Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Valensole Plateau, Provence

Valensole, Provence, France

Valensole's cultivated lavender rows form converging lines across the plateau, with stone farm buildings and distant Alps providing scale.

7 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)

Fiery Red Sky Potential

Low Cloud Cover53%

Mid Cloud Cover24%

High Cloud Cover95%

Aerosol Optical Depth0.1

Sun Elevation-51.6°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Paris

First upcoming window

Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise

Valensole Plateau

Fri, Oct 9 · 08:00–08:20 · 1h window

Medium confidence

54%

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential65.9%

Low Cloud Cover: 0%

Mid Cloud Cover: 39%

High Cloud Cover: 0%

Sun Elevation: 2.5° (Golden hour)

Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise

Valensole Plateau

Sat, Oct 10 · 08:00–08:22

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:98.3%

Medium

Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset

Valensole Plateau

Sun, Oct 11 · 19:00–19:17

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:93.8%

Medium

Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset

Valensole Plateau

Tue, Oct 13 · 19:00–19:14

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:71.1%

Low

Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset

Valensole Plateau

Wed, Oct 14 · 19:00–19:12

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:100%

Medium

Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise

Valensole Plateau

Sat, Oct 17 · 08:00–08:31

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:83.6%

Low

Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunset

Valensole Plateau

Tue, Oct 20 · 19:00–19:02

🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:65.5%

Low

72-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Europe/Paris.

Most common blockers

Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.

Fiery Red Sky Potential97% of hours
Golden Hour83% of hours
Precipitation Chance17% of hours

2matching hours in the displayed 72-hour forecastJump to first displayed match

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Europe/Paris	Golden Hour Any	Fiery Red Sky Potential ≥ 65.0%	Precipitation Chance ≤ 15.0%	Visibility ≥ 8000.0m
Thu, Oct 8
Rule fails. 01:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 75%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 11700m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 88%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 8660m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 18%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 93%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 4340m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 98%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 1640m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 20%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 100%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 1340m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.6%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 95%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 1580m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 26%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 95%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 760m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 08:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 21%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 83%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 460m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 50%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 740m. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 48%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 17860m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 55%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 28840m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 23%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 33%. Misses requirement	Visibility: 36580m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.6%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 13%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 38000m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.2%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40660m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 39%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41100m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 9.9%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41100m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40500m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 15%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40400m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 52%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40700m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.7%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40560m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 32%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40460m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.5%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40000m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 35%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 5%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39400m. Meets requirement
Fri, Oct 9
Rule fails. 24:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 33%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 38020m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 10%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 38440m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 19%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39440m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 13%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39740m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 38480m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39540m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39640m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 21%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39200m. Meets requirement
Rule passes. 08:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 66%. Meets requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39220m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 10%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39140m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 11%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39800m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 10%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40360m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 34%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40920m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41320m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41640m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 14%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41560m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 14%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 5%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41440m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 34%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41640m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 37%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40840m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 54%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 5%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39750m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 29%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 3%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 38970m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 31%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 2%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 38840m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 22%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 1%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 36900m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 31%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 29600m. Meets requirement
Sat, Oct 10
Rule fails. 24:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 31%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 33660m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 14%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 30580m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 32660m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 31520m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.2%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 32660m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.1%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 33380m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 31880m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 15%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 31540m. Meets requirement
Rule passes. 08:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 98%. Meets requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 30700m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 34520m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 38900m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39920m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40800m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41000m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41000m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41380m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 42260m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 44180m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 43520m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 30%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 42060m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 41060m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 39380m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 37660m. Meets requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40660m. Meets requirement
Sun, Oct 11
Rule fails. 24:00	Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement	Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement	Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement	Visibility: 40620m. Meets requirement

