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Rule Morning Frost

Marken - Morning Frost - The Netherlands

Marken, North Holland, The Netherlands

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 100% failing
Time Window 88% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature8.3°C
Dew Point3.1°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed6.9m/s (moderate winds)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Amsterdam

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Dutch winters, when temperatures drop below freezing for extended periods, transform the country's canals and polders into a magical frozen landscape. Hoar frost decorates windmills, creating delicate ice crystal coatings that catch morning light. The historic Elfstedentocht (Eleven Cities Tour) ice-skating conditions—though rare—exemplify the photography potential.

The flat landscape and high humidity create ideal conditions for heavy frost formation. Windmills accumulate intricate ice crystals on their wooden blades and structures. When canals freeze solid, the Netherlands' character transforms—the water that defines the landscape becomes walkable, creating unique perspectives.

What makes Dutch frost photography special:

  • Windmill ice crystals - Hoar frost coating historic structures in delicate white patterns
  • Frozen canal perspective - Unique viewpoints walking on typically impassable water
  • Polder snow simplicity - Minimalist white expanses broken only by windmills and farms
  • Urban canal ice - Amsterdam and Leiden's waterways frozen with footprints and skate tracks

True freezing conditions requiring sustained temperatures below -5°C for multiple days are becoming rarer with climate change. When they occur (typically January-February), act quickly—conditions may last only days. Best frost photography occurs at sunrise when low-angle light illuminates ice crystals. The Kinderdijk, Giethoorn's canals, and rural polders of Friesland offer exceptional winter scenes. Safety first—never venture onto ice without local knowledge of thickness.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 79 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Fri, Mar 13
06:000%11m/s
07:000%11m/s
08:000%11m/s
09:000%6.8m/s
10:000%7.5m/s
11:000%7.4m/s
12:000%8.2m/s
13:000%7.7m/s
14:000%6.9m/s
15:000%5.8m/s
16:000%5.5m/s
17:000%5.9m/s
18:002.8%5.2m/s
19:002.8%4.5m/s
20:002.8%4.4m/s
21:002.8%4.2m/s
22:002.5%4.2m/s
23:001.7%3.9m/s
Sat, Mar 14
24:001.7%3.8m/s
01:001.4%3.8m/s
02:001.7%3.3m/s
03:001.9%2.7m/s
04:0020%2.3m/s
05:0020%2m/s
06:0020%1.8m/s
07:0020%2.1m/s
08:0020%2.3m/s
09:0026%2.8m/s
10:0031%3.4m/s
11:0031%3.7m/s
12:004.5%3.9m/s
13:003.6%4.8m/s
14:003.2%5.5m/s
15:002.8%4.8m/s
16:002.8%4.5m/s
17:003.2%4.6m/s
18:003.2%3.5m/s
19:003.4%2.6m/s
20:002.9%2.8m/s
21:002.9%2.9m/s
22:0030%2.9m/s
23:0030%2.9m/s
Sun, Mar 15
24:0030%2.8m/s
01:0032%2.6m/s
02:0032%2.4m/s
03:0032%2.4m/s
04:0032%2.4m/s
05:0032%2.4m/s
06:0032%2.6m/s
07:0032%2.9m/s
08:0035%3m/s
09:0026%3.8m/s
10:0040%4.5m/s
11:0046%5.2m/s
12:0044%6m/s
13:004.3%6.3m/s
14:003.8%6.8m/s
15:002.6%6.9m/s
16:002.8%6.4m/s
17:002.8%5.9m/s
18:002.8%6m/s
19:003%6.4m/s
20:002.6%7m/s
21:002.6%7.7m/s
22:001.3%8.4m/s
