18:00 | - | 5% | 97% | 0% | 97% | 24118m |
| 19:00 | - | 1% | 24% | 0% | 24% | 24135m |
| 20:00
☾
| - | 28% | 53% | 0% | 53% | 24118m |
| 21:00
☾
| - | 52% | 35% | 1% | 69% | 24124m |
| 22:00
☾
| - | 76% | 18% | 2% | 84% | 24129m |
| 23:00
☾
| - | 100% | 0% | 4% | 100% | 24135m |
| Sun, Aug 16
Sunrise 06:50
Sunset 20:17 | ||||||
| 24:00
☾
| - | 84% | 0% | 2% | 84% | 24135m |
| 01:00
☾
| - | 69% | 0% | 1% | 69% | 24135m |
| 02:00
☾
| - | 53% | 0% | 0% | 53% | 24135m |
| 03:00
☾
| - | 37% | 0% | 1% | 37% | 24135m |
| 04:00
☾
| - | 21% | 0% | 2% | 21% | 24135m |
| 05:00
☾
| - | 5% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 24135m |
| 06:00
☾
| - | 6% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 24135m |
| 07:00 | - | 7% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 24135m |
| 08:00 | - | 9% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 24135m |
| 09:00 | - | 7% | 9% | 4% | 13% | 24135m |
| 10:00 | - | 6% | 13% | 2% | 16% | 24135m |
How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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