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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Mount Cook, New Zealand

Twizel, Canterbury, New Zealand

Aoraki/Mount Cook rises above braided glacial valleys and moraine lakes, with Hooker Valley footbridges and ridges adding foreground depth.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation5.8° (Golden hour)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Auckland

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Aurora Activity100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage97% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across New Zealand. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Mount Cook.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across New Zealand →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Mount Cook during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
0
recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Auckland
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Aug 22
07:000%-5°0%100%43m
08:000%5.5°0%100%34m
09:000%15°0%100%32m
10:000%23°0%100%45m
11:000%30°0%100%36m
12:000%34°0%100%37m
13:000%34°0%100%33m
14:000%32°0%100%41m
15:000%26°0%100%58m
16:000%19°0%100%46m
17:000%9.6°0%100%39m
18:000%-0.005°0%100%24m
19:000%-11°0%100%31m
20:000%-22°0%100%35m
21:000%-33°0%100%26m
22:000%-43°0%99%42m
23:000%-51°0%99%34m
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%-57°0%99%26m
01:000%-58°0%100%28m
02:000%-54°0%100%29m
03:000%-46°0%100%29m
04:000%-37°0%100%28m
05:000%-26°0%100%28m
06:000%-16°0%100%28m
07:000%-4.7°0%100%30m
08:000%5.8°0%100%41m
09:000%15°0%100%137m
10:000%24°0%100%105m
11:000%30°0%100%39m
12:000%34°0%100%29m
13:000%35°0%100%31m
14:000%32°0%100%35m
15:000%27°0%100%34m
16:000%19°0%100%50m
17:000%9.8°0%100%60m
18:000%0.16°0%95%361m
19:000%-11°0%99%232m
20:000%-22°0%100%568m
21:000%-33°0%94%3333m
22:000%-42°0%45%10456m
23:000%-51°0%37%5476m
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%-56°0%73%2975m
01:000%-57°0%82%793m
02:000%-54°0%86%306m
03:000%-46°0%94%339m
04:000%-37°0%100%139m
05:000%-26°0%100%84m
06:000%-15°0%100%56m
07:000%-4.4°0%100%41m
08:000%6.1°0%100%51m
09:000%16°0%100%72m
10:000%24°0%100%57m
11:000%31°0%100%30m
12:000%34°0%100%27m
13:000%35°0%100%23m
14:000%32°0%99%25m
15:000%27°0%100%34m
16:000%19°0%100%37m
17:000%10°0%100%35m
18:000%0.32°0%97%36m
19:000%-11°0%93%111m
20:000%-22°0%91%414m
21:000%-32°0%100%275m
22:000%-42°0%100%45m
23:000%-51°0%100%40m
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%-56°0%100%82m
01:000%-57°0%100%38m
02:000%-53°0%99%31m
03:000%-46°0%100%36m
04:000%-36°0%100%91m
05:000%-26°0%100%45m
06:000%-15°0%100%47m
07:000%-4.1°0%100%46m
08:000%6.3°0%100%39m
09:000%16°0%100%39m
10:000%24°0%100%42m
11:000%31°0%100%44m
12:000%35°0%100%36m
13:000%35°0%68%8069m
14:000%33°0%37%16102m
15:000%27°0%5.1%24135m
16:000%19°0%25%24135m
17:000%10°0%44%24135m
18:000%0.48°0%64%24135m
19:000%-11°0%65%19770m
20:000%-22°0%67%15405m
21:000%-32°0%69%11040m
22:000%-42°0%79%11074m
23:000%-50°0%89%11108m
Wed, Aug 26
24:000%-56°0%100%11143m
01:000%-57°0%100%7693m
02:000%-53°0%100%4242m
03:000%-45°0%100%792m
04:000%-36°0%100%973m
05:000%-26°0%100%1154m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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