Skip to content
Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Shetland Islands, Scotland

Lerwick, Scotland, United Kingdom

Shetland pairs rugged sea stacks, cliffs and sheltered voes with treeless moorland, while seabird colonies provide a major subject in spring and summer.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature11.6°C
Dew Point10.0°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.3m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover42%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (93-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Wind Speed100% of hours
  • Time Window83% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Scotland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Shetland Islands.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Scotland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Shetland Islands during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
2
recorded matching windows · 77% average confidence

Only 2 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

Create your own Morning Frost alerts

Get notified when these conditions match at your own locations.

Get this template

93-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 93-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 93 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, Aug 23
05:000%4.1m/s
06:000%3.9m/s
07:000%3.6m/s
08:000%3.8m/s
09:000%3.9m/s
10:000%3.6m/s
11:000%3.8m/s
12:000%3.6m/s
13:000%3.4m/s
14:000%4m/s
15:000%4m/s
16:000%4.4m/s
17:000%4.6m/s
18:000%4.6m/s
19:000%3.8m/s
20:000%3m/s
21:000%2.1m/s
22:000%1.9m/s
23:000%1.9m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%2.2m/s
01:000%2.3m/s
02:000%2.4m/s
03:000%2.4m/s
04:000%2.4m/s
05:000%2.1m/s
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.6m/s
08:000%1.7m/s
09:000%2.3m/s
10:000%2.5m/s
11:000%2.7m/s
12:000%2.9m/s
13:000%3m/s
14:000%3.1m/s
15:000%3.4m/s
16:000%3.6m/s
17:000%3.5m/s
18:000%3.5m/s
19:000%3.3m/s
20:000%2.5m/s
21:000%2.3m/s
22:000%2.3m/s
23:000%2.2m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%2.1m/s
01:000%1.9m/s
02:000%1.9m/s
03:000%2m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%2.1m/s
06:000%2m/s
07:000%2m/s
08:000%2.8m/s
09:000%3.9m/s
10:000%4.2m/s
11:000%4.4m/s
12:000%4.6m/s
13:000%4.4m/s
14:000%4.3m/s
15:000%4.3m/s
16:000%4.2m/s
17:000%4.4m/s
18:000%4.3m/s
19:000%3.8m/s
20:000%3m/s
21:000%3m/s
22:000%3.1m/s
23:000%3.4m/s
Wed, Aug 26
24:000%3.5m/s
01:000%3.5m/s
02:000%3m/s
03:000%2.8m/s
04:000%2.4m/s
05:000%3.3m/s
06:000%2.9m/s
07:000%2.7m/s
08:000%3.9m/s
09:000%5m/s
10:000%6.1m/s
11:000%6.2m/s
12:000%6.3m/s
13:000%6.4m/s
14:000%6.5m/s
15:000%6.7m/s
16:000%6.8m/s
17:000%6.7m/s
18:000%6.7m/s
19:000%6.6m/s
20:000%7.2m/s
21:000%7.8m/s
22:000%8.3m/s
23:000%9.7m/s
Thu, Aug 27
24:000%11m/s
01:000%13m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 05:40 Sunset 20:32
04:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 42% 0.08kPa
05:00
9.3°C 11°C 10°C - 42% 0.08kPa
06:00
8.9°C 11°C 10°C - 28% 0.1kPa
07:00
9.2°C 11°C 11°C - 30% 0.15kPa
08:00
9.2°C 11°C 13°C - 12% 0.32kPa
09:00
8.4°C 11°C 14°C - 5% 0.5kPa
10:00
7.9°C 12°C 15°C - 5% 0.62kPa
11:00
7.8°C 12°C 15°C - 5% 0.7kPa
12:00
7.9°C 13°C 16°C - 5% 0.73kPa
13:00
8.1°C 13°C 16°C - 10% 0.73kPa
14:00
8.3°C 13°C 16°C - 12% 0.71kPa
15:00
8.5°C 14°C 16°C - 10% 0.68kPa
16:00
8.7°C 14°C 16°C - 5% 0.64kPa
17:00
8.9°C 14°C 15°C - 5% 0.59kPa
18:00
9.1°C 15°C 15°C - 5% 0.52kPa
19:00
9.5°C 14°C 14°C - 5% 0.4kPa
20:00
9.9°C 14°C 12°C - 5% 0.23kPa
21:00
9.7°C 14°C 11°C - 4% 0.14kPa
22:00
9.9°C 14°C 11°C - 5% 0.11kPa
23:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 5% 0.1kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 05:40 Sunset 20:32
24:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 51% 0.09kPa
01:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 100% 0.08kPa
02:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 100% 0.08kPa
03:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 100% 0.07kPa
04:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 99% 0.07kPa
05:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 80% 0.07kPa
06:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 62% 0.07kPa
07:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 97% 0.08kPa
08:00
11°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.18kPa
09:00
10°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.28kPa
10:00
9.8°C 12°C 14°C - 100% 0.39kPa
11:00
9.4°C 12°C 14°C - 93% 0.46kPa
12:00
9.2°C 13°C 15°C - 94% 0.52kPa
13:00
9.2°C 13°C 15°C - 99% 0.55kPa
14:00
9.3°C 13°C 15°C - 66% 0.56kPa
15:00
9.3°C 14°C 15°C - 18% 0.55kPa
16:00
9.4°C 14°C 15°C - 5% 0.52kPa
17:00
9.5°C 14°C 14°C - 15% 0.46kPa
18:00
9.6°C 14°C 14°C - 44% 0.39kPa
19:00
10°C 14°C 13°C - 72% 0.28kPa
20:00
10°C 14°C 12°C - 54% 0.15kPa
21:00
10°C 14°C 11°C - 6% 0.09kPa
22:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 9% 0.08kPa
23:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 9% 0.08kPa
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 05:42 Sunset 20:29
24:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 5% 0.08kPa
01:00
10°C 13°C 11°C - 33% 0.07kPa
02:00
11°C 12°C 11°C - 55% 0.05kPa
03:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 57% 0.05kPa
04:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 30% 0.13kPa
05:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 74% 0.1kPa
06:00
10°C 12°C 11°C - 99% 0.06kPa
07:00
11°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.05kPa
08:00
12°C 12°C 13°C - 100% 0.13kPa
09:00
12°C 12°C 14°C - 100% 0.26kPa
10:00
12°C 12°C 15°C - 100% 0.34kPa
11:00
12°C 13°C 16°C - 98% 0.44kPa
12:00
11°C 13°C 17°C - 72% 0.57kPa
13:00
11°C 13°C 17°C - 34% 0.63kPa
14:00
12°C 3251°C 16°C - 36% 0.45kPa
15:00
12°C 6488°C 15°C - 37% 0.29kPa
16:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 38% 0.15kPa
17:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 56% 0.15kPa
18:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 75% 0.16kPa
19:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 93% 0.16kPa
20:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 95% 0.17kPa
21:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 98% 0.18kPa
22:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 100% 0.2kPa
23:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 100% 0.18kPa
Thu, Aug 27 Sunrise 05:44 Sunset 20:26
24:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 100% 0.16kPa
01:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 100% 0.14kPa
02:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 100% 0.17kPa
03:00
12°C 9726°C 14°C - 100% 0.21kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

Get Notified of Opportunities

Create your own custom alerts for this location and more.

Create Free Account