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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Winnats Pass, Peak District

Hope Valley, England, United Kingdom

Winnats Pass carries a steep, winding road between the exposed limestone walls of a collapsed cavern near Castleton. The road’s converging bends suit compressed views from above, while the craggy gorge floor provides a tighter subject than the Peak District’s open gritstone edges.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature13.9°C
Dew Point8.2°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.6m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover0%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Wind Speed90% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Peak District. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Winnats Pass.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Peak District →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Winnats Pass during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
0
recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Aug 22
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.6m/s
08:000%1m/s
09:000%0.7m/s
10:000%1.6m/s
11:000%2.4m/s
12:000%2.8m/s
13:000%3.8m/s
14:000%3.6m/s
15:000%4.4m/s
16:000%4.5m/s
17:000%4.5m/s
18:000%3.7m/s
19:000%2.7m/s
20:000%2.7m/s
21:000%2.6m/s
22:000%2.4m/s
23:000%2.3m/s
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%2m/s
01:000%1.9m/s
02:000%1.8m/s
03:000%1.8m/s
04:000%1.8m/s
05:000%1.8m/s
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.7m/s
08:000%1.5m/s
09:000%2m/s
10:000%2.3m/s
11:000%1.9m/s
12:000%1.8m/s
13:000%1.9m/s
14:000%1.6m/s
15:000%1.5m/s
16:000%1.4m/s
17:000%1.3m/s
18:000%0.84m/s
19:000%0.75m/s
20:000%1.2m/s
21:000%1.4m/s
22:000%2.6m/s
23:000%2.3m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%2.3m/s
01:000%2.2m/s
02:000%1.9m/s
03:000%1.8m/s
04:000%1.8m/s
05:000%1.8m/s
06:000%1.6m/s
07:000%1.7m/s
08:000%2m/s
09:000%3.6m/s
10:000%4.9m/s
11:000%5.6m/s
12:000%5.9m/s
13:000%6.1m/s
14:000%6.3m/s
15:000%6.8m/s
16:000%6.7m/s
17:000%6.6m/s
18:000%6.4m/s
19:000%6.7m/s
20:000%6.8m/s
21:000%6.6m/s
22:000%6.3m/s
23:000%6.2m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%6.4m/s
01:000%6.6m/s
02:000%6.4m/s
03:000%6.3m/s
04:000%6.1m/s
05:000%6.1m/s
06:000%6.1m/s
07:000%6m/s
08:000%6m/s
09:000%6m/s
10:000%6m/s
11:000%6m/s
12:000%5.9m/s
13:000%5.9m/s
14:000%5.7m/s
15:000%5.5m/s
16:000%5.2m/s
17:000%4.7m/s
18:000%4.2m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 05:59 Sunset 20:19
21:00
8.2°C 14°C 11°C - 0% 0.22kPa
22:00
8.2°C 14°C 10°C - 0% 0.15kPa
23:00
8.1°C 13°C 9.5°C - 0% 0.1kPa
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 05:59 Sunset 20:19
24:00
7.6°C 13°C 9°C - 2% 0.1kPa
01:00
7.1°C 13°C 8.6°C - 5% 0.1kPa
02:00
