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Rule Morning Frost

Marken - Morning Frost - The Netherlands

Marken, North Holland, The Netherlands

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 93% failing
Time Window 86% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature19.9°C
Dew Point14.4°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed4.8m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover44%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Amsterdam

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Dutch winters, when temperatures drop below freezing for extended periods, transform the country's canals and polders into a magical frozen landscape. Hoar frost decorates windmills, creating delicate ice crystal coatings that catch morning light. The historic Elfstedentocht (Eleven Cities Tour) ice-skating conditions—though rare—exemplify the photography potential.

The flat landscape and high humidity create ideal conditions for heavy frost formation. Windmills accumulate intricate ice crystals on their wooden blades and structures. When canals freeze solid, the Netherlands' character transforms—the water that defines the landscape becomes walkable, creating unique perspectives.

What makes Dutch frost photography special:

  • Windmill ice crystals - Hoar frost coating historic structures in delicate white patterns
  • Frozen canal perspective - Unique viewpoints walking on typically impassable water
  • Polder snow simplicity - Minimalist white expanses broken only by windmills and farms
  • Urban canal ice - Amsterdam and Leiden's waterways frozen with footprints and skate tracks

True freezing conditions requiring sustained temperatures below -5°C for multiple days are becoming rarer with climate change. When they occur (typically January-February), act quickly—conditions may last only days. Best frost photography occurs at sunrise when low-angle light illuminates ice crystals. The Kinderdijk, Giethoorn's canals, and rural polders of Friesland offer exceptional winter scenes. Safety first—never venture onto ice without local knowledge of thickness.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 80 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Wed, Jul 8
06:000%3.2m/s
07:000%3.7m/s
08:000%4.1m/s
09:000%4.3m/s
10:000%4.5m/s
11:000%4.4m/s
12:000%4.4m/s
13:000%4.9m/s
14:000%5m/s
15:000%4.9m/s
16:000%4.8m/s
17:000%4.6m/s
18:000%4.4m/s
19:000%4.3m/s
20:000%4m/s
21:000%3.3m/s
22:000%2.7m/s
23:000%2.3m/s
Thu, Jul 9
24:000%1.9m/s
01:000%1.6m/s
02:000%1.4m/s
03:000%1.4m/s
04:000%1.3m/s
05:000%1.4m/s
06:000%1.6m/s
07:000%1.5m/s
08:000%1.5m/s
09:000%1.6m/s
10:000%1.9m/s
11:000%2.4m/s
12:000%2.9m/s
13:000%3.5m/s
14:000%3.9m/s
15:000%3.9m/s
16:000%4m/s
17:000%4m/s
18:000%4m/s
19:000%4.2m/s
20:000%4m/s
21:000%3.6m/s
22:000%3.3m/s
23:000%3.2m/s
Fri, Jul 10
24:000%3.5m/s
01:000%3.4m/s
02:000%3.1m/s
03:000%3m/s
04:000%2.7m/s
05:000%2.6m/s
06:000%2.4m/s
07:000%2.2m/s
08:000%2.8m/s
09:000%2.7m/s
10:000%3.2m/s
11:000%3.2m/s
12:000%3.3m/s
13:000%3.3m/s
14:000%3.3m/s