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Europe/Paris)	Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)	Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)	Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)	Dust AOD (550nm)	Golden Hour	High Clouds	Low Clouds	Mid-Level Clouds	RH @ 700 hPa	Smoke AOD (550nm)	Solar Elevation	Sunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise 07:42 · Sunset 19:04
01:00 Night	0.09	0%	11%	0.02	Unavailable	95%	53%	24%	86%	0.01	-52°	0seconds
02:00 Night	0.09	0%	10%	0.01	Unavailable	0%	59%	5%	86%	0.01	-51°	0seconds
03:00 Night	0.06	1%	13%	0.007	Unavailable	0%	72%	46%	87%	0.009	-47°	0seconds
04:00 Night	0.05	2%	17%	0.006	Unavailable	100%	78%	36%	89%	0.009	-39°	0seconds
05:00 Night	0.05	3%	20%	0.004	Unavailable	29%	94%	36%	91%	0.009	-29°	0seconds
06:00 Night	0.05	2%	18%	0.004	Unavailable	0%	98%	13%	93%	0.01	-19°	0seconds
07:00 Night	0.06	1%	16%	0.005	Unavailable	0%	93%	34%	94%	0.01	-8.3°	0seconds
08:00	0.06	0%	14%	0.007	Unavailable	0%	97%	54%	96%	0.01	2.7°	0seconds
09:00	0.07	0%	13%	0.005	Unavailable	0%	76%	41%	96%	0.01	13°	0seconds
10:00	0.07	0%	12%	0.004	Unavailable	0%	82%	37%	97%	0.01	22°	1961seconds
11:00	0.05	0%	11%	0.003	Unavailable	4%	58%	54%	97%	0.009	31°	3023seconds
12:00	0.03	0%	12%	0.001	Unavailable	96%	88%	71%	85%	0.007	37°	3600seconds
13:00	0.03	0%	13%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	80%	6%	73%	0.007	40°	3600seconds
14:00	0.03	0%	14%	0.001	Unavailable	13%	74%	12%	60%	0.008	40°	3600seconds
15:00	0.03	7%	20%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	65%	100%	63%	0.01	36°	3600seconds
16:00	0.03	14%	25%	0.001	Unavailable	100%	90%	100%	65%	0.01	29°	661seconds
17:00	0.03	21%	31%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	52%	0%	68%	0.009	20°	3600seconds
18:00	0.03	23%	31%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	45%	0%	69%	0.008	11°	3600seconds
19:00	0.03	26%	32%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	71%	0.007	0.49°	3600seconds
20:00 Night	0.03	28%	32%	0.001	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	73%	0.007	-11°	0seconds
21:00 Night	0.03	38%	34%	0	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	70%	0.007	-22°	0seconds
22:00 Night	0.03	48%	36%	0	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	67%	0.007	-32°	0seconds
23:00 Night	0.03	58%	38%	0	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	64%	0.007	-41°	0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise 07:43 · Sunset 19:02
24:00 Night	0.03	57%	35%	0	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	59%	0.006	-48°	0seconds
01:00 Night	0.02	57%	32%	0	Unavailable	78%	0%	100%	55%	0.005	-52°	0seconds
02:00 Night	0.02	56%	29%	0	Unavailable	0%	0%	98%	51%	0.005	-51°	0seconds
03:00 Night	Unavailable	64%	27%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	75%	54%	Unavailable	-47°	0seconds
04:00 Night	Unavailable	71%	26%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	37%	57%	Unavailable	-39°	0seconds
05:00 Night	Unavailable	79%	24%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	42%	60%	Unavailable	-30°	0seconds
06:00 Night	Unavailable	79%	23%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	73%	60%	Unavailable	-19°	0seconds
07:00 Night	Unavailable	78%	22%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	34%	60%	Unavailable	-8.5°	0seconds
08:00	Unavailable	78%	21%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	39%	60%	Unavailable	2.5°	0seconds
09:00	Unavailable	78%	22%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	52%	60%	Unavailable	13°	3600seconds
10:00	Unavailable	79%	23%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	57%	60%	Unavailable	22°	3600seconds
11:00	Unavailable	79%	24%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	59%	Unavailable	30°	3600seconds
12:00	Unavailable	79%	22%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	58%	Unavailable	36°	3600seconds
13:00	Unavailable	80%	21%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	58%	Unavailable	40°	3600seconds
14:00	Unavailable	80%	19%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	57%	Unavailable	39°	3600seconds
15:00	Unavailable	72%	21%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	56%	Unavailable	35°	3600seconds
16:00	Unavailable	65%	22%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	56%	Unavailable	29°	3600seconds
