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Rule Morning Frost

Chatsworth - Morning Frost - Peak District

Bakewell, England, United Kingdom

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 99% failing
Time Window 88% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature6.1°C
Dew Point1.6°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed1.5m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover40%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks overnight temperature drops and clear-sky conditions that create the heavy frost displays transforming the Peak District's moorlands, limestone valleys, and gritstone edges into monochrome winter wonderlands. We monitor minimum temperatures, precipitation, and cloud cover to predict when frost photography opportunities arise.

The Peak District's elevation and northern English climate create frequent frost conditions from November through March. The landscape's variety means frost affects different terrain in distinctive ways—coating heather moorland in white crystals, rimming limestone formations in Dovedale, and creating ice sculptures on gritstone edges where water seepage freezes overnight.

What makes Peak District frost photography distinctive:

  • Gritstone frost patterns - Ice crystals coat the millstone grit at Stanage Edge and Curbar Edge, highlighting the rock's natural texture
  • Dovedale limestone ice - Limestone formations and stepping stones develop intricate frost patterns, particularly where spray from the river freezes
  • Moorland white-out - Kinder Scout plateau and surrounding moorland become monochrome landscapes when heavy frost coats heather and peat
  • Reservoir margins - Ladybower Reservoir's edges develop ice formations where water meets frozen shoreline vegetation

