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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Tromso, Norwegian Fjords

Tromsø, Troms, Norway

Tromsø occupies Tromsøya between broad sounds, with the Arctic Cathedral and bridge forming recognisable city-scale foregrounds across the water. West of the island, Kvaløya’s steeper peaks and fjords replace urban light with open coastal horizons.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation5.3° (Golden hour)
Cloud Cover71%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Oslo

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Solar Elevation100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage86% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Norwegian Fjords. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Tromso.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Norwegian Fjords →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Tromso during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
26
recorded matching windows · 65% average confidence
Most represented month

April, with 10 of 26 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Oslo
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Jul 25
04:000%5.5°16%100%24134m
05:000%9.5°14%100%24134m
06:000%14°11%100%24134m
07:000%19°8%100%24134m
08:000%24°8%99%24134m
09:000%29°8%100%24134m
10:000%34°8%50%24134m
11:000%37°8%7.5%24134m
12:000%39°8%6.6%24135m
13:000%40°11%13%24034m
14:000%39°8%13%24026m
15:000%36°16%55%23962m
16:000%32°20%98%24134m
17:000%28°29%14%24134m
18:000%23°33%84%24134m
19:000%18°38%100%24135m
20:000%13°37%100%24135m
21:000%31%100%24134m
22:000%4.3°31%96%24135m
23:000%1.6°27%23%24134m
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%0.14°25%18%24134m
01:000%-0.46°23%25%24134m
02:000%0.46°18%21%24135m
03:000%2.3°18%35%24134m
04:000%5.3°18%71%24135m
05:000%9.3°18%93%24135m
06:000%14°7.8%58%24135m
07:000%19°7.8%34%24135m
08:000%24°4.7%40%24134m
09:000%29°4.7%29%24134m
10:000%34°4.7%5.1%24135m
11:000%37°2.6%10%24135m
12:000%39°2.6%48%24134m
13:000%40°2.6%81%24134m
14:000%39°4.7%94%24134m
15:000%36°4.7%98%24134m
16:000%32°4.7%100%24135m
17:000%28°4.7%100%24135m
18:000%23°4.7%100%24135m
19:000%17°4.7%100%24135m
20:000%12°4.7%100%24134m
21:000%7.8°4.7%100%24134m
22:000%4.1°4.7%100%24134m
23:000%1.4°7.8%100%24135m
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%-0.09°7.8%94%23994m
01:000%-0.77°7.8%100%19240m
02:000%0.27°64%67%6381m
03:000%2.1°64%72%687m
04:000%5.1°64%93%78m
05:000%9.1°64%99%89m
06:000%14°64%100%130m
07:000%19°64%100%190m
08:000%24°64%100%18925m
09:000%29°64%97%19085m
10:000%33°64%72%21807m
11:000%37°75%38%24135m
12:000%39°75%46%24134m
13:000%39°75%88%24135m
14:000%38°64%49%24134m
15:000%36°64%71%24135m
16:000%32°64%56%24135m
17:000%27°75%27%24134m
18:000%22°75%28%24135m
19:000%17°75%91%24134m
20:000%12°87%78%24135m
21:000%7.6°87%66%24134m
22:000%3.9°87%16%24134m
23:000%1.2°87%66%24134m
Tue, Jul 28
24:000%-0.46°87%75%24135m
01:000%-1°87%73%24135m
02:000%0.08°12%92%24135m
03:000%1.9°12%71%24134m
04:000%4.9°12%8.7%24134m
05:000%8.9°12%15%24135m
06:000%14°12%13%24134m
07:000%19°12%16%24135m
08:000%24°12%100%24134m
09:000%29°12%100%24134m
10:000%33°12%100%24135m
11:000%37°12%100%24135m
12:000%39°12%100%18347m
13:000%39°12%100%12559m
14:000%38°12%100%6771m
15:000%36°12%100%4673m
16:000%32°12%100%2576m
17:000%27°12%100%479m
18:000%22°12%100%525m
19:000%17°12%100%571m
20:000%12°12%100%617m
21:000%7.4°12%100%969m
22:000%3.7°12%100%1321m
23:000%12%100%1672m
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%-0.78°12%100%9160m
01:000%-1.3°12%100%16648m
02:000%-0.24°12%100%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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