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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Killington, New England, USA

Killington, Vermont, United States

Killington's elevated Green Mountain terrain offers overlapping wooded ridges, ski clearings, and broad overlooks that reveal bands of autumn color.

1 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 5, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Soil Temperature7.6°C
Dew Point4.1°C
Wind Speed3.0m/s
Cloud Cover0%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York
First upcoming window
Moderate Frost (radiative) at Sunrise
Killington
Sun, Oct 11 · 06:15–07:00 · 1h window
Low confidence
42%
❄️Frost Probability71%
Soil Temperature: 1.9°C
Dew Point: -1.9°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed: 0.7m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover: 0%

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in America/New_York.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (America/New_York)Dew PointSurface TemperatureTemperatureTime WindowTotal Cloud CoverageVapor Pressure Deficit
Mon, Oct 5, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night4.1°C7.6°C8.7°CUnavailable0%0.3kPa
Night4.9°C7.4°C8.5°CUnavailable0%0.24kPa
Night5.3°C7.6°C8.6°CUnavailable0%0.22kPa
Night5.4°C9.4°C8.5°CUnavailable5%0.21kPa
Night4.5°C11°C7.9°CUnavailable19%0.22kPa
6°C10°C8°CUnavailable14%0.14kPa
8.5°C11°C9.9°CUnavailable13%0.11kPa
8.9°C12°C11°CUnavailable7%0.2kPa
7.5°C13°C12°CUnavailable11%0.36kPa
5.1°C14°C13°CUnavailable11%0.59kPa
4°C14°C13°CUnavailable19%0.66kPa
2.5°C14°C13°CUnavailable36%0.76kPa
0.8°C14°C13°CUnavailable100%0.83kPa
1.4°C14°C12°CUnavailable100%0.68kPa
0.7°C13°C11°CUnavailable10%0.7kPa
-0.2°C11°C11°CUnavailable63%0.68kPa
0.5°C9.6°C7.1°CUnavailable74%0.37kPa
Night-0.9°C8.2°C6.1°CUnavailable0%0.37kPa
Night-1.6°C7.1°C5.1°CUnavailable0%0.33kPa
Night-1.2°C6.5°C4.4°CUnavailable6%0.28kPa
Night-1.3°C6.2°C3.9°CUnavailable4%0.25kPa
Night-1.8°C6.1°C3.5°CUnavailable7%0.25kPa
Tue, Oct 6, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night-2.7°C5.1°C3°CUnavailable7%0.26kPa
Night-2.8°C4.4°C2.7°CUnavailable6%0.24kPa
Night-3.3°C4°C2.2°CUnavailable0%0.24kPa
Night-3.4°C3.5°C1.7°CUnavailable1%0.21kPa
Night-3.3°C3.3°C1.4°CUnavailable4%0.2kPa
Night-3.2°C3°C1.1°CUnavailable4%0.18kPa
Night-3.3°C2.7°C0.8°CUnavailable5%0.17kPa
-3.2°C2.5°C0.7°CUnavailable3%0.16kPa
-2.3°C4.3°C1.8°CUnavailable4%0.18kPa
-2°C5.9°C2.9°CUnavailable11%0.23kPa
-1.9°C7.4°C3.9°CUnavailable9%0.27kPa
-1.7°C8.9°C5°CUnavailable16%0.33kPa
-1.5°C10°C6.1°CUnavailable4%0.4kPa
-1.7°C11°C7°CUnavailable2%0.46kPa
-2.3°C11°C7.7°CUnavailable1%0.54kPa
-3.2°C11°C8.3°CUnavailable0%0.61kPa
-3.7°C11°C8.5°CUnavailable1%0.64kPa
-3.5°C9.2°C8.3°CUnavailable0%0.62kPa
-3.1°C7.4°C6.9°CUnavailable2%0.51kPa
Night-3.1°C5.3°C4.4°CUnavailable3%0.35kPa
Night-2.9°C4.3°C3.2°CUnavailable0%0.28kPa
Night-2.5°C3.9°C2.4°CUnavailable0%0.22kPa
Night-2.6°C2.9°C2.1°CUnavailable0%0.21kPa
Night-2.7°C1.7°C1.8°CUnavailable8%0.19kPa
Wed, Oct 7, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night-2.7°C1.1°C1.6°CUnavailable5%0.19kPa
Night-2.9°C0.9°C1.4°CUnavailable14%0.18kPa
Night-3.1°C0.9°C1.6°CUnavailable91%0.2kPa
Night-3.2°C0.9°C1.5°CUnavailable100%0.2kPa
Night-3.2°C0.9°C1.3°CUnavailable11%0.19kPa
Night-3.4°C1.4°C1.5°CUnavailable17%0.2kPa
Night-3.5°C1.5°C2°CUnavailable100%0.23kPa
-3.6°C1.7°C2.3°CUnavailable100%0.25kPa
-2.9°C5.4°C4.6°CUnavailable94%0.36kPa
-3°C9.4°C7.9°CUnavailable100%0.57kPa
-2.9°C11°C11°CUnavailable100%0.8kPa
-1.8°C14°C13°CUnavailable62%0.95kPa
-0.1°C15°C15°CUnavailable5%1.1kPa
1.8°C16°C17°CUnavailable0%1.2kPa
2.6°C16°C17°CUnavailable0%1.3kPa
2.8°C16°C17°CUnavailable0%1.2kPa
4.8°C15°C17°CUnavailable0%1.1kPa
6.4°C14°C15°CUnavailable6%0.79kPa
6.6°C13°C12°CUnavailable20%0.4kPa
Night6.5°C13°C9.6°CUnavailable11%0.23kPa
Night7°C13°C9.2°CUnavailable0%0.16kPa
Night7.1°C12°C8.8°CUnavailable7%0.12kPa
Night7.5°C12°C10°CUnavailable98%0.2kPa
Night7.6°C12°C8.5°CUnavailable18%0.07kPa
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night7.7°C12°C8.8°CUnavailable100%0.08kPa
Night8.3°C12°C9.9°CUnavailable100%0.12kPa

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across New England, USA. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Killington.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across New England, USA →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Killington during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
20
recorded matching windows · 65% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

08:00 local time, shared by 7 of 20 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

February, with 13 of 20 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

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