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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Cairngorms, Scotland

Aviemore, Scotland, United Kingdom

Cairngorms compositions range from granite plateaus and Scots pine forest to lochs and broad glens, often simplified by winter snow or low cloud.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-10.6° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Aurora Activity100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage99% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Scotland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Cairngorms.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Scotland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Cairngorms during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
6
recorded matching windows · 64% average confidence

Only 6 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Jul 25
03:000%-10°0%100%24134m
04:000%-6.3°0%100%24134m
05:000%-0.33°0%100%24134m
06:000%6.1°0%100%24134m
07:000%14°0%100%24134m
08:000%22°0%100%20749m
09:000%30°0%67%24134m
10:000%37°0%85%24134m
11:000%44°0%56%24135m
12:000%49°0%100%24135m
13:000%52°0%86%24134m
14:000%52°0%100%24135m
15:000%48°0%100%24134m
16:000%42°0%100%24134m
17:000%35°0%88%24134m
18:000%27°8%75%24135m
19:000%19°8%80%24135m
20:000%11°0%14%24134m
21:000%4.1°0%43%24135m
22:000%-2.4°0%69%24134m
23:000%-7.7°0%82%24134m
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%-11°0%75%24134m
01:000%-13°0%100%24135m
02:000%-13°0%100%23072m
03:000%-11°0%100%14756m
04:000%-6.5°0%100%24135m
05:000%-0.61°0%100%24135m
06:000%5.9°0%100%24135m
07:000%13°0%100%14786m
08:000%21°0%100%19804m
09:000%29°0%100%24135m
10:000%37°0%100%24135m
11:000%44°0%100%24134m
12:000%49°0%99%24134m
13:000%52°0%81%19699m
14:000%52°0%100%11942m
15:000%48°0%100%15788m
16:000%42°0%100%21508m
17:000%35°0%100%24135m
18:000%27°0%100%21169m
19:000%19°0%100%17959m
20:000%11°0%100%24134m
21:000%3.9°0%100%24134m
22:000%-2.6°0%100%24135m
23:000%-8°0%100%18453m
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%-12°0%80%17211m
01:000%-13°0%96%15415m
02:000%-13°0%100%16222m
03:000%-11°0%100%15930m
04:000%-6.7°0%100%19225m
05:000%-0.87°0%100%24134m
06:000%5.7°0%100%24134m
07:000%13°0%100%23536m
08:000%21°0%64%21600m
09:000%29°0%68%24135m
10:000%37°0%100%24135m
11:000%44°0%45%24134m
12:000%49°0%100%24135m
13:000%52°0%95%24134m
14:000%51°0%100%24135m
15:000%48°0%97%24135m
16:000%42°0%99%24134m
17:000%35°0%100%24135m
18:000%27°0%100%24134m
19:000%19°0%100%24135m
20:000%11°0%100%24134m
21:000%3.8°0%100%24134m
22:000%-2.8°0%98%24134m
23:000%-8.2°0%99%24135m
Tue, Jul 28
24:000%-12°0%99%24135m
01:000%-14°0%86%24135m
02:000%-13°0%100%24134m
03:000%-11°0%100%24134m
04:000%-6.9°0%100%24135m
05:000%-1.1°0%100%23417m
06:000%5.6°0%100%24135m
07:000%13°0%100%24134m
08:000%21°0%100%23138m
09:000%29°0%100%22141m
10:000%37°0%100%21145m
11:000%44°0%71%22141m
12:000%49°0%43%23138m
13:000%52°0%14%24135m
14:000%51°0%42%24135m
15:000%48°0%70%24135m
16:000%42°0%99%24135m
17:000%35°0%99%24135m
18:000%27°0%100%24135m
19:000%19°0%100%24135m
20:000%11°0%100%24135m
21:000%3.6°0%100%24135m
22:000%-3.1°0%100%24135m
23:000%-8.4°0%100%16617m
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%-12°0%100%9100m
01:000%-14°0%100%1582m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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