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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Ladybower Reservoir, Peak District

Bamford, England, United Kingdom

A Y-shaped reservoir enclosed by wooded hills, with stone viaducts, exposed shorelines and broad water surfaces for reflections.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature12.8°C
Dew Point8.6°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.2m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover4%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours
  • Wind Speed85% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Peak District. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Ladybower Reservoir.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Peak District →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Ladybower Reservoir during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
0
recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Fri, Aug 21
20:000%3.6m/s
21:000%3.6m/s
22:000%3.6m/s
23:000%2.5m/s
Sat, Aug 22
24:000%1.6m/s
01:000%0.65m/s
02:000%1.1m/s
03:000%1.4m/s
04:000%1.4m/s
05:000%1.2m/s
06:000%1.2m/s
07:000%0.89m/s
08:000%0.13m/s
09:000%0.41m/s
10:000%0.59m/s
11:000%1m/s
12:000%1.7m/s
13:000%2.3m/s
14:000%2m/s
15:000%2.3m/s
16:000%3.7m/s
17:000%3.4m/s
18:000%3.2m/s
19:000%3.1m/s
20:000%3m/s
21:000%2.2m/s
22:000%1.8m/s
23:000%1.8m/s
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%1.7m/s
01:000%1.6m/s
02:000%1.6m/s
03:000%1.7m/s
04:000%1.7m/s
05:000%1.7m/s
06:000%1.7m/s
07:000%1.6m/s
08:000%1.3m/s
09:000%1.5m/s
10:000%1.6m/s
11:000%1.5m/s
12:000%1.2m/s
13:000%1.5m/s
14:000%1.2m/s
15:000%1.1m/s
16:000%1m/s
17:000%0.88m/s
18:000%1.2m/s
19:000%1.5m/s
20:000%1.3m/s
21:000%1.7m/s
22:000%2.5m/s
23:000%1.9m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%2.1m/s
01:000%1.9m/s
02:000%1.9m/s
03:000%1.9m/s
04:000%1.8m/s
05:000%1.8m/s
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.7m/s
08:000%1.8m/s
09:000%2.6m/s
10:000%3.9m/s
11:000%4.4m/s
12:000%4.8m/s
13:000%5m/s
14:000%5m/s
15:000%5.3m/s
16:000%5.6m/s
17:000%5.5m/s
18:000%5.4m/s
19:000%5.3m/s
20:000%5.4m/s
21:000%5.2m/s
22:000%4.9m/s
23:000%4.6m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%4.9m/s
01:000%4.7m/s
02:000%4.8m/s
03:000%4.9m/s
04:000%5m/s
05:000%5.3m/s
06:000%5.5m/s
07:000%5.8m/s
08:000%5.9m/s
09:000%6m/s
10:000%6.1m/s
11:000%5.7m/s
12:000%5.4m/s
13:000%5m/s
14:000%4.5m/s
15:000%3.9m/s
16:000%3.4m/s
17:000%3m/s
18:000%2.5m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 05:59 Sunset 20:19
21:00
8.6°C 13°C 10°C - 4% 0.13kPa
22:00
8.2°C 13°C 9.5°C - 0% 0.09kPa
23:00
8°C 12°C 9.1°C - 4% 0.09kPa
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 05:59 Sunset 20:19
24:00
7.6°C 12°C 8.8°C - 5% 0.09kPa
01:00
7.1°C 12°C 8.4°C - 5% 0.09kPa
02:00
7°C 12°C 8.2°C - 5% 0.08kPa
03:00
