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Rule Morning Frost

Bennington - Morning Frost - New England, USA

Bennington, Vermont, United States

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Time Window 88% failing
Wind Speed 69% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature15.0°C
Dew Point11.3°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed2.3m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover63%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts the first frost events that transform New England's fall foliage into crystalline masterpieces. We track overnight temperatures, dewpoint, and wind conditions to identify when frost will coat leaves, grasses, and stone walls with sparkling ice crystals.

The first hard frost of autumn is a cherished event in New England—it triggers the final phase of fall color and creates magical dawn conditions where ice crystals catch golden light. The region's iconic stone walls, covered bridges, and sugar maples take on new dimension when dusted with frost.

What makes New England frost photography exceptional:

  • Foliage enhancement - Frost crystals on red and orange leaves create otherworldly textures and highlights
  • Stone wall character - New England's ubiquitous dry-stacked stone walls gain definition and drama when frost-covered
  • Sugar maple groves - Vermont and New Hampshire maple stands combine brilliant color with frost textures
  • Historic elements - Colonial-era buildings, covered bridges, and farmsteads gain timeless quality under frost

Best conditions occur on clear, calm nights in October when temperatures drop to 28-32°F. Frost melts quickly after sunrise, so arrive before dawn for frost plus golden hour light. Protected valleys and hollows accumulate frost more heavily than exposed hilltops.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Jun 6
22:000%4.2m/s
23:000%4.4m/s
Sun, Jun 7
24:000%3.8m/s
01:000%3.5m/s
02:000%2.7m/s
03:000%3.1m/s
04:000%2.7m/s
05:000%2.5m/s
06:000%3.1m/s
07:000%3.6m/s
08:000%3.4m/s
09:000%3.1m/s
10:000%2.8m/s
11:000%2.3m/s
12:000%3.7m/s
13:000%5.1m/s
14:000%4.8m/s
15:000%3.6m/s
16:000%2.5m/s
17:000%2.9m/s
18:000%3.2m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:000%2.3m/s
21:000%2.7m/s
22:000%2.3m/s
23:000%2.5m/s
Mon, Jun 8
24:000%1.8m/s
01:000%1.6m/s
02:000%1.6m/s
03:000%1.4m/s
04:000%1.1m/s
05:000%0.87m/s
06:000%0.88m/s
07:000%0.44m/s
08:000%0.98m/s
09:000%1.3m/s
10:000%1.7m/s
11:000%2.2m/s
12:000%2.1m/s
13:000%2.4m/s
14:000%2.5m/s
15:000%2.7m/s
16:000%2.6m/s
17:000%2.5m/s
18:000%1.6m/s
19:000%0.61m/s
20:000%0.83m/s
21:000%1.7m/s
22:000%1.8m/s
23:000%1.6m/s
Tue, Jun 9
24:000%1.6m/s
01:000%1.4m/s
02:000%1.3m/s
03:000%1.5m/s
04:000%1.6m/s
05:000%1.6m/s
06:000%1.5m/s
07:000%1.4m/s
08:000%1.3m/s
09:000%1.2m/s
10:000%1.5m/s
11:000%2.1m/s
12:000%2.2m/s
13:000%1.8m/s
14:000%1.4m/s
15:000%1.1m/s
16:000%0.95m/s
17:000%1.4m/s
18:000%1.5m/s
19:000%1.6m/s
20:000%2.2m/s
21:000%2.2m/s
22:000%2.1m/s
23:000%2m/s
Wed, Jun 10
24:000%2m/s
01:000%1.9m/s
02:000%1.9m/s
03:000%1.7m/s
04:000%1.5m/s
05:000%1.2m/s
06:000%1.4m/s
07:000%1.5m/s
08:000%1.6m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%1.7m/s
11:000%1.8m/s
12:000%1.9m/s
13:000%1.9m/s
14:000%2m/s
15:000%2.1m/s