6.8°C 12°C 8.3°C - 5% 0.1kPa
03:00
6.6°C 12°C 8.1°C - 5% 0.1kPa
04:00
6.6°C 12°C 7.9°C - 5% 0.09kPa
05:00
6.5°C 11°C 7.8°C - 0% 0.08kPa
06:00
6.4°C 11°C 7.6°C - 5% 0.08kPa
07:00
7°C 11°C 8.4°C - 5% 0.1kPa
08:00
7.9°C 11°C 11°C - 5% 0.23kPa
09:00
8.7°C 11°C 13°C - 1% 0.37kPa
10:00
8.3°C 11°C 15°C - 0% 0.57kPa
11:00
7.2°C 12°C 16°C - 5% 0.81kPa
12:00
6.3°C 13°C 17°C - 5% 1kPa
13:00
5.5°C 13°C 18°C - 5% 1.2kPa
14:00
5.1°C 14°C 19°C - 5% 1.4kPa
15:00
4.8°C 15°C 20°C - 5% 1.5kPa
16:00
4.4°C 16°C 20°C - 5% 1.5kPa
17:00
4.3°C 16°C 20°C - 5% 1.5kPa
18:00
4.4°C 16°C 20°C - 5% 1.4kPa
19:00
7.1°C 16°C 18°C - 5% 1.1kPa
20:00
5.4°C 16°C 15°C - 5% 0.76kPa
21:00
4.8°C 16°C 13°C - 5% 0.64kPa
22:00
5.4°C 15°C 12°C - 5% 0.5kPa
23:00
7.5°C 15°C 10°C - 39% 0.22kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:01 Sunset 20:17
24:00
8.1°C 15°C 9.9°C - 58% 0.14kPa
01:00
8.2°C 14°C 9.8°C - 40% 0.12kPa
02:00
8.1°C 14°C 9.6°C - 49% 0.11kPa
03:00
8°C 13°C 9.4°C - 61% 0.11kPa
04:00
7.9°C 13°C 9.3°C - 49% 0.1kPa
05:00
7.8°C 13°C 9.1°C - 6% 0.1kPa
06:00
7.6°C 12°C 8.8°C - 4% 0.09kPa
07:00
8.3°C 12°C 9.6°C - 0% 0.11kPa
08:00
8.9°C 12°C 12°C - 5% 0.25kPa
09:00
8.9°C 12°C 14°C - 5% 0.42kPa
10:00
8.5°C 13°C 15°C - 51% 0.65kPa
11:00
7.4°C 13°C 17°C - 8% 0.88kPa
12:00
6.1°C 14°C 18°C - 94% 1.1kPa
13:00
5.8°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 1.2kPa
14:00
6°C 15°C 19°C - 100% 1.3kPa
15:00
6.2°C 15°C 20°C - 100% 1.3kPa
16:00
6.2°C 15°C 19°C - 100% 1.3kPa
17:00
6.7°C 16°C 19°C - 100% 1.2kPa
18:00
8°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 1.1kPa
19:00
8.5°C 16°C 17°C - 96% 0.8kPa
20:00
9.2°C 16°C 15°C - 85% 0.55kPa
21:00
10°C 16°C 13°C - 60% 0.31kPa
22:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 20% 0.16kPa
23:00
11°C 15°C 12°C - 100% 0.06kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:02 Sunset 20:15
24:00
12°C 15°C 13°C - 99% 0.11kPa
01:00
12°C 15°C 13°C - 100% 0.09kPa
02:00
12°C 15°C 14°C - 98% 0.18kPa
03:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 96% 0.29kPa
04:00
11°C 14°C 15°C - 94% 0.41kPa
05:00
11°C 15°C 17°C - 76% 0.65kPa
06:00
10°C 16°C 19°C - 58% 0.95kPa
07:00
9.1°C 16°C 21°C - 40% 1.3kPa
08:00
9°C 17°C 21°C - 60% 1.3kPa
09:00
8.8°C 18°C 21°C - 80% 1.4kPa
10:00
8.7°C 18°C 21°C - 100% 1.4kPa
11:00
9°C 19°C 20°C - 100% 1.2kPa
12:00
9.2°C 19°C 19°C - 100% 1.1kPa
13:00
9.4°C 19°C 18°C - 100% 0.89kPa
14:00
10°C 18°C 17°C - 100% 0.71kPa
15:00
11°C 18°C 16°C - 100% 0.55kPa
16:00
11°C 17°C 15°C - 100% 0.41kPa
17:00
12°C 17°C 15°C - 100% 0.36kPa
18:00
12°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.32kPa
19:00
12°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.28kPa
20:00
12°C 16°C 14°C - 100% 0.22kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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