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Rule Mirror Lake

Mirror Lake Forecast for Milford Sound, Fiordland

Milford Sound, Southland, New Zealand

Milford Sound frames Mitre Peak between sheer glacial walls, with dark fjord water, Bowen Falls, and forested slopes emphasizing vertical scale.

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Auckland

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

  • Precipitation Chance100% of hours
  • Visibility94% of hours
  • Wind Speed93% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Mirror Lake conditions across Fiordland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Milford Sound.

Explore Mirror Lake conditions across Fiordland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Milford Sound during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
26
recorded matching windows · 68% average confidence
Last 90 days
71
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Last 365 days
171
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

10:00 local time, shared by 19 of 171 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 40 of 171 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Auckland
Wind Speed
≤ 1.0m/s
Wind Gusts
≤ 2.0m/s
Precipitation Chance
≤ 10.0%
Visibility
≥ 5000.0m
Sat, Aug 22
17:004.4m/s8.3m/s100%8897m
18:004m/s8m/s100%3926m
19:003.8m/s7.6m/s100%236m
20:004.2m/s8.9m/s100%116m
21:004.4m/s11m/s100%116m
22:004.8m/s13m/s100%108m
23:004.8m/s15m/s100%106m
Sun, Aug 23
24:005.5m/s16m/s100%103m
01:005.8m/s18m/s100%97m
02:005.8m/s17m/s100%80m
03:004.9m/s15m/s99%82m
04:005.6m/s16m/s100%68m
05:005.8m/s16m/s100%66m
06:006.1m/s18m/s100%42m
07:006.7m/s18m/s100%481m
08:004.8m/s17m/s100%266m
09:004.8m/s16m/s100%228m
10:004.9m/s16m/s100%172m
11:006.5m/s16m/s100%98m
12:006.1m/s17m/s100%131m
13:007m/s18m/s100%166m
14:004.7m/s17m/s100%250m
15:005.2m/s18m/s100%351m
16:004.5m/s17m/s100%243m
17:003.8m/s16m/s100%204m
18:003.1m/s15m/s100%177m
19:002.5m/s11m/s100%243m
20:002.2m/s3.7m/s100%119m
21:002.3m/s3.6m/s100%93m
22:002.3m/s3.6m/s100%78m
23:002.6m/s4.2m/s100%66m
Mon, Aug 24
24:002.7m/s4.9m/s100%71m
01:003m/s5.9m/s100%74m
02:002.7m/s5.8m/s100%81m
03:002.7m/s5.6m/s100%88m
04:002.8m/s5.9m/s100%78m
05:002.7m/s5.7m/s100%71m
06:002.8m/s5.7m/s100%62m
07:003.3m/s5.7m/s100%67m
08:002.8m/s5.4m/s100%43m
09:002.9m/s5.7m/s100%48m
10:003.3m/s6.2m/s100%38m
11:003.3m/s6.2m/s100%35m
12:003.4m/s6.4m/s100%40m
13:003.5m/s6.7m/s100%46m
14:003.6m/s7m/s100%43m
15:003.6m/s6.9m/s100%47m
16:004.1m/s8.3m/s100%47m
17:003.9m/s7.4m/s100%50m
18:004.3m/s8.3m/s100%58m
19:004.4m/s9m/s100%96m
20:004.4m/s8.8m/s100%92m
21:004.4m/s10m/s100%106m
22:004.4m/s9.6m/s100%53m
23:004.4m/s10m/s100%158m
Tue, Aug 25
24:004m/s9.3m/s100%81m
01:003.5m/s7.9m/s100%75m
02:003.9m/s11m/s99%70m
03:004.6m/s14m/s99%68m
04:004.4m/s12m/s99%60m
05:003.9m/s10m/s99%56m
06:003m/s5.1m/s99%110m
07:003m/s5.2m/s90%117m
08:003.2m/s5.9m/s81%60m
09:003.4m/s6.6m/s73%61m
10:002.7m/s5.5m/s74%105m
11:002.2m/s3.8m/s75%103m
12:002.2m/s3.8m/s76%75m
13:001.6m/s2.9m/s68%4090m
14:000.87m/s2m/s59%8105m
15:000.19m/s1m/s51%12120m
16:000.45m/s1.3m/s54%8673m
17:000.71m/s1.6m/s57%5227m
18:000.97m/s1.8m/s61%1780m
19:001.1m/s2.1m/s56%1443m
20:001.2m/s2.4m/s51%1105m
21:001.3m/s2.6m/s47%768m
22:001.6m/s3.5m/s51%1056m
23:001.9m/s4.3m/s55%1344m
Wed, Aug 26
24:002.2m/s5.1m/s59%1632m
01:002.2m/s5m/s60%2303m
02:002.2m/s4.9m/s61%2974m
03:002.3m/s4.8m/s63%3645m
04:002.6m/s7.1m/s71%2653m
05:002.9m/s9.3m/s78%1660m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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