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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Narvik, Norwegian Fjords

Narvik, Nordland, Norway

Narvik sits at the head of Ofotfjord beneath steep mountains; Narvikfjellet looks across branching water, islands, and snow-lined ridges.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation4.1° (Golden hour)
Cloud Cover12%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Oslo

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Solar Elevation100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage92% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Norwegian Fjords. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Narvik.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Norwegian Fjords →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Narvik during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
56
recorded matching windows · 72% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

23:00 local time, shared by 7 of 56 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 31 of 56 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Oslo
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Jul 25
04:000%4.3°16%100%24134m
05:000%8.4°11%97%24134m
06:000%13°8%87%24134m
07:000%19°0%94%24134m
08:000%24°0%29%24134m
09:000%29°0%26%24134m
10:000%34°8%13%24134m
11:000%38°8%6.2%24134m
12:000%40°8%5.1%24135m
13:000%41°8%21%24135m
14:000%40°8%100%24134m
15:000%38°11%100%24134m
16:000%34°14%61%24134m
17:000%29°23%100%24134m
18:000%23°30%100%24134m
19:000%18°36%90%24135m
20:000%13°35%100%24135m
21:000%7.8°31%48%24134m
22:000%3.8°32%48%24135m
23:000%0.89°27%67%24134m
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%-1.2°27%64%24134m
01:000%-1.9°23%59%24134m
02:000%-1.1°18%43%24135m
03:000%1.1°16%23%24134m
04:000%4.1°16%12%24135m
05:000%8.2°16%68%24135m
06:000%13°7.2%50%24135m
07:000%18°7.2%87%24135m
08:000%24°4.3%100%24134m
09:000%29°4.3%100%24134m
10:000%34°4.3%100%24135m
11:000%38°2.3%100%24135m
12:000%40°2.3%100%24134m
13:000%41°2.3%100%24134m
14:000%40°4.3%100%24134m
15:000%37°4.3%100%24134m
16:000%33°4.3%100%24135m
17:000%29°4.3%100%24135m
18:000%23°4.3%100%24135m
19:000%18°4.3%100%24135m
20:000%12°4.3%100%24134m
21:000%7.6°4.3%100%24134m
22:000%3.6°4.3%73%19132m
23:000%0.69°7.2%48%5725m
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%-1.5°7.2%83%1178m
01:000%-2.2°7.2%95%77m
02:000%-1.3°62%100%79m
03:000%0.9°62%100%89m
04:000%3.9°62%86%114m
05:000%62%90%130m
06:000%13°62%87%162m
07:000%18°62%88%228m
08:000%24°62%87%2504m
09:000%29°62%100%2983m
10:000%34°62%100%3590m
11:000%37°72%69%10477m
12:000%40°72%32%24134m
13:000%41°72%15%24135m
14:000%40°62%5.6%20255m
15:000%37°62%8.5%16333m
16:000%33°62%19%20861m
17:000%28°72%45%20868m
18:000%23°72%40%24135m
19:000%17°72%35%24134m
20:000%12°84%37%23307m
21:000%7.4°84%68%21931m
22:000%3.4°84%96%24134m
23:000%0.5°84%98%18384m
Tue, Jul 28
24:000%-1.7°84%76%19169m
01:000%-2.4°84%77%21887m
02:000%-1.6°11%99%24135m
03:000%0.71°11%100%9231m
04:000%3.7°11%100%9418m
05:000%7.8°11%100%24135m
06:000%13°11%100%24134m
07:000%18°11%100%24135m
08:000%23°11%79%24134m
09:000%29°11%86%24134m
10:000%33°11%93%24135m
11:000%37°11%100%24135m
12:000%40°11%100%16542m
13:000%40°11%100%8949m
14:000%40°11%100%1357m
15:000%37°11%100%971m
16:000%33°11%100%585m
17:000%28°11%100%199m
18:000%23°11%100%186m
19:000%17°11%100%173m
20:000%12°11%100%160m
21:000%7.1°11%100%161m
22:000%3.1°11%100%162m
23:000%0.31°11%100%163m
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%-2°11%91%8154m
01:000%-2.6°11%83%16144m
02:000%-1.9°11%74%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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