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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Stowe, New England, USA

Stowe, Vermont, United States

Stowe's church steeples and village roofs sit beneath Mount Mansfield, allowing roads, fields, and autumn-covered slopes to build layered scenes.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Frost Probability
0%
Soil Temperature15.9°C
Dew Point13.5°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.8m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover98%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (86-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Wind Speed89% of hours
  • Time Window88% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across New England, USA. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Stowe.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across New England, USA →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Stowe during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
15
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 6 of 15 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

February, with 8 of 15 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 86 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Aug 22
24:00✕0%1.3m/s
01:00✕0%1.4m/s
02:00✕0%1.4m/s
03:00✕0%1.6m/s
04:00✕0%1.7m/s
05:00✓0%1.7m/s
06:00✓0%1.8m/s
07:00✓0%1.8m/s
08:00✕0%1.9m/s
09:00✕0%2m/s
10:00✕0%2.7m/s
11:00✕0%3.1m/s
12:00✕0%3.9m/s
13:00✕0%3.5m/s
14:00✕0%3.4m/s
15:00✕0%3.1m/s
16:00✕0%2.8m/s
17:00✕0%2.6m/s
18:00✕0%2.7m/s
19:00✕0%2.3m/s
20:00✕0%2.4m/s
21:00✕0%2.4m/s
22:00✕0%2.3m/s
23:00✕0%2.3m/s
Sun, Aug 23
24:00✕0%2.4m/s
01:00✕0%2.3m/s
02:00✕0%2.4m/s
03:00✕0%2.3m/s
04:00✕0%2.3m/s
05:00✓0%2.3m/s
06:00✓0%2.5m/s
07:00✓0%2.4m/s
08:00✕0%2.7m/s
09:00✕0%2.8m/s
10:00✕0%2.9m/s
11:00✕0%2.6m/s
12:00✕0%2.4m/s
13:00✕0%2.5m/s
14:00✕0%2.1m/s
15:00✕0%1.8m/s
16:00✕0%1.8m/s
17:00✕0%1.8m/s
18:00✕0%1.6m/s
19:00✕0%1.5m/s
20:00✕0%1.6m/s
21:00✕0%1.6m/s
22:00✕0%1.8m/s
23:00✕0%1.8m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:00✕0%1.8m/s
01:00✕0%1.8m/s
02:00✕0%1.8m/s
03:00✕0%2m/s
04:00✕0%1.9m/s
05:00✓0%1.8m/s
06:00✓0%1.7m/s
07:00✓0%1.5m/s
08:00✕0%1m/s
09:00✕0%1.6m/s
10:00✕0%2.3m/s
11:00✕0%2.2m/s
12:00✕0%3.3m/s
13:00✕0%3.8m/s
14:00✕0%2.6m/s
15:00✕0%4m/s
16:00✕0%3.9m/s
17:00✕0%3.8m/s
18:00✕0%2.9m/s
19:00✕0%2.3m/s
20:00✕0%2.5m/s
21:00✕0%2.3m/s
22:00✕0%2.2m/s
23:00✕0%2m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:00✕0%1.6m/s
01:00✕0%1.2m/s
02:00✕0%0.84m/s
03:00✕0%0.88m/s
04:00✕0%0.92m/s
05:00✓0%0.96m/s
06:00✓0%1.5m/s
07:00✓0%2.1m/s
08:00✕0%2.7m/s
09:00✕0%2.5m/s
10:00✕0%2.2m/s
11:00✕0%2m/s
12:00✕0%1.8m/s
13:00✕0%1.7m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 06:02 Sunset 19:44
16:00
14°C 16°C 21°C - 98% 0.89kPa
17:00
14°C 16°C 22°C - 10% 1kPa
18:00
14°C 16°C 22°C - 3% 1kPa
19:00
14°C 16°C 19°C - 4% 0.57kPa
20:00 ☾
13°C 16°C 16°C - 0% 0.34kPa
21:00 ☾
13°C 16°C 15°C - 0% 0.26kPa
22:00 ☾
12°C 16°C 14°C - 0% 0.21kPa
23:00 ☾
12°C 16°C 13°C - 0% 0.17kPa
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:03 Sunset 19:42
24:00 ☾
12°C 16°C 13°C - 3% 0.13kPa
01:00 ☾