16:000%2.3m/s
17:000%2.5m/s
18:000%2.5m/s
19:000%2.6m/s
20:000%2.6m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Jun 7 Sunrise 05:14 Sunset 20:29
22:00
11°C 15°C 12°C - 63% 0.04kPa
23:00
11°C 15°C 11°C - 69% 0.06kPa
Mon, Jun 8 Sunrise 05:14 Sunset 20:29
24:00
10°C 15°C 11°C - 12% 0.06kPa
01:00
9°C 15°C 9.6°C - 2% 0.04kPa
02:00
8.3°C 14°C 9°C - 28% 0.05kPa
03:00
7.6°C 14°C 8.6°C - 98% 0.07kPa
04:00
7°C 14°C 8.1°C - 92% 0.08kPa
05:00
6.4°C 14°C 7.8°C - 41% 0.09kPa
06:00
6.7°C 14°C 8.5°C - 57% 0.12kPa
07:00
8.9°C 13°C 11°C - 19% 0.21kPa
08:00
9.4°C 13°C 14°C - 40% 0.39kPa
09:00
8.8°C 13°C 16°C - 89% 0.74kPa
10:00
8.4°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.99kPa
11:00
8.4°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 1.1kPa
12:00
8.4°C 14°C 20°C - 69% 1.3kPa
13:00
8.7°C 14°C 21°C - 100% 1.4kPa
14:00
9.2°C 14°C 22°C - 92% 1.5kPa
15:00
9.6°C 14°C 22°C - 99% 1.5kPa
16:00
10°C 15°C 22°C - 92% 1.5kPa
17:00
11°C 15°C 22°C - 49% 1.3kPa
18:00
12°C 15°C 22°C - 5% 1.2kPa
19:00
14°C 15°C 20°C - 0% 0.73kPa
20:00
12°C 15°C 17°C - 0% 0.54kPa
21:00
9.6°C 15°C 15°C - 0% 0.49kPa
22:00
8.6°C 15°C 14°C - 0% 0.49kPa
23:00
7.7°C 15°C 14°C - 0% 0.49kPa
Tue, Jun 9 Sunrise 05:14 Sunset 20:30
24:00
7°C 15°C 13°C - 0% 0.5kPa
01:00
6.5°C 14°C 13°C - 2% 0.5kPa
02:00
6.3°C 14°C 12°C - 0% 0.45kPa
03:00
6.6°C 14°C 11°C - 0% 0.37kPa
04:00
6.7°C 14°C 11°C - 0% 0.34kPa
05:00
6.6°C 14°C 11°C - 0% 0.3kPa
06:00
7.6°C 14°C 11°C - 0% 0.3kPa
07:00
9.3°C 14°C 14°C - 0% 0.42kPa
08:00
10°C 14°C 16°C - 4% 0.58kPa
09:00
12°C 14°C 18°C - 5% 0.7kPa
10:00
13°C 14°C 20°C - 5% 0.84kPa
11:00
14°C 14°C 21°C - 4% 0.99kPa
12:00
14°C 14°C 23°C - 5% 1.1kPa
13:00
15°C 15°C 24°C - 6% 1.3kPa
14:00
15°C 15°C 24°C - 6% 1.4kPa
15:00
15°C 15°C 25°C - 73% 1.5kPa
16:00
15°C 15°C 25°C - 70% 1.5kPa
17:00
16°C 15°C 26°C - 60% 1.5kPa
18:00
17°C 16°C 25°C - 100% 1.3kPa
19:00
18°C 16°C 23°C - 100% 0.73kPa
20:00
17°C 16°C 20°C - 100% 0.48kPa
21:00
15°C 16°C 19°C - 100% 0.42kPa
22:00
14°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.45kPa
23:00
13°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.48kPa
Wed, Jun 10 Sunrise 05:14 Sunset 20:30
24:00
13°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.51kPa
01:00
13°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.48kPa
02:00
14°C 16°C 17°C - 100% 0.37kPa
03:00
15°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.15kPa
04:00
16°C 16°C 17°C - 100% 0.12kPa
05:00
16°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.12kPa
06:00
16°C 16°C 17°C - 100% 0.11kPa
07:00
17°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.13kPa
08:00
17°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.13kPa
09:00
17°C 15°C 18°C - 100% 0.09kPa
10:00
17°C 15°C 18°C - 100% 0.05kPa
11:00
17°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.01kPa
12:00
18°C 15°C 18°C - 100% 0.01kPa
13:00
18°C 15°C 18°C - 100% 0.01kPa
14:00
18°C 15°C 18°C - 100% 0.01kPa
15:00
18°C 15°C 18°C - 99% 0.01kPa
16:00
18°C 15°C 18°C - 98% 0.02kPa
17:00
19°C 15°C 19°C - 98% 0.02kPa
18:00
19°C 15°C 19°C - 98% 0.02kPa
19:00
19°C 15°C 19°C - 99% 0.02kPa
20:00
19°C 15°C 19°C - 99% 0.02kPa
21:00
19°C 15°C 19°C - 99% 0.02kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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