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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Dovedale, Peak District

Ashbourne, England, United Kingdom

The River Dove winds through a steep limestone gorge past stepping stones, wooded slopes and isolated rock pinnacles.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature14.8°C
Dew Point8.1°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.9m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover0%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Wind Speed97% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across Peak District. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Dovedale.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across Peak District →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Dovedale during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
0
recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Aug 22
06:000%1.7m/s
07:000%1.5m/s
08:000%1m/s
09:000%0.92m/s
10:000%1.1m/s
11:000%1.9m/s
12:000%2.5m/s
13:000%3.1m/s
14:000%3.1m/s
15:000%4.4m/s
16:000%3.6m/s
17:000%2.8m/s
18:000%3m/s
19:000%2.5m/s
20:000%2.5m/s
21:000%2.9m/s
22:000%2.9m/s
23:000%2.9m/s
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%2.5m/s
01:000%2.1m/s
02:000%2.2m/s
03:000%2m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%2.2m/s
06:000%2.2m/s
07:000%2.1m/s
08:000%1.9m/s
09:000%2.3m/s
10:000%2.7m/s
11:000%2.7m/s
12:000%2.7m/s
13:000%2.7m/s
14:000%2.4m/s
15:000%2.1m/s
16:000%1.9m/s
17:000%1.7m/s
18:000%1.4m/s
19:000%1.4m/s
20:000%1.9m/s
21:000%2.3m/s
22:000%3.1m/s
23:000%3.1m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%3.3m/s
01:000%3.2m/s
02:000%2.8m/s
03:000%2.8m/s
04:000%2.7m/s
05:000%2.1m/s
06:000%1.7m/s
07:000%2.1m/s
08:000%2.9m/s
09:000%4.4m/s
10:000%5m/s
11:000%5.6m/s
12:000%5.7m/s
13:000%5.9m/s
14:000%6.2m/s
15:000%6.3m/s
16:000%6.4m/s
17:000%6.6m/s
18:000%6.3m/s
19:000%6.6m/s
20:000%7.2m/s
21:000%6.5m/s
22:000%6.6m/s
23:000%6m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%5.7m/s
01:000%5.9m/s
02:000%6.3m/s
03:000%6.6m/s
04:000%7m/s
05:000%7m/s
06:000%7.1m/s
07:000%7.2m/s
08:000%7m/s
09:000%6.8m/s
10:000%6.6m/s
11:000%6.7m/s
12:000%6.7m/s
13:000%6.7m/s
14:000%6.2m/s
15:000%5.7m/s
16:000%5.3m/s
17:000%5.1m/s
18:000%5m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 06:00 Sunset 20:18
21:00
8.1°C 15°C 12°C - 0% 0.35kPa
22:00
8.5°C 14°C 11°C - 0% 0.23kPa
23:00
8.7°C 14°C 11°C - 0% 0.15kPa
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:00 Sunset 20:18
24:00
8.6°C 14°C 10°C - 0% 0.12kPa
01:00
8.2°C 14°C 9.7°C - 4% 0.12kPa
02:00
7.6°C 13°C 9.3°C - 5% 0.12kPa
03:00
7.4°C 13°C 9.1°C - 2% 0.12kPa
04:00
7.1°C 13°C 8.8°C - 4% 0.12kPa
05:00
7°C 12°C 8.6°C - 0% 0.11kPa
06:00
6.9°C 12°C 8.3°C - 0% 0.1kPa
07:00
7.3°C 12°C 9.2°C - 5% 0.14kPa
08:00
7.9°C 12°C 12°C - 5% 0.33kPa
09:00
8.3°C 12°C 14°C - 3% 0.53kPa
10:00
8°C 12°C 16°C - 0% 0.75kPa
11:00
7°C 13°C 17°C - 4% 0.99kPa
12:00
5.9°C 14°C 19°C - 0% 1.2kPa
13:00
4.9°C 14°C 20°C - 5% 1.4kPa
14:00
4.2°C 15°C 21°C - 5% 1.6kPa
15:00
3.8°C 16°C 21°C - 5% 1.7kPa
16:00
3.6°C 16°C 21°C - 5% 1.8kPa
17:00
3.5°C 17°C 21°C - 5% 1.8kPa
18:00
3.6°C 17°C 21°C - 5% 1.7kPa
19:00
5.9°C 17°C 19°C - 5% 1.3kPa
20:00
5°C 17°C 16°C - 5% 0.96kPa
21:00
4.9°C 17°C 14°C - 5% 0.77kPa
22:00
4.7°C 16°C 13°C - 6% 0.67kPa
23:00
7.1°C 16°C 12°C - 37% 0.36kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:01 Sunset 20:16
24:00
8.5°C 15°C 11°C - 59% 0.21kPa
01:00
8.8°C 15°C 11°C - 82% 0.17kPa
02:00
8.7°C 15°C 10°C - 74% 0.14kPa
03:00
8.7°C 14°C 10°C - 13% 0.12kPa
04:00
8.7°C 14°C 10°C - 5% 0.11kPa
05:00
8.5°C 14°C 9.8°C - 0% 0.1kPa
06:00
8.4°C 13°C 9.6°C - 0% 0.1kPa
07:00
8.9°C 13°C 11°C - 0% 0.13kPa
08:00
9.2°C 13°C 13°C - 5% 0.32kPa
09:00
8.9°C 13°C 15°C - 36% 0.56kPa
10:00
8.3°C 14°C 17°C - 40% 0.82kPa
11:00
7.1°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 1.1kPa
12:00
6.3°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 1.3kPa
13:00
5.7°C 15°C 20°C - 100% 1.4kPa
14:00
5.4°C 15°C 21°C - 100% 1.5kPa
15:00
6.1°C 16°C 21°C - 100% 1.6kPa
16:00
6.6°C 16°C 21°C - 100% 1.5kPa
17:00
7.4°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 1.3kPa
18:00
8.4°C 17°C 20°C - 95% 1.2kPa
19:00
9.2°C 17°C 19°C - 98% 0.98kPa
20:00
9.5°C 17°C 16°C - 91% 0.67kPa
21:00
10°C 17°C 15°C - 99% 0.44kPa
22:00
11°C 16°C 14°C - 79% 0.32kPa
23:00
12°C 16°C 13°C - 100% 0.17kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:03 Sunset 20:13
24:00
12°C 16°C 14°C - 100% 0.17kPa
01:00
12°C 16°C 13°C - 100% 0.1kPa
02:00
12°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.26kPa
03:00
12°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.45kPa
04:00
12°C 15°C 18°C - 100% 0.69kPa
05:00
11°C 16°C 20°C - 100% 0.94kPa
06:00
11°C 16°C 21°C - 100% 1.2kPa
07:00
9.2°C 17°C 23°C - 100% 1.6kPa
08:00
9°C 17°C 23°C - 100% 1.6kPa
09:00
8.9°C 18°C 23°C - 100% 1.6kPa
10:00
8.7°C 18°C 23°C - 100% 1.6kPa
11:00
9°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 1.4kPa
12:00
9.1°C 18°C 20°C - 100% 1.2kPa
13:00
9.2°C 19°C 19°C - 100% 1.1kPa
14:00
10°C 18°C 18°C - 99% 0.86kPa
15:00
11°C 18°C 17°C - 98% 0.66kPa
16:00
12°C 18°C 16°C - 97% 0.49kPa
17:00
12°C 18°C 16°C - 98% 0.4kPa
18:00
12°C 18°C 16°C - 99% 0.32kPa
19:00
13°C 17°C 15°C - 100% 0.24kPa
20:00
13°C 17°C 15°C - 100% 0.18kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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