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Rule Morning Frost

Marken - Morning Frost - The Netherlands

Marken, North Holland, The Netherlands

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 89% failing
Time Window 86% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature17.7°C
Dew Point11.4°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed3.1m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Amsterdam

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Dutch winters, when temperatures drop below freezing for extended periods, transform the country's canals and polders into a magical frozen landscape. Hoar frost decorates windmills, creating delicate ice crystal coatings that catch morning light. The historic Elfstedentocht (Eleven Cities Tour) ice-skating conditions—though rare—exemplify the photography potential.

The flat landscape and high humidity create ideal conditions for heavy frost formation. Windmills accumulate intricate ice crystals on their wooden blades and structures. When canals freeze solid, the Netherlands' character transforms—the water that defines the landscape becomes walkable, creating unique perspectives.

What makes Dutch frost photography special:

  • Windmill ice crystals - Hoar frost coating historic structures in delicate white patterns
  • Frozen canal perspective - Unique viewpoints walking on typically impassable water
  • Polder snow simplicity - Minimalist white expanses broken only by windmills and farms
  • Urban canal ice - Amsterdam and Leiden's waterways frozen with footprints and skate tracks

True freezing conditions requiring sustained temperatures below -5°C for multiple days are becoming rarer with climate change. When they occur (typically January-February), act quickly—conditions may last only days. Best frost photography occurs at sunrise when low-angle light illuminates ice crystals. The Kinderdijk, Giethoorn's canals, and rural polders of Friesland offer exceptional winter scenes. Safety first—never venture onto ice without local knowledge of thickness.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 80 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, May 24
06:000%2.1m/s
07:000%1.7m/s
08:000%1.8m/s
09:000%1.9m/s
10:000%2.1m/s
11:000%2.4m/s
12:000%2.7m/s
13:000%2.8m/s
14:000%2.8m/s
15:000%3.1m/s
16:000%3.2m/s
17:000%3.2m/s
18:000%3.1m/s
19:000%2.8m/s
20:000%2.4m/s
21:000%2.5m/s
22:000%2.3m/s
23:000%2.1m/s
Mon, May 25
24:000%2.1m/s
01:000%2.3m/s
02:000%2.5m/s
03:000%2.4m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%1.8m/s
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.7m/s
08:000%1.5m/s
09:000%1.4m/s
10:000%1.5m/s
11:000%1.6m/s
12:000%1.8m/s
13:000%2.2m/s
14:000%2.3m/s
15:000%2.3m/s
16:000%2.2m/s
17:000%2.4m/s
18:000%2.8m/s
19:000%3m/s
20:000%2.5m/s
21:000%2.3m/s
22:000%2.2m/s
23:000%2.1m/s
Tue, May 26
24:000%1.8m/s
01:000%1.7m/s
02:000%1.6m/s
03:000%1.6m/s
04:000%1.6m/s
05:000%1.9m/s
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.4m/s
08:000%1.2m/s
09:000%1.4m/s
10:000%1.2m/s
11:000%0.67m/s
12:000%0.19m/s
13:000%0.69m/s
14:000%1.5m/s
15:000%2.5m/s
16:000%3m/s
17:000%3m/s
