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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Yakushima, Kyushu

Koseda, Kagoshima, Japan

Yakushima's roots and boardwalks wind through dense moss-covered cedar forest. Massive trunks overlap at short intervals, making depth and scale visible beneath the closed canopy.

0 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Fiery Red Sky Potential
0%
Low Cloud Cover12%
Mid Cloud Cover26%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation21.2°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No matching opportunities in this 14-day forecast

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

70-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 70-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Tokyo.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Asia/Tokyo)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
0.1351%23%0.003Unavailable0%12%26%2.6%0.0221°3600seconds
0.1354%21%0.003Unavailable0%11%24%3.1%0.0233°3600seconds
0.1554%22%0.003Unavailable0%16%29%3.5%0.0243°3600seconds
0.1955%22%0.003Unavailable0%20%23%4%0.0251°3600seconds
0.2155%23%0.004Unavailable0%19%30%4.4%0.0254°3600seconds
0.2253%23%0.004Unavailable0%58%66%4.6%0.0251°3600seconds
0.2151%23%0.004Unavailable0%58%75%4.7%0.0244°0seconds
0.249%23%0.004Unavailable0%43%63%4.9%0.0235°0seconds
0.1850%26%0.004Unavailable0%30%52%4.7%0.0223°1927seconds
0.1951%29%0.004Unavailable0%25%28%4.6%0.0211°2505seconds
Night0.1752%32%0.005Unavailable0%5%4%4.4%0.02-1.8°0seconds
Night0.1560%27%0.005Unavailable0%0%0%4.1%0.02-15°0seconds
Night0.1269%22%0.005Unavailable0%0%0%3.9%0.02-28°0seconds
Night0.1177%17%0.005Unavailable0%11%28%3.6%0.02-40°0seconds
Night0.1184%14%0.005Unavailable0%25%40%3.4%0.02-52°0seconds
Night0.1292%10%0.006Unavailable0%30%31%3.2%0.02-61°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.1799%7%0.006Unavailable0%32%27%3%0.02-66°0seconds
Night0.1892%10%0.006Unavailable0%29%26%3.6%0.02-62°0seconds
Night0.284%12%0.006Unavailable0%40%34%4.2%0.02-54°0seconds
Night0.277%15%0.006Unavailable0%26%29%4.8%0.02-42°0seconds
Night0.252%16%0.007Unavailable0%31%36%9.5%0.03-30°0seconds
Night0.2128%18%0.007Unavailable0%27%32%14%0.02-17°0seconds
Night0.193%19%0.007Unavailable0%18%37%19%0.02-4.1°0seconds
0.173%18%0.007Unavailable0%33%45%16%0.028.7°0seconds
0.162%17%0.007Unavailable0%49%58%13%0.0221°842seconds
0.172%16%0.007Unavailable0%24%28%9.9%0.0233°3600seconds
Unavailable20%21%UnavailableUnavailable0%34%8%7.8%Unavailable43°3600seconds
Unavailable38%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%25%29%5.6%Unavailable50°3600seconds
Unavailable56%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%45%41%3.5%Unavailable53°3600seconds
Unavailable59%27%UnavailableUnavailable0%45%32%3.7%Unavailable51°3600seconds
Unavailable63%24%UnavailableUnavailable87%40%41%3.8%Unavailable44°2919seconds
Unavailable66%20%UnavailableUnavailable100%46%51%4%Unavailable34°0seconds
Unavailable72%20%UnavailableUnavailable100%54%60%3.5%Unavailable23°0seconds
Unavailable78%19%UnavailableUnavailable100%48%50%3.1%Unavailable11°0seconds
NightUnavailable84%19%UnavailableUnavailable100%50%60%2.6%Unavailable-2°0seconds
NightUnavailable86%17%UnavailableUnavailable100%46%58%13%Unavailable-15°0seconds
NightUnavailable87%16%UnavailableUnavailable100%52%61%24%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable89%14%UnavailableUnavailable100%58%60%35%Unavailable-41°0seconds
NightUnavailable86%16%UnavailableUnavailable100%51%54%42%Unavailable-52°0seconds
NightUnavailable82%18%UnavailableUnavailable100%53%53%50%Unavailable-62°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable79%20%UnavailableUnavailable100%55%54%57%Unavailable-66°0seconds
NightUnavailable75%21%UnavailableUnavailable99%50%48%59%Unavailable-63°0seconds
NightUnavailable71%22%UnavailableUnavailable94%50%49%61%Unavailable-54°0seconds
NightUnavailable67%23%UnavailableUnavailable86%48%45%64%Unavailable-42°0seconds
NightUnavailable60%26%UnavailableUnavailable89%46%44%68%Unavailable-30°0seconds
NightUnavailable54%30%UnavailableUnavailable94%44%48%72%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable47%33%UnavailableUnavailable97%44%48%77%Unavailable-4.2°0seconds
Unavailable45%32%UnavailableUnavailable100%41%47%81%Unavailable8.6°0seconds
Unavailable42%32%UnavailableUnavailable100%40%47%85%Unavailable21°0seconds
Unavailable40%31%UnavailableUnavailable100%41%60%89%Unavailable32°0seconds
Unavailable40%33%UnavailableUnavailable99%44%92%86%Unavailable43°0seconds
Unavailable41%34%UnavailableUnavailable99%47%95%83%Unavailable50°0seconds
Unavailable41%36%UnavailableUnavailable88%42%48%80%Unavailable53°0seconds
Unavailable39%36%UnavailableUnavailable65%38%39%79%Unavailable51°0seconds
Unavailable38%36%UnavailableUnavailable53%46%45%79%Unavailable44°0seconds
Unavailable36%36%UnavailableUnavailable53%46%51%79%Unavailable34°0seconds
Unavailable34%36%UnavailableUnavailable47%46%53%77%Unavailable23°0seconds
Unavailable32%36%UnavailableUnavailable57%41%51%74%Unavailable10°0seconds
NightUnavailable30%36%UnavailableUnavailable65%31%48%72%Unavailable-2.3°0seconds
NightUnavailable29%34%UnavailableUnavailable45%4%41%72%Unavailable-15°0seconds
NightUnavailable29%33%UnavailableUnavailable46%3%45%72%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable28%31%UnavailableUnavailable65%7%41%72%Unavailable-41°0seconds
NightUnavailable35%31%UnavailableUnavailable51%12%43%73%Unavailable-52°0seconds
NightUnavailable41%32%UnavailableUnavailable41%14%42%74%Unavailable-62°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable48%32%UnavailableUnavailable27%53%39%75%Unavailable-66°0seconds
NightUnavailable50%31%UnavailableUnavailable26%54%43%76%Unavailable-63°0seconds
NightUnavailable51%30%UnavailableUnavailable26%68%40%76%Unavailable-54°0seconds
NightUnavailable53%29%UnavailableUnavailable13%81%15%77%Unavailable-43°0seconds
NightUnavailable56%30%UnavailableUnavailable18%99%10%74%Unavailable-30°0seconds
NightUnavailable58%31%UnavailableUnavailable77%99%4%72%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable61%32%UnavailableUnavailable2%93%2%69%Unavailable-4.3°0seconds
Unavailable59%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%84%0%67%Unavailable8.5°0seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Yakushima.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Yakushima during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
5
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Last 90 days
29
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Last 365 days
50
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

19:00 local time, shared by 25 of 50 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 13 of 50 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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