6.9°C 11°C 8°C - 5% 0.07kPa
04:00
7°C 11°C 7.9°C - 5% 0.06kPa
05:00
7°C 11°C 7.9°C - 5% 0.06kPa
06:00
6.9°C 11°C 7.7°C - 5% 0.05kPa
07:00
7.6°C 11°C 8.6°C - 5% 0.07kPa
08:00
8.6°C 11°C 11°C - 5% 0.21kPa
09:00
8.9°C 11°C 13°C - 2% 0.36kPa
10:00
8.1°C 11°C 15°C - 5% 0.61kPa
11:00
7.3°C 11°C 16°C - 4% 0.85kPa
12:00
6.7°C 12°C 18°C - 5% 1.1kPa
13:00
5.9°C 12°C 19°C - 5% 1.2kPa
14:00
5.7°C 13°C 20°C - 5% 1.4kPa
15:00
5.5°C 13°C 20°C - 5% 1.4kPa
16:00
5.3°C 14°C 20°C - 5% 1.4kPa
17:00
5.2°C 14°C 20°C - 6% 1.4kPa
18:00
5.2°C 14°C 19°C - 9% 1.3kPa
19:00
7.4°C 15°C 18°C - 5% 0.97kPa
20:00
6.3°C 15°C 14°C - 18% 0.65kPa
21:00
5.8°C 14°C 12°C - 6% 0.52kPa
22:00
6.6°C 14°C 11°C - 6% 0.37kPa
23:00
7.6°C 14°C 10°C - 30% 0.22kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:00 Sunset 20:17
24:00
7.9°C 14°C 10°C - 72% 0.17kPa
01:00
8°C 13°C 9.7°C - 100% 0.13kPa
02:00
8.2°C 13°C 9.6°C - 98% 0.11kPa
03:00
8.2°C 13°C 9.4°C - 73% 0.09kPa
04:00
8.1°C 12°C 9.2°C - 19% 0.08kPa
05:00
8°C 12°C 9°C - 39% 0.08kPa
06:00
8°C 12°C 8.9°C - 35% 0.07kPa
07:00
8.4°C 12°C 9.6°C - 36% 0.1kPa
08:00
9°C 12°C 12°C - 0% 0.26kPa
09:00
8.9°C 12°C 14°C - 3% 0.47kPa
10:00
8.4°C 12°C 15°C - 5% 0.65kPa
11:00
7.2°C 12°C 17°C - 14% 0.87kPa
12:00
6.1°C 13°C 18°C - 5% 1.1kPa
13:00
5.9°C 13°C 19°C - 64% 1.2kPa
14:00
6.1°C 13°C 19°C - 98% 1.3kPa
15:00
6.1°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 1.3kPa
16:00
6.4°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 1.3kPa
17:00
7.2°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 1.2kPa
18:00
7.7°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.98kPa
19:00
8.5°C 14°C 16°C - 100% 0.74kPa
20:00
9.2°C 14°C 15°C - 90% 0.5kPa
21:00
9.9°C 14°C 13°C - 62% 0.29kPa
22:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 48% 0.16kPa
23:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.07kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:02 Sunset 20:14
24:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.1kPa
01:00
12°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.08kPa
02:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 100% 0.22kPa
03:00
12°C 15°C 15°C - 99% 0.37kPa
04:00
12°C 15°C 17°C - 99% 0.56kPa
05:00
11°C 16°C 18°C - 92% 0.77kPa
06:00
11°C 17°C 20°C - 85% 1kPa
07:00
9.8°C 18°C 21°C - 78% 1.3kPa
08:00
9.5°C 19°C 21°C - 85% 1.3kPa
09:00
9.2°C 20°C 21°C - 92% 1.4kPa
10:00
8.9°C 20°C 22°C - 100% 1.4kPa
11:00
9.5°C 20°C 20°C - 100% 1.2kPa
12:00
10°C 20°C 19°C - 100% 1kPa
13:00
10°C 20°C 18°C - 100% 0.85kPa
14:00
11°C 19°C 18°C - 100% 0.69kPa
15:00
12°C 19°C 17°C - 100% 0.55kPa
16:00
12°C 18°C 16°C - 100% 0.42kPa
17:00
12°C 18°C 15°C - 100% 0.33kPa
18:00
13°C 18°C 15°C - 100% 0.24kPa
19:00
13°C 17°C 14°C - 100% 0.16kPa
20:00
13°C 17°C 14°C - 100% 0.12kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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