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Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Astoria, Pacific Northwest

Tillamook, Oregon, United States

Astoria climbs wooded hills at the Columbia River’s mouth, overlooking working docks and ocean-bound ship traffic on the estuary. The four-mile Astoria–Megler Bridge supplies a strong horizontal landmark, especially when river fog hides sections of the Washington shore.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Storm Intensity
0%
CAPE0
Lifted Index7.3°C
Wind Gusts3.5m/s
Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Los_Angeles

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (93-hour forecast)

  • Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Pacific Northwest. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Astoria.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Pacific Northwest →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Astoria during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
1
recorded matching window · 50% average confidence
Last 365 days
1
recorded matching window · 50% average confidence

Only 1 completed match is recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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93-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 93-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 93 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Los_Angeles
Storm Intensity
≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
21:0015%
22:0016%
23:0018%
Sun, Aug 23
24:0013%
01:0010%
02:0014%
03:008%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Aug 26
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/Los_Angeles
Air Pressure
hPa
CAPE
J/kg
Convective Precip Fraction
fraction
Lifted Index
°C
Precipitation Chance
%
Rainfall
mm
Showers
mm
Simulated Reflectivity
dBZ
Total Precipitation
mm
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Shear 0-3 km
m/s
Wind Shear 0-6 km
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 20:08
20:00 ☾
1013hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 3.5m/s 3.4m/s 10m/s 2.6m/s
21:00 ☾
1013hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2m/s - - 1.7m/s
22:00 ☾
1013hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.5m/s - - 1.2m/s
23:00 ☾
1013hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.1m/s 5.6m/s 13m/s 0.86m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 20:08
24:00 ☾
1013hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.91m/s - - 0.68m/s
01:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.81m/s - - 0.63m/s
02:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.92m/s 6.2m/s 12m/s 0.63m/s
03:00 ☾
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.1m/s - - 0.94m/s
04:00 ☾
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.5m/s - - 1.3m/s
05:00 ☾
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2m/s 7.7m/s 13m/s 1.7m/s
06:00 ☾
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.2m/s - - 1.9m/s
07:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.5m/s - - 2.2m/s
08:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.9m/s 8.9m/s 13m/s 2.1m/s
09:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.9m/s - - 2.2m/s
10:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 3.4m/s - - 2.1m/s
11:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.5m/s 7m/s 12m/s 1.3m/s
12:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.7m/s - - 0.51m/s
13:00
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 4.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.3m/s - - 0.42m/s
14:00
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.1m/s 7.5m/s 13m/s 1.2m/s
15:00
1007hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.5m/s - - 3.1m/s
16:00
1007hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.2m/s - - 3.6m/s
17:00 ☾
1006hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 1.9°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.7m/s 7.8m/s 13m/s 4m/s
18:00 ☾
1006hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 1.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.7m/s - - 3.9m/s
19:00 ☾
1007hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 1.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 3.3m/s - - 2.9m/s
20:00 ☾
1007hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 1.7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.9m/s 11m/s 15m/s 1.7m/s
21:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.5m/s - - 0.74m/s
22:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.5m/s - - 1m/s
23:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.1m/s 11m/s 15m/s 0.82m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:27 Sunset 20:06
24:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1m/s - - 0.89m/s
01:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.2m/s - - 1.1m/s
02:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.1m/s 7.7m/s 12m/s 1.1m/s
03:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.1m/s - - 1.1m/s
04:00 ☾
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2.9°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.6m/s - - 1.5m/s
05:00 ☾
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.2m/s 11m/s 8m/s 1.2m/s
06:00 ☾
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.94m/s - - 0.88m/s
07:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.81m/s - - 0.86m/s
08:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.3m/s 11m/s 10m/s 1.2m/s
09:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -18dBZ 0mm 24117m 2.7m/s - - 2.2m/s
10:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.9m/s - - 2.4m/s
11:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -16dBZ 0mm 7443m 3.6m/s 8.6m/s 14m/s 2.9m/s
12:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 4.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0mm 7288m 4.2m/s - - 3.3m/s
13:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 4.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -18dBZ 0mm 7239m 4.6m/s - - 3.5m/s
14:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.2°C 0% 0.01mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 7424m 6.7m/s 7.7m/s 14m/s 4.8m/s
15:00
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 7349m 7m/s - - 4.8m/s
16:00
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 7336m 6.9m/s - - 4.6m/s
17:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 8408m 6.5m/s 8.3m/s 11m/s 4.5m/s
18:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 9262m 5.4m/s - - 3.8m/s
19:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.1m/s - - 3.1m/s
20:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.5°C 0% 0.01mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 3.2m/s 9.5m/s 14m/s 2.4m/s
21:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.5°C 13% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.4m/s - - 1.9m/s
22:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.1°C 26% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.9m/s - - 1.5m/s
23:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9°C 39% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 2m/s 12m/s 16m/s 1.7m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:28 Sunset 20:04
24:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9°C 26% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.9m/s - - 1.7m/s
01:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.6°C 13% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.8m/s - - 1.4m/s
02:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.1m/s 13m/s 18m/s 0.85m/s
03:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8°C 13% 0mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 24135m 1m/s - - 0.84m/s
04:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.9°C 26% 0mm 0mm -18dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.85m/s - - 0.76m/s
05:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.8°C 39% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.73m/s 11m/s 18m/s 0.67m/s
06:00 ☾
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.1°C 26% 0mm 0mm -14dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.7m/s - - 2.5m/s
07:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.5°C 13% 0mm 0mm -11dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.7m/s - - 4.3m/s
08:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -8dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.7m/s 11m/s 16m/s 6.1m/s
09:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -12dBZ 0mm 23253m 6.5m/s - - 5.7m/s
10:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -16dBZ 0mm 22371m 6.4m/s - - 5.4m/s
11:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 21490m 6.2m/s 12m/s 16m/s 5.1m/s
12:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 21654m 6.3m/s - - 5.1m/s
13:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 21819m 6.4m/s - - 5.1m/s
14:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 21983m 6.5m/s 10m/s 17m/s 5m/s
15:00
1011hPa 2.7J/kg 0fraction 6.6°C 0% 0.007mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 22700m 6.6m/s - - 4.9m/s
16:00
1011hPa 5.3J/kg 0fraction 6.3°C 0% 0.01mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 23418m 6.7m/s - - 4.7m/s
17:00 ☾
1011hPa 8J/kg 0fraction 6.1°C 0% 0.02mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.8m/s 10m/s 18m/s 4.6m/s
18:00 ☾
1011hPa 12J/kg 0fraction 6.5°C 13% 0.01mm 0.03mm -20dBZ 0.04mm 24135m 6.7m/s - - 4.7m/s
19:00 ☾
1011hPa 15J/kg 0fraction 7°C 26% 0.007mm 0.07mm -20dBZ 0.08mm 24135m 6.5m/s - - 4.9m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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