Stanage Edge offers four miles of frosted gritstone escarpment catching first light—the combination of textured rock, frosted grass, and dawn light creates powerful compositions. Dovedale's stepping stones become treacherous but photogenic when frost coats the limestone and surrounding vegetation. Chrome Hill's dragon's back ridge develops spectacular frost formations along its narrow crest. Chatsworth's parkland combines frosted trees along the River Derwent with the grand estate as backdrop. The best frost conditions follow clear, windless nights with temperatures dropping below -2°C—typically after high-pressure systems settle over the region. Arrive before sunrise to capture frost at its thickest before sun melts the display. Pack micro-spikes for icy paths on moorland and edges.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, Apr 19
09:0031%2.9m/s
10:0035%3.4m/s
11:0033%3.6m/s
12:003.2%3.6m/s
13:002.9%3.4m/s
14:002.7%3.4m/s
15:002.7%3.4m/s
16:002.7%3.6m/s
17:000%3.7m/s
18:000%3.1m/s
19:000%2.7m/s
20:000%2.3m/s
21:000%2.1m/s
22:000%2.4m/s
23:002.6%2.3m/s
Mon, Apr 20
24:002.5%0.91m/s
01:003.5%0.54m/s
02:002.2%1.1m/s
03:003%0.99m/s
04:003.3%0.92m/s
05:003.8%0.68m/s
06:002.7%0.67m/s
07:0031%0.76m/s
08:0037%0.95m/s
09:004.1%1.5m/s
10:003.9%2.4m/s
11:004%2.7m/s
12:003.3%2.8m/s
13:003.2%3m/s
14:003.2%3.1m/s
15:003.2%3.8m/s
16:003.7%4.1m/s
17:002.8%4.5m/s
18:002.8%4.6m/s
19:003.9%4.4m/s
20:003.2%4.1m/s
21:002.9%3.7m/s
22:002.9%3.7m/s
23:002.3%4.5m/s
Tue, Apr 21
24:000.9%4.5m/s
01:000.8%5.2m/s
02:001%6.3m/s
03:0011%6.1m/s
04:0011%6.4m/s
05:0011%6.2m/s
06:0015%5.9m/s
07:007%5.9m/s
08:0025%7.3m/s
09:0038%8.5m/s
10:0038%9.2m/s
11:004.3%9.4m/s
12:004.3%9.7m/s
13:004.3%9.9m/s
14:004.1%9.9m/s
15:004.3%9.6m/s
16:004.3%9.2m/s
17:004.3%9m/s
18:004.5%8.7m/s
19:004.1%8.8m/s
20:003.3%8.1m/s
21:004.1%7.7m/s
22:004.1%7.9m/s
23:002.2%7.6m/s
Wed, Apr 22
24:002.4%7.4m/s
01:002.8%7.2m/s
02:0026%6.8m/s
03:0026%6.7m/s
04:0022%6.5m/s
05:0022%6.4m/s
06:0022%6.5m/s
07:0026%6.6m/s
08:0029%7.3m/s
09:0042%8.2m/s
10:0046%8.7m/s
11:0044%8.8m/s
12:0044%8.8m/s
13:004%8.9m/s
14:004.1%7.7m/s
15:003.6%6.6m/s
16:000%5.4m/s
17:002.3%5.2m/s
18:002.3%5m/s
19:001.9%4.9m/s
20:001.9%4.6m/s
21:001.5%4.3m/s
22:001.7%3.9m/s
23:001.7%3.8m/s
Thu, Apr 23
24:0022%3.7m/s
01:0030%3.6m/s
02:0031%4.3m/s
03:0044%5m/s
04:0044%5.7m/s
05:004.3%5.6m/s
06:004.2%5.5m/s
07:004%5.4m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Mon, Apr 20 Sunrise 05:56 Sunset 20:15
09:00
1.6°C 6.1°C 6.3°C - 40% 0.27kPa
10:00
1.7°C 6.3°C 7.4°C - 40% 0.34kPa
11:00
1.8°C 6.6°C 8.4°C - 41% 0.4kPa
12:00
1.7°C 6.9°C 9.1°C - 73% 0.47kPa
13:00
1.2°C 7.3°C 9.5°C - 99% 0.52kPa
14:00
1.2°C 7.5°C 9°C - 100% 0.48kPa
15:00
1.8°C 7.6°C 8.7°C - 100% 0.43kPa
16:00
3°C 7.6°C 8.5°C - 31% 0.35kPa
17:00
3.7°C 7.9°C 8.7°C - 99% 0.33kPa
18:00
4.1°C 7.9°C 7.6°C - 99% 0.22kPa
19:00
3.5°C 7.8°C 7°C - 18% 0.22kPa
20:00
2.3°C 7.7°C 5.1°C - 5% 0.16kPa
21:00
1.6°C 7.3°C 3.5°C - 5% 0.1kPa
22:00
1.7°C 7°C 3°C - 0% 0.07kPa
23:00
2°C 6.7°C 2.8°C - 0% 0.04kPa
Tue, Apr 21 Sunrise 05:56 Sunset 20:15
24:00
2.5°C 6.4°C 2.9°C - 65% 0.02kPa
01:00
3.6°C 6.2°C 3.9°C - 100% 0.02kPa
02:00
2.9°C 6.1°C 4°C - 100% 0.06kPa
03:00
2.7°C 6°C 3.9°C - 100% 0.06kPa
04:00
2.7°C 5.9°C 3.7°C - 100% 0.05kPa
05:00
2.7°C 5.8°C 3.7°C - 100% 0.06kPa
06:00
2.6°C 5.7°C 3.9°C - 57% 0.07kPa
07:00
3°C 5.5°C 3.4°C - 83% 0.03kPa
08:00
2.6°C 5.6°C 4.5°C - 13% 0.11kPa
09:00
2.2°C 5.6°C 5.9°C - 17% 0.21kPa
10:00
1.2°C 5.8°C 7.1°C - 19% 0.34kPa
11:00
0.5°C 6.1°C 8.1°C - 5% 0.44kPa
12:00
-0.5°C 6.3°C 8.8°C - 5% 0.54kPa
13:00
-0.6°C 6.6°C 9.2°C - 0% 0.58kPa
14:00
-0.6°C 6.9°C 9.5°C - 0% 0.6kPa
15:00
-0.2°C 7.2°C 9.5°C - 0% 0.58kPa
16:00
0.1°C 7.4°C 9.1°C - 3% 0.54kPa
17:00
0.9°C 7.5°C 8.8°C - 5% 0.48kPa
18:00
1.2°C 7.6°C 7.7°C - 5% 0.38kPa
19:00
0.6°C 7.5°C 6.2°C - 6% 0.31kPa
20:00
-0.3°C 7.4°C 4.8°C - 39% 0.26kPa
21:00
-0.8°C 7°C 4°C - 5% 0.23kPa
22:00
-0.8°C 6.8°C 3.5°C - 5% 0.21kPa
23:00
-0.1°C 6.5°C 3.3°C - 70% 0.17kPa
Wed, Apr 22 Sunrise 05:54 Sunset 20:17
24:00
0.4°C 6.3°C 3.2°C - 21% 0.14kPa
01:00
0.6°C 6.1°C 3°C - 7% 0.12kPa
02:00
0.8°C 5.8°C 2.7°C - 4% 0.1kPa
03:00
1°C 5.6°C 2.4°C - 0% 0.07kPa
04:00
1.1°C 5.4°C 2°C - 0% 0.05kPa
05:00
1.2°C 5.1°C 1.8°C - 0% 0.03kPa
06:00
1.2°C 4.9°C 1.7°C - 3% 0.03kPa
07:00
1.6°C 4.7°C 2.6°C - 0% 0.05kPa
08:00
2°C 4.8°C 4.4°C - 0% 0.13kPa
09:00
2°C 5°C 6.3°C - 0% 0.25kPa
10:00
1.3°C 5.2°C 7.6°C - 3% 0.37kPa
11:00
1.2°C 5.5°C 9.1°C - 0% 0.48kPa
12:00
1.5°C 5.9°C 10°C - 3% 0.55kPa
13:00
1.6°C 6.4°C 11°C - 0% 0.61kPa
14:00
2.8°C 6.9°C 8.6°C - 0% 0.37kPa
15:00
3.4°C 7.5°C 6.4°C - 0% 0.18kPa
16:00
3.5°C 8°C 4.3°C - 0% 0.04kPa
17:00
3.1°C 7.7°C 3.7°C - 5% 0.03kPa
18:00
2.6°C 7.4°C 3.2°C - 9% 0.03kPa
19:00
2.2°C 7.1°C 2.6°C - 14% 0.02kPa
20:00
2°C 6.8°C 2.4°C - 23% 0.02kPa
21:00
1.8°C 6.5°C 2.1°C - 31% 0.02kPa
22:00
1.6°C 6.2°C 1.9°C - 40% 0.01kPa
23:00
1.6°C 6°C 2.1°C - 27% 0.03kPa
Thu, Apr 23 Sunrise 05:52 Sunset 20:19
24:00
1.6°C 5.8°C 2.4°C - 15% 0.04kPa
01:00
1.6°C 5.5°C 2.7°C - 2% 0.05kPa
02:00
2°C 5.6°C 4.8°C - 1% 0.15kPa
03:00
2.1°C 5.8°C 6.9°C - 1% 0.28kPa
04:00
1.9°C 5.9°C 9°C - 0% 0.45kPa
05:00
2.4°C 6.3°C 10°C - 0% 0.54kPa
06:00
2.8°C 6.7°C 12°C - 0% 0.64kPa
07:00
3.2°C 7.2°C 13°C - 0% 0.75kPa
08:00
3.5°C 7.6°C 14°C - 0% 0.77kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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