23:002.1%8.1m/s
Mon, Mar 16
24:002.2%7.9m/s
01:003%7.6m/s
02:002.7%7.3m/s
03:002.6%6.9m/s
04:0027%6.6m/s
05:002.7%6.8m/s
06:003.3%7.1m/s
07:004.5%7.3m/s
08:003.7%6.9m/s
09:002.7%6.6m/s
10:002.6%6.2m/s
11:002.8%5m/s
12:002.5%3.7m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Fri, Mar 13 Sunrise 06:59 Sunset 18:39
14:00
3.1°C 8.3°C 6.7°C - 100% 0.22kPa
15:00
2.3°C 8.2°C 6.8°C - 100% 0.27kPa
16:00
2.5°C 8.1°C 7.4°C - 100% 0.3kPa
17:00
1.8°C 8°C 6.9°C - 100% 0.3kPa
18:00
1.6°C 7.9°C 6.4°C - 100% 0.28kPa
19:00
1.6°C 7.6°C 6°C - 100% 0.25kPa
20:00
1.8°C 7.4°C 5.8°C - 100% 0.22kPa
21:00
1.9°C 7.1°C 5.6°C - 100% 0.21kPa
22:00
2.2°C 6.9°C 5.4°C - 100% 0.18kPa
23:00
2.6°C 6.7°C 5.1°C - 100% 0.14kPa
Sat, Mar 14 Sunrise 06:59 Sunset 18:39
24:00
3°C 6.5°C 5°C - 100% 0.12kPa
01:00
3.2°C 6.4°C 4.8°C - 100% 0.09kPa
02:00
2.8°C 6.2°C 5.1°C - 100% 0.13kPa
03:00
2.6°C 6.1°C 4.9°C - 100% 0.13kPa
04:00
2.5°C 5.9°C 4.6°C - 100% 0.12kPa
05:00
2.3°C 5.8°C 4.5°C - 100% 0.12kPa
06:00
2°C 5.6°C 4.3°C - 100% 0.13kPa
07:00
1.6°C 5.4°C 4°C - 100% 0.13kPa
08:00
2°C 5.3°C 4.4°C - 100% 0.13kPa
09:00
2.2°C 5.4°C 5.6°C - 100% 0.2kPa
10:00
1.5°C 5.6°C 6.4°C - 100% 0.27kPa
11:00
1.2°C 5.9°C 7°C - 96% 0.33kPa
12:00
1°C 6.2°C 7.4°C - 21% 0.37kPa
13:00
1.1°C 6.6°C 7.7°C - 60% 0.39kPa
14:00
1.4°C 7°C 7.5°C - 100% 0.36kPa
15:00
1.6°C 7.2°C 7.3°C - 100% 0.33kPa
16:00
1.5°C 7.3°C 7°C - 100% 0.32kPa
17:00
2.4°C 7.3°C 6.8°C - 54% 0.26kPa
18:00
2.4°C 7.2°C 5.9°C - 30% 0.2kPa
19:00
2.2°C 6.9°C 4.5°C - 5% 0.12kPa
20:00
2.2°C 6.6°C 4°C - 5% 0.1kPa
21:00
2.3°C 6.2°C 3.8°C - 5% 0.08kPa
22:00
2.3°C 5.9°C 3.7°C - 5% 0.08kPa
23:00
2.3°C 5.6°C 3.6°C - 0% 0.07kPa
Sun, Mar 15 Sunrise 06:56 Sunset 18:41
24:00
2.2°C 5.4°C 3.4°C - 0% 0.06kPa
01:00
2°C 5.1°C 3.3°C - 0% 0.07kPa
02:00
1.8°C 4.8°C 3.2°C - 0% 0.07kPa
03:00
1.6°C 4.6°C 3.2°C - 2% 0.08kPa
04:00
1.5°C 4.4°C 3.2°C - 5% 0.08kPa
05:00
1.3°C 4.2°C 3.1°C - 5% 0.09kPa
06:00
1.3°C 4°C 3.1°C - 5% 0.1kPa
07:00
1.2°C 3.9°C 3.1°C - 5% 0.1kPa
08:00
1.6°C 3.8°C 3.9°C - 6% 0.12kPa
09:00
2.6°C 4.1°C 6°C - 100% 0.2kPa
10:00
2.6°C 4.4°C 7.3°C - 16% 0.28kPa
11:00
1.8°C 4.9°C 8.6°C - 2% 0.42kPa
12:00
1.3°C 5.5°C 9.4°C - 5% 0.51kPa
13:00
0.6°C 6.1°C 9.9°C - 5% 0.58kPa
14:00
0°C 6.6°C 10°C - 5% 0.62kPa
15:00
0.3°C 7.1°C 10°C - 78% 0.63kPa
16:00
0.9°C 7.4°C 10°C - 100% 0.58kPa
17:00
1.2°C 7.6°C 9.5°C - 100% 0.52kPa
18:00
1.5°C 7.6°C 8.7°C - 100% 0.45kPa
19:00
1.8°C 7.6°C 8.2°C - 100% 0.39kPa
20:00
2.4°C 7.3°C 7.4°C - 98% 0.3kPa
21:00
2.8°C 7.1°C 6.6°C - 95% 0.23kPa
22:00
3.1°C 6.8°C 5.8°C - 92% 0.15kPa
23:00
2.4°C 6.6°C 5.5°C - 81% 0.18kPa
Mon, Mar 16 Sunrise 06:54 Sunset 18:43
24:00
1.7°C 6.4°C 5.3°C - 69% 0.2kPa
01:00
1°C 6.2°C 5°C - 57% 0.22kPa
02:00
1°C 6.1°C 5°C - 71% 0.22kPa
03:00
1°C 6°C 5°C - 86% 0.21kPa
04:00
1.1°C 5.9°C 5°C - 100% 0.21kPa
05:00
1°C 6.1°C 5.7°C - 68% 0.26kPa
06:00
0.8°C 6.2°C 6.3°C - 37% 0.31kPa
07:00
0.6°C 6.4°C 7°C - 5% 0.36kPa
08:00
0.9°C 6.6°C 7°C - 37% 0.35kPa
09:00
1.2°C 6.8°C 7°C - 68% 0.33kPa
10:00
1.6°C 7.1°C 7.1°C - 100% 0.32kPa
11:00
1.9°C 7°C 6.4°C - 100% 0.26kPa
12:00
2.2°C 6.9°C 5.8°C - 100% 0.2kPa
13:00
2.4°C 6.8°C 5.1°C - 100% 0.15kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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