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Rule Morning Frost

Dovedale - Morning Frost - Peak District

Ashbourne, England, United Kingdom

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

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Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Time Window 88% failing
Wind Speed 61% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature14.4°C
Dew Point9.9°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.9m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover5%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks overnight temperature drops and clear-sky conditions that create the heavy frost displays transforming the Peak District's moorlands, limestone valleys, and gritstone edges into monochrome winter wonderlands. We monitor minimum temperatures, precipitation, and cloud cover to predict when frost photography opportunities arise.

The Peak District's elevation and northern English climate create frequent frost conditions from November through March. The landscape's variety means frost affects different terrain in distinctive ways—coating heather moorland in white crystals, rimming limestone formations in Dovedale, and creating ice sculptures on gritstone edges where water seepage freezes overnight.

What makes Peak District frost photography distinctive:

  • Gritstone frost patterns - Ice crystals coat the millstone grit at Stanage Edge and Curbar Edge, highlighting the rock's natural texture
  • Dovedale limestone ice - Limestone formations and stepping stones develop intricate frost patterns, particularly where spray from the river freezes
  • Moorland white-out - Kinder Scout plateau and surrounding moorland become monochrome landscapes when heavy frost coats heather and peat
  • Reservoir margins - Ladybower Reservoir's edges develop ice formations where water meets frozen shoreline vegetation

