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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Stowe, New England, USA

Stowe, Vermont, United States

Stowe's church steeples and village roofs sit beneath Mount Mansfield, allowing roads, fields, and autumn-covered slopes to build layered scenes.

2 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 5, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Soil Temperature9.1°C
Dew Point5.2°C
Wind Speed2.3m/s
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York
First upcoming window
Moderate Frost at Sunrise
Stowe
Wed, Oct 14 · 07:00–08:00 · 1h window
Low confidence
32%
❄️Frost Probability71%
Dew Point: -5.9°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed: 1.4m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover: 42%
thermometer-snow weather icon
Moderate Frost (radiative)
Stowe
Wed, Oct 14 · 08:00–08:34
❄️Frost Probability:78%
Low

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in America/New_York.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (America/New_York)Dew PointSurface TemperatureTemperatureTime WindowTotal Cloud CoverageVapor Pressure Deficit
Mon, Oct 5, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night5.2°C9.1°C11°CUnavailable100%0.4kPa
Night5.5°C9.3°C10°CUnavailable52%0.33kPa
Night6.4°C9°C11°CUnavailable79%0.34kPa
Night6.6°C9.6°C11°CUnavailable96%0.31kPa
Night6.4°C9.7°C9.9°CUnavailable100%0.26kPa
7.9°C9.9°C11°CUnavailable100%0.22kPa
8.6°C10°C12°CUnavailable1%0.25kPa
8.3°C12°C13°CUnavailable98%0.38kPa
6.7°C12°C13°CUnavailable9%0.55kPa
5.6°C11°C14°CUnavailable21%0.63kPa
5.3°C13°C14°CUnavailable73%0.7kPa
3.6°C14°C13°CUnavailable100%0.73kPa
2.9°C14°C13°CUnavailable100%0.78kPa
3°C12°C12°CUnavailable100%0.64kPa
5.2°C12°C8.8°CUnavailable100%0.25kPa
0.8°C10°C9.7°CUnavailable0%0.55kPa
0.3°C9.3°C8.1°CUnavailable2%0.45kPa
Night-0.1°C8.8°C7.1°CUnavailable63%0.4kPa
Night0.7°C8.3°C7.5°CUnavailable100%0.39kPa
Night0.6°C8.2°C7.2°CUnavailable100%0.38kPa
Night-0.4°C7.7°C6.8°CUnavailable51%0.39kPa
Night-0.8°C7.1°C6.2°CUnavailable74%0.37kPa
Tue, Oct 6, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night-1.2°C6.5°C5.5°CUnavailable100%0.34kPa
Night-1.1°C6.1°C5.4°CUnavailable100%0.33kPa
Night-1.2°C5.7°C5°CUnavailable100%0.31kPa
Night-1.1°C5.3°C4.7°CUnavailable100%0.29kPa
Night-1.1°C5.1°C4.5°CUnavailable100%0.28kPa
Night-1.1°C4.9°C4.3°CUnavailable100%0.27kPa
Night-1.1°C4.8°C4.3°CUnavailable100%0.27kPa
-1.2°C4.3°C4.2°CUnavailable100%0.26kPa
-1.4°C5.2°C4.2°CUnavailable100%0.27kPa
-1.1°C6.4°C4.5°CUnavailable100%0.28kPa
-0.5°C7.7°C5.1°CUnavailable69%0.29kPa
-0.2°C9°C5.9°CUnavailable43%0.32kPa
0°C10°C6.3°CUnavailable45%0.34kPa
0.3°C11°C6.9°CUnavailable42%0.37kPa
0.1°C12°C7.4°CUnavailable22%0.41kPa
-0.3°C11°C7.9°CUnavailable11%0.47kPa
-0.6°C11°C8.2°CUnavailable3%0.5kPa
-1.1°C9.6°C7.9°CUnavailable0%0.5kPa
-1.2°C8°C7°CUnavailable1%0.44kPa
Night-1.3°C6.1°C5.2°CUnavailable3%0.33kPa
Night-0.9°C5°C3.9°CUnavailable0%0.23kPa
Night-0.5°C4.1°C3°CUnavailable0%0.17kPa
Night-0.5°C2.5°C2.8°CUnavailable11%0.16kPa
Night-0.7°C1.6°C2.6°CUnavailable13%0.15kPa
Wed, Oct 7, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night-0.8°C1°C2.5°CUnavailable10%0.15kPa
Night-0.8°C0.8°C2.8°CUnavailable89%0.17kPa
Night-0.8°C0.9°C2.5°CUnavailable70%0.15kPa
Night-0.8°C1°C1.9°CUnavailable9%0.13kPa
Night-0.8°C1.3°C1.4°CUnavailable0%0.1kPa
Night-1°C1.4°C1.1°CUnavailable49%0.09kPa
Night-1.2°C1.1°C1.4°CUnavailable78%0.11kPa
-1.5°C1.3°C1.2°CUnavailable26%0.12kPa
-1.5°C4.1°C3.5°CUnavailable16%0.24kPa
-1.3°C8°C7.1°CUnavailable17%0.45kPa
-1.1°C10°C9.3°CUnavailable100%0.61kPa
-0.4°C13°C12°CUnavailable17%0.82kPa
0.8°C15°C15°CUnavailable6%1kPa
2.2°C16°C17°CUnavailable11%1.3kPa
3.1°C16°C19°CUnavailable6%1.4kPa
3.2°C14°C18°CUnavailable6%1.3kPa
5.2°C14°C15°CUnavailable100%0.78kPa
4.9°C13°C13°CUnavailable100%0.65kPa
5.7°C13°C13°CUnavailable84%0.54kPa
Night6°C12°C13°CUnavailable100%0.57kPa
Night6.4°C12°C11°CUnavailable9%0.32kPa
Night6.6°C12°C9.3°CUnavailable25%0.2kPa
Night7.4°C13°C12°CUnavailable100%0.38kPa
Night7.9°C13°C12°CUnavailable51%0.34kPa
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night8.2°C13°C11°CUnavailable81%0.24kPa
Night8.6°C12°C12°CUnavailable90%0.31kPa

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across New England, USA. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Stowe.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across New England, USA →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Stowe during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
2
recorded matching windows · 59% average confidence
Last 90 days
2
recorded matching windows · 59% average confidence
Last 365 days
17
recorded matching windows · 68% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 7 of 17 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

February, with 8 of 17 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

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