18:000%3.1m/s
19:000%3.6m/s
20:000%3.3m/s
21:000%3.6m/s
22:000%3.9m/s
23:000%4.2m/s
Wed, May 27
24:000%4.6m/s
01:000%4.9m/s
02:000%5.2m/s
03:000%5.1m/s
04:000%5m/s
05:000%4.9m/s
06:000%4.8m/s
07:000%4.7m/s
08:000%4.5m/s
09:000%5m/s
10:000%5.5m/s
11:000%5.9m/s
12:000%5.6m/s
13:000%5.2m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, May 24 Sunrise 05:31 Sunset 21:41
15:00
11°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 1.3kPa
16:00
12°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 1.3kPa
17:00
12°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 1.2kPa
18:00
12°C 18°C 21°C - 88% 1.1kPa
19:00
12°C 18°C 20°C - 48% 1kPa
20:00
13°C 18°C 19°C - 8% 0.74kPa
21:00
12°C 18°C 17°C - 14% 0.53kPa
22:00
11°C 18°C 16°C - 7% 0.43kPa
23:00
12°C 18°C 15°C - 70% 0.35kPa
Mon, May 25 Sunrise 05:31 Sunset 21:41
24:00
12°C 17°C 15°C - 49% 0.25kPa
01:00
13°C 17°C 15°C - 20% 0.18kPa
02:00
13°C 17°C 14°C - 8% 0.14kPa
03:00
12°C 17°C 14°C - 5% 0.15kPa
04:00
12°C 16°C 14°C - 5% 0.16kPa
05:00
12°C 16°C 13°C - 5% 0.17kPa
06:00
11°C 16°C 13°C - 9% 0.19kPa
07:00
12°C 16°C 15°C - 19% 0.29kPa
08:00
12°C 16°C 17°C - 5% 0.48kPa
09:00
12°C 16°C 19°C - 5% 0.69kPa
10:00
13°C 16°C 20°C - 2% 0.89kPa
11:00
13°C 16°C 21°C - 5% 1.1kPa
12:00
13°C 17°C 22°C - 5% 1.2kPa
13:00
13°C 17°C 23°C - 5% 1.3kPa
14:00
13°C 18°C 23°C - 5% 1.4kPa
15:00
13°C 18°C 24°C - 5% 1.5kPa
16:00
13°C 18°C 24°C - 5% 1.5kPa
17:00
14°C 19°C 24°C - 5% 1.5kPa
18:00
14°C 19°C 24°C - 5% 1.4kPa
19:00
15°C 19°C 23°C - 5% 1.1kPa
20:00
15°C 19°C 21°C - 5% 0.74kPa
21:00
15°C 19°C 19°C - 2% 0.5kPa
22:00
14°C 19°C 17°C - 1% 0.43kPa
23:00
13°C 19°C 17°C - 5% 0.42kPa
Tue, May 26 Sunrise 05:30 Sunset 21:43
24:00
12°C 18°C 16°C - 3% 0.4kPa
01:00
12°C 18°C 16°C - 0% 0.36kPa
02:00
13°C 18°C 15°C - 2% 0.29kPa
03:00
13°C 18°C 15°C - 5% 0.23kPa
04:00
13°C 17°C 15°C - 5% 0.2kPa
05:00
13°C 17°C 15°C - 5% 0.16kPa
06:00
13°C 17°C 15°C - 4% 0.16kPa
07:00
14°C 17°C 17°C - 0% 0.26kPa
08:00
15°C 17°C 19°C - 0% 0.48kPa
09:00
15°C 17°C 21°C - 0% 0.74kPa
10:00
15°C 17°C 23°C - 0% 1.1kPa
11:00
14°C 18°C 24°C - 0% 1.4kPa
12:00
14°C 18°C 26°C - 0% 1.7kPa
13:00
14°C 19°C 26°C - 0% 1.8kPa
14:00
14°C 19°C 27°C - 0% 1.9kPa
15:00
14°C 19°C 27°C - 0% 2kPa
16:00
14°C 20°C 27°C - 0% 1.9kPa
17:00
14°C 20°C 26°C - 0% 1.8kPa
18:00
14°C 20°C 26°C - 0% 1.6kPa
19:00
15°C 20°C 24°C - 0% 1.3kPa
20:00
16°C 20°C 21°C - 0% 0.75kPa
21:00
14°C 20°C 18°C - 27% 0.56kPa
22:00
12°C 19°C 16°C - 54% 0.4kPa
23:00
9.4°C 18°C 13°C - 81% 0.28kPa
Wed, May 27 Sunrise 05:29 Sunset 21:44
24:00
8.8°C 17°C 13°C - 79% 0.36kPa
01:00
8°C 17°C 13°C - 77% 0.44kPa
02:00
7.2°C 17°C 13°C - 75% 0.52kPa
03:00
7.1°C 17°C 14°C - 52% 0.63kPa
04:00
6.8°C 17°C 15°C - 28% 0.74kPa
05:00
6.5°C 17°C 16°C - 5% 0.87kPa
06:00
6.2°C 17°C 17°C - 31% 0.98kPa
07:00
5.8°C 17°C 18°C - 57% 1.1kPa
08:00
5.4°C 17°C 19°C - 83% 1.2kPa
09:00
5.6°C 17°C 18°C - 84% 1.2kPa
10:00
5.8°C 17°C 18°C - 86% 1.1kPa
11:00
6°C 17°C 17°C - 87% 1kPa
12:00
6.5°C 17°C 16°C - 86% 0.89kPa
13:00
6.9°C 17°C 15°C - 85% 0.76kPa
14:00
7.1°C 17°C 15°C - 84% 0.64kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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