Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Deadvlei, Namibia

Sesriem, Hardap Region, Namibia

The view isolates Deadvlei's black camelthorn trunks against the pale clay pan and orange dune walls for stark, graphic layers with minimal overlap.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

CAPE0

Lifted Index10.7°C

Wind Gusts3.9m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Africa/Windhoek

Next opportunity

Weak Storm

Deadvlei

Sun, Sep 13 · 23:00–24:00 · 1h window

Low confidence

32%

⛈️Storm Intensity47%

CAPE: 9

Lifted Index: 3.1°C

Wind Gusts: 8.9m/s

Precipitation: 0.1mm

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Namibia. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Deadvlei.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Namibia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Deadvlei during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 95 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Africa/Windhoek	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sun, Sep 6
23:00	0%
Mon, Sep 7
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	0%
09:00	0%
10:00	0%
11:00	0%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	14%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Tue, Sep 8
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	15%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	18%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	27%
09:00	17%
10:00	15%
11:00	0%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	16%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	18%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	16%
Wed, Sep 9
24:00	16%
01:00	16%
02:00	33%
03:00	19%
04:00	20%
05:00	29%
06:00	24%
07:00	28%
08:00	37%
09:00	32%
10:00	31%
11:00	28%
12:00	26%
13:00	25%
14:00	29%
15:00	28%
16:00	28%
17:00	31%
18:00	0%
19:00	18%
20:00	24%
21:00	19%
22:00	17%
23:00	20%
Thu, Sep 10
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	0%
09:00	0%
10:00	0%
11:00	17%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Africa/Windhoek	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Tue, Sep 8 Sunrise 07:04 Sunset 18:49
24:00 ☾	952hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.9m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
01:00 ☾	952hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.1m/s	-	-	4.2m/s
02:00 ☾	951hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.4m/s	11m/s	10m/s	4.5m/s
03:00 ☾	950hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.7m/s	-	-	4.9m/s
04:00 ☾	950hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.8m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
05:00 ☾	950hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.6m/s	13m/s	11m/s	5.6m/s
06:00 ☾	950hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	8.2m/s	-	-	6.1m/s
07:00 ☾	950hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	9.9m/s	-	-	6.7m/s
08:00	951hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	12m/s	14m/s	11m/s	7.3m/s
09:00	951hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	12m/s	-	-	8.3m/s
10:00	951hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	8.6m/s	-	-	8.1m/s
11:00	951hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.4m/s	13m/s	8.8m/s	6.5m/s
12:00	950hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.7m/s	-	-	4m/s
13:00	949hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.8m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
14:00	948hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.3m/s	3m/s	8.7m/s	1.3m/s
15:00	947hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.9m/s	-	-	5.4m/s
16:00	947hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.5m/s	-	-	7.2m/s
17:00	947hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.4m/s	5.2m/s	13m/s	7m/s
18:00	947hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	8.3m/s	-	-	6.8m/s
19:00 ☾	948hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	10m/s	-	-	6.1m/s
20:00 ☾	948hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	8m/s	11m/s	15m/s	5.3m/s
21:00 ☾	948hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	6m/s
22:00 ☾	949hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	8.5m/s	-	-	5.5m/s
23:00 ☾	949hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	8.8m/s	5.9m/s	15m/s	5.9m/s
Wed, Sep 9 Sunrise 07:03 Sunset 18:49
24:00 ☾	948hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	13m/s	-	-	7.2m/s
01:00 ☾	947hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	14m/s	-	-	7.7m/s
02:00 ☾	946hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	16m/s	7.5m/s	17m/s	9m/s
03:00 ☾	946hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	17m/s	-	-	9.1m/s
04:00 ☾	946hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	0°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	21m/s	-	-	10m/s
05:00 ☾	949hPa	2J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	7.9m/s	18m/s	9.1m/s
06:00 ☾	950hPa	31J/kg	0fraction	-1.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	11m/s	-	-	7.7m/s