15:000%3.7m/s
16:000%4.3m/s
17:000%5.1m/s
18:000%5.8m/s
19:000%6m/s
20:000%5.6m/s
21:000%4.5m/s
22:000%3.4m/s
23:000%2.3m/s
Sat, Jul 11
24:000%2.5m/s
01:000%2.7m/s
02:000%2.9m/s
03:000%3.1m/s
04:000%3.2m/s
05:000%3.4m/s
06:000%3.5m/s
07:000%3.5m/s
08:000%3.6m/s
09:000%3.9m/s
10:000%4.3m/s
11:000%4.6m/s
12:000%5.2m/s
13:000%5.8m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wed, Jul 8 Sunrise 05:27 Sunset 22:01
16:00
14°C 20°C 24°C - 44% 1.3kPa
17:00
14°C 20°C 23°C - 24% 1.2kPa
18:00
14°C 20°C 23°C - 8% 1.2kPa
19:00
14°C 20°C 22°C - 5% 1kPa
20:00
14°C 20°C 21°C - 5% 0.85kPa
21:00
15°C 20°C 19°C - 5% 0.59kPa
22:00
15°C 20°C 17°C - 5% 0.27kPa
23:00
15°C 20°C 16°C - 5% 0.14kPa
Thu, Jul 9 Sunrise 05:27 Sunset 22:01
24:00
14°C 20°C 15°C - 5% 0.11kPa
01:00
14°C 19°C 15°C - 5% 0.1kPa
02:00
14°C 19°C 15°C - 0% 0.11kPa
03:00
14°C 19°C 15°C - 0% 0.11kPa
04:00
14°C 18°C 15°C - 0% 0.11kPa
05:00
14°C 18°C 15°C - 0% 0.11kPa
06:00
14°C 18°C 15°C - 0% 0.11kPa
07:00
14°C 18°C 16°C - 0% 0.21kPa
08:00
14°C 18°C 18°C - 2% 0.41kPa
09:00
14°C 18°C 20°C - 0% 0.69kPa
10:00
14°C 18°C 22°C - 4% 0.95kPa
11:00
14°C 18°C 23°C - 5% 1.1kPa
12:00
15°C 19°C 24°C - 5% 1.3kPa
13:00
15°C 19°C 24°C - 5% 1.4kPa
14:00
15°C 19°C 25°C - 5% 1.4kPa
15:00
15°C 20°C 25°C - 5% 1.4kPa
16:00
15°C 20°C 25°C - 5% 1.4kPa
17:00
15°C 20°C 25°C - 5% 1.4kPa
18:00
15°C 21°C 25°C - 5% 1.3kPa
19:00
15°C 21°C 24°C - 5% 1.2kPa
20:00
15°C 21°C 22°C - 5% 0.94kPa
21:00
16°C 21°C 20°C - 95% 0.61kPa
22:00
15°C 21°C 18°C - 100% 0.37kPa
23:00
16°C 20°C 18°C - 100% 0.32kPa
Fri, Jul 10 Sunrise 05:28 Sunset 22:00
24:00
16°C 20°C 18°C - 100% 0.32kPa
01:00
15°C 20°C 18°C - 100% 0.27kPa
02:00
15°C 20°C 17°C - 100% 0.21kPa
03:00
15°C 20°C 16°C - 98% 0.2kPa
04:00
14°C 19°C 16°C - 97% 0.21kPa
05:00
14°C 19°C 16°C - 98% 0.21kPa
06:00
14°C 19°C 16°C - 16% 0.22kPa
07:00
14°C 19°C 17°C - 5% 0.34kPa
08:00
14°C 19°C 19°C - 5% 0.54kPa
09:00
14°C 19°C 20°C - 5% 0.7kPa
10:00
14°C 19°C 21°C - 1% 0.86kPa
11:00
14°C 19°C 22°C - 2% 0.99kPa
12:00
14°C 19°C 23°C - 5% 1.2kPa
13:00
15°C 20°C 24°C - 2% 1.4kPa
14:00
15°C 20°C 25°C - 46% 1.5kPa
15:00
15°C 20°C 26°C - 71% 1.6kPa
16:00
15°C 21°C 26°C - 71% 1.6kPa
17:00
15°C 21°C 26°C - 35% 1.6kPa
18:00
15°C 21°C 25°C - 2% 1.4kPa
19:00
15°C 21°C 23°C - 0% 1.1kPa
20:00
16°C 21°C 22°C - 0% 0.92kPa
21:00
16°C 21°C 20°C - 0% 0.59kPa
22:00
15°C 20°C 18°C - 0% 0.32kPa
23:00
15°C 19°C 16°C - 0% 0.11kPa
Sat, Jul 11 Sunrise 05:29 Sunset 21:59
24:00
15°C 19°C 17°C - 2% 0.2kPa
01:00
15°C 19°C 18°C - 3% 0.3kPa
02:00
15°C 19°C 18°C - 4% 0.4kPa
03:00
15°C 19°C 20°C - 5% 0.62kPa
04:00
15°C 19°C 21°C - 5% 0.86kPa
05:00
14°C 19°C 23°C - 5% 1.1kPa
06:00
14°C 20°C 24°C - 5% 1.3kPa
07:00
14°C 20°C 24°C - 5% 1.5kPa
08:00
14°C 20°C 25°C - 4% 1.6kPa
09:00
14°C 20°C 25°C - 4% 1.6kPa
10:00
13°C 21°C 25°C - 3% 1.6kPa
11:00
13°C 21°C 25°C - 2% 1.6kPa
12:00
14°C 21°C 24°C - 2% 1.4kPa
13:00
14°C 21°C 23°C - 3% 1.2kPa
14:00
15°C 21°C 22°C - 3% 0.97kPa
15:00
15°C 21°C 21°C - 3% 0.72kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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