11°C 16°C 12°C - 5% 0.11kPa
02:00 ☾
11°C 16°C 12°C - 13% 0.11kPa
03:00 ☾
11°C 15°C 12°C - 2% 0.1kPa
04:00 ☾
11°C 15°C 12°C - 4% 0.07kPa
05:00 ☾
11°C 15°C 11°C - 12% 0.06kPa
06:00 ☾
11°C 15°C 11°C - 100% 0.03kPa
07:00
11°C 15°C 12°C - 100% 0.1kPa
08:00
12°C 15°C 15°C - 100% 0.22kPa
09:00
13°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.26kPa
10:00
14°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.33kPa
11:00
16°C 15°C 17°C - 95% 0.18kPa
12:00
16°C 15°C 17°C - 99% 0.15kPa
13:00
16°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.16kPa
14:00
16°C 15°C 17°C - 98% 0.12kPa
15:00
16°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.05kPa
16:00
17°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.04kPa
17:00
17°C 15°C 17°C - 99% 0.05kPa
18:00
17°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.03kPa
19:00
17°C 15°C 17°C - 94% 0.02kPa
20:00 ☾
16°C 15°C 17°C - 66% 0.01kPa
21:00 ☾
16°C 15°C 16°C - 47% 0.01kPa
22:00 ☾
16°C 15°C 16°C - 48% 0.01kPa
23:00 ☾
15°C 15°C 15°C - 34% 0.01kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:04 Sunset 19:40
24:00 ☾
14°C 15°C 15°C - 31% 0.01kPa
01:00 ☾
14°C 15°C 14°C - 23% 0.02kPa
02:00 ☾
13°C 15°C 13°C - 7% 0.03kPa
03:00 ☾
13°C 15°C 13°C - 5% 0.03kPa
04:00 ☾
12°C 15°C 12°C - 0% 0.04kPa
05:00 ☾
12°C 15°C 12°C - 0% 0.04kPa
06:00 ☾
11°C 15°C 12°C - 0% 0.04kPa
07:00
12°C 14°C 12°C - 2% 0.04kPa
08:00
14°C 14°C 15°C - 2% 0.09kPa
09:00
15°C 14°C 16°C - 0% 0.16kPa
10:00
15°C 14°C 17°C - 0% 0.23kPa
11:00
13°C 15°C 18°C - 14% 0.55kPa
12:00
12°C 15°C 19°C - 1% 0.85kPa
13:00
14°C 15°C 18°C - 92% 0.44kPa
14:00
13°C 15°C 17°C - 14% 0.44kPa
15:00
11°C 15°C 19°C - 1% 0.85kPa
16:00
8.4°C 15°C 20°C - 6% 1.3kPa
17:00
7.5°C 15°C 21°C - 72% 1.4kPa
18:00
9.6°C 15°C 19°C - 100% 1kPa
19:00
10°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.68kPa
20:00 ☾
9.5°C 15°C 15°C - 93% 0.56kPa
21:00 ☾
10°C 15°C 14°C - 83% 0.41kPa
22:00 ☾
11°C 15°C 14°C - 73% 0.27kPa
23:00 ☾
11°C 15°C 13°C - 63% 0.15kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:05 Sunset 19:39
24:00 ☾
11°C 14°C 13°C - 75% 0.14kPa
01:00 ☾
11°C 14°C 13°C - 88% 0.13kPa
02:00 ☾
11°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.12kPa
03:00 ☾
12°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.09kPa
04:00 ☾
12°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.06kPa
05:00 ☾
12°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.03kPa
06:00 ☾
12°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.11kPa
07:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 100% 0.19kPa
08:00
12°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.28kPa
09:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 95% 0.27kPa
10:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 89% 0.26kPa
11:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 84% 0.25kPa
12:00
12°C 14°C 13°C - 88% 0.18kPa
13:00
12°C 14°C 13°C - 93% 0.11kPa
14:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 98% 0.05kPa
15:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 76% 0.04kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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