07:00 ☾	950hPa	24J/kg	0fraction	-1.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	18m/s	-	-	8.7m/s
08:00	950hPa	96J/kg	0fraction	-2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	22m/s	6.5m/s	13m/s	12m/s
09:00	951hPa	104J/kg	0fraction	-2.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	24134m	18m/s	-	-	13m/s
10:00	952hPa	88J/kg	0fraction	-2.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	24134m	16m/s	-	-	12m/s
11:00	951hPa	54J/kg	0fraction	-1.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-18dBZ	0mm	24134m	14m/s	7.4m/s	15m/s	11m/s
12:00	951hPa	35J/kg	0fraction	-1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0mm	24134m	14m/s	-	-	11m/s
13:00	950hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	-0.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-6.5dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	9.9m/s
14:00	949hPa	69J/kg	0fraction	-1.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-0.56dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	9.9m/s	13m/s	8.6m/s
15:00	949hPa	92J/kg	0fraction	-2.5°C	7%	0mm	0mm	0.99dBZ	0mm	24135m	12m/s	-	-	11m/s
16:00	948hPa	68J/kg	0fraction	-2.3°C	15%	0mm	0mm	2.5dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	10m/s
17:00	948hPa	46J/kg	0fraction	-1.6°C	22%	0mm	0mm	4.1dBZ	0mm	24135m	12m/s	10m/s	10m/s	9.6m/s
18:00	948hPa	11J/kg	0.33fraction	0.1°C	22%	0mm	0.01mm	5.3dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.4m/s	-	-	7.2m/s
19:00 ☾	948hPa	7J/kg	0.67fraction	0°C	22%	0mm	0.01mm	6.5dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	2.7m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
20:00 ☾	949hPa	7J/kg	1fraction	-0.3°C	22%	0mm	0mm	7.7dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	0.8m/s	6.8m/s	12m/s	0.56m/s
21:00 ☾	950hPa	1J/kg	0.83fraction	0.1°C	15%	0mm	0mm	-1.5dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.6m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
22:00 ☾	950hPa	13J/kg	0.66fraction	0.4°C	7%	0mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.4m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
23:00 ☾	950hPa	46J/kg	0.48fraction	0.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.5m/s	9.2m/s	10m/s	1.3m/s
Thu, Sep 10 Sunrise 07:02 Sunset 18:50
24:00 ☾	950hPa	22J/kg	0.32fraction	1.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.7m/s	-	-	2.6m/s
01:00 ☾	950hPa	25J/kg	0.16fraction	0.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.8m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
02:00 ☾	949hPa	12J/kg	0fraction	1.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.6m/s	8.8m/s	9.2m/s	3.7m/s
03:00 ☾	948hPa	28J/kg	0fraction	1.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4m/s	-	-	4.1m/s
04:00 ☾	948hPa	34J/kg	0fraction	1.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.6m/s	-	-	4.9m/s
05:00 ☾	948hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	3.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.2m/s	11m/s	2.8m/s	4.5m/s
06:00 ☾	948hPa	23J/kg	0fraction	3.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.6m/s	-	-	4.4m/s
07:00 ☾	949hPa	22J/kg	0fraction	4.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.7m/s	-	-	4.3m/s
08:00	949hPa	21J/kg	0fraction	4.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.9m/s	7.6m/s	1.9m/s	4.3m/s
09:00	938hPa	21J/kg	0fraction	3.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.8m/s	-	-	5.6m/s
10:00	928hPa	22J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.8m/s	-	-	6.9m/s
11:00	918hPa	22J/kg	0fraction	1.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.7m/s	0.61m/s	6m/s	8.2m/s
12:00	918hPa	18J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.3m/s	-	-	6.6m/s
13:00	919hPa	13J/kg	0fraction	2.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.9m/s	-	-	5.1m/s
14:00	920hPa	9J/kg	0fraction	2.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.5m/s	2.9m/s	5.5m/s	3.5m/s
15:00	920hPa	11J/kg	0fraction	2.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.9m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
16:00	921hPa	13J/kg	0fraction	3.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.2m/s	-	-	4.3m/s
17:00	921hPa	15J/kg	0fraction	3.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.5m/s	14m/s	8.2m/s	4.8m/s
18:00	920hPa	14J/kg	0fraction	3.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.9m/s	-	-	4.4m/s
19:00 ☾	920hPa	13J/kg	0fraction	3.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.3m/s	-	-	4.1m/s
20:00 ☾	920hPa	12J/kg	0fraction	3.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.6m/s	8.3m/s	1.6m/s	3.7m/s
21:00 ☾	919hPa	8J/kg	0fraction	3.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.6m/s	-	-	3.6m/s
22:00 ☾	919hPa	4J/kg	0fraction	3.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.5m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
23:00 ☾	918hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.4m/s	6.3m/s	3.6m/s	3.5m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Sep 7, 2026, 9:46 PM UTC

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