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Rule Morning Frost

Morning Frost Forecast for Marken, The Netherlands

Marken, North Holland, The Netherlands

Green wooden houses, narrow lanes and a compact harbour sit on a former island, with open Markermeer water surrounding the village edge.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature16.3°C
Dew Point8.9°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed3.5m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Amsterdam

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (86-hour forecast)

  • Frost Probability100% of hours
  • Wind Speed96% of hours
  • Time Window83% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Morning Frost conditions across The Netherlands. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Marken.

Explore Morning Frost conditions across The Netherlands →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Marken during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
0
recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 86 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Aug 22
06:000%3.2m/s
07:000%3.7m/s
08:000%4.3m/s
09:000%4.1m/s
10:000%3.8m/s
11:000%5.2m/s
12:000%4.9m/s
13:000%6.3m/s
14:000%6m/s
15:000%6.2m/s
16:000%6.5m/s
17:000%6.4m/s
18:000%6m/s
19:000%5.7m/s
20:000%4.2m/s
21:000%3.7m/s
22:000%3.5m/s
23:000%3.8m/s
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%3.5m/s
01:000%3.3m/s
02:000%3.4m/s
03:000%3.4m/s
04:000%3.1m/s
05:000%3.1m/s
06:000%3.1m/s
07:000%2.9m/s
08:000%2.9m/s
09:000%3m/s
10:000%3.4m/s
11:000%4m/s
12:000%4.3m/s
13:000%4.4m/s
14:000%4.6m/s
15:000%5.2m/s
16:000%5m/s
17:000%4.7m/s
18:000%4m/s
19:000%3.6m/s
20:000%3m/s
21:000%2.6m/s
22:000%2.4m/s
23:000%2.3m/s
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%2.3m/s
01:000%2.1m/s
02:000%2m/s
03:000%1.9m/s
04:000%1.8m/s
05:000%1.7m/s
06:000%1.4m/s
07:000%1.1m/s
08:000%0.84m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%2.9m/s
11:000%3.6m/s
12:000%3.6m/s
13:000%3.3m/s
14:000%3.5m/s
15:000%3.9m/s
16:000%4.2m/s
17:000%4.6m/s
18:000%4.9m/s
19:000%5.1m/s
20:000%5.3m/s
21:000%6m/s
22:000%7m/s
23:000%6.9m/s
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%6.4m/s
01:000%5.6m/s
02:000%5.2m/s
03:000%5.8m/s
04:000%6.5m/s
05:000%7.1m/s
06:000%6.8m/s
07:000%6.6m/s
08:000%6.3m/s
09:000%6.1m/s
10:000%5.9m/s
11:000%5.7m/s
12:000%5.6m/s
13:000%5.4m/s
14:000%5.2m/s
15:000%5.3m/s
16:000%5.4m/s
17:000%5.5m/s
18:000%5.3m/s
19:000%5.2m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 06:34 Sunset 20:49
22:00
8.9°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.6kPa
23:00
9.2°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.54kPa
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:34 Sunset 20:49
24:00
9.7°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.46kPa
01:00
9.9°C 16°C 14°C - 100% 0.41kPa
02:00
10°C 16°C 14°C - 100% 0.38kPa
03:00
9.9°C 16°C 14°C - 26% 0.36kPa
04:00
9.3°C 15°C 13°C - 100% 0.32kPa
05:00
9.4°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.41kPa
06:00
9.2°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.44kPa
07:00
9.5°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.42kPa
08:00
9.6°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.43kPa
09:00
9.6°C 15°C 15°C - 100% 0.5kPa
10:00
10°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.55kPa
11:00
10°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.63kPa
12:00
9.4°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.79kPa
13:00
9°C 15°C 18°C - 100% 0.88kPa
14:00
9.5°C 16°C 18°C - 93% 0.86kPa
15:00
9.7°C 16°C 19°C - 100% 0.96kPa
16:00
9.2°C 16°C 19°C - 99% 0.98kPa
17:00
9.7°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.92kPa
18:00
10°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.77kPa
19:00
10°C 16°C 18°C - 34% 0.75kPa
20:00
10°C 16°C 17°C - 11% 0.64kPa
21:00
10°C 16°C 14°C - 93% 0.41kPa
22:00
10°C 16°C 14°C - 88% 0.33kPa
23:00
10°C 16°C 13°C - 41% 0.27kPa
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:35 Sunset 20:47
24:00
10°C 15°C 13°C - 5% 0.24kPa
01:00
10°C 15°C 13°C - 0% 0.22kPa
02:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 0% 0.21kPa
03:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 0% 0.19kPa
04:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 2% 0.18kPa
05:00
11°C 14°C 13°C - 4% 0.18kPa
06:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 10% 0.17kPa
07:00
11°C 14°C 13°C - 37% 0.16kPa
08:00
11°C 14°C 14°C - 70% 0.29kPa
09:00
12°C 14°C 17°C - 62% 0.51kPa
10:00
12°C 14°C 18°C - 25% 0.73kPa
11:00
12°C 15°C 19°C - 26% 0.81kPa
12:00
11°C 15°C 19°C - 36% 0.89kPa
13:00
11°C 15°C 20°C - 49% 1kPa
14:00
10°C 16°C 21°C - 5% 1.2kPa
15:00
10°C 16°C 21°C - 5% 1.3kPa
16:00
10°C 17°C 21°C - 5% 1.3kPa
17:00
11°C 17°C 21°C - 6% 1.2kPa
18:00
12°C 17°C 20°C - 5% 1kPa
19:00
12°C 17°C 20°C - 5% 0.9kPa
20:00
13°C 17°C 19°C - 36% 0.72kPa
21:00
13°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.61kPa
22:00
13°C 17°C 18°C - 72% 0.55kPa
23:00
13°C 17°C 17°C - 5% 0.47kPa
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:37 Sunset 20:45
24:00
13°C 17°C 17°C - 1% 0.44kPa
01:00
12°C 17°C 16°C - 4% 0.47kPa
02:00
11°C 17°C 16°C - 29% 0.51kPa
03:00
11°C 17°C 17°C - 43% 0.71kPa
04:00
10°C 17°C 19°C - 57% 0.94kPa
05:00
9.4°C 17°C 20°C - 71% 1.2kPa
06:00
9.4°C 17°C 22°C - 49% 1.4kPa
07:00
9.1°C 17°C 23°C - 27% 1.7kPa
08:00
8.6°C 18°C 25°C - 5% 2kPa
09:00
8.6°C 18°C 25°C - 8% 2.1kPa
10:00
8.6°C 19°C 26°C - 12% 2.2kPa
11:00
8.5°C 19°C 26°C - 15% 2.3kPa
12:00
9.6°C 20°C 25°C - 33% 2kPa
13:00
11°C 20°C 24°C - 51% 1.8kPa
14:00
11°C 20°C 23°C - 69% 1.5kPa
15:00
11°C 20°C 23°C - 57% 1.4kPa
16:00
11°C 20°C 22°C - 46% 1.3kPa
17:00
11°C 20°C 21°C - 34% 1.2kPa
18:00
11°C 20°C 20°C - 49% 1.1kPa
19:00
11°C 20°C 20°C - 64% 0.98kPa
20:00
11°C 20°C 19°C - 79% 0.89kPa
21:00
11°C 20°C 19°C - 86% 0.82kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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