Stanage Edge offers four miles of frosted gritstone escarpment catching first light—the combination of textured rock, frosted grass, and dawn light creates powerful compositions. Dovedale's stepping stones become treacherous but photogenic when frost coats the limestone and surrounding vegetation. Chrome Hill's dragon's back ridge develops spectacular frost formations along its narrow crest. Chatsworth's parkland combines frosted trees along the River Derwent with the grand estate as backdrop. The best frost conditions follow clear, windless nights with temperatures dropping below -2°C—typically after high-pressure systems settle over the region. Arrive before sunrise to capture frost at its thickest before sun melts the display. Pack micro-spikes for icy paths on moorland and edges.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 80 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, May 24
05:000%0.94m/s
06:000%0.94m/s
07:000%0.81m/s
08:000%0.71m/s
09:000%1.2m/s
10:000%1.8m/s
11:000%2.3m/s
12:000%2.7m/s
13:000%2.9m/s
14:000%2.9m/s
15:000%2.9m/s
16:000%2.8m/s
17:000%2.4m/s
18:000%1.9m/s
19:000%1.2m/s
20:000%0.72m/s
21:000%0.31m/s
22:000%0.35m/s
23:000%0.34m/s
Mon, May 25
24:000%0.35m/s
01:000%0.5m/s
02:000%0.54m/s
03:000%0.58m/s
04:000%0.89m/s
05:000%0.46m/s
06:000%0.61m/s
07:000%1.1m/s
08:000%1.1m/s
09:000%1.6m/s
10:000%1.9m/s
11:000%2.2m/s
12:000%2.5m/s
13:000%2.3m/s
14:000%2.3m/s
15:000%2.3m/s
16:000%2.5m/s
17:000%2.8m/s
18:000%1.9m/s
19:000%1.3m/s
20:000%1.4m/s
21:000%1.3m/s
22:000%1m/s
23:000%0.56m/s
Tue, May 26
24:000%0.96m/s
01:000%0.87m/s
02:000%0.74m/s
03:000%0.79m/s
04:000%0.97m/s
05:000%1.1m/s
06:000%0.74m/s
07:000%0.75m/s
08:000%1.2m/s
09:000%1.6m/s
10:000%2.2m/s
11:000%2.4m/s
12:000%2.3m/s
13:000%2.3m/s
14:000%2.3m/s
15:000%2.4m/s
16:000%2.3m/s
17:000%1.9m/s
18:000%1.9m/s
19:000%1.9m/s
20:000%3.2m/s
21:000%4.6m/s
22:000%6m/s
23:000%5.9m/s
Wed, May 27
24:000%5.8m/s
01:000%5.8m/s
02:000%5.9m/s
03:000%6m/s
04:000%6m/s
05:000%6.1m/s
06:000%6.1m/s
07:000%6.1m/s
08:000%6m/s
09:000%5.8m/s
10:000%5.6m/s
11:000%5.5m/s
12:000%5.3m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, May 24 Sunrise 04:56 Sunset 21:12
14:00
9.9°C 14°C 21°C - 5% 1.3kPa
15:00
10°C 15°C 22°C - 5% 1.3kPa
16:00
11°C 15°C 22°C - 5% 1.3kPa
17:00
12°C 15°C 22°C - 5% 1.3kPa
18:00
13°C 15°C 22°C - 5% 1.1kPa
19:00
15°C 16°C 22°C - 4% 0.83kPa
20:00
13°C 16°C 19°C - 0% 0.68kPa
21:00
11°C 16°C 17°C - 0% 0.56kPa
22:00
11°C 15°C 16°C - 0% 0.48kPa
23:00
10°C 15°C 15°C - 0% 0.45kPa
Mon, May 25 Sunrise 04:56 Sunset 21:12
24:00
10°C 15°C 15°C - 0% 0.42kPa
01:00
11°C 15°C 14°C - 0% 0.34kPa
02:00
10°C 14°C 14°C - 0% 0.31kPa
03:00
11°C 14°C 14°C - 0% 0.3kPa
04:00
10°C 14°C 14°C - 0% 0.29kPa
05:00
11°C 14°C 14°C - 0% 0.29kPa
06:00
11°C 14°C 14°C - 0% 0.32kPa
07:00
13°C 14°C 16°C - 0% 0.38kPa
08:00
14°C 14°C 18°C - 0% 0.5kPa
09:00
15°C 14°C 20°C - 0% 0.58kPa
10:00
16°C 14°C 21°C - 0% 0.68kPa
11:00
17°C 15°C 23°C - 0% 0.84kPa
12:00
18°C 15°C 24°C - 0% 1kPa
13:00
18°C 16°C 25°C - 0% 1.2kPa
14:00
18°C 16°C 26°C - 0% 1.4kPa
15:00
17°C 16°C 27°C - 0% 1.6kPa
16:00
18°C 17°C 27°C - 1% 1.6kPa
17:00
19°C 17°C 27°C - 35% 1.4kPa
18:00
20°C 18°C 26°C - 0% 1kPa
19:00
21°C 18°C 26°C - 0% 0.83kPa
20:00
20°C 18°C 24°C - 0% 0.6kPa
21:00
19°C 18°C 21°C - 0% 0.36kPa
22:00
18°C 18°C 20°C - 0% 0.33kPa
23:00
17°C 18°C 19°C - 0% 0.32kPa
Tue, May 26 Sunrise 04:55 Sunset 21:13
24:00
17°C 18°C 19°C - 0% 0.27kPa
01:00
17°C 17°C 18°C - 0% 0.23kPa
02:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 0% 0.19kPa
03:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 0% 0.17kPa
04:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 0% 0.16kPa
05:00
15°C 17°C 17°C - 0% 0.16kPa
06:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 0% 0.18kPa
07:00
17°C 17°C 19°C - 0% 0.3kPa
08:00
17°C 17°C 20°C - 0% 0.45kPa
09:00
17°C 17°C 22°C - 0% 0.64kPa
10:00
17°C 17°C 23°C - 0% 0.79kPa
11:00
18°C 17°C 24°C - 0% 0.93kPa
12:00
18°C 18°C 25°C - 0% 1.1kPa
13:00
19°C 18°C 26°C - 0% 1.2kPa
14:00
19°C 18°C 26°C - 0% 1.3kPa
15:00
19°C 19°C 26°C - 77% 1.2kPa
16:00
19°C 19°C 27°C - 83% 1.3kPa
17:00
20°C 19°C 26°C - 98% 1.1kPa
18:00
20°C 19°C 25°C - 99% 0.82kPa
19:00
19°C 19°C 23°C - 100% 0.62kPa
20:00
16°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.34kPa
21:00
13°C 18°C 15°C - 100% 0.16kPa
22:00
9.5°C 17°C 10°C - 100% 0.04kPa
23:00
9.5°C 16°C 10°C - 72% 0.07kPa
Wed, May 27 Sunrise 04:53 Sunset 21:14
24:00
9.4°C 16°C 11°C - 45% 0.1kPa
01:00
9.4°C 16°C 11°C - 17% 0.13kPa
02:00
9.9°C 15°C 13°C - 23% 0.23kPa
03:00
10°C 15°C 14°C - 28% 0.36kPa
04:00
11°C 15°C 16°C - 34% 0.51kPa
05:00
11°C 15°C 17°C - 25% 0.59kPa
06:00
11°C 16°C 17°C - 15% 0.68kPa
07:00
11°C 16°C 18°C - 6% 0.78kPa
08:00
11°C 16°C 18°C - 5% 0.77kPa
09:00
12°C 16°C 19°C - 4% 0.77kPa
10:00
12°C 16°C 19°C - 2% 0.77kPa
11:00
12°C 16°C 18°C - 3% 0.67kPa
12:00
12°C 16°C 17°C - 4% 0.58kPa
13:00
12°C 16°C 16°C - 5% 0.49kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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