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Rule Morning Frost

Kinder Scout - Morning Frost - Peak District

Edale, England, United Kingdom

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

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Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 96% failing
Time Window 88% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature7.9°C
Dew Point4.3°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed5.4m/s (moderate winds)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks overnight temperature drops and clear-sky conditions that create the heavy frost displays transforming the Peak District's moorlands, limestone valleys, and gritstone edges into monochrome winter wonderlands. We monitor minimum temperatures, precipitation, and cloud cover to predict when frost photography opportunities arise.

The Peak District's elevation and northern English climate create frequent frost conditions from November through March. The landscape's variety means frost affects different terrain in distinctive ways—coating heather moorland in white crystals, rimming limestone formations in Dovedale, and creating ice sculptures on gritstone edges where water seepage freezes overnight.

What makes Peak District frost photography distinctive:

  • Gritstone frost patterns - Ice crystals coat the millstone grit at Stanage Edge and Curbar Edge, highlighting the rock's natural texture
  • Dovedale limestone ice - Limestone formations and stepping stones develop intricate frost patterns, particularly where spray from the river freezes
  • Moorland white-out - Kinder Scout plateau and surrounding moorland become monochrome landscapes when heavy frost coats heather and peat
  • Reservoir margins - Ladybower Reservoir's edges develop ice formations where water meets frozen shoreline vegetation