17:00	Unavailable	57%	24%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	9%	56%	Unavailable	20°	3600seconds
18:00	Unavailable	56%	25%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	7%	48%	Unavailable	10°	3600seconds
19:00	Unavailable	54%	27%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	41%	Unavailable	0.23°	3504seconds
20:00 Night	Unavailable	53%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	33%	Unavailable	-11°	0seconds
21:00 Night	Unavailable	48%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	26%	29%	35%	Unavailable	-22°	0seconds
22:00 Night	Unavailable	44%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	9%	37%	Unavailable	-32°	0seconds
23:00 Night	Unavailable	39%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	65%	0%	10%	40%	Unavailable	-41°	0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise 07:44 · Sunset 19:00
24:00 Night	Unavailable	35%	27%	Unavailable	Unavailable	82%	0%	22%	46%	Unavailable	-48°	0seconds
01:00 Night	Unavailable	32%	27%	Unavailable	Unavailable	37%	0%	13%	53%	Unavailable	-52°	0seconds
02:00 Night	Unavailable	28%	26%	Unavailable	Unavailable	76%	0%	29%	60%	Unavailable	-52°	0seconds
03:00 Night	Unavailable	25%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	100%	0%	27%	59%	Unavailable	-47°	0seconds
04:00 Night	Unavailable	22%	30%	Unavailable	Unavailable	100%	0%	35%	58%	Unavailable	-39°	0seconds
05:00 Night	Unavailable	19%	32%	Unavailable	Unavailable	98%	0%	46%	57%	Unavailable	-30°	0seconds
06:00 Night	Unavailable	17%	31%	Unavailable	Unavailable	100%	0%	0%	54%	Unavailable	-20°	0seconds
07:00 Night	Unavailable	16%	29%	Unavailable	Unavailable	100%	0%	97%	50%	Unavailable	-8.7°	0seconds
08:00	Unavailable	14%	28%	Unavailable	Unavailable	23%	0%	38%	46%	Unavailable	2.3°	0seconds
09:00	Unavailable	21%	32%	Unavailable	Unavailable	96%	0%	0%	46%	Unavailable	12°	1325seconds
10:00	Unavailable	28%	37%	Unavailable	Unavailable	1%	0%	0%	45%	Unavailable	22°	3600seconds
11:00	Unavailable	35%	41%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	44%	Unavailable	30°	3600seconds
12:00	Unavailable	38%	39%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	45%	Unavailable	36°	3600seconds
13:00	Unavailable	42%	37%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	46%	Unavailable	39°	3600seconds
14:00	Unavailable	45%	35%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	47%	Unavailable	39°	3600seconds
15:00	Unavailable	60%	30%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	13%	0%	39%	Unavailable	35°	3600seconds
16:00	Unavailable	75%	24%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	25%	0%	31%	Unavailable	28°	3600seconds
17:00	Unavailable	90%	19%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	24%	Unavailable	20°	3600seconds
18:00	Unavailable	91%	17%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	22%	Unavailable	10°	3600seconds
19:00	Unavailable	93%	15%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	21%	Unavailable	-0.07°	3403seconds
20:00 Night	Unavailable	94%	13%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	20%	Unavailable	-11°	0seconds
21:00 Night	Unavailable	93%	16%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	21%	Unavailable	-22°	0seconds
22:00 Night	Unavailable	93%	18%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	22%	Unavailable	-32°	0seconds
23:00 Night	Unavailable	92%	21%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	23%	Unavailable	-42°	0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise 07:45 · Sunset 18:59
24:00 Night	Unavailable	90%	21%	Unavailable	Unavailable	0%	0%	0%	27%	Unavailable	-49°	0seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Provence. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Valensole Plateau.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Provence →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Valensole Plateau during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 76% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 74% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 73% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 22 of 69 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

June, with 15 of 69 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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