Stanage Edge offers four miles of frosted gritstone escarpment catching first light—the combination of textured rock, frosted grass, and dawn light creates powerful compositions. Dovedale's stepping stones become treacherous but photogenic when frost coats the limestone and surrounding vegetation. Chrome Hill's dragon's back ridge develops spectacular frost formations along its narrow crest. Chatsworth's parkland combines frosted trees along the River Derwent with the grand estate as backdrop. The best frost conditions follow clear, windless nights with temperatures dropping below -2°C—typically after high-pressure systems settle over the region. Arrive before sunrise to capture frost at its thickest before sun melts the display. Pack micro-spikes for icy paths on moorland and edges.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 80 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, May 17
05:000.9%5.4m/s
06:000.8%4.8m/s
07:000.8%4.7m/s
08:001.2%5.5m/s
09:001.3%5.9m/s
10:002.6%6.4m/s
11:002.6%6.1m/s
12:002.8%5.9m/s
13:003%5.5m/s
14:003%5.4m/s
15:002.8%5.5m/s
16:000%4.9m/s
17:000%4m/s
18:000%3.6m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:000%3.3m/s
21:000%2.7m/s
22:000%2.6m/s
23:001%2.9m/s
Mon, May 18
24:001.2%2.4m/s
01:001.2%2.4m/s
02:001.2%2.3m/s
03:001.2%1.9m/s
04:001.2%1.9m/s
05:001.2%1.8m/s
06:001.4%1.2m/s
07:001.4%1.2m/s
08:001.6%1.7m/s
09:002.1%1.4m/s
10:002.1%1.7m/s
11:003.2%2.1m/s
12:003.2%1.9m/s
13:004.1%1.6m/s
14:000%2.7m/s
15:000%3.8m/s
16:000%3m/s
17:000%2.8m/s
18:000%2.8m/s
19:000%2.4m/s
20:000%2m/s
21:000%2.1m/s
22:000%2.2m/s
23:000%2.2m/s
Tue, May 19
24:000%2.4m/s
01:000%2.6m/s
02:001.2%2.6m/s
03:001.2%2.7m/s
04:001%2.8m/s
05:001%3.9m/s
06:001%4.1m/s
07:000.8%4.2m/s
08:000.8%4.4m/s
09:001%3.4m/s
10:001.2%2.5m/s
11:001%2.9m/s
12:000%5.3m/s
13:000%6.6m/s
14:000%7.1m/s
15:000%8.6m/s
16:000%8.3m/s
17:000%8.8m/s
18:000%8.3m/s
19:000%7.9m/s
20:000%7.7m/s
21:000%7.6m/s
22:000%7.4m/s
23:000%7.4m/s
Wed, May 20
24:000%7.5m/s
01:000%7.5m/s
02:000%7.1m/s
03:000%6.6m/s
04:000%6.1m/s
05:000%6.3m/s
06:000%6.6m/s
07:000%6.8m/s
08:000%7m/s
09:000%7.1m/s
10:000%7.3m/s
11:000%6.5m/s
12:000%5.7m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, May 17 Sunrise 05:04 Sunset 21:03
14:00
4.3°C 7.9°C 11°C - 100% 0.46kPa
15:00
5.1°C 8°C 9.9°C - 100% 0.34kPa
16:00
5.1°C 8.1°C 10°C - 17% 0.37kPa
17:00
5.1°C 8.4°C 11°C - 68% 0.4kPa
18:00
5.5°C 8.5°C 9.7°C - 57% 0.3kPa
19:00
6.2°C 8.4°C 9.3°C - 100% 0.22kPa
20:00
5.4°C 8.4°C 7.7°C - 93% 0.15kPa
21:00
4.1°C 8.2°C 5.5°C - 100% 0.08kPa
22:00
3.5°C 8.1°C 4.4°C - 100% 0.05kPa
23:00
3.8°C 7.9°C 4.5°C - 100% 0.04kPa
Mon, May 18 Sunrise 05:04 Sunset 21:03
24:00
3.9°C 7.7°C 4.5°C - 100% 0.04kPa
01:00
4.7°C 7.5°C 5.3°C - 100% 0.04kPa
02:00
5°C 7.4°C 5.6°C - 100% 0.04kPa
03:00
4.7°C 7.3°C 5.4°C - 99% 0.04kPa
04:00
4.8°C 7.2°C 5.6°C - 97% 0.04kPa
05:00
4.8°C 7.1°C 5.5°C - 99% 0.04kPa
06:00
5°C 7°C 5.6°C - 100% 0.04kPa
07:00
5°C 6.9°C 6°C - 99% 0.06kPa
08:00
5.1°C 7°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.1kPa
09:00
5.1°C 7°C 6.8°C - 100% 0.11kPa
10:00
5.2°C 7.1°C 7.7°C - 100% 0.17kPa
11:00
5.1°C 7.2°C 8.2°C - 100% 0.21kPa
12:00
4.9°C 7.3°C 8.5°C - 100% 0.24kPa
13:00
4.8°C 7.6°C 9.7°C - 34% 0.34kPa
14:00
5.4°C 8°C 11°C - 96% 0.42kPa
15:00
6.2°C 8.1°C 9.9°C - 58% 0.27kPa
16:00
6.2°C 8.4°C 11°C - 93% 0.36kPa
17:00
5.7°C 8.6°C 11°C - 32% 0.42kPa
18:00
5.7°C 8.8°C 11°C - 13% 0.43kPa
19:00
6.4°C 8.9°C 11°C - 92% 0.35kPa
20:00
5.9°C 8.9°C 9.4°C - 86% 0.25kPa
21:00
4.5°C 8.8°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.17kPa
22:00
4.3°C 8.6°C 6.8°C - 100% 0.15kPa
23:00
4.2°C 8.4°C 6.4°C - 100% 0.13kPa
Tue, May 19 Sunrise 05:03 Sunset 21:05
24:00
4.6°C 8.2°C 5.9°C - 100% 0.08kPa
01:00
5.1°C 8.1°C 5.9°C - 100% 0.05kPa
02:00
5.6°C 8°C 6.3°C - 100% 0.04kPa
03:00
6.3°C 7.9°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.01kPa
04:00
6.8°C 7.8°C 7.1°C - 100% 0.02kPa
05:00
6.7°C 7.8°C 7°C - 100% 0.02kPa
06:00
6.9°C 7.7°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.02kPa
07:00
7.2°C 7.7°C 7.5°C - 100% 0.02kPa
08:00
7.6°C 7.7°C 7.8°C - 100% 0.02kPa
09:00
8°C 7.7°C 8.2°C - 100% 0.02kPa
10:00
8.5°C 7.8°C 8.8°C - 100% 0.02kPa
11:00
9.9°C 7.9°C 10°C - 100% 0.03kPa
12:00
10°C 8.1°C 12°C - 77% 0.14kPa
13:00
11°C 8.5°C 13°C - 100% 0.18kPa
14:00
11°C 8.7°C 13°C - 100% 0.21kPa
15:00
11°C 9.1°C 14°C - 82% 0.26kPa
16:00
11°C 9.3°C 14°C - 31% 0.27kPa
17:00
10°C 9.6°C 13°C - 100% 0.28kPa
18:00
9.6°C 9.8°C 13°C - 74% 0.26kPa
19:00
9.1°C 9.9°C 12°C - 46% 0.25kPa
20:00
9.6°C 9.7°C 12°C - 64% 0.17kPa
21:00
10°C 9.6°C 11°C - 82% 0.09kPa
22:00
11°C 9.5°C 11°C - 100% 0.02kPa
23:00
10°C 9.5°C 11°C - 100% 0.03kPa
Wed, May 20 Sunrise 05:01 Sunset 21:06
24:00
10°C 9.6°C 11°C - 100% 0.05kPa
01:00
9.9°C 9.7°C 11°C - 99% 0.06kPa
02:00
10°C 9.8°C 11°C - 100% 0.07kPa
03:00
11°C 9.9°C 11°C - 100% 0.08kPa
04:00
11°C 10°C 12°C - 100% 0.08kPa
05:00
11°C 10°C 12°C - 100% 0.09kPa
06:00
11°C 10°C 12°C - 100% 0.1kPa
07:00
11°C 10°C 12°C - 100% 0.11kPa
08:00
11°C 11°C 13°C - 100% 0.26kPa
09:00
10°C 12°C 15°C - 100% 0.43kPa
10:00
9.6°C 12°C 16°C - 100% 0.63kPa
11:00
9.6°C 12°C 16°C - 68% 0.57kPa
12:00
9.7°C 13°C 15°C - 37% 0.51kPa
13:00
9.7°C 13°C 15°C - 5% 0.45kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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